Please use this identifier to cite or link to this item: https://ah.lib.nccu.edu.tw/handle/140.119/57591
題名: 高鐵設站與縣市經濟績效之研究
A study on the relationship between location of High-speed railway station and the economic performance of counties/cities in western Taiwan.
作者: 陳淑珍
貢獻者: 邊泰明
陳淑珍
關鍵詞: 經濟績效
生產力指數
高鐵
economic performance
Data Envelopment Analysis(DEA)
Malmquist productivity index
Taiwan High Speed Rail(THSR)
日期: 2012
上傳時間: 1-Apr-2013
摘要: 台灣高鐵的營運,象徵台灣西部地區運輸體系的擴增,從過去的一般鐵路、公路、航空等運輸,現在增加了台灣高鐵;此一新運輸工具的營運,跨越了西部各縣市,使得人、貨的運輸速度有很大的改變。新運輸工具的營運,對於西部各縣市的發展,則可能帶來新的變化。因此,瞭解台灣高鐵的營運對於台灣西部各縣市經濟發展的影響,便是重要的課題。\n 透過資料包絡法(Data Envelopment Analysis, DEA)的運用,以對高鐵所經各縣市經濟績效加以估算,一方面瞭解這些縣市在2004-2010年間的經濟績效表現為何,另一方面分析高鐵營運是否對其經濟績效有所影響。利用Malmquist生產力指數的計算,瞭解台灣高鐵經過的沿線各縣市其經濟生產力的變化為何,並分析台灣高鐵營運後對於其經濟生產力的變動是否有顯著的提昇。經由統計檢定的方式,討論高鐵目前設站之縣市是否比沒有設站之縣市有較高的經濟績效及生產力成長,並找出影響各縣市經濟績效的變數。\n  實證結果發現,一、高鐵營運前後2004-2010年各縣市整體經濟績效呈現下降情形,最有經濟績效的縣市幾乎都位為台灣主要的都會區,顯示台灣都會型縣市與非都會型縣市在區域發展上的差異,而這種發展不平衡無法單靠高鐵解決,各區域的本質條件與經濟潛力是主要問題;二、高鐵設站縣市較無設站縣市有較高的經濟績效、但站區偏遠地區的縣市經濟績效不佳;三、人口、教育水準、專業程度及研發投入對於縣市經濟績效有顯著影響。\n  本研究建議因高鐵路線原規劃希望能帶動高鐵站區新市鎮之開發,故站區位置之選擇並非全位於都市中心,但通車後對外的連絡網仍未完善,所以有高鐵設站但技術效率較差之縣市(如桃園縣、台中縣、台南縣),應該加速高鐵站區之發展,同時強化大眾運輸效能,開發以大眾運輸導向(TOD-Transit Oriented Development)之都市發展型態,只有本身產生拉力因素,配合交通建設的便利性,才能避免被邊陲化。而政府應該要思考如何利用高鐵的便利性,讓人口過度集中於都會區的情形改善,同時在區域資源差異下有效的發展各項產業,讓各縣市得以均衡發展,進而帶動國家整體經濟績效。是故建議國土發展政策仍應朝區域發展、多核心規劃,利用高鐵串起北、中、南都會區的連結,帶動西部多核心發展,促進人口與產業均衡發展。
In the past, there are conventional rail, freeway and highway, and aviation service in western Taiwan. The operation of Taiwan High Speed Rail(THSR) means the expansion of transportation system in this corridor, which might bring new development changes of counties/cities located across this region. Therefore, to understand the economic impact of those changes on the economic development of these counties/cities is a very important issue. \n With the application of Data Envelopment Analysis(DEA), we estimated the economic efficiency of these counties/cities in the period of 2004-2010 to understand their economic performance and to analyze the influences of THSR’s operation on them. We also applied the Malmquist productivity index to understand the productivity changes of these counties/cities and figure out whether the operation of THSR promotes their productivity significantly or not. \n  According to our estimated results, we firstly find that, in 2004-2010, the average economic performance of western counties/cities is lower down; urban counties/cities are the ones with best economic performance, which means the development differentiation between the urban and nonurban counties/cities. The operation of THSR is not possible the balance such differentiation at all. Instead, the natures and economic potentials of individual county/city count more. Secondly, the average economic efficiency of counties/cities with the location of THSR’s station is higher than the ones which are not and are far from the stations. Finally, we find that the population, education level, professional degree and the amount of R&D investment are the important factors which influence the economic performance of counties/cities in western Taiwan.\n   Originally, one of the motivation to construct THSR is to stimulate the development of the new town/cities along its operation line, which resulted in the location of stations are far away from the urban areas. Due to the imperfection of traffic connecting network after THSR’s operation, we suggest that the counties which are with less economic performance and with THSR’s stations located, such as Tauyuan County, Taichung County and Tainan County, should accelerate the development of nearby area of THSR’s station. Besides, they also have to adopt the Transit Oriented Development(TOD) strategy which can help them to be more attractive for the inflow of outside resources and prevent them from marginalization. The government should consider how to use the convenience of THRS to improve the excessive concentration of population in urban areas. At the same time, the government also has to develop the industries in every county/city according to their resource differentiations and inherently improve the economic efficiency of whole country. Therefore, a multi-core strategy for planning the national spatial development should be considered seriously. By this strategy, we can connect the linkages of urban areas in northern, middle and southern Taiwan and stimulate the development of multi-core and the balance of population and industry development in western Taiwan by using the convenience brought by THSR.
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描述: 碩士
國立政治大學
地政研究所
95923022
101
資料來源: http://thesis.lib.nccu.edu.tw/record/#G0095923022
資料類型: thesis
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