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題名: | The effects of Mega-Regional Trade Agreements in Vietnam | 作者: | Kikuchi, Tomoo;Yanagida, Kensuke;Vo, Huong 武梅香 Vo, Huong |
貢獻者: | 亞太博一 | 關鍵詞: | Vietnam`s economy; Mega-Regional Trade Agreement; Computable general equilibrium model; Structural change; Middle income trap | 日期: | 四月-2018 | 上傳時間: | 8-十月-2018 | 摘要: | While most studies conclude that Vietnam would have benefited greatly from the now suspended Trans-Pacific Partnership, the country nevertheless stands to gain from participation in other still promising regional frameworks, including the EU-Vietnam Free Trade Agreement, the Comprehensive and Progressive Agreement for Trans-Pacific Partnership, the Regional Comprehensive Economic Partnership, and the Free Trade Area of the Asia-Pacific. This paper analyzes how Vietnam`s economy is likely to be affected by these regional frameworks. We apply a static CGE model, incorporating the effects of capital accumulation, labor supply changes, and productivity growth stemming from trade liberalization. We also analyze “middle income trap” scenarios, in which Vietnam`s growth factors fall below the full-potential level and draw policy implications. | 關聯: | Journal of Asian Economics, Volume 55, Pages 4-19 | 資料類型: | article | DOI: | https://doi.org/10.1016/j.asieco.2017.12.005 |
Appears in Collections: | 期刊論文 |
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