Please use this identifier to cite or link to this item:
https://ah.lib.nccu.edu.tw/handle/140.119/117656| DC Field | Value | Language |
|---|---|---|
| dc.contributor.advisor | 吳柏林 | zh_TW |
| dc.contributor.advisor | Wu, Berlin | en_US |
| dc.contributor.author | 黃茂源 | zh_TW |
| dc.contributor.author | Huang, Mao Yuan | en_US |
| dc.creator | 黃茂源 | zh_TW |
| dc.creator | Huang, Mao Yuan | en_US |
| dc.date | 2018 | en_US |
| dc.date.accessioned | 2018-06-12T09:55:44Z | - |
| dc.date.available | 2018-06-12T09:55:44Z | - |
| dc.date.issued | 2018-06-12T09:55:44Z | - |
| dc.identifier | G0103751007 | en_US |
| dc.identifier.uri | http://nccur.lib.nccu.edu.tw/handle/140.119/117656 | - |
| dc.description | 碩士 | zh_TW |
| dc.description | 國立政治大學 | zh_TW |
| dc.description | 應用數學系 | zh_TW |
| dc.description | 103751007 | zh_TW |
| dc.description.abstract | 摘要\n研究動機與目的:在大數據的時代，為NBA籃球運彩迷們提供一些籃球數據的分析與模型，使其在購買台灣運彩時，能多些中獎的機率與樂趣。\n研究方法:透過相關係數、迴歸來進行NBA籃球數據分析。\n創新與推廣:相關係數與迴歸分析出來後，與NBA運彩應用結合，產生策略。\n結論:預測數據部分最為困難，必須找出策略搭配預測數據之方法。\n\n關鍵字: NBA運彩策略、迴歸、預測 | zh_TW |
| dc.description.abstract | Abstract\nMotivation and purpose of this study: In the era of big data, provide NBA basketball fans with some analysis and models of basketball data, so that they can win more chances and fun when purchasing Taiwan NBA lottery.\nMethod: NBA basketball data analysis is performed through correlation coefficient and regression.\nInnovation and promotion: After the correlation coefficient and regression analysis come out, it is combined with NBA lottery application to generate strategies.\nConclusion: The prediction data part is the most difficult and it is necessary to find out the method of strategy matching the prediction data.\n\nKeywords: NBA lottery strategy, Regression, Predicting | en_US |
| dc.description.tableofcontents | 目錄\n第一章 前言 1\n 1.1動機 1\n 1.2相關研究與文獻 2\n第二章 研究方法 3\n 2.1台灣NBA籃球運動彩卷基本名詞與玩法 3\n 2.2 NBA基本名詞介紹 4\n 2.3 NBA基本結構及賽制介紹 5\n 2.4相關係數與分組相關係數分析 6\n 2.5迴歸分析 11\n 2.6球隊得分的逼近分配估計 14\n 2.7 Regular season與playoff之預測結合買運彩策略 15\n第三章 實證 18\n 3.1相關係數與分組 18\n 3.2 迴歸分析與預測 18\n 3.3季後賽預測 20\n 3.4買運彩策略 25\n 3.5運彩玩法分析前後比較 26\n 3.6整合式資料處理 29\n第四章 結論與建議 31\n附錄一 32\n附錄二 36\n參考文獻 38 | zh_TW |
| dc.format.extent | 2327018 bytes | - |
| dc.format.mimetype | application/pdf | - |
| dc.source.uri | http://thesis.lib.nccu.edu.tw/record/#G0103751007 | en_US |
| dc.subject | NBA運彩策略 | zh_TW |
| dc.subject | 迴歸 | zh_TW |
| dc.subject | 預測 | zh_TW |
| dc.subject | NBA lottery strategy | en_US |
| dc.subject | Regression | en_US |
| dc.subject | Predicting | en_US |
| dc.title | NBA台灣運彩大數據分析與預測 | zh_TW |
| dc.title | Analyze the big data of Taiwan NBA lottery and predict it | en_US |
| dc.type | thesis | en_US |
| dc.relation.reference | 參考文獻\n英文期刊、論文:\nChan, N. H. and Tran, L. T. (1992). Nonparametric tests for serial dependence, J. Time Ser. Anal., 13, 19-28.\nEvan Heit and Paul C. Price and Gordon H. Bower(1994).A model for predicting the outcomes of basketball games, Applied cognitive psychology,8,621-639.\nEric Scot Jones,(2016) .Predic outcomes of NBA basketball games, Unpublished doctoral dissertation,North Dakota State University,Fargo,North Dakota.\nLanh Tat Tran and Berlin Wu,(1993). Order statistics for nonstationary time series, Ann. Inst. Statist. Math,45, 665-686.\nPham, D. T. and Tran, L. T. (1985). Some mixing properties of time series models, Stochastic Process. Appl., 19, 297-303.\nPham, D. T. (1986). The mixing property of bilinear and generalized random coefficient autore- gressive models, Stochastic Process. Appl., 23, 291-300.\n\n中文期刊、論文:\n王景南，(2002)。不對稱樣本的模糊迴歸分析與應用在籃球比賽攻防技術之應 用。中國統計學報，40，483-506。\n江支璋，(2011)。美國職籃NBA球隊排名變動性之研究。明新學報，37，101-110。\n林忠程、陳建勳、陳智明(2014)。2012-2013年NBA各隊讓分、大小盤口過關率之分析。嘉大體育健康休閒期刊，13，123-132。\n\n英文網路資料:\nBasketball Reference,Retrieved May,6,2018,from: https://www.basketball-reference.com/teams/DET/2016.html\nBasketball Reference,Retrieved May,6,2018,from: https://www.basketball-reference.com/teams/CLE/2016.html\n\n中文網路資料:\n台灣運動彩卷(民107年5月7日)。多倫多暴龍對上克里夫蘭騎士運彩玩法。民107年5月7日，取自: https://www.sportslottery.com.tw/zh/web/guest/sports-betting#m160731/next/s-442/c/t-4102,t-4104/278/1。\n陳楷(民105年6月22日)。NBA季後賽 台美收視創新高。中廣新聞網。民107年5月7日，取自: https://tw.news.yahoo.com/nba%E5%AD%A3%E5%BE%8C%E8%B3%BD-%E5%8F%B0%E7%BE%8E%E6%94%B6%E8%A6%96%E7%8E%87%E5%89%B5%E6%96%B0%E9%AB%98-052820381.html。\n陳楷(民106年6月14日)。NBA總冠軍平均收視率20年來最高。中廣新聞網。民107年5月7日，取自: https://news.cnyes.com/news/id/3837897。 | zh_TW |
| item.cerifentitytype | Publications | - |
| item.grantfulltext | restricted | - |
| item.openairetype | thesis | - |
| item.fulltext | With Fulltext | - |
| item.openairecristype | http://purl.org/coar/resource_type/c_46ec | - |
| Appears in Collections: | 學位論文 | |
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| File | Size | Format | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 100701.pdf | 2.27 MB | Adobe PDF2 | View/Open |
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