我國大陸政策下之外交發展：2008-2022年

Abstract

中國大陸在改革開放後，迅速崛起，在全球經濟、政治、軍事以及科技方面都迅速成長，軍事方面亦不斷與時俱進，在國際間之影響力也隨之水漲船高。我國與中國大陸之兩岸議題自1949年國民政府遷臺以來，歷經了時分時合的複雜關係，隨著中國大陸在國際間的地位提升，如今兩岸議題也成了影響國際情勢之關鍵之一。然而，原獨佔鰲頭的美國也感受到了龐大的威脅，自歐巴馬政府時期便提出了重返亞洲，之後的川普總統更是和中國打起了貿易戰，現今的拜登政府在對臺軍售上更是大張旗鼓；兩岸關係幾乎到達了臨界點，衝突一觸即發的言論頻傳，烏俄戰爭的悲劇是否會因此站次上演，兩岸關係過往曾有過和睦共榮的盛況，我們如何能複製成功的經驗，共創人民美好的將來呢？\r\n本研究旨在探究近期兩任不同政黨之領導人大陸政策對我國外交發展之影響，從中理解兩岸關係和諧與衝突之差異，藉此作以比較分析；並有三點研究目的：第一，分析馬政府時期我國大陸政策及兩岸外交發展。第二，分析蔡政府時期我國大陸政策及兩岸外交發展。第三，比較兩位不同領導人之兩岸政策對我國外交發展影響。\r\n以馬政府時期我國外交發展而言，我國外交可說是進入巔峰期，在兩岸和平活絡發展之狀況下，陸客來臺人數達到史上最高，更促成了有史以來首次兩岸最高領導人會談；外交方面8年內僅失去了一個邦交國，還增加了高達110免簽國家。以兩位領導人任內邦交國數量變化、和非邦交大國互動以及國際參與情形進行比較，期許能找尋下一個類「九二共識」，避免緊張情勢持續惡化。

After the reform and opening up, China has risen rapidly, and has grown rapidly in terms of global economy, politics, military, and technology. The military has also kept pace with the times, and its international influence has also increased accordingly. After the Ukrainian-Russian War broke out in 2022, for many people, the war is no longer just a historical story, but a living example happening right before their eyes. The cross-strait issue between our country and the mainland has experienced a complex relationship between time and time since the Nationalist government moved to Taiwan in 1949. With the rise of China`s international status, the cross-strait issue has become one of the keys to the international situation. However, the former leader of the United States has also felt a huge threat. Since the Obama administration, it has proposed to return to Asia. Afterwards, President Trump has started a trade war with China. The current Biden administration is supporting the Taiwan military. The sales of weapons are even more fanfare; cross-strait relations have almost reached a critical point, and there are frequent rumors that conflicts are imminent. Will the tragedy of the Ukrainian-Russian War be staged again because of this? Cross-strait relations have had a grand occasion of harmony and prosperity in the past. Experience, how about creating a better future for the people?\r\n\r\nThe purpose of this study is to explore the influence of the recent two leaders of different political parties on the mainland policy on the development of my country`s diplomacy, to understand the differences between the harmony and conflict of cross-strait relations, and to make a comparative analysis; and there are three research purposes: first, to analyze my country`s mainland policy and the development of cross-strait diplomacy during the Ma government. Second, analyze my country`s mainland policy and the development of cross-strait diplomacy during the Tsai administration. Third, compare the influence of two different leaders` cross-strait policies on the development of my country`s diplomacy.\r\n\r\nIn terms of the development of our country’s diplomacy during the period of the Ma government, it can be said that our country’s diplomacy has entered a peak period. With the peaceful and dynamic development of the two sides of the strait, the number of tourists from mainland China has reached the highest level in history, and it has also led to the first ever meeting between the top leaders of the two sides of the strait; diplomacy On the one hand, only one country with diplomatic relations has been lost in 8 years, and up to 110 visa-free countries have been added. By comparing the changes in the number of diplomatic relations between the two leaders, their interactions with non-diplomatic powers, and their international participation during their term of office, it is hoped that they can find the next \"1992 Consensus\" and avoid the continued deterioration of tensions.