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題名 最適通貨區域理論與滙率制度的選擇
作者 陳琬如
貢獻者 滑明曙
陳琬如
日期 1985
上傳時間 5-Dec-2016 17:17:22 (UTC+8)
摘要 第一章 緒論1
第一節 研究動機與目的1
第二節 研究方法3
第三節 本文架構5
第二章 最適通貨區域理論的檢閱6
第一節 最適通貨區域理論的淵源6
第二節 最適通貨區域理論的內容7
第三章 最適通貨區域理論實證的檢閱23
第一節 鑑別分析法 ( Discriminant Analysis ) 24
第二節 Normit模型 ( Probit Analysis Model ) 30
第三節 線性機率模型及Logit模型31
第四節 迴歸分析法34
第五節 本章結論36
第四章 實證模型與實證方法42
第一節 實證分析模型的建立43
第二節 實證方法的說明54
第三節 變數測定方法與資料來源70
第五章 實證結果分析79
第一節 最適通貨區域理論與固定及浮動滙率制度選擇的實證結果79
第二節 最適通貨區域理論與不同浮動程度滙率制度選擇的實證結果111
第三節 「蛇行浮動」、「蠕動」與「浮動但對一種貨幣有限浮動」滙率制度的歸屬141
第四節 我國滙率制度歸類的實證分析157
第六章 結論與建議175
第一節 結論175
第二節 後續研究之建議181
參考書目182
附表191
圖表目錄
表 3 - 1 最適通貨區域理論之實證檢閱37
表 4 - 1 最適通貨區域理論的檢閱45
表 5 - 1 - 1 檢驗是否有高度線性重合現象（固定滙率制度與浮動滙率制度）80
表 5 - 1 - 2 檢驗世界的滙率制度是否遵循最適通貨區域理論的實證結果81
表 5 - 1 - 3 檢驗經濟特質與固定滙率制度的對應關係（以輸出總額佔GDP之比率衡量開放程度、外滙資產佔M1之比率衡量金融整合度）87
表 5 - 1 - 4 檢驗經濟特質與固定滙率制度的對應關係（以輸入總額佔GDP之比率衡量開放程度、國際收支帳設限衡量金融整合度）90
表 5 - 2 - 1 檢驗是否有高度線性重合現象（剔除「蛇行浮動」與「蠕動」）94
表 5 - 2 - 2 檢驗世界的滙率制度是否遵循最適通貨區域理論的實證結果（剔除「蛇行浮動」與「蠕動」）95
表 5 - 2 - 3 檢驗經濟特質與固定滙率制度的對應關係（剔除「蛇行浮動」與「蠕動」，以輸入總額佔GDP之比率衡量開放程度、國際收支帳設限衡量金融整合度）100
表 5 - 3 - 1 檢驗是否有高度線性重合現象（「管理浮動」與「自由浮動」構成浮動滙率制度）103
表 5 - 3 - 2 檢驗世界的滙率制度是否遵循最適通貨區域理論的實證結果（「管理浮動」與「自由浮動」構成浮動滙率制度）104
表 5 - 3 - 3 檢驗經濟特質與固定滙率制度的對應關係（「管理浮動」與「自由浮動」構成浮動滙率制度，以輸入總額佔GDP之比率衡量開放程度、國際收支帳設限衡量金融整合度）109
表 5 - 4 - 1 檢驗是否有高度線性重合現象（「釘住美元」與「管理浮動」）113
表 5 - 4 - 2 檢驗不同浮動程度滙率制度是否遵循最適通貨區域理論的實證結果（「釘住美元」與「管理浮動」）114
表 5 - 4 - 3 檢驗經濟特質與固定滙率制度（「釘住美元」）的對應關係116
表 5 - 5 - 1 檢驗是否有高度線性重合現象（「釘住美元」與「浮動但對一種貨幣有限浮動」）117
表 5 - 5 - 2 檢驗不同浮動程度滙率制度是否遵循最適通貨區域理論的實證結果（「釘住美元」與「浮動但對一種貨幣有限浮動」）118
表 5 - 6 - 1 檢驗是否有高度線性重合現象（「釘住通貨籃」與「浮動但對一種貨幣有限浮動」）120
表 5 - 6 - 2 檢驗不同浮動程度滙率制度是否遵循最適通貨區域理論的實證結果（「釘住通貨籃」與「浮動但對一種貨幣有限浮動」）121
表 5 - 7 - 1 檢驗是否有高度線性重合現象（「釘住通貨籃」與「管理浮動」）124
表 5 - 7 - 2 檢驗不同浮動程度滙率制度是否遵循最適通貨區域理論的實證結果（「釘住通貨籃」與「管理浮動」）125
表 5 - 7 - 3 檢驗經濟特質與固定滙率制度（「釘住通貨籃」）的對應關係127
表 5 - 8 - 1 檢驗是否有高度線性重合現象（「釘住單一貨幣」與「管理浮動」）129
表 5 - 8 - 2 檢驗不同浮動程度滙率制度是否遵循最適通貨區域理論的實證結果（「釘住單一貨幣」與「管理浮動」）130
表 5 - 8 - 3 檢驗經濟特質與固定滙率制度（「釘住單一貨幣」）的對應關係（由表5 - 8 - 2實證結果歸納而得）132
表 5 - 9 - 1 檢驗是否有高度線性重合現象（「釘住單一貨幣」與「浮動但對一種貨幣有限浮動」）133
表 5 - 9 - 2 檢驗不同浮動程度滙率制度是否遵循最適通貨區域理論的實證結果（「釘住單一貨幣」與「浮動但對一種貨幣有限浮動」）134
表 5 - 10 - 1 檢驗是否有高度線性重合現象（「釘住單一貨幣」與「浮動」）137
表 5 - 10 - 2 檢驗不同浮動程度滙率制度是否遵循最適通貨區域理論的實證結果（「釘住單一貨幣」與「浮動」）138
表 5 - 10 - 3 檢驗經濟特質與固定滙率制度（「釘住單一貨幣」）的對應關係（由表5 - 10 - 2實證結果歸納而得）140
表 5 - 11 - 1 檢驗「蛇行浮動」與「蠕動」國家的滙率制度（表5 - 2 - 2實證結果之應用）143
表 5 - 11 - 2 檢驗「蛇行浮動」與「蠕動」國家的滙率制度（表5 - 3 - 2實證結果之應用）147
表 5 - 12 檢驗「浮動但對一種貨幣有限浮動」國家的滙率制度（表5 - 3 - 2實證結果之應用）153
表 5 - 13 檢驗我國台灣地區的滙率制度159
圖 5 - 1 我國之經濟開放程度與不同滙率制度中心值的比較（表5 - 1 - 2實證結果之應用）162
圖 5 - 2 我國的金融整合度與不同滙率制度中心值之比較（表5 - 1 - 2實證結果之應用）163
圖 5 - 3 我國貿易地理集中度與不同滙率制度中心值之比較（表5 - 1 - 2實證結果之應用）164
圖 5 - 4 我國各項經濟特質與不同滙率制度中心值之比較（表5 - 1 - 2實證結果之應用）166
圖 5 - 5 我國各項經濟特質與不同滙率制度中心值之比較（表5 - 2 - 2實證結果之應用）168
圖 5 - 6 我國各項經濟特質與不同滙率制度中心值之比較（表5 - 3 - 2實證結果之應用）170
附表1 世界各國滙率制度一覽表191
附表2 資料之定義與來源192
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5.滑明曙，林柏生合著，「當前台灣最適滙率制度的選擇－最適通貨區域理論方法之應用」，民國七十三年十二月。
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40. Ingram, James C. Regional Payments Mechanisms: The Case of Puerto Rico. Chapel Hill: University of North Carolina Press, 1962.
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關聯 國立政治大學
國際貿易研究所
碩士
73
資料類型 thesis
dc.contributor.advisor 滑明曙
dc.contributor.author (Authors) 陳琬如
dc.creator (作者) 陳琬如zh_TW
dc.date (日期) 1985
dc.date.accessioned 5-Dec-2016 17:17:22 (UTC+8)-
dc.date.available 5-Dec-2016 17:17:22 (UTC+8)-
dc.date.issued (上傳時間) 5-Dec-2016 17:17:22 (UTC+8)-
dc.identifier.uri (URI) http://nccur.lib.nccu.edu.tw/handle/140.119/104570-
dc.description.abstract (摘要) 第一章 緒論1
第一節 研究動機與目的1
第二節 研究方法3
第三節 本文架構5
第二章 最適通貨區域理論的檢閱6
第一節 最適通貨區域理論的淵源6
第二節 最適通貨區域理論的內容7
第三章 最適通貨區域理論實證的檢閱23
第一節 鑑別分析法 ( Discriminant Analysis ) 24
第二節 Normit模型 ( Probit Analysis Model ) 30
第三節 線性機率模型及Logit模型31
第四節 迴歸分析法34
第五節 本章結論36
第四章 實證模型與實證方法42
第一節 實證分析模型的建立43
第二節 實證方法的說明54
第三節 變數測定方法與資料來源70
第五章 實證結果分析79
第一節 最適通貨區域理論與固定及浮動滙率制度選擇的實證結果79
第二節 最適通貨區域理論與不同浮動程度滙率制度選擇的實證結果111
第三節 「蛇行浮動」、「蠕動」與「浮動但對一種貨幣有限浮動」滙率制度的歸屬141
第四節 我國滙率制度歸類的實證分析157
第六章 結論與建議175
第一節 結論175
第二節 後續研究之建議181
參考書目182
附表191
圖表目錄
表 3 - 1 最適通貨區域理論之實證檢閱37
表 4 - 1 最適通貨區域理論的檢閱45
表 5 - 1 - 1 檢驗是否有高度線性重合現象（固定滙率制度與浮動滙率制度）80
表 5 - 1 - 2 檢驗世界的滙率制度是否遵循最適通貨區域理論的實證結果81
表 5 - 1 - 3 檢驗經濟特質與固定滙率制度的對應關係（以輸出總額佔GDP之比率衡量開放程度、外滙資產佔M1之比率衡量金融整合度）87
表 5 - 1 - 4 檢驗經濟特質與固定滙率制度的對應關係（以輸入總額佔GDP之比率衡量開放程度、國際收支帳設限衡量金融整合度）90
表 5 - 2 - 1 檢驗是否有高度線性重合現象（剔除「蛇行浮動」與「蠕動」）94
表 5 - 2 - 2 檢驗世界的滙率制度是否遵循最適通貨區域理論的實證結果（剔除「蛇行浮動」與「蠕動」）95
表 5 - 2 - 3 檢驗經濟特質與固定滙率制度的對應關係（剔除「蛇行浮動」與「蠕動」，以輸入總額佔GDP之比率衡量開放程度、國際收支帳設限衡量金融整合度）100
表 5 - 3 - 1 檢驗是否有高度線性重合現象（「管理浮動」與「自由浮動」構成浮動滙率制度）103
表 5 - 3 - 2 檢驗世界的滙率制度是否遵循最適通貨區域理論的實證結果（「管理浮動」與「自由浮動」構成浮動滙率制度）104
表 5 - 3 - 3 檢驗經濟特質與固定滙率制度的對應關係（「管理浮動」與「自由浮動」構成浮動滙率制度，以輸入總額佔GDP之比率衡量開放程度、國際收支帳設限衡量金融整合度）109
表 5 - 4 - 1 檢驗是否有高度線性重合現象（「釘住美元」與「管理浮動」）113
表 5 - 4 - 2 檢驗不同浮動程度滙率制度是否遵循最適通貨區域理論的實證結果（「釘住美元」與「管理浮動」）114
表 5 - 4 - 3 檢驗經濟特質與固定滙率制度（「釘住美元」）的對應關係116
表 5 - 5 - 1 檢驗是否有高度線性重合現象（「釘住美元」與「浮動但對一種貨幣有限浮動」）117
表 5 - 5 - 2 檢驗不同浮動程度滙率制度是否遵循最適通貨區域理論的實證結果（「釘住美元」與「浮動但對一種貨幣有限浮動」）118
表 5 - 6 - 1 檢驗是否有高度線性重合現象（「釘住通貨籃」與「浮動但對一種貨幣有限浮動」）120
表 5 - 6 - 2 檢驗不同浮動程度滙率制度是否遵循最適通貨區域理論的實證結果（「釘住通貨籃」與「浮動但對一種貨幣有限浮動」）121
表 5 - 7 - 1 檢驗是否有高度線性重合現象（「釘住通貨籃」與「管理浮動」）124
表 5 - 7 - 2 檢驗不同浮動程度滙率制度是否遵循最適通貨區域理論的實證結果（「釘住通貨籃」與「管理浮動」）125
表 5 - 7 - 3 檢驗經濟特質與固定滙率制度（「釘住通貨籃」）的對應關係127
表 5 - 8 - 1 檢驗是否有高度線性重合現象（「釘住單一貨幣」與「管理浮動」）129
表 5 - 8 - 2 檢驗不同浮動程度滙率制度是否遵循最適通貨區域理論的實證結果（「釘住單一貨幣」與「管理浮動」）130
表 5 - 8 - 3 檢驗經濟特質與固定滙率制度（「釘住單一貨幣」）的對應關係（由表5 - 8 - 2實證結果歸納而得）132
表 5 - 9 - 1 檢驗是否有高度線性重合現象（「釘住單一貨幣」與「浮動但對一種貨幣有限浮動」）133
表 5 - 9 - 2 檢驗不同浮動程度滙率制度是否遵循最適通貨區域理論的實證結果（「釘住單一貨幣」與「浮動但對一種貨幣有限浮動」）134
表 5 - 10 - 1 檢驗是否有高度線性重合現象（「釘住單一貨幣」與「浮動」）137
表 5 - 10 - 2 檢驗不同浮動程度滙率制度是否遵循最適通貨區域理論的實證結果（「釘住單一貨幣」與「浮動」）138
表 5 - 10 - 3 檢驗經濟特質與固定滙率制度（「釘住單一貨幣」）的對應關係（由表5 - 10 - 2實證結果歸納而得）140
表 5 - 11 - 1 檢驗「蛇行浮動」與「蠕動」國家的滙率制度（表5 - 2 - 2實證結果之應用）143
表 5 - 11 - 2 檢驗「蛇行浮動」與「蠕動」國家的滙率制度（表5 - 3 - 2實證結果之應用）147
表 5 - 12 檢驗「浮動但對一種貨幣有限浮動」國家的滙率制度（表5 - 3 - 2實證結果之應用）153
表 5 - 13 檢驗我國台灣地區的滙率制度159
圖 5 - 1 我國之經濟開放程度與不同滙率制度中心值的比較（表5 - 1 - 2實證結果之應用）162
圖 5 - 2 我國的金融整合度與不同滙率制度中心值之比較（表5 - 1 - 2實證結果之應用）163
圖 5 - 3 我國貿易地理集中度與不同滙率制度中心值之比較（表5 - 1 - 2實證結果之應用）164
圖 5 - 4 我國各項經濟特質與不同滙率制度中心值之比較（表5 - 1 - 2實證結果之應用）166
圖 5 - 5 我國各項經濟特質與不同滙率制度中心值之比較（表5 - 2 - 2實證結果之應用）168
圖 5 - 6 我國各項經濟特質與不同滙率制度中心值之比較（表5 - 3 - 2實證結果之應用）170
附表1 世界各國滙率制度一覽表191
附表2 資料之定義與來源192
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dc.relation (關聯) 國立政治大學
dc.relation (關聯) 國際貿易研究所
dc.relation (關聯) 碩士
dc.relation (關聯) 73
dc.title (題名) 最適通貨區域理論與滙率制度的選擇zh_TW
dc.type (資料類型) thesis
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) 一、中文部分：
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