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題名 中韓自由貿易協定之研析
Study of a free trade agreement between China and South Korea
作者 吳惠娟
Wu, Hui Chuan
貢獻者 林祖嘉
Lin, Chu Chia
吳惠娟
Wu, Hui Chuan
關鍵詞 中國與南韓
自由貿易協定
多國多部門之一般均衡分析
China and South Korea
Free Trade Agreement
GTAP
日期 2008
上傳時間 9-五月-2016 13:28:45 (UTC+8)
摘要 中國與南韓正在從事自由貿易協定之洽簽程序，本篇論文的目的即在於評估其經濟效果。本文應用多國多部門之一般均衡模型，模擬二國農工商品完全自由化在靜態及考慮資本累積之動態效果。
      實證效果顯示，上述二種模擬情境下，中國與南韓的整體社會福利都有正面效益，因此本文建議中韓應儘速完成可行性研究階段並開始諮商。如此，中國可以早日扮演建立東亞經濟整合的領導角色，而南韓也可以享受中韓自由貿易協定加上美韓自由貿易協定所產生之綜效。
      目前亞洲任何一個已形成或是正在洽簽的自由貿易協定皆不包含台灣，故台灣應積極參與多邊體系下的貿易談判，以減低自由貿易協定所帶來的歧視，並應採納多樣化的協定而非拘泥於自由貿易協定之形式。同時應優先考量可以避免中國政治壓力及可擴大台灣經濟利益的議題，例如：雙邊投資協定及避免雙重課稅協定，以為洽簽正式之自由貿易協定鋪路。
     
     關鍵字：中國、南韓、自由貿易協定、多國多部門之一般均衡分析
China and South Korea are in the process of pursuing a free trade agreement. The purpose of this study is to assess its economic effects. The paper employs CGE models and the GTAP database to conduct a simulation with full elimination of tariffs in all sectors. Two CGE models are used. One is a static CGE model that captures the short-run effects, and the other captures the static effects as well as the capital accumulation effects arising from higher savings and investment induced by the static gains.
     The study finds that both South Korea and China will enjoy the welfare gains from the deals. We suggest that China and Korea complete feasibility studies and start the negotiation process at the earliest possible time for the purposes that China can play a leading role in building an East Asian economic integration and that Korea can enjoy the effects of multiple FTAs due to the Korea-China FTA plus Korea-US FTA. In addition, none of the bilateral agreements in Asia includes Taiwan. Taiwan should aggressively engage in trade negotiations under a multilateral system to decrease the discrimination caused by the free trade agreements and adopt diversified forms of agreements instead of focusing on “FTAs” only. Besides, Taiwan should prioritize the issues that can avoid the political pressure from China and expand Taiwan’s economic benefit, such as Bilateral Investment Agreement and Double Taxation Agreement, in order to pave the way for a formal FTA.
     
     Key words: China, South Korea, Free Trade Agreement, GTAP
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      between China, Japan and Korea: A Computable
      Equilibrium Model Approach”, National Institute for
      Research Advancement.
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      Analysis of Free Trade Agreements: Temporal and
      Distributional Effect”, Korea Development Institute,
      Dept. of Industrial and Corporate Affairs.
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      International Economics”, Discussion Paper No. 515,
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      U.S.- Korea FTA: Moving Beyond the Traditional FTA”.
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      Potential Impacts of Free Trade Agreement between Japan
      and Taiwan”, Master Thesis of College of Bio-Resources
      and Agriculture, National Taiwan University.
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      (2008), “Assessment of Trade Labialization among
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      and Its impact on Taiwan’s Economy”, Master thesis of
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      Economy-An Analysis of CGE Model”, Master Thesis of
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      Taiwan University. (in Chinese)
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      of a FTA or a Agreement of Economic Cooperation between
      Taiwan and EU and its impact on Taiwan’s economy”.
      (in Chinese)
     Chung, Le-Shih (2006), “The Economic Effects of Signing
      the FTA between Taiwan and Central/Southern American
      Countries”, Master Thesis of Graduate School of
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      Chinese)
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      Korea”, Master thesis of University of International
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     Websites:
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      The export-import Bank of Korea,
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      World Trade Organization,
      http://www.wto.org/english/tratop_e/region_e/regfac_e.htm
描述 碩士
國立政治大學
中國大陸研究英語碩士學程(IMCS)
95925021
資料來源 http://thesis.lib.nccu.edu.tw/record/#G0095925021
資料類型 thesis
dc.contributor.advisor 林祖嘉zh_TW
dc.contributor.advisor Lin, Chu Chiaen_US
dc.contributor.author (作者) 吳惠娟zh_TW
dc.contributor.author (作者) Wu, Hui Chuanen_US
dc.creator (作者) 吳惠娟zh_TW
dc.creator (作者) Wu, Hui Chuanen_US
dc.date (日期) 2008en_US
dc.date.accessioned 9-五月-2016 13:28:45 (UTC+8)-
dc.date.available 9-五月-2016 13:28:45 (UTC+8)-
dc.date.issued (上傳時間) 9-五月-2016 13:28:45 (UTC+8)-
dc.identifier (其他 識別碼) G0095925021en_US
dc.identifier.uri (URI) http://nccur.lib.nccu.edu.tw/handle/140.119/94945-
dc.description (描述) 碩士zh_TW
dc.description (描述) 國立政治大學zh_TW
dc.description (描述) 中國大陸研究英語碩士學程(IMCS)zh_TW
dc.description (描述) 95925021zh_TW
dc.description.abstract (摘要) 中國與南韓正在從事自由貿易協定之洽簽程序，本篇論文的目的即在於評估其經濟效果。本文應用多國多部門之一般均衡模型，模擬二國農工商品完全自由化在靜態及考慮資本累積之動態效果。
      實證效果顯示，上述二種模擬情境下，中國與南韓的整體社會福利都有正面效益，因此本文建議中韓應儘速完成可行性研究階段並開始諮商。如此，中國可以早日扮演建立東亞經濟整合的領導角色，而南韓也可以享受中韓自由貿易協定加上美韓自由貿易協定所產生之綜效。
      目前亞洲任何一個已形成或是正在洽簽的自由貿易協定皆不包含台灣，故台灣應積極參與多邊體系下的貿易談判，以減低自由貿易協定所帶來的歧視，並應採納多樣化的協定而非拘泥於自由貿易協定之形式。同時應優先考量可以避免中國政治壓力及可擴大台灣經濟利益的議題，例如：雙邊投資協定及避免雙重課稅協定，以為洽簽正式之自由貿易協定鋪路。
     
     關鍵字：中國、南韓、自由貿易協定、多國多部門之一般均衡分析		zh_TW
dc.description.abstract (摘要) China and South Korea are in the process of pursuing a free trade agreement. The purpose of this study is to assess its economic effects. The paper employs CGE models and the GTAP database to conduct a simulation with full elimination of tariffs in all sectors. Two CGE models are used. One is a static CGE model that captures the short-run effects, and the other captures the static effects as well as the capital accumulation effects arising from higher savings and investment induced by the static gains.
     The study finds that both South Korea and China will enjoy the welfare gains from the deals. We suggest that China and Korea complete feasibility studies and start the negotiation process at the earliest possible time for the purposes that China can play a leading role in building an East Asian economic integration and that Korea can enjoy the effects of multiple FTAs due to the Korea-China FTA plus Korea-US FTA. In addition, none of the bilateral agreements in Asia includes Taiwan. Taiwan should aggressively engage in trade negotiations under a multilateral system to decrease the discrimination caused by the free trade agreements and adopt diversified forms of agreements instead of focusing on “FTAs” only. Besides, Taiwan should prioritize the issues that can avoid the political pressure from China and expand Taiwan’s economic benefit, such as Bilateral Investment Agreement and Double Taxation Agreement, in order to pave the way for a formal FTA.
     
     Key words: China, South Korea, Free Trade Agreement, GTAP		en_US
dc.description.tableofcontents 1 Introduction...........................................1
      1.1 Motive............................................4
      1.2 Purpose...........................................9
      1.3 Methodology and Limitation.......................10
      1.4 Structure........................................11
     2 Relevant Theory and Literature Review.................13
      2.1 Relevant theory .................................13
      2.1.1 Types of economy integration.................13
      2.1.2 Norms for economic integration...............15
      2.1.3 Effects of economy integration...............17
      2.1.4 Reasons of economy integration...............19
      2.2 Literature review................................20
      2.2.1 Literatures adopting Computable General
      Equilibrium models...........................20
      2.2.2 Existing studies on an FTA between South Korea
      and China....................................25
     3 Bilateral Economic Relation between China and Korea...28
      3.1 Economic circumstance and FTA Strategy of China..28
      3.2 Economic circumstance and FTA Strategy of Korea..35
      3.3 Bilateral Economic Relations between China and
      Korea............................................43
      3.4 Prospects of Bilateral Economic Relations........53
     4 Development, Effect and Prospect of China-Korea FTA...55
      4.1 Development of a FTA between China and Korea.....55
      4.1.1 Background and Motive of Initiating
      China-Korea FTA..............................55
      4.1.2 Progress of signing China-Korea FTA..........56
      4.1.3 Possible scope of China and Korea FTA........56
      4.2 Effect of a FTA between China and Korea..........57
      4.2.1 Economic Effect of China-Korea FTA...........57
      4.2.2 Effect on Taiwan.............................68
      4.3 Prospect of a FTA between China and Korea........71
     5 Conclusion............................................73
      5.1 Conclusion.......................................73
      5.2 Policy Implications..............................74
      5.3 Future Work......................................75
     Reference................................................77		zh_TW
dc.source.uri (資料來源) http://thesis.lib.nccu.edu.tw/record/#G0095925021en_US
dc.subject (關鍵詞) 中國與南韓zh_TW
dc.subject (關鍵詞) 自由貿易協定zh_TW
dc.subject (關鍵詞) 多國多部門之一般均衡分析zh_TW
dc.subject (關鍵詞) China and South Koreaen_US
dc.subject (關鍵詞) Free Trade Agreementen_US
dc.subject (關鍵詞) GTAPen_US
dc.title (題名) 中韓自由貿易協定之研析zh_TW
dc.title (題名) Study of a free trade agreement between China and South Koreaen_US
dc.type (資料類型) thesisen_US
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) Abe, Kazutomo (2007),“The impacts of Free Trade Agreement
      between China, Japan and Korea: A Computable
      Equilibrium Model Approach”, National Institute for
      Research Advancement.
     Ahn, Sanghoon, & Jaehoon Kim (2007), “A Political Economic
      Analysis of Free Trade Agreements: Temporal and
      Distributional Effect”, Korea Development Institute,
      Dept. of Industrial and Corporate Affairs.
     Balassa, Bela (1961), The Theory of Economic Integration.
      London: Allen& Unwin.
     Bureau of Foreign Trade (2005),” Impact of a Korea-US FTA
      on East Asia”. (January 28, 2005) (in Chinese)
     Brown A. and R.Stern (2004), “Global Market Integration
      and National Sovereignty, Research Seminar in
      International Economics”, Discussion Paper No. 515,
      the University of Michigan.
     Business Roundtable (2006), “Real Liberalization in the
      U.S.- Korea FTA: Moving Beyond the Traditional FTA”.
     Chang, Kuo-I (2003), “Intra-industry Trade and the
      Potential Impacts of Free Trade Agreement between Japan
      and Taiwan”, Master Thesis of College of Bio-Resources
      and Agriculture, National Taiwan University.
     Chen, Kun-Ming, Qiao-Xia Du, & Jia-Qing Lin
      (2008), “Assessment of Trade Labialization among
      China, Hong Kong and Taiwan”. (in Chinese)
     Chen, Ying-chun (2005), “Intra-industry Trade and the
      Potential Impacts of Free Trade Agreement among Taiwan,
      Japan South Korea and China”, Master thesis of College
      of Bio-Resources and Agriculture, Taiwan University.
      (in Chinese)
     Cheng, Yao-wen (2005), “The Development, challenge and
      International comparison of China-ASEAN Free Trade Area
      and Its impact on Taiwan’s Economy”, Master thesis of
      Department of International Trade, Suchou University.
      (in Chinese)
     Chou, J., Shiu-Tung Wang, Kun-Ming Chen, & Nai-Fong Kuo
      (2000), “Accession into the WTO and Trade in Services:
      A Computable General Equilibrium Analysis,” Presented
      at NBER’s 11th Annual East Asian Seminar on Economics,
      Seoul, Korea, 22-24.
     Chou, Yu-ping (2003), “Study of Taiwan-U.S. Free Trade
      Agreement”, Master thesis of Graduate Institute of
      American Studies, Tamkang University. (in Chinese)
     Chu, Hao (2003), “The Impact of Free Trade Area between
      East Asia and New Zealand, Australia on Taiwan’s
      Economy-An Analysis of CGE Model”, Master Thesis of
      Graduate Institute of National Department, National
      Taiwan University. (in Chinese)
     Chung-hwa Institution for Economic Research (2007), “Study
      of a FTA or a Agreement of Economic Cooperation between
      Taiwan and EU and its impact on Taiwan’s economy”.
      (in Chinese)
     Chung, Le-Shih (2006), “The Economic Effects of Signing
      the FTA between Taiwan and Central/Southern American
      Countries”, Master Thesis of Graduate School of
      Finance and Economics of Aletheia University. (in
      Chinese)
     Cui, Ting-Zhi (2003), “The Perspective on Economic
      Cooperation and Free Trade Area between China and
      Korea”, Master thesis of University of International
      Business and Economics. (in Chinese)
     Du, Qiao-xia, & Nai-ci Zheng (2004), “Economic Development
      of Taiwan under Prevalence of FTA”, Taiwan WTO Center
      (May 10, 2004) (in Chinese)
     Fifield, Anna (2007), “S Korea-US trade deal clears
      hurdle”, Financial Times. (Jun 29 2007).
     Francois, Joseph F., B.J. McDonald, and H. Nordstrom
      (1995), “Assessing the Uruguay Round”, in Will Martin
      and L. Alan Winters, ed., The Uruguay Round and the
      Developing Economies, Washington D.C., World Bank.
     Hsieh, Cheng-Han (2006), “An Unvestugation on Restricted
      Factors in China-Japan-Korea Free Trade Agreement-
      Tariff Duties and Import Linkage Tax Analysis”, Master
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     Websites:
      Customs of the People’s Republic of China,
      http://www.customsgov.cn
      Embassy of the Republic of Korea in China,
      http://www.koreaemb.org.cn/
      Korea International Trade Association (KITA),
      http://global.kita.net/
      Ministry of Commerce of the People’s Republic of China
      http://www.mofcom.gov.cn/
      Ministry of Foreign Affairs and Trade, Republic of Korea,
      http://www.mofat.go.kr/index.jsp
      Ministry of Knowledge Economy,
      http://www.mke.go.kr/language/eng/main.jsp
      The export-import Bank of Korea,
      http://www.koreaexim.go.kr/en/
      Wikipedia, http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Free_trade
      World Trade Organization,
      http://www.wto.org/english/tratop_e/region_e/regfac_e.htm		zh_TW