Please use this identifier to cite or link to this item: https://ah.lib.nccu.edu.tw/handle/140.119/33640
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dc.contributor.advisor林永芳zh_TW
dc.contributor.author李孟遠zh_TW
dc.creator李孟遠zh_TW
dc.date2005en_US
dc.date.accessioned2009-09-17T09:45:43Z-
dc.date.available2009-09-17T09:45:43Z-
dc.date.issued2009-09-17T09:45:43Z-
dc.identifierG0922630061en_US
dc.identifier.urihttps://nccur.lib.nccu.edu.tw/handle/140.119/33640-
dc.description碩士zh_TW
dc.description國立政治大學zh_TW
dc.description俄羅斯研究所zh_TW
dc.description92263006zh_TW
dc.description94zh_TW
dc.description.abstract由於蘇聯解體所導致的核擴散,這個世界比起過去更加危險。新的安全威脅源自於俄羅斯核物質、武器與科學家的擴散。另一方面,俄羅斯軍事力量的下降導致俄羅斯提高了核武器在未來戰爭中的作用。俄羅斯國家安全構想與軍事學說的轉變可能升高核戰爭的可能性。在本文中,筆者將探討由俄羅斯所引起的核擴散風險。zh_TW
dc.description.abstractBecause of the nuclear proliferation caused by the collapse of USSR, the world is more insecurity than before. The new security threat comes from the spread of Russian nuclear materials, weapons and scientists. On the other hand, the decline of Russian military leads Russia to pay much attention on the use of nuclear weapon in the future warfare. The change of the Russian national security concept and military doctrine may raise the possibility of nuclear war. In the paper, author will study the risk of nuclear proliferation caused by Russia.en_US
dc.description.tableofcontents第一章 緒論...1\n第一節 研究動機與研究目的...1\n一、 研究動機...1\n二、 研究目的...3\n第二節 研究範圍、方法與限制...3\n一、 研究範圍...3\n二、 研究方法...4\n三、 研究限制...5\n第三節 核不擴散研究的概念界定...6\n一、 不擴散與核不擴散...6\n二、 核不擴散建制...6\n三、 核武器...8\n四、 核武擴散...10\n五、 裁軍與軍備控制...10\n六、 不率先使用核武器...11\n第四節 文獻述評...12\n一、 核不擴散的研究理論...12\n二、 核不擴散的分析層次...17\n三、 核不擴散的研究成果...20\n第五節 章節安排...35\n\n第二章 俄羅斯核不擴散的發展歷程...38\n第一節 核不擴散建制的發展與挑戰...38\n一、 《核不擴散條約》的問題與前景...39\n二、 俄羅斯對於核不擴散的立場...48\n第二節 俄羅斯核擴散問題的初步解決...52\n一、 蘇聯核武遺產的爭奪...52\n二、 美國介入前蘇聯核武問題...54\n三、 烏克蘭核武危機...57\n第三節 俄羅斯的核擴散、安全與管理...64\n一、 核武器的安全問題...64\n二、 減少威脅合作計畫...72\n三、 原能部角色之探討...87\n第四節 小結...92\n\n第三章 俄羅斯的核裁軍與國家安全...94\n第一節 俄羅斯核裁軍的發展歷程...94\n一、 核裁軍與軍備控制...96\n二、 《第二階段戰略武器裁減條約》的簽署與廢止...101\n三、 美國退出《反彈道飛彈條約》及其影響...108\n四、 俄美簽訂《戰略進攻武器裁減條約》...115\n第二節 俄羅斯安全觀的轉變...125\n一、 《俄羅斯聯邦國家安全構想》與《俄羅斯聯邦軍事學說》...127\n二、 911事件後俄羅斯核戰略的轉變...133\n第三節 小結...137\n\n第四章 俄羅斯對外關係中的核不擴散...139\n第一節 911後俄美關係的新變化...139\n一、 911之前的俄美關係...139\n二、 911之後的俄美關係...145\n第二節 北韓核武危機與俄羅斯的角色...150\n一、 北韓核武危機的發展歷程...150\n二、 俄羅斯朝鮮半島政策的轉變...159\n第三節 伊朗核武危機與俄羅斯的角色...166\n一、 伊朗核武危機的發展歷程...166\n二、 俄羅斯對伊朗的政策選擇...172\n第四節 小結...177\n\n第五章 結論...180\n\n附錄...188\n 附錄一:《核不擴散條約》...188\n 附錄二:《俄羅斯聯邦國家安全構想》...194\n 附錄三:《俄羅斯聯邦軍事學說》...214\n 附錄四:《俄羅斯聯邦防止大規模毀滅性武器及其載具擴散國家政策 \n 之基本理論》...240\n 附錄五:《別洛韋日協定》...255\n 附錄六:《阿拉木圖宣言》...259\n 附錄七:《戰略進攻武器裁減條約》...261\n\n參考書目...263\n\n圖 表\n\n圖1.1 俄羅斯當前積極部署的新一代洲際彈道飛彈載具...10\n圖2.1 2005年全球大規模毀滅性武器擴散狀態...48\n圖2.2 前蘇聯洲際彈道飛彈類型...59\n圖2.3 1979年蘇聯早期預警暨飛彈防禦雷達可運作的範圍...71\n圖2.4 庫爾斯克號沉船位置...72\n圖2.5 俄羅斯核設施分布圖...73\n圖2.6 減少威脅合作計畫每一會計年度預算分配圖...86\n圖2.7 減少威脅合作計畫資金來源與運用分配示意圖...86\n圖3.1 分導式多彈頭彈道飛彈與運作示意圖...103\n圖3.2 蘇聯戰略核力量組成分配比例(截至1989年)...104\n圖4.1 赫姆茲海峽...176\n表2.1 俄羅斯戰略核武器裁減進度(截至2005年6月6日)...80\n表3.1 世界核武器儲量...96\n表3.2 1992-2002年俄羅斯軍事預算概況...107\n表3.3 美蘇(俄)間主要的戰略武器裁減協定...123\n表3.4 2006年俄羅斯核力量組成...124\n表4.1 北韓核問題事件年表...153zh_TW
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dc.language.isoen_US-
dc.source.urihttp://thesis.lib.nccu.edu.tw/record/#G0922630061en_US
dc.subject國家安全zh_TW
dc.subject核不擴散條約zh_TW
dc.subject核擴散zh_TW
dc.subject核武器zh_TW
dc.subject俄羅斯zh_TW
dc.subjectNational Securityen_US
dc.subjectNuclear Nonprolideration Treaty (NPT)en_US
dc.subjectNuclear Proliferationen_US
dc.subjectNuclear Weaponen_US
dc.subjectRussiaen_US
dc.title俄羅斯核不擴散之研究zh_TW
dc.titleA Study of Russian Nuclear Nonproliferationen_US
dc.typethesisen
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