臺灣閒置空間與執政黨連任得票率關係研究－以2004和2012總統選舉為例

Abstract

本文研究目的在檢討基礎設施公共投資成為閒置空間成因和公共投資與總統選舉得票率關係。研究應用結構化理論，篩選公共工程委員會閒置空間資料440筆，取用政府開放資訊經社屬性資料。使用空間分析方法建立2004年，2012年二次總統選舉得票率解釋模型進行分析。研究發現，公共投資與總統選舉得票率關係顯著且為正向關係。依照結構化理論解釋，在分配政治下，公共投資成為剪綵政治媒介與盲目投資。選舉政治考量優於市場評估，選舉動員「儀式」和消耗預算制度慣性，解釋閒置空間成因所在。亟待建立專業理性評估 ; 社區參與 ; 資訊揭露 ; 公共監督與課責機制，改善選舉政治干預公共投資現象。

This study aims to review the causes of infrastructure becoming an idle space and the relationship between public investment and the voting rate in presidential elections. The research applied structuration theory as an analysis framework, and screened 440 items of idle space data of the Public Works Committee, and used the socio-economic statistical data of the important indicators of the Open Data in Government networks. The spatial analysis method is used to establish the vote-rate model in 2004 and 2012 for analysis. The research results show that there is a significant and positive relationship between public investment and vote rate in presidential campaigns. According to the structuration theoretical explanation, under distribution politics, public investment has become a form of ribbon-cutting media and blind investment. Electoral political considerations are better than market assessments. The ＂ritual＂ of election mobilization and the habitus of the system that consumes budgets explain the cause of idle space. There is an urgent need to establish professional rational assessment, community participation, information disclosure, public supervision, and accountability mechanisms to improve the phenomenon of political interference in elections and public investment.