Please use this identifier to cite or link to this item: https://ah.lib.nccu.edu.tw/handle/140.119/85411
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dc.contributor.advisor蔡政憲zh_TW
dc.contributor.advisorTsai, Cheng-Hsienen_US
dc.contributor.author宋瑞琳zh_TW
dc.contributor.authorSung, Jui-Linen_US
dc.creator宋瑞琳zh_TW
dc.creatorSung, Jui-Linen_US
dc.date2001en_US
dc.date.accessioned2016-04-18T08:28:29Z-
dc.date.available2016-04-18T08:28:29Z-
dc.date.issued2016-04-18T08:28:29Z-
dc.identifierA2002001462en_US
dc.identifier.urihttp://nccur.lib.nccu.edu.tw/handle/140.119/85411-
dc.description碩士zh_TW
dc.description國立政治大學zh_TW
dc.description風險管理與保險研究所zh_TW
dc.description88358013zh_TW
dc.description.abstract保險公司清償能力一直是保險監理的重心,在所有現行的制度中風險基礎資本是最重要的,但此項制度仍有其缺點,因此其他動態分析模型被許多學者所提出,如涉險值及情境分析。雖然這些動態分析模型被學者所偏好,但監理機關仍須對這些模型的精確程度加以了解,這也是本篇論文所要研究的目的。zh_TW
dc.description.abstractSolvency prediction of insurers has been the focus of insurance regulation. Among the solvency regulation systems, risked-based capital (RBC) is the most important but RBC still has some drawbacks. Thus, the dynamic financial analyses-scenario analysis and Value at Risk have been developed to be the regulation tool. Although, the scholars prefer the dynamic financial analysis, the regulators still want to make sure the accuracy of dynamic financial analysis. That is the purpose of our paper.en_US
dc.description.tableofcontents封面頁\n證明書\n致謝詞\n論文摘要\n目錄\nIntroduction\nLiterature Review\nMethodology and Data\nEmpirical Result\nConclusion\nReference\nAppendixzh_TW
dc.source.urihttp://thesis.lib.nccu.edu.tw/record/#A2002001462en_US
dc.subject風險基礎資本zh_TW
dc.subject涉險值zh_TW
dc.subject情境分析zh_TW
dc.subject動態財務分析zh_TW
dc.subject經濟模型分析zh_TW
dc.subject清償預測zh_TW
dc.subject清償監理zh_TW
dc.subjectRisk-Based Capitalen_US
dc.subjectValue at Risken_US
dc.subjectScenario Analysisen_US
dc.subjectDynamic Financial Analysisen_US
dc.subjectEconometric Model Analysisen_US
dc.subjectSolvency Predictionen_US
dc.subjectSolvency Regulationen_US
dc.title風險基礎資本,情境分析及動態模擬破產預測模型之比較zh_TW
dc.titleRegulatory Solvency Prediction: Risk-Based Capital, Scenario analysis and Stochastic Simulationen_US
dc.typethesisen_US
dc.relation.referenceReference\n1. Ahlgrim, Kevin C. (1999), Investigating the use of value at risk in insurance, Working Paper, University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign Department of Finance.\n2. Altman, Edward I., 1992, Revisiting the High Yield Bond Market, Financial Management, 21: 78-92.\n3. Ambrose, Jan M. and Anne M. Carroll, 1994, Using Best`s Ratings in Life Insurer Insolvency Prediction, The Journal of Risk and Insurance, 61:317-327.\n4. Ambrose, Jan Mills and J. Allen Seward, 1988, Best`s Ratings, Financial Ratios and Prior Probabilities in Insolvency Prediction, The Journal of Risk and Insurance, 55:229-244.\n5. Baraanoff, Etti G., Thomas W. Sager, and Robert C. Witt, 1999, Industry Segmentation and Predictor Motifs for Solvency Analysis of the Life/Health Insurance Industry, Journal of Risk and Insurance, 66:99-123.\n6. BarNiv, Ran and Adi Raveh, 1989, Identifying Financial Distress: A New Nonparametric Approach, The Journal of Business Finance and Accounting, 16:361-381.\n7. BarNiv, Ran and James B. McDonald, 1992, Identifying Financial Distress in the Insurance Industry: A Synthesis of Methodological and Empirical Issues, The Journal of Risk and Insurance, 543-574.\n8. BarNiv, Ran and Robert A. Hershbarger, 1990, Classifying Financial Distress in the Life Insurance Industry, The Journal of Risk and Insurance, 57:110-136.\n9. Brockett, Patrick L., William W. Cooper, Linda L. Golden, and Utai Pitaktong, 1994, A Neural Network Method for Obtaining an Early Warning of Insurer Insolvency, The Journal of Risk and Insurance, 61:402-424.\n10. Carson, James M. and Robert E. Hoyt, 1995, Life Insurer Financial Distress: Classification Models and Empirical Evidence, The Journal of Risk and Insurance, 62:764-775.\n11. Cummins, J, David, Martin F. Grace, and Richard D. Phillips, 1999, Regulatory Solvency Prediction in Property-Liability Insurance: Risk-Based Capital, Audit Ratios, and Cash Flow Simulation, Journal of Risk and Insurance, 66:417-458.\n12. Cummins, J. David, Scott E. Harrington, and Robert Klein, 1995, Insolvency Experience, Risk-Based Capital, and Prompt Corrective Action in Property-Liability Insurance, Journal of Banking and Finance, 19:511-527.\n13. Dimson, Elroy and Paul Marsh, 1997, Stress tests of capital requirements, Journal of Banking & Finance, 21:1515-1546.\n14. Grace, Martin F., Scott E. Harrington, and Robert W. Klein, 1998, Risk-Based Capital and Solvency Screening in Property-Liability Insurance: Hypotheses and Empirical Tests, The Journal of Risk and Insurance, 65:213-243.\n15. Harrington, Scott E. and Jack M. Nelson, 1986, A Regression-Based Methodology for Solvency Surveillance in the Property-Liability Insurance Industry, The Journal of Risk and Insurance, 53:583-602.\n16. Huang, Chin-Sheng, Robert E. Dorsey, and Mary Ann Boose, 1994, Life Insurer Financial Distress Prediction: A Neural Network Model, Journal of Insurance Regulation, 13:131-167.\n17. Ibbotson Associates, Stocks, Bonds, Bills and Inflation: Yearbook (Chicago, IL: Ibbotson Associates).\n18. Jackson, Patricia, David J. Maude, and William Perraudin, 1997, Bank Capital and Value at Risk, The Journal of Derivatives, 73-89.\n19. Jorion, Philippe, 1997, Value at Risk: The New Benchmark for Controlling derivatives Risk, The McGraw-Hill companies.\n20. Klein, Robert W., 1995, Insurance Regulation in Transition, The Journal of Risk and Insurance, 62:363-404.\n21. Munch, Patricia and Dennis E. Smallwood, 1980, Solvency regulation in the property-liability insurance industry: empirical evidence, Bell Journal of Economics, 11:261-279.\n22. Panning, William H., 1999, The Strategic Uses of Value at Risk: Long-Term Capital Management for Property/Casualty Insurers, North American Actuarial Journal, 2:84-105.\n23. Pottier, Steven W., 1998, Life Insurer Financial Distress, Best`s Ratings and Financial Ratios, The Journal of Risk and Insurance, 65:275-288.\n24. Pottier, Steven W. and David W. Sommer, 1999, Property-Liability Insurer Financial Strength Ratings: Differences Across Rating Agencies, The Journal of Risk and Insurance, 66:621-642.\n25. Pottier, Steven W. and David W. Sommer, 1999, Capital Ratios and Property-Liability Insurer Insolvencies, Working Paper, University of Georgia.\n26. West, Robert Craig, 1985, A Factor-Analytic Approach to Bank Condition., Journal of Banking and Finance, 9:253-266.\n27. Wiener, Zvi, 1997, Introduction to VaR (Value-at-Risk), Working Paper, The Hebrew University of Jerusalem.zh_TW
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