學術產出-學位論文
文章檢視/開啟
書目匯出
-
題名 存貨緩衝下之總體失衡動態分析 作者 林進益 貢獻者 王春源
林進益日期 1985 上傳時間 7-十二月-2016 15:17:28 (UTC+8) 摘要 本文嘗試將Blinder (1980) , Green & Laffont (1981) 之廠商的個體存貨行為引入 Honkapohja (1979 , 1980) 失衡模型內，以得出與Honkapohja不同之結果。本文發現存貨緩衝將使廠商訴諸於物價之調整較慢。在通貨緊縮區內，因廠商之銷售受到限制，故存貨增加將影響其安定性與修正後之就業乘數。而在通貨膨脹區內，因生產部門在商品市場不受限制，故存貨不再是一個重要的影響變數。由於Honkapohja模型乃遵從"供需法則"與貨幣餘額之調整，故物價會比工資更富伸縮性；由此獲致在凱因斯失業區將可能呈螺旋狀盤旋而趨於通貨緊縮均衡，而在壓抑性通貨膨脹區則未必能趨於通貨膨脹均衡。當工資與物價僵硬性持續若干期時，則凱因斯失業區之修正後就業乘數將大於短期乘數；但若工資與物價能充分調整，則二者修正後之就業乘數皆不確定。而在本文中，除沿用Honkapohja之設定外，尚考慮貨幣派預期與存貨存量，故反使物價調整比工資調整僵硬；由此獲致在通貨緊縮均衡內不易確定其安定性，而在通貨膨脹均衡下，則必為安定，且兩者皆可能呈螺旋狀盤旋。當工資與物價固定並持續若干期時，則凱因斯失業區之修正後就業乘數將大於其短期乘數；而壓抑性通貨膨脹區之修正後就業乘數等於其短期乘數。若工資與物價皆具伸縮性，則凱因斯之修正後就業乘數將大於短期乘數；而壓抑性通貨膨脹之修正後就業乘數可正可負。由上可知，存貨緩衝將會緩和Honkapohja模型內物價之調整速度，且會影響準均衡之安定性與修正後之供需乘數。因此，本文應有其比較對照之參考價值。
摘要Ⅲ第一章 緒論1 第一節 研究動機與方法1 第二節 本文結構3 第二章 模型之基本架構5 第三章 固定價格均衡型態13 第四章 經濟動態27 第一節 工資與物價的調整27 第二節 總體失衡之經濟動態30 第五章 動態均衡後之就業乘數44 第六章 結論與建議62參考文獻 1. Backhouse, R. W. (1980) "Fix-Price versus Flex-Price Models of Macroeconomic Equilibrium with Rationing ", Oxford Economic Papers, 32 (1980), pp. 210-223.2. ________ (1982) "Price Flexibility and Keynesiar Unemployment in a Macroeconomic Model with Quantity Rationing ", Oxford Economic Papers 34, pp. 292-304.3. Benassy, J. P. (1975) "Neo-Keynesian Disequilibrium Theory in a Monetary Economy", Review of Economic Studies 42, pp. 503-523.4. ________ (1977) "A Neokeynesian Model of Price and Quantity Determination in Disequilibrium", in Equilibrium and Disequilibrium in Economic Theory (G. Schwödiauer, ed.) Reidel, Boston.5. ________ (1982) The Economics of Market Disequilibrium , Academic Press.6. Barro, R. J. and Grossman, H. I. (1974) "Suppressed Inflation and the Supply Multiplier", Review of Economic Studies 41, pp. 87-104.7. _________ (1976) Money, Employment and Inflation, Cambridge University Press.8. Blinder, A. S. (1980) "Inventories in the Keynesian Macro Model", Kyklos 33, pp. 585-614.9. Blinder, A .S. (1981) "Inventories and the Structure of Macro Models ", America Economic Review 71, pp. 11-16.10. Böhm, V. (1978) "Disequilibrium Dynamics in a Simple Macroeconomic Model", Journal of Economic Theory 17, pp. 179-199.11. Casson, M. (1981) Unemployment: A Disequilibrium Approach, Martin Robertson. Oxford.12. Clower, R. W. (1965) "The Keynesian Counter-Revolution: A Theoretical Approach", in Modern Macroeconomics (P. G. Korliras and R. S. Thom ed.)13. Drazen, A. (1980) "Recent Development in Macroeconomic Disequilibrium Theory", Econometrica 48, pp. 283-306.14. ________ (1981) "Comments: Disequilibrium Dynamics with Inventories and Anticipatory Price-Setting, by Green and Laffont" European Economic Review 16, pp.223-227.15. Fisher, D. (1983) Macroeconomic Theory: A Survey, North Carolina State University.16. Grandmont, J. M. (1977) "Temporary General Equilibrium Theory", Econometrica 45, PP. 535-572.17. _______ and Laroque, G. (1976) "On Temporary Keynesian Equilibria", Review of Economic Studies 43, Pp. 53-67.18. Green, J. and Laffont, J. J. (1981) "Disequilibrium Dynamics with Inventories and Anticipatory Price- Setting", European Economic Review 16, pp. 199-221.19. Hansen, B. (1970) A Survey of General Equilibrium Systems, McGraw-Hill, Inc.20. Hey, J. D. (1981) Economics in Disequilibrium, The Camelot Press, Southampton.21. Honkapohja, S. (1979) "On the Dynamics of Disequilibrium in a Macro Model with Flexible Wages and Prices", in New Trands in Dynamic System Theory and Economics (M. Aoki and A. Marzolla, ed.) Academic Press.22. Honkapohja, S. (1980) "The Employment Multiplier After Disequilibrium Dynamics", Scandinavian Journal of Economics 82, pp. 1-14.23. ________ and Ito, T. (1980) "Inventory Dynamics in a Simple Disequilibrium Macroeconomic Model", Scandinavian Journal of Economics 82, pp. 184-198.24. Honkapohja, S. and Ito, T. (1982) "Disequlibrium Dynamics with Monetarist Price Expectations", Economic Letters 9, pp. 69-75.25. _______ (1983) "Stability with Regime Switching", Journal of Economic Theory 29, pp. 22-48.26. Howitt, P. (1978) "The Limits to Stability of a Full-employment Equilibrium", Scandinavian Journal of Economics 80, pp. 265-282.27. Korliras, P. G. (1976) "Non-tâtonnement and Disequilibrium Adjustments in Macroeconomic Models", in Equilibrium and Disequilibrium in Economic Theory (G. Schwödiau, ed.) Reidel Boston.28. _______ and Thorn, R. S. (1979) Modern Macroeconomics , Part 4.29. Leijonhufvud , A. (1968) On Keynesian Economics and the Economics of Keynes, Oxford University Press, New York.30. Leijonhufvud, A. (1973) "Effective Demand Failures", Swedish Journal of Economics 75, pp. 27-48.31. Löfgren, K. G. (1979) "The Corridor and Local Stability of the Effective Excess Demand Hypothesis: A Result", Scandinavian Journal of Economics 81, pp. 30-47.32. Maccini, L. J. (1976) "An Aggregate Dynamic Model of Short-Run Price and Output Behavior" Quarterly Journal of Economics 70, pp. 177-196.33. Malinvand, E. (1977) The Theory of Unemployment Reconsidered , Blackwell, Oxford.34. Meinster, D. and Mitchell, D. (1978) "Stability Implications of Inter-Regional Movement in Macro Disequilibrium Models", Metroeconomica 30, 00.77-92.35. Muellbaner, J. and Portes, R. (1978) "Macroeconomic Models with Quantity Rationing", Economic Journal 88, pp. 788-821. or in Macroeconomic Theory and Policy (W. H. Branson, Ch 16, 2nd. ed.), Harper International Edition.36. Neary, J. P. and Stiglitz, J. E. (1983) "Toward a Reconstruction of Keynesian Economics: Expectations and Constrained Equilibria", Quarterly Journal of Economics 98, pp. 199-228.37. Ott, D. J. , Ott, A. F. and Yoo, J. H. (1975) Macroeconomic Theory, MaGraw-Hill, Inc.38. Patinkin, D. (1965) Money, Interest, and Prices. 2nd ed. Harper and Row, New York.39. Paul van den Heuvel (1983) "The Stability of a Macroeconomic System with Quantity Constraints", Lecture Notes in Economics and Mathematical Systems 211, Springer-Verlag.40. Parkin, M. and Bade, R. (1982) Modern Macroeconomics, Part 5. Philip. Allan.41. Peisa, P. (1977) "Wages and the Demand For Labor in Unemployment Equilibria", Scandinavian Journal of Economics 79, pp. 227-238.42. Rayman, N. (1981) "Stability in the Barro-Grossman Model", Scandinavian Journal of Economics 83, pp. 563-569.43. Simonovits, A. (1982) "Buffer Stocks and Naive Expectations in a Non-Walrasian Dynamic Macromodel: Stability, Cyclicity and Chaos", Scandinavian Journal of Economics 84, pp. 571-581.44. Siven, C. H. (1981) "The General Supply-Demand Multiplier", Scandinavian Journal of Economics 83, pp. 22-37.45. Solow, R. M. and Stiglitz, J. E. (1968) "Output, Employment, and Wages in the Short Run" in Modern Macroeconomics (P. G. Korliras and R. S. Thorn, ed.).46. Svensson, E. O. (1981) "Effective Demand in a Sequence of Markets", Scandinavian Journal of Economics 83, pp. 1-21.47. Tucker, D. P. (1971) " Patinkin`s Macro Model as a Model of Market Disequilibrium", Southern Economic Journal, pp. 187-203.48. Turnovsky, S. T. (1977) Macroeconomic Analysis and Stabilization Policy.49. Varian, H. R. (1972) "Non-Walrasian Equilibria", Econometrica 45, pp. 573-590. 關聯 國立政治大學
經濟研究所
碩士
73資料類型 thesis dc.contributor.advisor 王春源 dc.contributor.author (作者) 林進益 dc.creator (作者) 林進益 zh_TW dc.date (日期) 1985 dc.date.accessioned 7-十二月-2016 15:17:28 (UTC+8) - dc.date.available 7-十二月-2016 15:17:28 (UTC+8) - dc.date.issued (上傳時間) 7-十二月-2016 15:17:28 (UTC+8) - dc.identifier.uri (URI) http://nccur.lib.nccu.edu.tw/handle/140.119/104656 - dc.description.abstract (摘要) 本文嘗試將Blinder (1980) , Green & Laffont (1981) 之廠商的個體存貨行為引入 Honkapohja (1979 , 1980) 失衡模型內，以得出與Honkapohja不同之結果。本文發現存貨緩衝將使廠商訴諸於物價之調整較慢。在通貨緊縮區內，因廠商之銷售受到限制，故存貨增加將影響其安定性與修正後之就業乘數。而在通貨膨脹區內，因生產部門在商品市場不受限制，故存貨不再是一個重要的影響變數。由於Honkapohja模型乃遵從"供需法則"與貨幣餘額之調整，故物價會比工資更富伸縮性；由此獲致在凱因斯失業區將可能呈螺旋狀盤旋而趨於通貨緊縮均衡，而在壓抑性通貨膨脹區則未必能趨於通貨膨脹均衡。當工資與物價僵硬性持續若干期時，則凱因斯失業區之修正後就業乘數將大於短期乘數；但若工資與物價能充分調整，則二者修正後之就業乘數皆不確定。而在本文中，除沿用Honkapohja之設定外，尚考慮貨幣派預期與存貨存量，故反使物價調整比工資調整僵硬；由此獲致在通貨緊縮均衡內不易確定其安定性，而在通貨膨脹均衡下，則必為安定，且兩者皆可能呈螺旋狀盤旋。當工資與物價固定並持續若干期時，則凱因斯失業區之修正後就業乘數將大於其短期乘數；而壓抑性通貨膨脹區之修正後就業乘數等於其短期乘數。若工資與物價皆具伸縮性，則凱因斯之修正後就業乘數將大於短期乘數；而壓抑性通貨膨脹之修正後就業乘數可正可負。由上可知，存貨緩衝將會緩和Honkapohja模型內物價之調整速度，且會影響準均衡之安定性與修正後之供需乘數。因此，本文應有其比較對照之參考價值。 dc.description.abstract (摘要) 摘要Ⅲ第一章 緒論1 第一節 研究動機與方法1 第二節 本文結構3 第二章 模型之基本架構5 第三章 固定價格均衡型態13 第四章 經濟動態27 第一節 工資與物價的調整27 第二節 總體失衡之經濟動態30 第五章 動態均衡後之就業乘數44 第六章 結論與建議62 dc.format.extent 115 bytes - dc.format.mimetype text/html - dc.relation (關聯) 國立政治大學 dc.relation (關聯) 經濟研究所 dc.relation (關聯) 碩士 dc.relation (關聯) 73 dc.title (題名) 存貨緩衝下之總體失衡動態分析 zh_TW dc.type (資料類型) thesis dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) 1. Backhouse, R. W. (1980) "Fix-Price versus Flex-Price Models of Macroeconomic Equilibrium with Rationing ", Oxford Economic Papers, 32 (1980), pp. 210-223.2. ________ (1982) "Price Flexibility and Keynesiar Unemployment in a Macroeconomic Model with Quantity Rationing ", Oxford Economic Papers 34, pp. 292-304.3. Benassy, J. P. (1975) "Neo-Keynesian Disequilibrium Theory in a Monetary Economy", Review of Economic Studies 42, pp. 503-523.4. ________ (1977) "A Neokeynesian Model of Price and Quantity Determination in Disequilibrium", in Equilibrium and Disequilibrium in Economic Theory (G. Schwödiauer, ed.) Reidel, Boston.5. ________ (1982) The Economics of Market Disequilibrium , Academic Press.6. Barro, R. J. and Grossman, H. I. (1974) "Suppressed Inflation and the Supply Multiplier", Review of Economic Studies 41, pp. 87-104.7. _________ (1976) Money, Employment and Inflation, Cambridge University Press.8. Blinder, A. S. (1980) "Inventories in the Keynesian Macro Model", Kyklos 33, pp. 585-614.9. Blinder, A .S. (1981) "Inventories and the Structure of Macro Models ", America Economic Review 71, pp. 11-16.10. Böhm, V. (1978) "Disequilibrium Dynamics in a Simple Macroeconomic Model", Journal of Economic Theory 17, pp. 179-199.11. Casson, M. (1981) Unemployment: A Disequilibrium Approach, Martin Robertson. Oxford.12. Clower, R. W. (1965) "The Keynesian Counter-Revolution: A Theoretical Approach", in Modern Macroeconomics (P. G. Korliras and R. S. Thom ed.)13. Drazen, A. (1980) "Recent Development in Macroeconomic Disequilibrium Theory", Econometrica 48, pp. 283-306.14. ________ (1981) "Comments: Disequilibrium Dynamics with Inventories and Anticipatory Price-Setting, by Green and Laffont" European Economic Review 16, pp.223-227.15. Fisher, D. (1983) Macroeconomic Theory: A Survey, North Carolina State University.16. Grandmont, J. M. (1977) "Temporary General Equilibrium Theory", Econometrica 45, PP. 535-572.17. _______ and Laroque, G. (1976) "On Temporary Keynesian Equilibria", Review of Economic Studies 43, Pp. 53-67.18. Green, J. and Laffont, J. J. (1981) "Disequilibrium Dynamics with Inventories and Anticipatory Price- Setting", European Economic Review 16, pp. 199-221.19. Hansen, B. (1970) A Survey of General Equilibrium Systems, McGraw-Hill, Inc.20. Hey, J. D. (1981) Economics in Disequilibrium, The Camelot Press, Southampton.21. Honkapohja, S. (1979) "On the Dynamics of Disequilibrium in a Macro Model with Flexible Wages and Prices", in New Trands in Dynamic System Theory and Economics (M. Aoki and A. Marzolla, ed.) Academic Press.22. Honkapohja, S. (1980) "The Employment Multiplier After Disequilibrium Dynamics", Scandinavian Journal of Economics 82, pp. 1-14.23. ________ and Ito, T. (1980) "Inventory Dynamics in a Simple Disequilibrium Macroeconomic Model", Scandinavian Journal of Economics 82, pp. 184-198.24. Honkapohja, S. and Ito, T. (1982) "Disequlibrium Dynamics with Monetarist Price Expectations", Economic Letters 9, pp. 69-75.25. _______ (1983) "Stability with Regime Switching", Journal of Economic Theory 29, pp. 22-48.26. Howitt, P. (1978) "The Limits to Stability of a Full-employment Equilibrium", Scandinavian Journal of Economics 80, pp. 265-282.27. Korliras, P. G. (1976) "Non-tâtonnement and Disequilibrium Adjustments in Macroeconomic Models", in Equilibrium and Disequilibrium in Economic Theory (G. Schwödiau, ed.) Reidel Boston.28. _______ and Thorn, R. S. (1979) Modern Macroeconomics , Part 4.29. Leijonhufvud , A. (1968) On Keynesian Economics and the Economics of Keynes, Oxford University Press, New York.30. Leijonhufvud, A. (1973) "Effective Demand Failures", Swedish Journal of Economics 75, pp. 27-48.31. Löfgren, K. G. (1979) "The Corridor and Local Stability of the Effective Excess Demand Hypothesis: A Result", Scandinavian Journal of Economics 81, pp. 30-47.32. Maccini, L. J. (1976) "An Aggregate Dynamic Model of Short-Run Price and Output Behavior" Quarterly Journal of Economics 70, pp. 177-196.33. Malinvand, E. (1977) The Theory of Unemployment Reconsidered , Blackwell, Oxford.34. Meinster, D. and Mitchell, D. (1978) "Stability Implications of Inter-Regional Movement in Macro Disequilibrium Models", Metroeconomica 30, 00.77-92.35. Muellbaner, J. and Portes, R. (1978) "Macroeconomic Models with Quantity Rationing", Economic Journal 88, pp. 788-821. or in Macroeconomic Theory and Policy (W. H. Branson, Ch 16, 2nd. ed.), Harper International Edition.36. Neary, J. P. and Stiglitz, J. E. (1983) "Toward a Reconstruction of Keynesian Economics: Expectations and Constrained Equilibria", Quarterly Journal of Economics 98, pp. 199-228.37. Ott, D. J. , Ott, A. F. and Yoo, J. H. (1975) Macroeconomic Theory, MaGraw-Hill, Inc.38. Patinkin, D. (1965) Money, Interest, and Prices. 2nd ed. Harper and Row, New York.39. Paul van den Heuvel (1983) "The Stability of a Macroeconomic System with Quantity Constraints", Lecture Notes in Economics and Mathematical Systems 211, Springer-Verlag.40. Parkin, M. and Bade, R. (1982) Modern Macroeconomics, Part 5. Philip. Allan.41. Peisa, P. (1977) "Wages and the Demand For Labor in Unemployment Equilibria", Scandinavian Journal of Economics 79, pp. 227-238.42. Rayman, N. (1981) "Stability in the Barro-Grossman Model", Scandinavian Journal of Economics 83, pp. 563-569.43. Simonovits, A. (1982) "Buffer Stocks and Naive Expectations in a Non-Walrasian Dynamic Macromodel: Stability, Cyclicity and Chaos", Scandinavian Journal of Economics 84, pp. 571-581.44. Siven, C. H. (1981) "The General Supply-Demand Multiplier", Scandinavian Journal of Economics 83, pp. 22-37.45. Solow, R. M. and Stiglitz, J. E. (1968) "Output, Employment, and Wages in the Short Run" in Modern Macroeconomics (P. G. Korliras and R. S. Thorn, ed.).46. Svensson, E. O. (1981) "Effective Demand in a Sequence of Markets", Scandinavian Journal of Economics 83, pp. 1-21.47. Tucker, D. P. (1971) " Patinkin`s Macro Model as a Model of Market Disequilibrium", Southern Economic Journal, pp. 187-203.48. Turnovsky, S. T. (1977) Macroeconomic Analysis and Stabilization Policy.49. Varian, H. R. (1972) "Non-Walrasian Equilibria", Econometrica 45, pp. 573-590.
