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題名 The Impact of Taiwan`s 2008 Elections on Cross-Strait Relations: A Game-Theoretical Analysis
作者 王維正
Wang, Vincent Wei-cheng
貢獻者 外交系
日期 2008-08
上傳時間 5-九月-2018 17:23:31 (UTC+8)
摘要 As an “index case” of Third-Wave democracies facing existential threat, Taiwan’s elections entail important implications for study in comparative politics and international relations. In 2008, three important elections help define the course of Taiwan’s democratic development and its relationship with China: the January legislative election, the March presidential election, and a controversial referendum on Taiwan’s United Nations entry. This article employs game theory to analyze the impact of Taiwan’s 2008 elections on cross-strait relations. It develops an “election game” by examining each principal player’s preferences regarding each election. It analyzes Beijing’s possible reaction to the potential outcomes, and then examines the actual election outcomes against the model and offers observations on the prospect of cross-strait relations. Overall, the model predicts that cross-strait relations after the 2008 elections will present a historic opportunity, which can be seized or squandered, depending on political leadership.
關聯 Asian Perspective, Vol.32, No.2, pp.145-172
資料類型 article
dc.contributor 外交系
dc.creator (作者) 王維正zh_TW
dc.creator (作者) Wang, Vincent Wei-chengen_US
dc.date (日期) 2008-08
dc.date.accessioned 5-九月-2018 17:23:31 (UTC+8)-
dc.date.available 5-九月-2018 17:23:31 (UTC+8)-
dc.date.issued (上傳時間) 5-九月-2018 17:23:31 (UTC+8)-
dc.identifier.uri (URI) http://nccur.lib.nccu.edu.tw/handle/140.119/120010-
dc.description.abstract (摘要) As an “index case” of Third-Wave democracies facing existential threat, Taiwan’s elections entail important implications for study in comparative politics and international relations. In 2008, three important elections help define the course of Taiwan’s democratic development and its relationship with China: the January legislative election, the March presidential election, and a controversial referendum on Taiwan’s United Nations entry. This article employs game theory to analyze the impact of Taiwan’s 2008 elections on cross-strait relations. It develops an “election game” by examining each principal player’s preferences regarding each election. It analyzes Beijing’s possible reaction to the potential outcomes, and then examines the actual election outcomes against the model and offers observations on the prospect of cross-strait relations. Overall, the model predicts that cross-strait relations after the 2008 elections will present a historic opportunity, which can be seized or squandered, depending on political leadership.zh_TW
dc.format.extent 130 bytes-
dc.format.mimetype text/html-
dc.relation (關聯) Asian Perspective, Vol.32, No.2, pp.145-172
dc.title (題名) The Impact of Taiwan`s 2008 Elections on Cross-Strait Relations: A Game-Theoretical Analysisen_US
dc.type (資料類型) article