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https://ah.lib.nccu.edu.tw/handle/140.119/70306| 題名: | 農業、農民與國家：中國經濟發展中的農業政策分析 Agriculture, Peasant and State: China`s Agricultural Policy in the Economic Development |
作者: | 黃騏弘 | 貢獻者: | 劉雅靈 黃騏弘 |
關鍵詞: | 二元經濟模型 勞動力移動 強迫生產 糧食價格 農業政策 |
日期: | 2014 | 上傳時間: | 1-Oct-2014 | 摘要: | 政府干預農產品市場會改變農產品價格，從而影響農民所得。在糧食雙軌制時期，中國的糧食價格在大幅震盪中逐漸下跌，2004年農業政策改變之後，糧食價格則逐漸上升。本文從二元經濟模型的研究途徑，分析中國糧食價格變動的影響因素，並探究促使中國政府改變農業政策的原因。本文指出：(1)中國糧食價格取決於勞動力移動和糧食供給量，而勞動力移動和糧食供給量的變化，又受到中國政府限制農民進城與強迫生產這兩項政策的影響。(2)限制農民進城與強迫生產政策，造成中國在九０年代後半面臨糧食過剩及農民所得低落的問題。到了2004年，由於糧食減產政策導致低存糧以及取消對勞動力移動的限制，糧食供需情況也從過剩轉變為短缺。為了解決糧食短缺的問題，於是中國政府改變農業政策，實行直接補貼、最低收購價格政策並取消農業稅。 | 參考文獻: | 一、中文部分\n丁聲俊 \n 1995 「南方急需煞住稻產滑坡趨勢」，糧食經濟與科技，第3期，頁6-7。\n 1996 「米袋子省長負責制的績效與完善：對浙江省成功實踐的思考」，中國糧食經濟，第5期，頁12-17。\n于建嶸 \n 2003 「農民有組織抗爭及其政治風險：湖南省H縣調查」，戰略與管理，第3期，頁1-16。\n中共中央組織部課題組 \n 2001 中國調查報告2000-2001：新形勢下人民內部矛盾研究，北京：中央編譯出版社。\n中國社會科學院農村發展研究所、國家統計局農村社會經濟調查司 \n 2013 中國農村經濟形勢分析與預測：2012-2013，北京：社會科學文獻出版社。\n中國人民共和國農業部 \n 1995、2002、2012 中國農業發展報告，北京：中國農業出版社。\n中國商業年鑑社 \n 1993 中國商業年鑑，北京：中國商業年鑑社。\n王小魯 \n 2001 「中國糧食市場的波動與政府干預」，經濟學季刊，第1卷，第1期，頁171-192。\n王德文、黄季熴 \n 2001 「雙軌制度下中國農戶糧食供給反應分析」，經濟研究，第12期，頁55-65。\n王紹光、胡鞍鋼、丁元竹 \n 2002 「經濟繁榮背後的不穩定」，戰略與管理，第3期，頁26-33。\n尹成杰 \n 2009 糧安天下：全球糧食危機與中國糧食安全，北京：中國經濟出版社。\n行政院主計處 \n 1988 物價統計月報，第205期，台北：行政院主計處。\n行政院主計處 \n 1994 中華民國台灣地區家庭收支調查報告，台北：行政院主計處。\n台灣省政府主計處 \n 1968、1972 台灣省家庭收支調查報告，台北：台灣省政府主計處。\n台灣省政府農林廳 \n 1974、1980、1987 台灣農產物價與成本統計月報，台北：台灣省政府農林廳。\n朱鎔基 \n 2011 朱鎔基講話實錄(第二卷)，北京：人民出版社。\n朱志剛 \n 2008 我國糧食安全與財政問題研究，北京：經濟科學出版社。\n朱信凱、呂捷 \n 2011 「中國糧食價格與CPI的關係：1996-2008」，經濟理論與經濟管理，第3期，頁16-24。\n朱啟臻、趙晨明 \n 2011 農民為什麼離開土地，北京：人民日報出版社。\n北京大學中國經濟研究中心城市勞動力市場課題組 \n 1998 「廣東中山：外來勞動力供給短缺現象分析」，改革，第5期，頁64-73。\n李國祥 \n 2011 「2003年以來中國農產品價上漲分析」，中國農村經濟，第2期，頁11-21。\n宋洪遠 \n 1995 「農產品供給波動與價格上漲」，中國農村觀察，第3期，頁15-21。\n宋洪遠等編著 \n 2000 改革以來中國農業和農村經濟政策的演變，北京：中國經濟出版社。\n林華德 \n 1978 台灣兩元性經濟的發展策略：戰後台灣經濟的實證分析，台北：台灣銀行研究室。\n林毅夫 \n 2000 再論制度、技術與中國農業發展，北京：北京大學出版社。\n 2008 制度、技術與中國農業發展，上海：格致出版社。\n林宗弘、吳介民 \n 2011 中國大陸戶籍制度、管理與變革之研究，行政院陸委會委託研究報告。\n周飛舟 \n 2011 以利為利：財政關係與地方政府行為，上海：三聯書店。\n 2012 「財政資金的專項化及其問題：兼論項目治國」，社會，第32卷，頁1-37。\n周其仁編 \n 1994 農村變革與中國發展(下卷)：1978-1989，香港：牛津大學出版社。\n胡 楓 \n 2006 「關於中國農村勞動力移轉規模的估計」，山西財經大學學報，第28卷，第2期，頁14-18。\n胡勝益 \n 1972 「台灣農工交易條件之研究」，台灣銀行季刊，第23卷，第2期，頁1-25。\n吳 毅 \n 2007 小鎮喧囂：一個鄉鎮政治運作的演繹與闡釋，北京：三聯書店。\n張治華 \n 1997 「價格對我國糧食生產影響的實證分析及政策建議」，中國農村經濟，第9期，頁11-18。\n張曙光主編 \n 1996 中國制度變遷案例研究(第一集)，上海：上海人民出版社。\n新華社 \n 1995 「實行米袋子省長負責制：江澤民、李鵬在中央農村工作會議上講糧食」、「朱鎔基談米袋子省長負責制」、「我國糧食管理體制的一項重大改革：李嵐清在全國糧棉肥會議上談糧食工作」，中國糧食經濟，第2期，頁3-7。\n孫方明 \n 2011 潮聚潮散：記中國農村問題發展研究組，香港：大風出版社。\n孫立平、郭于華 \n 2000 「軟硬兼施：正式權力非正式運作的過程分析－華北B鎮收糧的個案研究」，清華社會學評論特輯，第1期，頁21-46。\n孫梅君 \n 1998 「農民負擔的現狀及其過重的根源」，中國農村經濟，第4期，頁7-12。\n黃宗智 \n 2010 中國的隱性農業革命，北京：法律出版社。\n黃樹仁 \n 2002 心牢：農地農用意識形態與台灣城鄉發展，台北：巨流出版社。\n陳詩一 \n 2011 「中國工業分行業統計數據估算：1980-2008」，經濟學季刊，第10卷，第3期，頁735-776。\n陳錫文 \n 1995 「當前中國的糧食供求與價格問題」，中國農村經濟，第1期，頁3-8。\n陳紅旗 \n 1998 「糧食政策的歷史和現實」，中國審計，第7期，頁51-54。\n葛象賢、屈維英 \n 1990 中國民工潮：盲流真相錄，北京：中國國際廣播出版社。\n陶然、劉明興、章奇 \n 2003 「農民負擔、政府管制與財政改革」，經濟研究，第4期，頁3-12。\n程國強 \n 2011 中國農業補貼：制度設計與政策選擇，北京：中國發展出版社。\n 2012 中國糧食調控：目標、機制與政策，北京：中國發展出版社。\n 2013 全球農業戰略：基於全球視野的中國糧食安全框架，北京：中國發展出版社。\n國家糧食局主編 \n 2012、2013 中國糧食發展報告，北京：經濟管理出版社。\n國糧食經濟學會、中國糧食行業協會 \n 2009 中國糧食改革開放三十年，北京：中國財政經濟出版社。\n國家統計局 \n 2009 新中國六十年，北京：中國統計出版社。\n 2012 中國統計年鑑，北京：中國統計出版社。\n國家統計局人口和就業統計司 \n 2012 中國人口與就業統計年鑑，北京：中國統計出版社。\n國家統計局人口和社會科技統計司、勞動和社會保障部規劃財務司編 \n 2003 中國勞動統計年鑑，北京：中國統計出版社。\n國家統計局農村社會經濟調查司 \n 2000、2012 中國農村統計年鑑，北京：中國統計出版社。\n 2008 中國農村住戶調查年鑑，北京：中國統計出版社。\n國家發展和改革委員會價格司 \n 2005、2013 全國農產品成本資料匯編，北京：中國統計出版社。\n葉興慶 \n 1996 「米袋子省長負責制：政策意涵、出台背景及完善對策」，農業經濟問題，第1期，頁25-28。\n 1997 「新一輪糧價周期與政府的反周期政策」，中國農村經濟，第9期，頁4-10。\n 1997 「湖南貫徹落實米袋子省長負責制的做法與啟示」，農業經濟問題，第1期，頁38-41。\n 1999 「論糧食供求關係及其調節」，經濟研究，第8期，頁64-69。\n農業部 \n 2004 中華人民共和國農業部公報，第3期，北京：中華人民共和國農業部辦公廳。\n農業部鄉鎮企業局 \n 2003 中國鄉鎮企業統計資料1978-2002年，北京：中國經濟出版社。\n趙芝俊、袁開智 \n 2009 「中國農業技術進步貢獻率測算及分解：1985-2005」，農業經濟問題，第3期，頁28-36。\n趙岸英 \n 2004 「糧改突破」，財經界，第7期，頁40-42。\n趙樹凱 \n 2011 農民的政治，北京：商務印書館。\n熊萬勝 \n 2013 體系：對我國糧食市場秩序的結構性解釋，北京：中國政法大學出版社。\n鄭毓盛、曾澍基、陳文鴻 \n 1993 「中國農業生產在雙軌制下的價格反應」，經濟研究，第1期，頁16-25。\n鄧晶、魯清 \n 2003 「中國糧食安全：糧食市場供需平衡的實證分析」，中國經濟問題，第4期，頁20-28。\n韓俊主編 \n 2010 中國食物生產能力與供求平衡戰略研究，北京：首都經貿大學出版社。\n楊湛 \n 1993 洶湧民工潮，廣州：廣州出版社。\n盧鋒 \n 2004 半周期改革現象：我國糧棉流通改革和食物安全研究，北京：北京大學出版社。\n戴春芳、賀小斌、冷崇總 \n 2008 「改革開放以來我國糧食價格波動分析」，價格月刊，第6期，頁5-12。\n劉雅靈 \n 2001 「強制完成的私有化：蘇南吳江經濟興衰的歷史過程」，台灣社會學刊，第26期，頁1-54。\n\n二、英文部分\nAbdulaziz B. 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資料來源: | http://thesis.lib.nccu.edu.tw/record/#G0098252502 | 資料類型: | thesis |
| Appears in Collections: | 學位論文 |
Files in This Item:
| File | Size | Format | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 250201.pdf | 6.85 MB | Adobe PDF2 | View/Open |
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