Please use this identifier to cite or link to this item: https://ah.lib.nccu.edu.tw/handle/140.119/112813
題名: 從中國第五代領導人的政策觀點分析"一帶一路"計畫
Analysis of the Belt and Road Initiative from the Perspective of the Chinese Fifth-Generation Leadership
作者: 陳汝信
Chen, Ru-Shin
貢獻者: 如大維
David J. Lorenzo
陳汝信
Chen, Ru-Shin
關鍵詞: 一帶一路
中國夢
中國第五代領導人
Belt and Road
Belt and Road Initiative
BRI
Chinese dream
Chinese Fifth-Generation Leadership
日期: 2017
上傳時間: 13-Sep-2017
摘要: 一帶一路倡議是中國第五代領導人的政策之一,應該被視為整體戰略的一部分。為了評估一帶一路倡議的實際目的與風險,研究中國地緣政治與社會經濟局勢、前幾代中國領導人的政策(如西部大開發)、現任第五代領導人的政策(如中國夢與四個全面)。雖然並非與其它相關的分析相互排斥,結論指出一帶一路與第五代領導人其它政策具有協同效應、同時面對相對的急迫性,是中國第五代領導人經濟改革、輸出國營企業生產能力過剩、減輕資產泡沫破裂風險的工具之一。
The Belt and Road Initiative is one corner of the Chinese fifth-generation leadership’s policymaking under the Xi Jinping administration, and should be understood as part of a cohesive whole. This study assesses the BRI, its actual goals, and its risks when analyzed alongside China’s geostrategic and socioeconomic positions, similar policies from previous generations of Chinese leadership such as the Western Development Strategy, and existing concurrent policies from the fifth-generation Chinese leadership such as the Chinese Dream and the Four Comprehensives. While not mutually exclusive with other explanations proposed for the BRI, this study suggests that due to its synergy with existing policies and its exceptional urgency, the fifth-generation leadership primarily uses the BRI as one tool amongst many to accommodate its economic reform, to export the production overcapacity of state-owned enterprises, and to mitigate any risks of an asset bubble collapse.
參考文獻: Agence France-Presse. (2016, April 12). Gwadar port to be operational by 2017: Chinese official. Retrieved October 24, 2016, from The Express Tribune: https://tribune.com.pk/story/1083410/gwadar-port-to-be-operational-by-2017-chinese-official/\nAneez, S., & Sirilal, R. (2017, May 13). Sri Lanka rejects Chinese request for submarine visit: sources. Retrieved May 13, 2017, from Reuters: http://www.reuters.com/article/us-sri-lanka-china-submarine-idUSKBN1871P9\nAneja, A. (2014, November 28). China says its submarine docked in Sri Lanka ‘for replenishment’. Retrieved July 16, 2015, from The Hindu: http://www.thehindu.com/news/international/world/china-says-its-submarine-docked-in-sri-lanka-for-replenishment/article6643129.ece\nAsian Development Bank. (2011, August). Asia 2050: Realizing the Asian Century. Retrieved July 13, 2015, from Asian Development Bank: http://www.adb.org/sites/default/files/publication/28608/asia2050-executive-summary.pdf\nBajpaee, C. (2016, March 28). Japan and China: The Geo-Economic Dimension. Retrieved May 2, 2016, from The Diplomat: http://thediplomat.com/2016/03/japan-and-china-the-geo-economic-dimension/\nBhattacharji, P. (2012, May 29). Uighurs and China`s Xinjiang Region. Retrieved July 9, 2015, from Council on Foreign Relations: http://www.cfr.org/china/uighurs-chinas-xinjiang-region/p16870\nBlanchard, B. (2014, July 3). With one eye on Washington, China plots its own Asia `pivot`. Retrieved July 10, 2015, from Reuters: http://www.reuters.com/article/us-china-diplomacy-idUSKBN0F82GX20140703\nBlanchard, B., & Ruwitch, J. (2013, March 5). China hikes defense budget, to spend more on internal security. Retrieved April 16, 2016, from Reuters: http://www.reuters.com/article/us-china-parliament-defence-idUSBRE92403620130305\nBrown, K. (2012, November 8). Hu Jintao’s Legacy. Retrieved October 26, 2015, from Foreign Policy: http://foreignpolicy.com/2012/11/08/hu-jintaos-legacy/\nBrowne, A. (2016, June 22). ‘China’s Offensive in Europe;’ Is There a Master Plan in Beijing? Retrieved July 5, 2016, from The Wall Street Journal: https://blogs.wsj.com/chinarealtime/2016/06/22/chinas-offensive-in-europe-is-there-a-master-plan-in-beijing/\nBusiness Standard. (2014, February 13). China`s plan to build Maritime Silk Road backed by Sri Lanka. Retrieved July 8, 2015, from Business Standard: http://www.business-standard.com/article/international/china-s-plan-to-build-maritime-silk-road-backed-by-sri-lanka-114021300924_1.html\nCenter for Strategic & International Studies. (2015, December 9). How does China`s first aircraft carrier stack up? Retrieved August 9, 2016, from Center for Strategic & International Studies: http://chinapower.csis.org/aircraft-carrier/\nChatterjee, B., & Singh, S. (2015, May 4). An Opportunity for India in Central Asia. Retrieved February 9, 2016, from The Diplomat: http://thediplomat.com/2015/05/an-opportunity-for-india-in-central-asia/\nChen, Y.-J. (2015, September 9). Zhou Yongkang, Islamic State and China’s Pivot West. Retrieved September 11, 2015, from The Diplomat: http://thediplomat.com/2014/09/zhou-yongkang-islamic-state-and-chinas-pivot-west/\nChurchman, K. (2015, December 22). China’s Vision for a New Asian Economic and Political Order. Retrieved January 3, 2016, from National Bureau of Asian Research: http://www.nbr.org/research/activity.aspx?id=637\nClarke, M. (2015, September 10). Understanding China`s Eurasian Pivot. Retrieved September 11, 2015, from The Diplomat: http://thediplomat.com/2015/09/understanding-chinas-eurasian-pivot/\nCohen, A. (2015, June 18). China’s “One Belt – One Road” Mega-Project Will Boost Eurasian Natural Gas Opportunities. Retrieved July 12, 2015, from Natural Gas Europe: http://www.naturalgaseurope.com/china-one-belt-one-road-will-boost-eurasian-natural-gas-opportunities-24402\nCommunist Party of China. (2013, November 15). 中央關於全面深化改革若干重大問題的決定 (Zhongyang Guanyu Quanmian Shenhuagaige Ruogan Zhongdawenti De Jueding, The Decision of the Central Committee of the Communist Party of China on Some Major Issues Concerning Comprehensively Deepening the Reform). Retrieved July 8, 2015, from 網易新聞: http://news.163.com/13/1115/18/9DOAF28O0001124J_all.html#p=9DOV5JHJ5IR10001\nConnor, N. (2017, May 15). Chinese media warn India over Belt and Road project . Retrieved May 20, 2017, from The Telegraph: http://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/2017/05/15/chinese-media-warn-india-belt-road-project/\nCossa, R. A., & Glosserman, B. (2014, December 1). A tale of two tales: competing narratives in the Asia Pacific. Retrieved July 13, 2015, from Center for Strategic and International Studies: http://csis.org/publication/pacnet-84-tale-two-tales-competing-narratives-asia-pacific\nCPEC Secretariat. (2017). Progress Update | China-Pakistan Economic Corridor (CPEC) Official Website. Retrieved March 21, 2017, from China-Pakistan Economic Corridor (CPEC) Official Website: http://cpec.gov.pk/progress-update\nDaiss, T. (2016, September 13). China`s Oil Production Drops Will Increase Foreign Oil Dependency. Retrieved November 23, 2016, from Forbes: https://www.forbes.com/sites/timdaiss/2016/09/13/chinas-oil-production-drops-will-increase-foreign-oil-dependency/#6d4514682489\nEmmott, R. (2016, July 15). EU`s statement on South China Sea reflects divisions. Retrieved September 9, 2016, from Reuters: http://www.reuters.com/article/us-southchinasea-ruling-eu-idUSKCN0ZV1TS\nFairbank, J. K. (1969, April). China`s Foreign Policy in Historical Perspective. Foreign Affairs, 47(3), pp. 449-463.\nFarley, R. (2016, October 28). Everything We Know About China`s New Aircraft Carrier. Retrieved November 12, 2016, from The National Interest: http://nationalinterest.org/blog/the-buzz/everything-we-know-about-chinas-new-aircraft-carrier-18224\nFederal Council of Switzerland. (2015, September 11). Botschaft über den Beitritt der Schweiz zur Asiatischen Infrastruktur-Investitionsbank (Message Regarding Switzerland Joining the Asian Infrastructure Investment Bank). Retrieved March 5, 2017, from The Federal Council: https://www.admin.ch/opc/de/federal-gazette/2015/7331.pdf\nFeng, W., & Cheng, G. (2014, July 15). 国际社会对“一带一路”倡议的评价 (Guojishehui Dui Yidaiyiluchangyi De Pingjia, The International Community`s Evaluation of the "One Belt, One Road" Initiative). Retrieved July 11, 2015, from 中国经济新闻网: http://www.cet.com.cn/plpd/zfff/1249914.shtml\nFeng, W., & Cheng, G. (2014, July 15). 國際社會對"一帶一路"倡議的評價 (Guojishehui Dui Yidaiyiluchangyi De Pingjia, The International Community`s Evaluation of the "One Belt, One Road" Initiative). Retrieved July 11, 2015, from 中國經濟新聞網: http://www.cet.com.cn/plpd/zfff/1249914.shtml\nFeng, W., & Cheng, G. (2014, July 15). 國際社會對"一帶一路"倡議的評價 (Guojishehui Dui Yidaiyiluchangyi De Pingjia, The International Community`s Evaluation of the "One Belt, One Road" Initiative). Retrieved July 11, 2015, from 中國經濟新聞網: http://www.cet.com.cn/plpd/zfff/1249914.shtml\nFensom, A. (2017, March 13). A Mountain of Debt: Is China`s Economy Going To Crash? Retrieved April 14, 2017, from The National Interest: http://nationalinterest.org/feature/mountain-debt-chinas-economy-going-crash-19770?page=show\nFriedman, G. (2009). The Next 100 Years. New York: Doubleday.\nFriedman, G. (2012, March 6). The State of the World: Assessing China`s Strategy. Retrieved May 1, 2016, from Stratfor: https://www.stratfor.com/weekly/state-world-assessing-chinas-strategy\nFrolovskiy, D. (2016, July 6). Kazakhstan`s China Choice. Retrieved July 9, 2016, from The Diplomat: http://thediplomat.com/2016/07/kazakhstans-china-choice/\nGabuev, A. (2015, February). A "Soft Alliance"? Russia-China Relations After the Ukraine Crisis. Retrieved August 2, 2015, from European Council on Foreign Relations: http://www.ecfr.eu/page/-/ECFR126_-_A_Soft_Alliance_Russia-China_Relations_After_the_Ukraine_Crisis.pdf\nGady, F.-S. (2017, February 10). Indian Navy Practices Sinking Chinese Subs in Largest-Ever Military Exercise. Retrieved February 15, 2017, from The Diplomat: http://thediplomat.com/2017/02/indian-navy-practices-sinking-chinese-subs-in-largest-ever-military-exercise/\nGlenn, E., Mason, J., Peter, T., & Munroe, T. (2017, May 14). Germany demands more free trade guarantees on China Silk Road plan: minister. Retrieved May 14, 2017, from Reuters: http://www.reuters.com/article/us-china-silkroad-germany-idUSKCN18A0AG\nGlobal Credit Research. (2017, May 11). Moody`s: Kazakhstan`s Baa3 rating balances low debt burden against credit challenges. Retrieved May 14, 2017, from Moody`s Investors Service: https://www.moodys.com/research/Moodys-Kazakhstans-Baa3-rating-balances-low-debt-burden-against-credit--PR_366174\nHaider, I. (2015, September 14). PM Nawaz inaugurates Pak-China Friendship Tunnels over Attabad Lake. Retrieved December 3, 2016, from Dawn.com: https://www.dawn.com/news/1206911\nHuang, C. (2016, April 27). The dangerous cost of China’s debt-fuelled growth: delays to much-needed structural reforms. Retrieved August 5, 2016, from South China Morning Post: http://www.scmp.com/comment/insight-opinion/article/1939057/dangerous-cost-chinas-debt-fuelled-growth-delays-much-needed\nHuang, P. (2017, January 16). Chinese naval escort ship arrives at Djibouti for replenishment. Retrieved March 1, 2017, from 中國軍網: http://www.81.cn/jwywpd/2017-01/16/content_7454416.htm\nHuang, P. (2017, January 16). Chinese naval escort ship arrives at Djibouti for replenishment. Retrieved March 1, 2017, from 中國軍網: http://www.81.cn/jwywpd/2017-01/16/content_7454416.htm\nHuang, P. (2017, January 16). Chinese naval escort ship arrives at Djibouti for replenishment - 中国军网. Retrieved March 1, 2017, from 中国军网: http://www.81.cn/jwywpd/2017-01/16/content_7454416.htm\nHuang, Y. (2015, August 31). How China`s Consumption Matters. Retrieved September 11, 2015, from The Wall Street Journal: http://www.wsj.com/articles/how-chinas-consumption-matters-1441039561\nIndian Ministry of External Affairs. (2017, May 13). Official Spokesperson`s response to a query on participation of India in OBOR/BRI Forum. Retrieved May 14, 2017, from Ministry of External Affairs, Government of India: http://www.mea.gov.in/media-briefings.htm?dtl/28463/Official+Spokespersons+response+to+a+query+on+participation+of+India+in+OBORBRI+Forum\nIyer, R. (2017, May 3). Reviving the Comatose Bangladesh-China-India-Myanmar Corridor. Retrieved May 5, 2017, from The Diplomat: http://thediplomat.com/2017/05/reviving-the-comatose-bangladesh-china-india-myanmar-corridor/\nKaczmarski, M. (2015, March 30). China and Russia: Two Approaches to Integration. Retrieved July 26, 2015, from The Diplomat: http://thediplomat.com/2015/03/china-and-russia-two-approaches-to-integration/\nKang, D. C.-o. (2010). East Asia Before the West: Five Centuries of Trade and Tribute. New York: Columbia University Press.\nKantha, A. K. (2017, May 14). Why India is cool towards China`s Belt and Road. Retrieved May 14, 2017, from South China Morning Post: http://www.scmp.com/week-asia/opinion/article/2094167/why-india-cool-towards-chinas-belt-and-road\nKaplan, R. D. (2010, May/June). The Geography of Chinese Power. Foreign Affairs, 89(3). Retrieved from Foreign Affairs: https://www.foreignaffairs.com/articles/china/2010-05-01/geography-chinese-power\nKaufman, A. (2015, October 15). Xi Jinping as Historian: Marxist, Chinese, Nationalist, Global. Retrieved November 18, 2015, from The Asan Forum: http://www.theasanforum.org/xi-jinping-as-historian-marxist-chinese-nationalist-global/\nKeck, Z. (2013, January 7). Destined To Fail: China`s Soft Power Push. Retrieved August 18, 2015, from The Diplomat: http://thediplomat.com/2013/01/destined-to-fail-chinas-soft-power-offensive/?allpages=yes\nKennedy, S. (2015, June 1). Made in China 2025. Retrieved April 4, 2016, from Center for Strategic & International Studies: https://www.csis.org/analysis/made-china-2025\nKennedy, S., & Parker, D. A. (2015, April 3). Building China’s "One Belt, One Road". Retrieved July 7, 2015, from Center for Strategic and International Studies: http://csis.org/publication/building-chinas-one-belt-one-road\nKuhn, R. L. (2013, June 4). Xi Jinping’s Chinese Dream. Retrieved August 9, 2015, from The New York Times: http://www.nytimes.com/2013/06/05/opinion/global/xi-jinpings-chinese-dream.html?pagewanted=all&_r=1&mtrref=undefined&gwh=23DD0860399C18E877EDFA5C1AB9CDFC&gwt=pay&assetType=opinion\nLai, H. H. (2002, October). China`s Western Development Program: Its Rationale, Implementation, and Prospects. Modern China, 28(4), 432-466.\nLam, W. (2016). Xi Jinping’s Ideology and Statecraft. Chinese Law and Government, 48(6), pp. 409-417.\nLang, D. (2015, April 29). Beyond the US Rebalance to Asia: A Regional Perspective . Retrieved July 17, 2015, from The Diplomat: http://thediplomat.com/2015/04/beyond-the-us-rebalance-to-asia-a-regional-perspective/\nLe Corre, P. (2017, May 23). Europe’s mixed views on China’s One Belt, One Road initiative. Retrieved May 25, 2017, from Brookings Institution: https://www.brookings.edu/blog/order-from-chaos/2017/05/23/europes-mixed-views-on-chinas-one-belt-one-road-initiative/\nLee, I., Syed, M., & Liu, X. (2013, March). China’s Path to Consumer-Based Growth: Reorienting Investment and Enhancing Efficiency. Retrieved July 15, 2016, from International Monetary Fund: https://www.imf.org/external/pubs/ft/wp/2013/wp1383.pdf\nLi, X., & Li, J. (2015). "一帶一路"與中國地緣政治經濟戰略的重構 (Yidaiyilu Yu Zhongguo Diyuanjingjizhanglue De Chonggou, BRI and the Reconstruction of China`s Geopolitics and Economic Strategy). 世界經濟與政治(10), pp. 30-59.\nLillis, J. (2015, April 16). Kazakhstan and Russia Trading Punches in Import-Export Row. Retrieved December 3, 2016, from EurasiaNet: http://www.eurasianet.org/node/73006\nLyon, R. (2015, September 16). America`s Real Problem in Asia: Beware of the `Assurance` Dilemma. Retrieved September 26, 2015, from The National Interest: http://nationalinterest.org/blog/the-buzz/americas-real-problem-asia-beware-the-assurance-dilemma-13856\nMa, H. (2014, December 19). 港媒:"四個全面"凸顯治國總體方略頂層設計. Retrieved January 22, 2017, from 中國新聞網: http://www.chinanews.com/hb/2014/12-19/6893454.shtml\nMackinder, H. J. (1904, April). The Geographical Pivot of History. The Geographical Journal, 23(4), pp. 421-444.\nMahadevan, P. (2014, June). China in the Indian Ocean: Part of a Larger PLAN. Retrieved February 7, 2016, from Center for Security Studies: http://www.css.ethz.ch/publications/pdfs/CSSAnalyse156-EN.pdf\nMahan, A. T. (1890). The Influence of Sea Power on History. Boston: Little, Brown and Company.\nMarantidou, V. (2014, June 24). Places `with Chinese Characteristics` and their Security Implications. Issues & Insights, 14(7).\nMartina, M., & Birsel, R. (2017, May 10). China says Silk Road plan is not tied to presidency. Retrieved May 10, 2017, from Reuters: http://www.reuters.com/article/us-china-silkroad-summit-politics-idUSKBN1861EV\nMartinson, R. D. (2015, January 9). Jinglue Haiyang: The Naval Implications of Xi Jinping’s New Strategic Concept - Jamestown. Retrieved April 4, 2016, from The Jamestown Foundation: https://jamestown.org/program/jinglue-haiyang-the-naval-implications-of-xi-jinpings-new-strategic-concept/#.VM_knmjF-So\nMichel, C. (2017, March 21). The Central Asia-China Gas Pipeline Network: Line D(ead). Retrieved April 7, 2017, from The Diplomat: http://thediplomat.com/2017/03/the-central-asia-china-gas-pipeline-network-line-dead/\nMoody, A., Hu, H., & Ma, W. (2011, December 09). `Go West` policy is an economic milestone for nation. Retrieved October 4, 2016, from China Daily: http://www.chinadaily.com.cn/cndy/2011-12/09/content_14236090.htm\nNational Development and Reform Commission. (2015, March 28). Vision and Actions on Jointly Building Silk Road Economic Belt and 21st-Century Maritime Silk Road. Retrieved July 6, 2015, from National Development and Reform Commission: http://en.ndrc.gov.cn/newsrelease/201503/t20150330_669367.html\nO`Casey, E. (2017, January). China in Central Asia. Retrieved May 2, 2017, from Control Risks: https://www.controlrisks.com/en/newsletters/russia-cis-riskwatch/issue-11/china-in-central-asia\nPannier, B. (2015, June 8). How Far Will China Go In Central Asia? Retrieved July 9, 2015, from Radio Free Europe/Radio Liberty: http://www.rferl.org/content/qishloq-ovozi-chinese-influence-growing-roundtable/27060377.html\nParameswaran, P. (2017, May 11). The Real Trouble With China’s Belt and Road. Retrieved May 13, 2017, from The Diplomat: http://thediplomat.com/2017/05/the-real-trouble-with-chinas-belt-and-road/\nParker, J. (2013, July 8). China’s Great Rebalancing Act. Retrieved August 19, 2015, from The Diplomat: http://thediplomat.com/2013/07/chinas-great-rebalancing-act-2/?allpages=yes\nPayne, J. S. (2016, August 11). The G.C.C. and China’s One Belt, One Road: Risk or Opportunity? Retrieved January 2, 2017, from Middle East Institute: http://www.mei.edu/content/gcc-and-china-s-one-belt-one-road-risk-or-opportunity\nPetroff, A. (2017, May 12). Europe steps up its fight against cheap Chinese steel. Retrieved May 12, 2017, from CNN Money: http://money.cnn.com/2017/05/12/news/economy/china-steel-europe-dumping/\nPeyrouse, S. (2007). The Economic Aspects of the Chinese-Central Asia Rapprochement. Washington, D.C.: Central Asia-Caucasus Institute & Silk Road Studies Program.\nPieraccini, F. (2016, December 19). Geopolitics, Globalization and World Order. Retrieved from Strategic Culture Foundation: https://www.strategic-culture.org/news/2016/12/19/geopolitics-globalization-and-world-order.html\nPress Trust India. (2017, February 22). 21st maritime silk road: China-Pakistan economic corridor violates our sovereignty, India tells Beijing. Retrieved March 8, 2017, from Times of of India: http://timesofindia.indiatimes.com/india/china-pakistan-economic-corridor-violates-our-sovereignty-india-tells-beijing/articleshow/57295768.cms\nPriddle, R. (2000). China`s Worldwide Quest for Energy Security. Retrieved from International Energy Agency: http://www.iea.org/textbase/nppdf/free/2000/china2000.pdf\nPutz, C. (2015, July 14). Why Is India Hopeful About Iran and Central Asia? Retrieved September 24, 2015, from The Diplomat: http://thediplomat.com/2015/07/why-is-india-hopeful-about-iran-and-central-asia/\nPutz, C. (2016, May 24). China Pushes One Belt, One Road in Central Asia. Retrieved May 28, 2016, from The Diplomat: http://thediplomat.com/2016/05/china-pushes-one-belt-one-road-in-central-asia/\nPutz, C. (2016, March 10). China’s Silk Road Belt Outpaces Russia’s Economic Union. Retrieved May 1, 2016, from The Diplomat: http://thediplomat.com/2016/03/chinas-silk-road-belt-outpaces-russias-economic-union/\nQu, Q. (2015, February 11). 曲青山: "四個全面" 實現中國夢的戰略指引 (Qu Qingshan: "Sigequanmian" Shixian Zhongguomeng De Zhanluezhiyin, Qu Qingshan: "Four Comprehensives" As Strategic Guidance for the Chinese Dream). Retrieved August 18, 2016, from Chinese Communist Party News: http://theory.people.com.cn/n/2015/0211/c40531-26544431.html\nRadio Free Europe / Radio Liberty. (2017, May 15). Interview: Theresa Fallon On Understanding China`s One Belt, One Road Plan. Retrieved May 18, 2017, from Radio Free Europe / Radio Liberty: https://www.rferl.org/a/interrview-china-silk-road-theresa-fallon/28489793.html\nRamachandran, S. (2015, July 31). China-Pakistan Economic Corridor: Road to Riches? Retrieved August 19, 2015, from The Jamestown Foundation: http://www.jamestown.org/programs/chinabrief/single/?tx_ttnews[tt_news]=44233&cHash=ca403ad0c1bccb4a37fcbfb723d59029\nRemington, T. F. (2016, April 6). One belt, one road, one Eurasia. Retrieved April 27, 2016, from China Policy Institute: https://cpianalysis.org/2016/04/06/one-belt-one-road-one-eurasia/\nRoberts, D. (2016, September 9). China`s Supply Side Is a Far Cry From Reagan`s. Retrieved March 16, 2017, from Bloomberg Businessweek: https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2016-09-08/china-s-supply-side-is-a-far-cry-from-reagan-s\nRudolf, M. (2015, September 24). China’s ‘Silk Road’ Initiative Is at Risk of Failure. Retrieved September 26, 2015, from The Diplomat: http://thediplomat.com/2015/09/chinas-silk-road-initiative-is-at-risk-of-failure/\nRudolf, M. (2015, November). Infographic/China Mapping Silk Road Initiative. Retrieved December 8, 2015, from Mercator Institute for China Studies: http://www.merics.org/en/merics-analysis/infographicchina-mapping/china-mapping.html\nSajjanhar, A. (2016, June 3). 2 Years On, Has Modi`s `Act East` Policy Made a Difference for India? Retrieved September 20, 2016, from The Diplomat: http://thediplomat.com/2016/06/2-years-on-has-modis-act-east-policy-made-a-difference-for-india/\nSalidjanova, N., & Koch-Weser, I. (2015, March 17). China’s Economic Ties with ASEAN: A Country-by-Country Analysis. Retrieved November 26, 2016, from U.S.-China Economic and Security Review Commission: https://www.uscc.gov/sites/default/files/Research/China%27s%20Economic%20Ties%20with%20ASEAN.pdf\nShanghai Daily. (2014, April 10). Coke brings World Cup trophy to China . Retrieved August 20, 2015, from China.org.cn: http://www.china.org.cn/sports/2014-04/10/content_32051010.htm\nShen, S. (2016, February 6). How China`s `Belt and Road` Compares to the Marshall Plan. Retrieved April 4, 2016, from The Diplomat: http://thediplomat.com/2017/05/the-real-trouble-with-chinas-belt-and-road/\nShepard, W. (2016, July 26). An Inside Look At China And Kazakhstan`s `Absurd` Cross-Border Free Trade Zone. Retrieved November 29, 2016, from Forbes: https://www.forbes.com/sites/wadeshepard/2016/07/26/an-inside-look-at-icbc-khorgos-china-and-kazakhstans-cross-border-free-trade-zone/3/#764292351bcf\nShi, Y. (2013, May 23). 中国梦区别于美国梦的七大特征 (Zhongguomeng Qubieyu Meiguomeng Qidatezheng, The Seven Major Differences Between the Chinese Dream and the American Dream). Retrieved August 17, 2015, from People`s Daily Online: http://theory.people.com.cn/n/2013/0523/c49150-21583458.html\nShi, Y. (2013, May 23). 中國夢區別於美國夢的七大特徵 (Zhongguomeng Qubieyu Meiguomeng Qidatezheng, The Seven Major Differences Between the Chinese Dream and the American Dream). Retrieved August 17, 2015, from People`s Daily Online: http://theory.people.com.cn/n/2013/0523/c49150-21583458.html\nShi, Y. (2013, May 23). 中國夢區別於美國夢的七大特徵 (Zhongguomeng Qubieyu Meiguomeng Qidatezheng, The Seven Major Differences Between the Chinese Dream and the American Dream). Retrieved August 17, 2015, from People`s Daily Online: http://theory.people.com.cn/n/2013/0523/c49150-21583458.html\nShih, V. (2004, September 1). Development, the Second Time Around: The Political Logic of Developing Western China. Journal of East Asian Studies, 4(3), 427-451.\nSingh, A. I. (2015, June 3). Unequal Partners: China and Russia in Eurasia. Retrieved June 10, 2015, from The Diplomat: http://thediplomat.com/2015/06/unequal-partners-china-and-russia-in-eurasia/\nSohu Business. (2014, November 7). "馬歇尔計畫”添堵“一帶一路” (Maxieerjihua Tiandu Yidaiyilu, "Marshall Plan" Clogs "One Belt, One Road"). Retrieved July 14, 2015, from Sohu Business: http://business.sohu.com/20141107/n405854598.shtml\nSohu Business. (2014, November 7). "馬歇尔計畫”添堵“一帶一路” (Maxieerjihua Tiandu Yidaiyilu, "Marshall Plan" Clogs "One Belt, One Road"). Retrieved July 14, 2015, from Sohu Business: http://business.sohu.com/20141107/n405854598.shtml\nSohu Business. (2014, November 7). “马歇尔计划”添堵“一带一路” (Maxieerjihua Tiandu Yidaiyilu, "Marshall Plan" Clogs "One Belt, One Road"). Retrieved July 14, 2015, from Sohu Business: http://business.sohu.com/20141107/n405854598.shtml\nState Council of the People`s Republic of China. (2015, May 8). 國務院關於印發《中國製造2025》的通知 (Guowuyuan Guanyu Yinfa Zhongguozhizao 2025 De Tongzhi, A Notice from the State Council the Distribution of "Made in China 2025"). Retrieved November 26, 2015, from The State Council of the People`s Republic of China: http://www.gov.cn/zhengce/content/2015-05/19/content_9784.htm\nStratfor. (2003, May 12). New Chinese Government To Shift Away From `Go West` Policy? Retrieved April 20, 2016, from Stratfor: https://www.stratfor.com/analysis/new-chinese-government-shift-away-go-west-policy-0\nStratfor. (2012, March 25). The Geopolitics of China: A Great Power Enclosed - Stratfor Worldview. Retrieved April 14, 2016, from Stratfor Worldview: https://www.stratfor.com/analysis/geopolitics-china-great-power-enclosed\nTan, H. (2017, April 28). China`s One Belt, One Road project doesn`t guarantee market access: Steel exec. Retrieved April 29, 2017, from CNBC International: http://www.cnbc.com/2017/04/28/chinas-one-belt-one-road-project-doesnt-guarantee-market-access-steel-exec.html\nTang, D. (2013, September 7). Xi suggests China, C. Asia build Silk Road economic belt. Retrieved July 9, 2015, from Xinhuanet: http://news.xinhuanet.com/english/china/2013-09/07/c_132700695.htm\nTang, F. (2016, December 1). China’s bid to cut production overcapacity in heavy industries ‘losing steam’, survey suggests. Retrieved January 7, 2017, from South China Morning Post: http://www.scmp.com/news/china/economy/article/2050705/chinas-bid-cut-production-overcapacity-heavy-industries-losing\nTaplin, N., & Blanchard, B. (2016, October 3). China`s yuan joins elite club of IMF reserve currencies. Retrieved December 6, 2016, from Reuters: http://www.reuters.com/article/us-china-currency-imf-idUSKCN1212WC\nTata, S. (2017, January 14). Deconstructing China’s Energy Security Strategy. Retrieved February 3, 2017, from The Diplomat: http://thediplomat.com/2017/01/deconstructing-chinas-energy-security-strategy/\nTatlow, D. K. (2011, January 12). Nationalistic and Chasing the `Chinese Dream`. Retrieved August 14, 2015, from The New York Times: http://www.nytimes.com/2011/01/13/world/asia/13iht-letter13.html?pagewanted=all&_r=0&mtrref=undefined&gwh=3D5D916359EE56C885B1D01A80AA4C07&gwt=pay\nThe Diplomat. (2017, May 12). Belt and Road Attendees List. Retrieved May 20, 2017, from The Diplomat: http://thediplomat.com/2017/05/belt-and-road-attendees-list/\nThe Economist. (2013, May 4). Chasing the Chinese Dream. Retrieved August 10, 2015, from The Economist: http://www.economist.com/news/briefing/21577063-chinas-new-leader-has-been-quick-consolidate-his-power-what-does-he-now-want-his\nThe Economist. (2013, November 16). Every move you make. Retrieved July 13, 2015, from The Economist: http://www.economist.com/news/leaders/21589882-xi-jinping-has-made-himself-most-powerful-leader-deng-xiaoping-probably-good\nThe Economist. (2013, May 2). Xi Jinping and the Chinese dream. Retrieved August 5, 2015, from The Economist: http://www.economist.com/news/leaders/21577070-vision-chinas-new-president-should-serve-his-people-not-nationalist-state-xi-jinping\nThe Economist. (2015, March 12). Global Manufacturing: Made in China? Retrieved November 7, 2016, from The Economist: http://www.economist.com/news/leaders/21646204-asias-dominance-manufacturing-will-endure-will-make-development-harder-others-made\nThe Economist. (2016, October 1). Regional development: Rich province, poor province - The Economist. Retrieved November 23, 2016, from The Economist: http://www.economist.com/news/china/21707964-government-struggling-spread-wealth-more-evenly-rich-province-poor-province\nThe Economist Intelligence Unit. (2015). Prospects and challenges on China’s ‘one belt, one road’: a risk assessment report. The Economist Intelligence Unit.\nThe Times of Islamabad. (2017, February 3). Peshawar – Karachi Motorway to he completed by 2019: PM. Retrieved April 18, 2017, from The Times of Islamabad: http://timesofislamabad.com/peshawar-karachi-motorway-to-he-completed-by-2019-pm/2017/02/03/\nThe World Bank. (2017). Data | The World Bank. Retrieved May 2, 2017, from The World Bank: http://data.worldbank.org/\nTiezzi, S. (2014, May 9). China`s `New Silk Road` Vision Revealed. Retrieved June 12, 2015, from The Diplomat: http://thediplomat.com/2014/05/chinas-new-silk-road-vision-revealed/\nTiezzi, S. (2015, July 14). The Belt and Road: China`s Economic Lifeline? Retrieved July 16, 2015, from The Diplomat: http://thediplomat.com/2015/07/the-belt-and-road-chinas-economic-lifeline/\nTiezzi, S. (2015, February 13). Why 2020 Is a Make-or-Break Year for China. Retrieved August 12, 2015, from The Diplomat: http://thediplomat.com/2015/02/why-2020-is-a-make-or-break-year-for-china/\nTiezzi, S. (2017, May 16). What Did China Accomplish at the Belt and Road Forum? Retrieved May 17, 2017, from The Diplomat: http://thediplomat.com/2017/05/what-did-china-accomplish-at-the-belt-and-road-forum/\nTransparency International. (2016). Country Profiles. Retrieved January 4, 2016, from Transparency International: https://www.transparency.org/country/\nU.S. Energy Information Administration. (2014, November 10). World Oil Transit Chokepoints. Retrieved July 11, 2015, from U.S. Energy Information Administration: https://www.eia.gov/beta/international/regions-topics.cfm?RegionTopicID=WOTC\nU.S. Energy Information Administration. (2015, May 14). China - International - Analysis. Retrieved July 7, 2016, from U.S. Energy Information Administration: https://www.eia.gov/beta/international/analysis.cfm?iso=CHN\nWang, M. (2015, August 13). "一帶一路"倡議的國際制度基礎 ("Yidaiyilu" Changyi De Guojizhidu Jichu, The International Institution Foundation of the "One Belt and One Road" Initiative). Northeast Asia Forum(6), pp. 77-90.\nWang, S., & Luo, X. (2013). 国际体系转型与中国周边外交之变:从维稳到维权 (Guojitixi Zhuanxing Yu Zhongguo Zhoubianwaijiao Zhibian: Cong Weiwen Dao Weiquan, The Transformation of the International System and Changes to China`s Peripheral Diplomacy: From Maintaining Stability to Maintaining Rights). 現代國際關係(1), pp. 9-15.\nWang, S., & Luo, X. (2013). 國際體系轉型與中國周邊外交之變:從維穩到維權 (Guojitixi Zhuanxing Yu Zhongguo Zhoubianwaijiao Zhibian: Cong Weiwen Dao Weiquan, The Transformation of the International System and Changes to China`s Peripheral Diplomacy: From Maintaining Stability to Maintaining Rights). 現代國際關係(1), pp. 9-15.\nWang, S., & Luo, X. (2013). 國際體系轉型與中國周邊外交之變:從維穩到維權 (Guojitixi Zhuanxing Yu Zhongguo Zhoubianwaijiao Zhibian: Cong Weiwen Dao Weiquan, The Transformation of the International System and Changes to China`s Peripheral Diplomacy: From Maintaining Stability to Maintaining Rights). 現代國際關係(1), pp. 9-15.\nWang, X. (2016, May 16). Xi Jinping’s supply-side plan now the genuine article of economic reform for China. Retrieved June 1, 2016, from South China Morning Post: http://www.scmp.com/news/china/policies-politics/article/1945530/xi-jinpings-supply-side-plan-now-genuine-article\nWang, X. (2017, May 20). New Silk Road: Why China Should Be Wary of Overconfidence. Retrieved May 22, 2017, from South China Morning Post: http://www.scmp.com/week-asia/opinion/article/2094866/new-silk-road-why-china-should-be-wary-overconfidence\nWang, Z. (2013, September 20). The Chinese Dream From Mao to Xi. Retrieved March 18, 2016, from The Diplomat: http://thediplomat.com/2013/09/the-chinese-dream-from-mao-to-xi/\nWatson, S. (2017, May 24). Does India`s Chabahar Deal Make Sense? Retrieved May 26, 2017, from The Diplomat: http://thediplomat.com/2017/05/does-indias-chabahar-deal-make-sense/\nWei, S.-J., Xie, Z., & Zhang, X. (2017). From "Made in China" to "Innovated in China": Necessity, Prospect, and Challenges. Journal of Economic Prospectives, 31(1), pp. 49-70.\nWorstall, T. (2016, January 19). China`s Economic Growth Slows to 6.9%: But No One Actually Believes The Figures. Retrieved June 18, 2016, from Forbes: https://www.forbes.com/sites/timworstall/2016/01/19/chinas-economic-growth-slows-to-6-9-but-no-one-actually-believes-the-figures/#66e5189ca15f\nWu, J., & Zhang, Y. (2013, October 4). Xi in call for building of new `maritime silk road`. Retrieved July 6, 2015, from China Daily: http://usa.chinadaily.com.cn/china/2013-10/04/content_17008940.htm\nWu, S.-s. (2017, January 13). The Limits of China`s `Silk Road` to Europe. Retrieved January 17, 2017, from The Diplomat: http://thediplomat.com/2017/01/the-limits-of-chinas-silk-road-to-europe/\nWu, W. (2017, February 4). China upset at high US tariffs on steel imports. Retrieved February 17, 2017, from South China Morning Post: http://www.scmp.com/news/china/economy/article/2068103/china-upset-high-us-tariffs-steel-imports\nXie, P., Wang, Y., He, P., & Yuan, Z. (2014, May 8). 世界如何共贏?中國正在破題 (Shijieruhegongying Zhongguozhenzaipoti, How Can the World Be Win-Win? China is Answering the Question). Retrieved July 7, 2015, from Xinhua: http://news.xinhuanet.com/world/2014-05/08/c_1110604423.htm\nXie, P., Wang, Y., He, P., & Yuan, Z. (2014, May 8). 世界如何共贏?中國證再破題 (Shijieruhegongying Zhongguozhenzaipoti, How Can the World Be Win-Win? China is Answering the Question). Retrieved July 7, 2015, from Xinhua: http://news.xinhuanet.com/world/2014-05/08/c_1110604423.htm\nXie, P., Wang, Y., He, P., & Yuan, Z. (2014, May 8). 世界如何共赢?中国正在破题 (Shijieruhegongying Zhongguozhenzaipoti, How Can the World Be Win-Win? China is Answering the Question). Retrieved July 7, 2015, from Xinhua: http://news.xinhuanet.com/world/2014-05/08/c_1110604423.htm\nXinhua. (2012, November 8). China adds residents` per capita income into economic growth target. Retrieved August 17, 2015, from Xinhua: http://news.xinhuanet.com/english/special/18cpcnc/2012-11/08/c_131960352.htm\nXinhua. (2015, March 27). China, Kazakhstan sign 33 deals worth of 23.6 billion U.S. dollars. Retrieved April 2, 2015, from Xinhuanet: http://news.xinhuanet.com/english/2015-03/27/c_134104187.htm\nXinhua. (2017, February 6). China`s population to reach 1.42 billion by 2020. Retrieved April 4, 2017, from Xinhua: http://news.xinhuanet.com/english/2017-02/06/c_136035947.htm\nYale, W. (2015, April 22). China’s Maritime Silk Road Gamble. Retrieved July 10, 2015, from The Diplomat: http://thediplomat.com/2015/04/chinas-maritime-silk-road-gamble/\nYe, Z. (2007). 中國的和平發展:陸權的回歸與發展 (Zhongguo De Hepingfanzhan: Luquan De Huigui Yu Fazhan, China’s Peaceful Development: The Return and Development of the Continental Powers). 世界經濟與政治(2), pp. 23-31.\nYiu, E. (2016, September 30). China’s yuan set to become the only IMF reserve currency that isn’t fully convertible. Retrieved January 14, 2017, from South China Morning Post: http://www.scmp.com/business/investor-relations/article/2024014/chinas-yuan-set-become-only-imf-reserve-currency-isnt\nYousafzai, F. (2016, June 13). China to build mega oil pipeline from Gwadar to Kashgar. Retrieved January 4, 2016, from The Nation: http://nation.com.pk/national/13-Jun-2016/china-to-build-mega-oil-pipeline-from-gwadar-to-kashgar\nYurichuk, S. (2011, March). Bubbles and Monetary Policy: Can China Avert a Minsky Moment? The ISM Journal of International Business, 1(2), 2-24.\nZha, D. (2005, November). China`s Energy Security and Its International Relations. The China and Eurasia Forum Quarterly, 3(3), pp. 39-54.\nZhang, L. (2015, October). 有關"一帶一路"的幾個關鍵性問題. 理論研究(5), pp. 2-9.\nZhang, S., & Miller, M. (2017, May 15). Behind China`s Silk Road vision: cheap funds, heavy debt, growing risk. Retrieved May 15, 2017, from Reuters: http://www.reuters.com/article/us-china-silkroad-finance-idUSKCN18B0YS\nZhang, W. (2003, August). 論中國海權 (Lun Zhongguo Haiquan, On China`s Maritime Rights). 世界經濟與政治(10), pp. 8-14.\nZhang, W. (2012, July). 中國特色海權理論發展歷程綜述 (Zhongguotese Haiquanlilun Fazhanlicheng Zongshu, A General Review of the History of China`s Sea Power Theory Development). 人民論壇 學術前沿 Frontieres, pp. 28-35.\nZhao, G. B. (2017, May 7). How China’s belt and road ambitions can take flight – one win-win deal at a time. Retrieved May 7, 2017, from South China Morning Post: http://www.scmp.com/comment/insight-opinion/article/2093148/how-chinas-belt-and-road-ambitions-can-take-flight-one-win\nZhou, B. (2014, February 11). The String of Pearls and the Maritime Silk Road. Retrieved July 12, 2015, from China-US Focus: http://www.chinausfocus.com/foreign-policy/the-string-of-pearls-and-the-maritime-silk-road/
描述: 碩士
國立政治大學
國際研究英語碩士學位學程 (IMPIS)
102862002
資料來源: http://thesis.lib.nccu.edu.tw/record/#G0102862002
資料類型: thesis
Appears in Collections:學位論文

Files in This Item:
File SizeFormat
200201.pdf1.19 MBAdobe PDF2View/Open
Show full item record

Google ScholarTM

Check


Items in DSpace are protected by copyright, with all rights reserved, unless otherwise indicated.