1970-1999年開發中國家人口成長、國民所得與文盲率的關聯分析

Abstract

本研究以世界發展報告（World Development Report, 1978-1999）與中華民國教育統計（2000）的資料，探索開發中國家文盲率（男女性文盲率）與國民所得、人口成長率之關係，以及男女兩性文盲率的差異。研究假設是，如果國民所得愈高，文盲率愈低；如果人口成長率愈高，文盲率也愈高。本研究得到結果如下：一、1970年至1999年，開發中國家的國民所得與人口成長率對總文盲率（男女性文盲率）各有負向及正向的顯著影響。也就是，本研究假設獲得證實。二、男女性文盲率，在1970年至1999年具有顯著差異。三、2000年，全球約有8億7,500萬名文盲；1999年臺灣的文盲人口仍約有82萬名。針對以上結果，提出相關建議。

The main purpose of this study uses the raw data which collected from the World Development Report (1978-1999) and Education Statistics of the ROC (2000) about the ratio of total illiterate (the ratio of male and female) data to understand the relation among the ratio of illiterate, the per capital income, and the ratio of population, gender difference in the ratio of total illiterate, and use Taiwan’s data to compare the average of world illiterate. These results are as follows: First, the hypothesis is that the higher per capital income are in the countries, the lesser of the ratio of illiterate are. The higher the ratio of annual population growth are in the countries, the higher of the ratio of illiterate are. That is, the hypothesis which among the ratio of illiterate, the per capital, and the ratio of population are negative and positive significant respectively is proved in 1970-1999. Second, the gender difference in the ratio of illiterate is significant in 1970-1999. Third, there are also about 875 millions illiterate people in the world, and there are about 820 thousands illiterate person in Taiwan. According to these results, it provide some suggestions for those countries to improve the problem of illiterate.