Please use this identifier to cite or link to this item: https://ah.lib.nccu.edu.tw/handle/140.119/37026
題名: 普丁時期俄羅斯與東南亞關係之研究
A Study of Russian-Southeast Asian Relations in the Putin era
作者: 沈彩雲
Sam,Choy Yuen
貢獻者: 林永芳
Lin,Yung Fang
沈彩雲
Sam,Choy Yuen
關鍵詞: 普丁
俄羅斯
東南亞
東協
地緣經濟
Putin
Russia
Southeast Asia
ASEAN
Geoeconomics
日期: 2006
上傳時間: 18-Sep-2009
摘要: 冷戰時期,蘇聯對印度支那半島政策的變化,是東南亞地區穩定的重要變數之一。蘇聯解體後,俄羅斯聯邦獨立,並且繼承原蘇聯所有的國際義務與權力。問題在於,在當代東南亞多元權力互動的格局中,俄羅斯在其間扮演何種角色?普丁政府在面臨國內外局勢變化之下,能否恢復俄羅斯(前蘇聯)在東南亞的國際政治利益?\n 本文試圖透過地緣經濟分析途徑,來觀察冷戰後俄羅斯在普丁時期對東南亞政策之形成背景、主要內涵,以及互動關係。本文認為,隨著冷戰終結和亞太國際局勢之變化,亞太地區主要政治力量都在調整自身的政治、經濟、外交和安全戰略。為了保障區域安全、和平與穩定,東南亞國家加速東協整合及擴大的腳步,期望在政經及安全問題方面達成共識,並力求獲得區域事務的主導權和影響力。俄羅斯與東南亞諸國發展關係在於保障國家經濟利益的實現,進而追求在亞太地區中取得優勢地位,最終完成大國地位的目標。\n 首先,本文探討自蘇聯解體後俄羅斯獨立以來,俄羅斯外交思想、地緣戰略思想之演變與俄羅斯亞太政策的關係。同時,回顧蘇聯最後一任領導人戈巴契夫、俄羅斯前任總統葉爾欽及現任總統普丁亞太政策的變遷重點,旨在檢視俄羅斯對東南亞政策的歷史脈絡時,有比較清晰的政策變動觀點以供分析。\n 其次,本文討論俄羅斯(包括前蘇聯)與東南亞主要國家的雙邊關係,而以政治、經濟、軍事及文化等面向為分析層次,依次觀察和分析雙邊關係所呈現的特色和問題。研究分成俄羅斯與傳統邦交國和俄羅斯與美國盟國兩部份,分析雙邊關係合作的原因、過程、變動和影響。\n 最後,藉由回顧前蘇聯與東協關係的發展歷程,探討俄羅斯與東協國家之多邊政治對話、經貿及軍事關係,主要目的在瞭解普丁政府對東南亞地區各國間多邊關係之態度、立場及政策。
During the cold war, Soviet involvement in Indochina Peninsula was one of the crucial factors which affected the political stability in Southeast Asia. After the disintegration of the Soviet Union, the Russian Federation gained independence and inherited all the privileges and obligations of the former Soviet Union in the international arena, but the situation in Indochina and Southeast Asia has changed a great deal. What role does Russia play in this important geopolitical region? Given the new domestic and international realities, will the Putin government regain the political interests and influence which the former Soviet Union once possessed in this region?\n\nThrough geo-economic analysis, this thesis tries to explore the main contents of the Putin government`s policy toward Southeast Asia, its formation background and the establishment of multi-lateral relationship with the major countries in this area. We observe that, with the end of the Cold War, and facing a different international situation, all the major political entities in SE Asia are making adjustments on the political and economic fronts, as well as in foreign and security policies. For the sake of regional security and stability, SE Asia countries have accelerated the expansion and integration of the ASEAN organization to secure its leadership in the regional affairs. From the Russian point of view, economy is no doubt a major factor which influences it policy formation in recent years. Starting from the pursuit of national economic interests, Russia also hopes to regain the status of a major player in this region, as the former Soviet Union once had.\n\nTo start with, we study the evolution of Russian foreign policy and geopolitical thoughts and its relation to Russia`s Asian Pacific policy. Also, we review the changes in the Asian pacific policies during the years of Gorbachov, Yeltsin, and Putin. The aim is to gain a clearer view of the factors which affected the making of the policies.\n\nSecondly, we discuss the bilateral relationships between the major countries of SE Asia and Russia (and also the former Soviet Union), which include political, economic, military, and cultural aspects. We try to extract the special features and problems in these bilateral relationships. This studies is divided into two parts, one includes countries which were traditional allies of the former Soviet Union, while the other includes countries which belonged to the opposite camp - aligned with the USA. We study the major driving factors and the historical steps which resulted in the establishment of full bilateral cooperation between Russia and various SE Asian countries.\n\nFinally, after a review of the relationship between the former Soviet Union and ASEAN, we investigate Russia`s establishment of multi-lateral dialogue with ASEAN countries on political, economic, and military fronts. The aim is to understand the motive and policy of the Putin government in the area of multi-national cooperation in SE Asia.
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貳、西文部分
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二、專書:
Leszek Buszynski, “Gorbachev and Southeast Asia: Prospects for the 1990s”, in Ross Babbage, The Soviets in the Pacific in the 1990s (Australia: Brassey’s Australia, 1989), pp. 91-112.
Gennady Chufrin, Mark Hong & Teo Kah Beng, ASEAN – Russia Relations (Singapore: ISEAS Publications, 2006), pp.1-93.
Robert H. Donaldson & Joseph. Nogee, The Foreign Policy of Russia - changing systems, enduring interests, 3rd edition (New York: M.E. Sharpe, Inc., 2005), pp.3-16 and pp.342-350.
Mark Hong, “Russia-Singapore Relations: Thirty-seven Years of Cooperation and Dialogue”, in Gennady Chufrin, Mark Hong & Teo Kah Beng, ASEAN – Russia Relations, (Singapore: ISEAS Publications, 2006), pp.65-69.
Igor S. Ivanov, The New Russian Diplomacy (Washington: The Nixon Center and Brookings Institution Press, 2002), pp.1-194.
Margot Light, “Foreign Policy”, in Stephen White, Zvi Gitelman and Richard Sakwa, Development in Russian Politics 6 (Durham: Duke University Press, 2005), pp.221-240.
K.S. Nathan, “The Russian Presence in Regional Security”, in Watanabe Koji, Engaging Russia in Asia Pacific, (New York: Japan Center for International Exchange, Inc., 1999), pp.112-124.
Vladimir Rakhmanin, “Soviet and Russian Policy towards Southeast Asia (1986-93)”, in David Wurfel and Bruce Burton, Southeast Asia in the New World Order (New York: St. Martin’s Press, 1996), pp.128-141.
Victor Sumsky, “Russia and ASEAN: emerging partnership in the 1990s and the security of South-East Asia”, in Gennady Chufrin, Russia and Asia-The Emerging Security Agenda (New York: Oxford University Press Inc., 1999), pp.411-426.
Leo Suryadinata, “Indonesia-Russia Relations: The Jakarta Perspective”, in Gennady Chufrin, Mark Hong & Teo Kah Beng , ASEAN – Russia Relations, (Singapore: ISEAS Publications, 2006), pp.28-38.
Donald S. Zagoria & Sheldon W. Simon, “Soviet Policy in Southeast Asia”, in Donald S. Zagoria, Soviet Policy in East Asia (New York: The Council on Foreign Relation, Inc., 1982), pp.153-173.
三、期刊:
Tsuneo Akaha, “Russia and Asia in 1995: Bold Objectives and Limited Means”, Asian Survey, Vol. 36, No .1 (Jan., 1996), pp.100-108.
Thelma L. Beltran, “The Evolution of Philippine-Soviet Diplomatic and Trade Relations”, Contemporary Southeast Asia, Vol. 10, No. 2, (1988), pp. 144-154.
Susanne Birgerson, “The Evolution of Soviet Foreign Policy in Southeast Asia: Implication for Russian Foreign Policy”, Asian Affairs: American Review 23, 4 (1997), pp. 212-234.
Leszek Buszynski, “Russia and Southeast Asia: A New Relationship”, Contemporary Southeast Asia, Vol.28, No.2 (2006), pp. 276-296.
Paul Chambers, “U.S.-Thai Relations after 9/11: A New Era in Cooperation?”, Contemporary Southeast Asia, Vol. 26, No. 3 (2004), p. 461.
Gennady Chufrin, “The USSR and Asia-Pacific in 1990”, Asian Survey, Vol. 31, No. 1 (1991), pp.14-20.
Robert A. Manning, “Asian Policy – the new Soviet Challenge in the Pacific”, Priority Press Pub. (N.Y: 1988), pp. 72-74.
James Clay Moltz, “Russia in Asia in 1996”, Asian Survey, Vol. 37, No. 1 (1994), p. 89.
K.S. Nathan, “Malaysia and the Soviet Union: A Relationship with a Distance”, Asia Survey, Vol. 27, No. 10 (1987), pp. 1059-1073.
Boris Rybak, “Russia completes MiG-29 export deal”, Aviation Week & Space Technology (New York), Vol.141, Iss.6, (1994), p. 28.
Karen A. Snow, “Russia Commercial Shipping and Singapore, 1905-1916”, Journal of Southeast Asia Studies, Vol. 29, No. 1 (1998), p. 44.
Ian Storey and Carlyle A. Thayer, “Cam Ranh Bay: Past Imperfect, Future Conditional” Contemporary Southeast Asia, Vol. 23, No. 3 (2001), pp. 452-73.
A. Tatarinov, “30 Years of Diplomatic Relations with the Philippines”, International Affairs, pp. 170-174.
Pushpa Thambipillai, “Southeast Asia, Russia and the Ex-Soviet Republics: Expanding the links”, Contemporary Southeast Asia, Vol. 16, No. 1 (1994), p. 101.
Dmitry Vasiliev, “Russian Arms trade with Southeast Asia and the Republic of Korea,” Moscow Defense Brief, 2005, http://mdb.cast.ru/mdb/1-2005/at/russian_arms/?form=print, p.15-19.
Michael C. Williams, “New Soviet Policy toward Southeast Asia: Reorientation and Change”, Asian Survey, Vol. 31, No. 4 (1991), p. 371.
Anonymous, “Rutskoi to visit Far East”, East European Markets (London), Vol.13, Iss. 4 (1993), p. 2.
“Vietnam: VN President visits Russia,” Vietnam Economic News, Hanoi (1988), p.1.
四、網路新聞:
Bill Guerin, “Indonesia-Russia: Arms, atoms and oil”, Asia Times Online, Dec.12, 2006, http://www.atimes.com/.
Federico Bordonaro, “Russia’s new Vietnamese courtship”, Asia Times Online, September 30, 2006, http://www.atimes.com/atimes/Central_Asia/H130Ag01.html.
John Ward, “Indonesia makes a small but significant purchase in Moscow”, May 15, 2003, http://www.wsws.org/.
Nande Khin, “Russia aiming to boost bilateral trade to US$5b”, The Business Time, http://www.iesingapore.gov.sg/.
“1st Large-scale business mission from Russia visits RP”, Press Release, March 3, 2007, http://www.phil-embassy.ru/english/pr/embassy_pr2007iii03.shtml.
“Ascott MOU with Amtel is latest in the list of recent successes”, February 7, 2007, http:// www.iesingapore.gov.sg/.
“ASEAN – Russia Dialogue”, May 29, 2006, http://russia.shaps.hawaii.edu/fp/asean/russia-asean.html,
“ASEAN, Russia Cooperation To Ensure Stable Oil Supply”, The Office of the Prime Minister of Malaysia, May 15, 2007, http://www.pmo.gov.my/.
“Dialogue with Indonesian citizens in Moscow- It is good if we cooperate with Russia”, Nov. 30,2006, http://www.indonesia.go.id/.
“Economies of Russia and Vietnam complement each other, says PM”, Vietnam Economic Times, Feb. 16, 2006, http://www.vneconomy.vn/.
“Engaging Russia reaches all time high”, IE Singapore Press Release, March 6, 2007, http://www.iesingapore.gov.sg.
“Engaging Russia reaches all time high”, March 6, 2007, p.67, http://www.iesingapore.gov.sg/.
“Exhibition – Russian Universities in XXI Century”, Press Release, May 2, 2007, http://www.malaysia.mid.ru/press2007/e_09.html.
“Exporting to Russia made easier”, April 1, 1998, http://www.spring.gov.sg/newsarchive/news/releases/98_04_01.html.
“Full-fledged office in Moscow by May 06, said IE Singapore”, IE Singapore Press Release, March 20, 2006, http://www.iesingapore.gov.sg/.
“Indonesia and Russia agree to establish military technical cooperation commission”, Official Website of Radio Republic, Indonesia, Sept. 27, 2005, http://rri-online.com/.
“Leaders congratulate 55th anniversary of Vietnam-Russia diplomatic ties”, Foreign Affairs News from the Ministry of Foreign Affairs of Vietnam, February 1, 2005, http://www.mofa.gov.vn/.
“Malaysia announces first astronaut”, Manila Online News, Sept.6, 2006, http://www.manilatimes.net/.
“Mr. Lim Hng Kiang at the Russia-Singapore Business Forum,” http://app.mti.gov.sg/.
“Mr. Lim Hng Kiang at the Russia-Singapore Business Forum,” Newsroom of Ministry of Trade & Industry, March 6, 2007, http://app.mti.gov.sg/.
“New chapter of Thai-Russian relations”, Press release from the Government Public Relations Dept, Dec. 2, 2005, http://thailand.prd.go.th/the_inside_view.php?id=1098.
“Philippines foreign minister ends successful visit to Russia”, Press Release, October 15, 2005, http://www.phil-embassy.ru/english/pr/embassy_pr2005x15.shtml.
“Philippines to hosts 4th RP-Russia political consultations”, Press Release from the Dept. of Foreign Affairs of RP, October 19, 2006, http://www.dfa.gov.ph/news/pr/pr2006/oct/pr834.html.
“Philippines, Russia agrees over energy cooperation benefits”, Press Release, October 14, 2005, http://www.phil-embassy.ru/english/pr/embassy_pr2005x14.shtml.
“Philippines, Russia foreign ministers hold talks in Moscow”, Press Release, October 14, 2005, http://www.phil-embassy.ru/english/pr/embassy_pr2005x14a.shtml.
“RP, Russia signed tourism agreement”, Press Release, March 20, 2006, http://www.phil-embassy.ru/english/pr/embassy_pr2006iii20.shtml.
“Russia and Singapore agree to enhance defense relations”, http://mindef.gov.sg.
“Russia may supply gas to Singapore”, Rosbusiness Consulting, August 15, 2006, http://www.rbcnews.com/free/20060815155500.shtml.
“Russia signs up to ASEAN’s friendship treaty”, BBC Monitoring Former Soviet Union, Nov. 29, 2004, downloaded from http://proquest.umi.com/
“Russia to boost anti-terror cooperation with Islamic nations”, People’s Daily Online, July 2, 2005, http://english.people.com.cn/200507/02/eng20050702_192686.html.
“Russia to send 11 MPs to 112th IPU Assembly in Manila”, Press Release from the Embassy of the Philippines in the Russian Federation, March 3, 2005, http://www.phil-embassy.ru/english/pr/embassy_pr2005iii03.shtml.
“Russia, ASEAN sign Economic Agreement Ahead of Summit”, MosNews, Dec.10, 2005, http://www.mosnews.com/news/2005/12/10/russasean.shtml.
“Russia, Thailand agree on Russian debt”, Pravda News, Oct. 21, 2003, http://newsfromrussia.com/world/2003/10/21/50669.html
“Russia, Thailand lift Travel Visas for their tourists world”, Bernama News, March 24, 2007, http://www.bernama.com/bernama/v3/php?id=253071.
“Russia, Thailand sign agreement on energy cooperation”, Russia Investment Company, Nov. 18, 2005, http://finam.blogspot.com/20051101finam archive.html.
“Russian, Thai Premiers to discuss future of bilateral relations”, Pravda news, Oct. 17, 2002, http://newsfromrussia.com/diplimatic/2002/10/17/38273.html.
“Russia`s Transaero Airlines to operate direct flights to Malaysia”, Airline Industry Information, Nov.15, 2006, http://www.allbusiness.com/operations/shipping-air-freight/3953760-1.html.
“Russia-Thai Trade Turnover to reach US$5 billion by 2010”, Bernama news, Nov.30, 2005, http://www.bernama.com/bernama/v3/news-lite.php?id=167653.
“Statement on the occasion of the establishment of Russia-Malaysia Business Council”, Press Release, http://www.malaysia.mid.ru/press/20030303_e.html.
“Thailand offers chickens for arms”, BBC News, Sept.3, 2004, http://news.bbc.co.uk/go/pr/fr/-/2/hi/asia-pacific/36240146.stm.
“Thailand’s Day open in St. Petersburg”, Pravda News, Aug. 26, 2003, http://newsfromrussia.com/science/2003/08/26/49560.html.
“The Russia-Indonesia business forum was held at the Russian World Trade Center in Moscow”, RF CCI News, http://eng.tpprf.ru/ru/main/news/index.shtml.
“Vladimir Putin to visit Malaysia”, Pravda Online News, March 16, 2003, http://newsfromrussia.com/world/2003/08/04/49045.html
“Walking up in Russia to the aroma of Singapore’s prata- IE Singapore leads maritime services, food, oil and gas mission to Russia in conjunction with visit by Foreign Affairs Minister”, IE Singapore Press Release, Sep. 6, 2002, http://www.iesingapore.gov.sg/.
“Russia, Indonesia to Build Rocket-Launching Pad on Remote Island”, Mosnews, Feb. 14, 2006, http://www.mosnews.com/.
“Russia, Thailand agree on Russian debt”, Pravda News, Oct. 21, 2003, http://newsfromrussia.com/world/2003/10/21/50669.html
“Russia, Thailand lift Travel Visas for their tourists world”, Bernama News, March 24, 2007, http://www.bernama.com/bernama/v3/php?id=253071.
“Russia, Thailand sign agreement on energy cooperation”, Russia Investment Company, Nov. 18, 2005, http://finam.blogspot.com/20051101finam archive.html.
“Russian Medical Tourists are off to Singapore for Traditional Chinese Medicine (TCM)”, August 1, 2006, http://www.medical-tourist-alert.com/.
“SBF leads Business Mission to Russia Republic”, SBF Pressroom, September 15, 2005, http//www.sbf.org.sg/.
“Singapore Airlines launches flights to Moscow”, March 1, 2006, http://www.asiatraveltips.com/.
“Singapore to help Russia set up Special Economic Zones”, Russoft News, August 20, 2006, http://www.russoft.org/.
“Singapore to send business delegation to Russia”, April 11, 2004, http://www.singapore-russia.org/diplomacy.htm
“Singaporean companies sign oil exploration deal with Myanmar”, The Start Online, March 18, 2007, http://www.thestar.com.my/.
“Speech by His Excellency Thaksin Shinawatra Prime Minister of Thailand at the Russian Union of Industrialists and Entrepreneurs Moscow, 17 October 2002”, http://www.mfa.go.th/web/1839.php?id=2876.
“Thailand to buy gas and crude oil from Russia”, June 3, 2004, http://www.gasandoil.com/GOC/news/ntr42466.htm.
“Visit Malaysia Year 2007 Campaign in Russia”, The Official Portal of Malaysia Tourism, Sept. 11, 2006, http://www.virtualmalaysia.com/our_malaysia/vmy2007/itn/index.cfm#2.
“Ivanov agree to strengthen RP-Russia ties”, The Official Website of the Republic of the Philippines News, December 16, 2002, http://www.gov.ph/news/default.asp?i=2359.
“President of the Chamber of Commerce and Industry of the RF Evegeni Primakov met with Thailand’s FM M. Suphamongkhon”, The RF CCI Press Service, Dec. 1, 2005, http://wml.rusnet.nl/news/2005/12/01/tpprf01.shtml.
“Singaporean companies sign oil exploration deal with Myanmar”, The Start Online, March 18, 2007,http://www.thestar.com.my/.
“Economies of Russia and Vietnam complement each other, says PM”, Vietnam Economic Times, Feb. 16, 2006, http://www.vneconomy.vn/.
“Visit of delegation of the Ryazan region to Thailand”, April 9, 2007, http://www.ryazancci.ru/index_eng.php.
“Vladimir Putin to visit Malaysia”, Pravda Online News, March 16, 2003, http://newsfromrussia.com/world/2003/08/04/49045.html
“Welcome Address by Ms Euleen Goh, Chairman, IE Singapore at the Russia-Singapore Business Forum, 6 March 2007, Shangri-La Hotel Singapore”, http:// www.iesingapore.gov.sg/
“Wrap: Russia, Vietnam leaders discuss energy, economic cooperation”, Novosti News, Nov. 20, 2006, http://en.rian.ru/russia/.
描述: 碩士
國立政治大學
俄羅斯研究所
93263007
95
資料來源: http://thesis.lib.nccu.edu.tw/record/#G0093263007
資料類型: thesis
Appears in Collections:學位論文

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