Please use this identifier to cite or link to this item: https://ah.lib.nccu.edu.tw/handle/140.119/67304
題名: 中國出口結構變化對中國與歐盟經濟關係的影響
The Impact of the Change in China’s Export Structure on the EU-China Economic Relations
作者: 杜若琳
Dorsy, Marlene
貢獻者: 姜家雄
Chiang, Alex
杜若琳
Dorsy, Marlene
關鍵詞: 中國
歐盟
出口結構
經濟關係
China
EU
Export structure
Economic relations
日期: 2013
上傳時間: 7-Jul-2014
摘要: 自2000年開始,中國和歐洲之間的經濟關係有顯著提升。在這期間儘管貿易緩慢地發展,對於中國來說,歐盟從2004年起取代了美國和日本的領先成為中國第一大的貿易夥伴,而中國對於歐洲來說目前是僅次於美國的第二大貿易對象。而夥伴關係的是基於兩方之間的貿易互補性,進而不斷地持續擴大。\n然而最近幾年,中國的出口結構已朝向技術密集的層面發展,事實證明中國的出口結構和歐洲已有相當程度的類似,例如一些資本貨物和運輸設備。儘管部分的研究是針對歐洲和中國的貿易競爭性,此篇文章針對了歐洲和中國之間因出口結構改變所造成的影響。\n為了分析出口結構所帶來的影響,首先透過線性回歸模型分析。再配合定性分析和文獻的輔助了解這些變化是如何影響到兩方之間的經濟合作和糾紛。\n經過分析發現,中國出口結構的變化並不會對兩方的經濟貿易關係有任何直接的不良影響,但卻導致了保護主義的開始、引發了部分爭端,進而影響到兩方之間的經濟關係惡化。
The economic relations between China and Europe have increased dramatically, especially since the 2000’s. Although trade started slowly, the European Union has become China’s number one trading partner, ahead of Japan and the US, since 2004 and China is now the EU’s second largest trading partner after the US. This status of “partnership” is based on a great complementarity between the two sides, which enabled them to expand their trade continuously.\nHowever, in the recent years, China’s export structure has started to evolve and become increasingly technology-intensive. Indeed, its export structure is becoming quite similar to that of Europe, exporting traditionally Western EU products, such as capital goods and transportation equipment.\nWhile some focused on the competition China represents for Europe, entering Europe’s traditional export markets, this paper analyzes the impact of the change in China’s export structure on the EU-China economic relations.\nTo do so, I first used a linear regression model to analyze the impact of the change in China’s export structure on the EU-China economic relations and then performed a qualitative analysis, as well as, literature review to understand how these changes affect disputes and cooperation between the EU and China. I found that the change in China’s export structure did not have any direct bad impact on the EU-China economic relations. However, it led to protectionism and disputes which were in part responsible for the deterioration of the EU-China economic relations.
參考文獻: Altman, R. C. (1994). Why pressure tokyo? Foreign Affairs, 73(3), 2.\nAmiti, M., & Freund, C. (2010). The Anatomy of China`s Export Growth. In C. R. Feenstra, & S. J. Wei, China`s Growing Role in World Trade (pp. 35-56). University of Chicago Press.\nAn overview of the sectoral dialogues between China and the EU. (n.d.). Retrieved from Europa: http://www.eeas.europa.eu/china/sectoraldialogue_en.htm\nAnderlini, J., & Chaffin, J. (2010, February 04). China takes EU shoe complaint to WTO. Retrieved from Financial Times: http://www.ft.com/intl/cms/s/0/aacd7822-1178-11df-9195-00144feab49a.html#axzz33Q0mT9ue\nAnderson, J. E. (1979). A Theoritical Foundation for the Gravity Equation. The American Economic Review, 69(1), 106-116.\nAndreosso - O` Callaghan, B., & Nicolas, F. (2007). Complementarity and Rivalry in EU? China Economic Relations in the Twenty-First Century. European Foreign Affairs Review, 12(1), 13–38.\nAsh, R. (2008). Europe’s Commercial Relations with China. In D. Shambaugh, E. Sandscheinder, & Z. Hong, China-Europe Relations: Perceptions, Policies and Prospects (pp. 189-230). Oxon, England: Routledg.\nBahagwati, J. (1994). Samurai No More. Foreign Affairs, 73(3), 7.\nBalassa, B. (1966). Tariff Reductions and Trade in Manufacturers among the Industrial Countries. The American Economic Review, 56(3), 466-473.\nBalme, R. (2008). A European Strategy Towards China? The Limits of Integration in Foreign Policy Making. In R. Balme, & B. Bridges, Europe-Asia Relations: Building Multilateralisms (pp. 125-144). New York: Palgrave Macmillan.\nBenkovskis, K., Silgoner, M., Steiner, K., & Wörz, J. (2013). Crowding-Out or Co-Existence? The Competitive Position of EU Members and China in Global Merchandise Trade. European Central Bank Working Paper Series.\nBerger, B., & Martin, R. F. (2011). The Growth of Chinese Exports: An Examination of the Detailed Trade Data. Finance Discussion Papers, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System International.\nBergsten, C. F. (1982). What to do about the US-Japan Economic Conflict. Foreign Affairs, 60(5), 1059.\nBergstrand, J. H. (1989). The Generalized Gravity Equation, Monopolistic Competition, and the Factor-Proportions Theory in International Trade. The Review of Economics and Statistics, 71(1), 143-153.\nBrown, K., & Crossick, S. (2009). The EU and China: Time for a Change? Asia Programme Paper(ASP PP 2009/03).\nByron, C., Bolte, G., & Reingold, E. M. (1982). Tempers Rising Over Trade. Time, 119(5), 62.\nChina. (n.d.). Retrieved from European Council on Foreign Relations: http://www.ecfr.eu/scorecard/2014/china/1\nChina Appeals WTO Auto Parts Decision. (2008, September 18). Retrieved from International Centre for Trade and Sustainable Development: http://www.ictsd.org/bridges-news/bridges/news/china-appeals-wto-auto-parts-decision\nChina slaps final anti-dumping duties on EU steel fasteners. (2010, June 28). Retrieved from Asia One News: http://news.asiaone.com/News/Latest+News/Business/Story/A1Story20100628-224306.html\nChina to properly handle steel tube dispute with EU. (2013, June 14). Retrieved from CCTV: http://english.cntv.cn/20130614/100173.shtml\nChina-EU 2020 Strategic Agenda for Cooperation released at 16th. (2013, November 23). Retrieved from Europa: http://eeas.europa.eu/statements/docs/2013/131123_01_en.pdf\nChina`s anti-dumping measures on EU X-ray scanner inconsistent with rules: WTO panel. (2013, February 27). Retrieved from 新华网: http://english.peopledaily.com.cn/90778/8144869.html\nCouncil of the European Union. (2008, November 26). Postponement of the EU/China Summit. Retrieved from Europa: http://europa.eu/rapid/press-release_PRES-08-347_en.htm\nCouncil of the European Union. (2011, October 21). EU-China Summit Postponed. Retrieved from Europa: http://europa.eu/rapid/press-release_PRES-11-384_en.htm\nDettmer, B., Erixon, F., Freytag, A., & Legault Tremblay, P. O. (2011). The dynamics of structural change – The European Union’s trade with China. The Chinese Economy, 44(4), 42-74.\nDisputes Roundup: Trade Remedies in the Spotlight in Geneva, Brussels. (2013, February 27). Retrieved from International Centre for Trade and Sustainable Development: http://www.ictsd.org/bridges-news/bridges/news/disputes-roundup-trade-remedies-in-the-spotlight-in-geneva-brussels\nDreyer, I., & Erixon, F. (2008). An EU-China trade dialogue: a new policy framework to contain deteriorating trade relations. ECIPE Policy Brief, 3/2008.\nEEC-China Trade and Economic Cooperation Agreement. (2007, May 3). Retrieved from Europa: http://europa.eu/legislation_summaries/external_relations/relations_with_third_countries/asia/r14206_en.htm\nEU duties on Chinese industrial fasteners ruled illegal by WTO, but damage already done. (2012, July 25). Retrieved from Asia Trade Watch: http://www.asiatradewatch.com/cases/0022/case_view.html\nEU, US, Japan request WTO panel over China rare earth dispute. (2012, June 28). Retrieved from China Daily: http://europe.chinadaily.com.cn/business/2012-06/28/content_15529850.htm\nEU-China relations in times of crisis. (2011, October 28). Retrieved from Euractiv: http://www.euractiv.com/global-europe/eu-china-relations-times-crisis-analysis-508649\nEU-China Summits. (n.d.). Retrieved from Europa: http://eeas.europa.eu/china/summits_en.htm\nEuropean Commission. (2013, August 16). EU requests WTO Panel on Chinese Anti-Dumping duties on Steel Tubes. Retrieved from Europa: http://europa.eu/rapid/press-release_IP-13-772_en.htm\nFact sheet: U.S.-Japan relations. (1993). U.S. Department of State Dispatch, 4(28), 496.\nFilippini, C. (2009). Trade and Investment in the Relations Between the European Union and the People’s Republic of China. European Studies, 27, 225-240.\nFinance And Economics: When partners attack; Settling trade disputes. (2010). The Economist, 394(8669), 77.\nFraser, C. (2009). The Development of EU-China Relations. European Studies, 27, 47-64.\nFreedman, J. M. (2009, July 31). China Complains at WTO Against EU Duties on Fasteners. Retrieved from Bloomberg: http://www.bloomberg.com/apps/news?pid=newsarchive&sid=aSgp6MpXLw3Q\nFreman, D. (2006). China`s Rise and the Global Economy. In M. Zabarowski, Facing China’s Rise: Guidelines for an EU Strategy. (Chaillot Paper, no 94) (pp. 15-26). Paris: EU Institute for Security Studies.\nGrubel, H. G. (1967). Intra-Industry Specialization and the Pattern of Trade. The Canadian Journal of Economics and Political Science, 33(3), 374-388.\nHollerman, L. (1982). Japan`s Economic Impact on the United States. The ANNALS of the American Academy of Political and Social Science, 460, 127-135.\nHolslag, J. (2007). China and Europe: the Myth of Post-Modern World . Brussels: BICCS Background Paper.\nImai, K. I. (1982). Japan`s Changing Industrial Structure and United States-Japan Industrial Relations. In K. Yamamura, Policy and Trade Issues of the Japanese Economy (pp. 47-76). Seattle : University of Washington Press.\nInformation Note. (n.d.). Retrieved from Europa: http://www.eeas.europa.eu/china/docs/sectoraldialogues_en.pdf\nInternational Monetary Fund. (2011). Changing Patterns of Global Trade. \nKennedy, S. (2005). China`s porous protectionism: The changing political economy of trade policy. Political Science Quarterly, 120(3), 407-432.\nKong, Q. (2012). China-EU Trade Disputes and their Management. Singapore: World Scientific Publishing.\nKrugman, P. R. (1979). Increasing Returns, Monopolistic Competition, and International trade. Journal of International Economics, 9, 469-479.\nLi, X. (2012). Understanding China’s Behavioral Change in the WTO. Asian Survey, 52(6), 1111–1137.\nLi, Y. (2009). Impacts of the Financial Crisis on China-EU Trade. The 7th Inha-Le Havre Conference, 74-83.\nLiu, Y. (2005). Anti-Dumping Measures and China. Journal of Financial Crime, 12(3), 272-289.\nLuo, L. (2011, November 03). WTO sides with China in EU anti-dumping dispute. Retrieved from 人民网: http://english.people.com.cn/90778/7634278.html\nMen, J. (2007). The EU–China strategic partnership: achievements and challenges. European Policy Paper, 2.\nMen, J. (2012). The EU and China: mismatched partners? Journal Of Contemporary China, 21(74), 333-349.\nMen, J. (2013). China`s Economic Diplomacy and Sino-EU relations. Economiaz, 82, 291-312.\nMoffett, S., & Palmer, D. (2012, March 13). EU, U.S., Japan launch rare earth WTO case against China. Retrieved from Reuters: http://uk.mobile.reuters.com/article/topNews/idUKBRE82C0K720120313\nMöller, K. (2006). China’s Rise: The Return of Geopolitics. In G. Wacker, China’s Rise: The Return of Geopolitics (pp. 68-73). Berlin: SWP Research Paper.\nMotoo, K. (1973). Japan-US Economic Relations. Japan quarterly, 20(3), 268-274.\nNataraj, G., & Tandon, A. (2011). China’s Changing Export Structure: A Factor-Based Analysis. Economic & Political Weekly, 46(13), 130-136.\nNye, J. J. (1993). Coping with Japan. Foreign Policy, 89, 96-116.\nRees, N. (2009). EU-China Relations: Historical and Contemporary Prespectives. European Studies, 27, 31-46.\nSamuelson, P. A. (1948). International Trade and the Equalisation of Factor Prices. The Economic Journal, 58(230), 163-184.\nSaxonhouse, G. R. (1972). A Review of Recent U.S.-Japan Economic Relations. Asian Survey, 12(9), 726-752.\nShambaugh, D. (2007, November 26). The “China honeymoon” is over. Retrieved February 27, 2014, from The New York Times: http://www.nytimes.com/2007/11/26/opinion/26iht-edshambaugh.1.8482459.html?_r=0\nSharma, S., Shimp, T. A., & Shin, J. (1995). Consumer Ethnocentrism: A Test of Antecendents and Moderators. Journal of the Academy of Marketing Science, 23(1), 26-37.\nShinohara, M. (1991). Japan as a World Economic Power. The ANNALS of the American Academy of Political and Social Science, 513, 12-24.\nSorroza, A. (2011). Is the Eurozone Crisis Changing EU-China Relations? Real Instituto Elcano.\nTian, D. (2013, January 11). A Retrospective Look at 2012 China-EU Relations. Retrieved February 26, 2014, from China Today: http://www.chinatoday.com.cn/english/report/2013-01/11/content_512074.htm\nVan der Geest, W. (2007). The RMB in the Global Currency Market. In S. Crossick, & E. Reuter, China-EU: A Common Future (pp. 179-188). Singapore: World Scientific Publishing.\nVestal, J. (1993). Planning for Change: Industrial Policy and Japanese Economic Development, 1945-1990. Oxford: Clarendon Press.\nWai, T. (2009). China`s Strategic Thinking: The Role of the European Union. In R. Balme, & B. Bridges, Europe-Asia Relations: Building Multilateralisms (pp. 145-171). New York: Palgrave Macmillan.\nWang, L. (2004). Intellectual property protection in China. The International Information & Library Review, 36, 253–261.\nWatson, R., & Powell, B. (1991). Coming to Terms with Japan. Newsweek, 118(22), 46-47.\nWong, R. (2013). China`s Rise : Making Sense of EU Responses. The journal of contemporary China, 2(2), 111-128.\nWTO. (2009). China - Measures Affecting Imports of Automobile Parts. Retrieved from World Trade Organization: http://www.wto.org/english/tratop_e/dispu_e/cases_e/ds339_e.htm\nWTO. (2010). China — Provisional Anti-Dumping Duties on Certain Iron and Steel Fasteners from the European Union. Retrieved from World Trade Organization: http://www.wto.org/english/tratop_e/dispu_e/cases_e/ds407_e.htm\nWTO. (2012). European Union — Anti-Dumping Measures on Certain Footwear from China. Retrieved from World Trade Organization: http://www.wto.org/english/tratop_e/dispu_e/cases_e/ds405_e.htm\nWTO. (2013). China — Measures Imposing Anti-Dumping Duties on High-Performance Stainless Steel Seamless Tubes (“HP-SSST”) from the European Union. Retrieved from World Trade Organization: http://www.wto.org/english/tratop_e/dispu_e/cases_e/ds460_e.htm\nWTO. (2013). China — Measures Related to the Exportation of Various Raw Materials. Retrieved from World Trade Organization: http://www.wto.org/english/tratop_e/dispu_e/cases_e/ds397_e.htm\nWTO. (2013). China — Measures Related to the Exportation of Various Raw Materials. Retrieved from World Trade Organization: http://www.wto.org/english/tratop_e/dispu_e/cases_e/ds395_e.htm\nWTO. (2014). China — Definitive Anti-Dumping Duties on X-Ray Security Inspection Equipment from the European Union. Retrieved from World Trade Organization: http://www.wto.org/english/tratop_e/dispu_e/cases_e/ds425_e.htmhttp://www.wto.org/english/tratop_e/dispu_e/cases_e/ds425_e.htm\nWTO. (2014). Understanding the WTO: Settling Disputes. Retrieved from World Trade Organization: http://www.wto.org/english/thewto_e/whatis_e/tif_e/disp1_e.htm\nWTO rules China`s export measures on rare earth inconsistent with rules. (2014, March 26). Retrieved from 新华网: http://news.xinhuanet.com/english/business/2014-03/26/c_126320535.htm\nZhang, X. (2012). Three Key Variables in China-EU Economic and Trade Relations: Strategic Foundation, Reciprocity and Institutions. International Understanding, 1.\nZhang, Z. (2008). China`s Commercial Relations with Europe. In D. Shambaugh, E. Sandscheinder, & Z. Hong, China-Europe Relations: Perceptions, Policies and Prospects (pp. 189-230). Oxon, England: Routledge.
描述: 碩士
國立政治大學
亞太研究英語碩士學位學程(IMAS)
101926028
102
資料來源: http://thesis.lib.nccu.edu.tw/record/#G0101926028
資料類型: thesis
Appears in Collections:學位論文

Files in This Item:
File SizeFormat
602801.pdf4.23 MBAdobe PDF2View/Open
Show full item record

Google ScholarTM

Check


Items in DSpace are protected by copyright, with all rights reserved, unless otherwise indicated.