Please use this identifier to cite or link to this item:
https://ah.lib.nccu.edu.tw/handle/140.119/56548| 題名: | 俄羅斯外人直接投資與貧窮改善之研究 The relations of foreign direct investment and poverty in Russia |
作者: | 徐牧群 | 貢獻者: | 魏百谷 徐牧群 |
關鍵詞: | 俄羅斯 外人直接投資（FDI） 貧窮 開放貿易 Russia Foreign Direct Investment Poverty Trade Openess |
日期: | 2012 | 上傳時間: | 2-Jan-2013 | 摘要: | 本文探討外人直接投資對於俄羅斯貧窮問題之影響。透過質性研究說明俄羅斯外人直接投資趨勢與貧窮分布，並輔以量化研究解釋兩者間的關係；在變數選取部分，除主要之各地區外人直接投資流量、絕對貧窮率外，本文還納入人力資本、國內投資、公部門角色、貿易開放程度與總體經濟環境等變數進行研究。樣本資料根據俄羅斯國家統計局，選擇資料完整的71個聯邦主體作為研究對象，分析期間為2000至2008年，共639個觀察值。\r\n 實證結果發現，外人直接投資與貧窮率之間，並未存在顯著的負向關係；然而，若不考慮各聯邦主體間變異存在與否，甚至得出外人直接投資將惡化貧窮情形的結果；在其餘變數的部分，發現除了政府支出的結論與預期相反、人力資本不顯著外，其餘變數均符合預期，顯示貿易越為開放、總體經濟穩定且經濟成長的地區，貧窮問題較為和緩，在國內投資部分，雖未達統計顯著標準，但結果也傾向國內投資的提升有助於降低貧窮率。此外，若將外人直接投資視為依變數，再結合原先以貧窮為依變數之實證結果，可發現貿易開放程度為唯一同時對吸引外人直接投資與降低貧窮率皆達統計顯著水準的變數，即開放貿易助於提升外人直接投資與降低貧窮水準。 | 參考文獻: | 一、 中文\r\n\r\n（一） 書籍\r\n謝登隆與徐繼達，總體經濟理論與政策（台北：致勝文化，第八版，2001年）。\r\n歐陽勛與黃仁德，國際貿易理論與政策（台北：三民書局，1990年）。\r\nTed Walther著，蔡建樹與黃英哲譯，國際貿易：國際貿易經濟學（台北：台灣西書，1998年）。\r\n\r\n（二） 期刊論文\r\n余守純，「探究人力資本對經濟成長的貢獻－以低中高所得國家為例」，國立成功大學政治經濟研究所碩士論文（2007年）。\r\n袁曉虎，「外國直接投資在亞洲的前景與展望─外人直接投資對金融危機的反應」，國際經貿探索，第六期（1999年），頁44-48。\r\n陳宜蓮，「普丁時期俄羅斯的社會福利改革」，國立政治大學俄羅斯研究所論文（2008年）。\r\n陳薇薇，「社會學習與ICT擴散－以中國跨省間數位落差為例」，國立中央大學產業經濟研究所碩士論文（2009年）。\r\n魏百谷，「俄國地區之投資環境與外國直接投資分析」，俄羅斯學報，第三期（2003年），頁47-72。\r\n\r\n二、 外文\r\n\r\n（一）書籍\r\nAhrend, Rudiger, “Foreign Direct Investment Into Russia - Pain Without Gain? A Survey of Foreign Direct Investors,” OECD Discussion Paper(2000).\r\nBaltagi, Badi H., Economietric Analysis of Panel Data (New York: John Wiley & Sons, 2nd Edition, 2001).\r\nBatra, Geeta and Tan Hong W., Inter-Firm Linkages and Productivity Growth in Malaysian Manufacturing (Cornelle University, 2002).\r\nBevan, Alan A. and Saul Estrin, “Determinants of FDI in Transition Economies,” William Davidson Institute Working Paper, No. 342(2000), Centre for New and Emerging Market, London Business School.\r\nBhalla, A. S. and Frederic Lapeyre, Poverty and Exclusion in a Global World (2nd ed.), (New York : Palgrave Macmillan, 2004).\r\nBlomström, Magnus and Ari Kokko, “How Foreign Investment affects Host Countries,” World Bank Policy Research Working Paper 1745, World Bank, Washington D.C(1996).\r\nBornschier, Volker and Christopher Chase-Dunn, Transnational Corporations and Underdevelopment (New York: Praeger, 1985).\r\nBradshaw, M. and A. Swain, Foreign Investment and Regional Development, in M. Bradshaw and A. Stenning(eds), East Central Europe and the Former Soviet Union: The Post-Socialist States (Harlow, Pearson, 2003).\r\nBroadman, Harry G. and Francesca Recanatini, “Where Has All The Foreign Investment Gone In Russia?” World Bank Policy Research Working Paper, No. 2640(2001).\r\nButler, William E., Russian foreign relations and investment law (New York: Oxford University Press, 2006).\r\nCarkovic, Maria V. and Ross Levine, “Does Foreign Direct Investment Accelerate Economic Growth?” University of Minnesota Department of Finance Working Paper (2002).\r\nCalvo, Cesar C. and Marco A. Hernandez, Foreign Direct Investment and Poverty in Latin America, Leverhulme Centre for Research on Globalisation and Economic Policy (University of Nottingham, 2006).\r\nChudnovsky, Daniel and Andrés López, “Globalization and Developing Countries: Foreign Direct Investment and Growth and Sustainable Human Development,” UNCTAD Occasional Paper (1999).\r\nCraemer, R., Endogenous Growth, Trade and Development, Topics in Development Economics(London: CIEE, University of London, 1999).\r\nDollar, David and Aart Kraay, “Trade, Growth, and Poverty,” World Bank Policy Research Working Paper, No. 2615(2001).\r\nFabry, N., The role of inward-FDI in the transition countries of Europe: an analytical framework (New York: Transition in Asia and Eastern and Central Europe: A Closed Door Two Open Windows? Nova Science Publishers, 2001), pp. 1-29.\r\nFigini, Paolo and Holger Görg, “Does Foreign Direct Investment Affect Wage Inequality? An Empirical Investigation,” IIIS Discussion Paper No.186, Dublin: Institute of International Integration Studies.\r\nGallup, John Luke, Steven Radelt and Andrew Warner, “Economic Growth and the Income of the Poor,” CAER II Discussion Paper No.36, (Havard Institute for International Development, 1999).\r\nGraham, Edward H., “Foreign Direct Investment in the World Economy,” IMF Working Paper WP/95/59, Washington DC: International Monetary Fund(1995).\r\nKenworthy, Lane, “Do Social-Welfare Policies Reduce Poverty? A Cross-National Assessment,” Luxembourg Income Study Working Paper, No. 188(1998).\r\nKlein, Michael, Carl Aaron and Bita Hadjimichael, “Foreign Direct Investment and Poverty Reduction,” World Bank Policy Research Working Paper, No. 2613, (World Bank, Washington D.C., 2000).\r\nKrugman, Paul R. and Maurice Obstfeld, International Economics: Theory and Policy(Addison-Wesley, 4th ed., 1997).\r\nKuznetsov, Alexey V., “Industrial and geographical diversification of Russian foreign direct investments,” Pan-European Institute Working Paper(2010).\r\nLedyaeva, Svetlana and Mikael Linden, “Foreign Direct Investment and Economic Growth: Empirical Evidence from Russia Regions,” BOFIT Discussion Papers, Vol. 17(2006).\r\nLipsey, Robert E., and Fredrik Sjöholm, “Foreign Direct Investment and Wages in Indonesian Manufacturing,” NBER Working Papers 8299(2001).\r\nManaenkov, Daniil, “What Determines the Region of Location of an FDI Project? An Empirical Assessment,” New Economic School Working Paper, No. 36(2000).\r\nMilanovic, Branko, “Can We Discern The Effect Of Globalization On Income Distribution? Evidence from Household Budget Surveys,” World Bank Policy Research Working Paper, No. 2876(2003).\r\nMirza, Hafiz, Axèle Giroud, Hossein Jalilian, John Weiss, Nick Freeman and Mya Than, Regionalisation, Foreign Direct Investment and Poverty reduction: The Case of ASEAN (Bradford: University of Bradford, 2003).\r\nNurkse, Ragnar, “Problems of Capital Formation in Underdeveloped Countries,” New York: Oxford University Press, Vol. 11(1953).\r\nPesaran, Mohammad Hashem, “General Diagnostic Tests for Cross Section Dependence in Panels,” Cambridge Working Papers in Economics, No. 0435(2004).\r\nProkofieva, L., Measurement of Poverty and Social Exclusion: Russian Experience in Applying Nonmonetary Indicators, Background paper prepared for the World Bank, Russia Poverty Program (Washington, DC, 2003).\r\nSantarelli, Enrico and Paolo Figini, “Does Globalization Reduce Poverty? Some Empirical Evidence for the Developing Countries,” Understanding Globalization, Employment and Poverty Reduction, Working Paper No. 459, International Labor Office(2002).\r\nSen, A. K., Development as Freedom (New York: Oxford University Press, 1999).\r\nSoto, Marcelo, “Capital Flows and Growth in Developing Countries: Recent Empirical Evidence,” OECD Development Centre Technical Paper, No. 160, Paris: OECD(2000).\r\nSpar, D. L., National policies and domestic politics, The Oxford handbook of international business (New York: Oxford University Press, 2009), pp. 205-227.\r\nStock, James H. and Mark W. Watson, Introduction to Economics (Boston: Addison-Wesley, 2003), pp. 461-462.\r\nTodaro, Michael P., Economic Development (Addison Wesley Longman, 7th ed., 2000)\r\nUnited Nations Development Programme, Human Development Report 2002/2003 for the Russian Federation: The Role of the State in Economic Growth and Socio-Economic Reform (New York: UNDP, 2003).\r\nWooldridge, J. M., Econometric Analysis of Cross Section and Panel Data. Cambridge (MA: MIT Press, 2002).\r\nWorld Bank, Directions in Development: Reducing Poverty through Growth and Social Policy Reform in Russia (Washington, D.C.: World Bank, 2006).\r\nWorld Bank, World Development Report: Attacking Poverty (New York: Oxford University Press, 2001).\r\nWu, Yanrui, Foreign Direct Investment and Economic Growth in China (Northampton, MA: Edward Elgar, 1999).\r\n\r\n（二）期刊\r\nAgénor, Pierre-Richard, “Does Globalization Hurt the Poor?” International Economics and Economic Policy, Vol.1(2004), pp.12-51\r\nAitken, Brian, Ann E. Harrison, and Robert E. Lipsey (1996), “Wages and Foreign Ownership: A Comparative Study of Mexico, Venezuela, and the United States,” Journal of International Economics, Vol. 40(1996), pp. 345-371.\r\nAitken, Brain and Ann E. Harrison, “Do Domestic Firms Benefit from Foreign Direct Investment? Evidence from Venezuela,” American Economic Review, Vol. 89, No. 3(1999), pp. 605-618.\r\nApergis, Nicholas, Katerina Lyroudi and Athanasios Vamvakidis, “The relationship between foreign direct investment and economic growth: evidence from transition countries,” Transition Studies Review, Vol. 15, No. 1(2008), pp. 37-51.\r\nBalasubramanyama, V. N., M. Salisua and David Sapsford, “Foreign Direct Investment as an engine of Economic Growth,” The Journal of International Trade and Economic Development, Vol. 8, No. 1(1999), pp. 27-40.\r\nBaltagi, Badi H. and Ping X. Wu, “Unequally Spaced Panel Data Regressions with AR(1) Disturbances,” Econometric Theory, Vol. 15(1999), pp. 814-823.\r\nBeck, Thorsten, Asli Demirgüç-Kunt and Ross Levine, “Finance, Inequality, and the Poverty: Cross-Country Evidence,” Journal of Economic Growth, Vol. 12, No, 1(2007), pp. 27-49.\r\nBleaney, Michael and Akira Nishiyama, “Some International Evidence on Poverty Alleviation and Economic Growth,” The European Journal of Development Research, Vol.16, No.4(2004), pp.827-844.\r\nBradshaw, M. J., “The Geography of Foreign Investment in Russia 1993-1995,” Tijdschrift voor Economische en Sociale Geografie, Vol. 88(1997), pp.77-84.\r\nBradshaw, M., “The Changing Geography of Foreign Investment in the Russian Federation,” Russian Economic Trends, Vol. 11, No. 2(2002), pp. 33-41.\r\nBrock, G., “Foreign Direct Investment in Russia’s Regions 1993-1995: Why so Little and Where Has It Gone?” Economics of Transition, Vol. 6(1998), pp. 349-360.\r\nBurger, Bettina, “How Important is Foreign Direct Investment for Late Industrialising Countries?,” Intereconomics, Baden, Vol. 34,No. 3(1999), pp.115-123.\r\nChakrabarti, Avik, “The Determinants of Foreign Investment as Technology Transferred: Sensitivity Analysis of Cross-Country Regressions,” Kyklos, Vol. 54, No.1(2001), pp. 138-154.\r\nChenery, Hollis B. and Alan M. Strout, “Foreign Assistance and Economic Development,” American Economic Review, Vol. 56, No. 4 (1966), pp. 679-733.\r\nChowdhury, Abdur and George Mavrotas, “FDI and growth: What causes what?” The World Economy, Vol. 29, No. 1(2006), pp. 9-19.\r\nDeininger, Klaus and Lyn Squire, “A New Data Set Measuring Income Inequality,” World Bank Economic Review, Vol. 10, No. 3(1996), pp. 565-591.\r\nde Mello Jr. and Luiz R., “Foreign Direct Investment in Developing Countries and Growth: A Selective Survey,” Journal of Development Studies, Vol. 34, No. 1(1997), pp. 1-34.\r\nde Vries, Manfred F. R. Kets, Konstantin Korotov and Stanislav Shekshni., “Russia: a work in progress transcending the fifth time of troubles,” Organizational Dynamics, Vol. 37, No. 3(2008), pp. 211-220.\r\nDollar, David and Aart Kraay, “Growth is Good for the Poor,” Journal of Economic Growth, Vol. 7(2002), pp. 195-225.\r\nDunning, John H., “Toward an Eclectic Theory of International Production: Some Empirical Test,” Journal of International Business Studies, Vol. 11, No. 1(1980), pp. 9-32.\r\nFoster, J., Joel Greer and Erik Thorbecke, “A Class of Decomposable Poverty Measures,” Econometrica, Vol. 42, No.3(1984), pp. 761-766. \r\nHaddad, M. and A. Harrison, “Are there Positive Spillovers from Direct Foreign Investment? Evidence from Panel Data for Morocco,” Journal of Development Economics, Vol. 42(1993), pp. 51-74.\r\nIwasaki, I. and K. Suganuma, “Regional distribution of Foreign Direct Investment in Russia,” Post-Communist Economies, Vol. 17, No. 2(2005), pp. 153-172.\r\nJavorick, B., “ Does Foreign Direct Investment Increase the Productivity of Domestic Firms? In Search of Spillovers through Backward Linkages,” American Economic Review, Vol. 94(2004), pp.605-627.\r\nKlugman, Jeni and Jeanine Braithwaite, “Poverty in Russia during the Transition: An Overview,” The World Bank Research Observer, Vol. 13, No. 1(1998), pp. 37-58.\r\nKornecki, L., “Foreign Direct Investment and macroeconomic changes in CEE integrating in to the global market,” The Academy of World Business, Marketing & Management Development Conference, conference proceedings Vol. 3, No. 1(2008), pp. 420-431.\r\nKuznetcov, Nikolay G. and Ludmila I. Nivorozhkina, “Poverty Reduction in Russia: Dynamics and Structure,” South-Eastern Europe Journal of Economics, Vol. 2(2010), pp. 227-240.\r\nLedyaeva, Svetlana, “Spatial Econometric Analysis of FDI in Russian Regions,” The World Economy, Vol. 32, Issue 4(2009), pp.643-666.\r\nLin, B., “Economic Growth, Income Inequality, and Poverty Reduction in People’s Republic of China,” Asian Development Review, Vol. 20, No. 2(2003), pp. 105-124.\r\nLucas, Robert B., “On the Mechanics of Economic Development,” Journal of Monetary Economics, Vol. 22 (1988), pp. 3-42.\r\nLudvig, Zsuzsa, “Attraction versus Repulsion – Foreign Dorect Investment in Russia,” Development and Finance, Vol. 1(2003), pp. 51-62.\r\nMankiw, N. Gregory, David Romer and David N. Weil, “A Contribution to the Empirics of Economic Growth,” The Quarterly Journal of Economics, Vol. 107, No. 170(1992), pp. 407-437.\r\nMarkusen, James R. and Anthony J. Venables, “Foreign direct investment as a catalyst for industrial development,” European Economic Review, No. 43(1999), pp. 335-356.\r\nMiller, Stephen M., “A Note on Cross-Country Growth Regressions,” Applied Economics, Vol. 28(1996), pp. 1020-1022.\r\nRamstetter, Eric D., “Trade Propensities and Foreign Ownership Shares in Indonesian Manufacturing,” Bulletin of Indonesian Economic Studies, Vol. 35, No. 2(1999), pp. 43-66.\r\nResmini, L., “The determinants of foreign direct investment into the CEECs: new evidence from sectoral patterns,” Economics Transition, Vol. 8, No. 3(2000), pp. 665-689.\r\nRomer, Paul M., “Increasing Returns and Long-Run Growth,” Journal of Political Economy, Vol. 94 (1986), pp. 1002-1037.\r\n , “The origins of endogenous growth,” Journal of Economic Perspective, Vol. 8(1994), pp. 3–22.\r\nSantarelli, Enrico and Paolo Figini, “Openness, Economic Reforms, and Poverty: Globalization in the Developing Countries,” Journal of Developing Areas, Vol. 39, No. 2(2006), pp. 129-151.\r\nStanding, Guy, “Societal Impoverishment: the Challenge for Russian Social Policy,” Journal of European Social policy, Vol. 8, No. 1(1998), pp. 23-42.\r\nTe Velde, Dirk William, and Oliver Morrissey, “Foreign Ownership and Wages: Evidence from Five African Countries,” CREDIT Discussion Paper, Vol. 1, No. 19(2001).\r\nTsai, P. L., “Foreign direct investment and income inequality: further evidence,” World Development, Vol. 23(1995), pp. 469–83.\r\nWade, R. H., “Is Globalization Reducing Poverty and Inequality?” World Development, Vol. 32, No. 4(2004), pp. 567-589.\r\nYudaeva, Ksenia, Kozlov Konstantin, Natalia Melentieava and Natalia Ponomaryova, “Does Foreign Ownership Matter? The Russian Experience,” Economic of Transition, Vol. 11, No. 3(2003), pp. 383-409.\r\n\r\n（三）網路資料\r\nPopov, Н. П., “Как измерить бедность (How to Measure Poverty),” ИНДЕМ, http://www.indem.ru/PUBLICATII/Popov/KakIzmerBedn.htm(17/08/2012)\r\nPutin, V. V., “Заседании Комиссии по контролю за осуществлением иностранных инвестиций в Российской Федераций (Session of the Commission on Monitoring Foreign Investment in the Russian Federation),” Government of the Russian Federation, http://premier.gov.ru/(22/05/2012)\r\nRegions of Russia: Socio-economic indicators, “Регионы России. Социально-экономические показатели,” Федеральная служба государственной статистики, http://www.gks.ru/wps/wcm/connect/rosstat/rosstatsite/main/publishing/catalog/statisticCollections/doc_1138623506156(08/09/2012)\r\nRussia Statistical Yearbook, “Российский статистический ежегодник,” Федеральная служба государственной статистики, http://www.gks.ru/wps/wcm/connect/rosstat/rosstatsite/main/publishing/catalog/statisticCollections/doc_1135087342078(08/09/2012)\r\nSocial status and standard of living of the Russian population, “Социальное положение и уровень жизни населения России,” Федеральная служба государственной статистики, http://www.gks.ru/wps/wcm/connect/rosstat/rosstatsite/main/publishing/catalog/statisticCollections/doc_1138698314188(08/09/2012)\r\nThe International Monetary Fund, “Glossary of Selected Financial Terms,” http://www.imf.org/external/np/exr/glossary/showTerm.asp#89(21/03/2012) | 描述: | 碩士 國立政治大學 俄羅斯研究所 99263005 101 |
資料來源: | http://thesis.lib.nccu.edu.tw/record/#G0099263005 | 資料類型: | thesis |
| Appears in Collections: | 學位論文 |
Files in This Item:
| File | Size | Format | |
|---|---|---|---|
| index.html | 115 B | HTML2 | View/Open |
Google ScholarTM
Check
Items in DSpace are protected by copyright, with all rights reserved, unless otherwise indicated.