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題名 捷運交會站對周邊商辦不動產價格 影響之研究-以臺北市為例
The impact on commercial real estate price of the MRT interchange station: The case of Taipei City作者 黃俞瑄
Huang, Yu-Sheng貢獻者 邊泰明
黃俞瑄
Huang, Yu-Sheng關鍵詞 捷運交會站
商辦不動產價格
複迴歸模型分析
鄒檢定
transfer station
commercial real estate prices
multiple regression analysis
Chow test日期 2020 上傳時間 2-三月-2020 11:23:46 (UTC+8) 摘要 近年都市地區由於居住及就業人口持續增長,導致交通需求量不斷提升,為解決日益嚴重之交通擁塞問題,須提供穩定、可靠且有效率的交通運輸服務,因此引進了大眾捷運系統。捷運所帶來的便捷性,加速提升周邊商業活動,也帶動了當地經濟繁榮成長,可謂捷運系統已然成為了都市居民生活與工作環境密不可分的一部份。此外,由於工商業活動之頻繁,加深了行政區域內對於商辦不動產之需求性,間接助長了捷運周邊商辦不動產之價格。然過往研究多著墨於捷運系統與周邊住宅價格之關聯性及影響程度,卻少有提及商辦不動產與捷運彼此的交互關係。本次研究以民國101年至107年之捷運交會站周邊商辦不動產交易樣本作為本次研究範圍,運用複迴歸模型分析,實證結果顯示,辦公大樓是否位在捷運交會站與房價之影響存在著正向顯著效果,其中,以距離捷運周邊500公尺內的辦公交易價格為研究對象,得出位於交會站地區房價將顯著高於單一站體的房價,且平均高於1.9%,實證結果證實了捷運交會站對辦公交易價格具有正向影響。此外,本次研究欲探討捷運通車前後對商辦不動產價格之影響,並選定松山新店線作為研究範圍,探討該路線周邊500公尺內之辦公大樓於松山新店線通車前後,周邊捷運由原先單一站體轉為捷運交會站後其房價變化進行比較。本次研究採用鄒檢定分析,並以104年作為基準點,分別比較捷運交會站於松山新店線興建前後之房價有無顯著差異,並將變數資料區分為兩個年度區間,實證結果顯示出捷運交會站的興建,有助於周邊辦公大樓房價上漲,可說明辦公大樓的房價確實會受到雙線捷運之成立而發生變化,而產生結構性之影響,由此可見,轉乘對於捷運使用者而言,具有相當的重要性及影響力,進而影響周邊的房價。
In recent years, due to the continuous growth of the living and employment population in urban areas, the demand for transportation has continued to increase. In order to solve the problem of increasing traffic congestion, it is necessary to provide stable, reliable and efficient transportation services, so the mass rapid transit system has been introduced. The convenience brought by the MRT and the acceleration of the surrounding business activities have also promoted the prosperity of the local economy. It can be said that the MRT system has become an inseparable part of the urban residents` living and working environment. In addition, due to the frequent industrial and commercial activities, the demand for commercial real estate in the administrative area has been deepened, which indirectly boosted the prices of commercial real estate around MRT. However, in the past, most studies have focused on the correlation and degree of impact of the MRT system and surrounding residential prices, but few mention the interaction between commercial real estate and MRT.In this study, the sample of commercial real estate transactions around the MRT interchange station from 2012 to 2018 was used as the scope of this study. Using a multiple regression analysis, the empirical results show whether the office building is located at the MRT station and the impact of housing prices. There is a significant positive effect. Among them, the office transaction price within 500 meters from the MRT area is taken as the research object, and it is concluded that the house price at the intersection station area will be significantly higher than that of a single station body, and the average price will be higher than 1.9%. Empirical results confirm that the MRT station has a positive impact on office transaction prices.In addition, this study intends to explore the impact of the MRT on the commercial real estate price before and after the opening of the MRT, and select the Songshan Line as the scope of study. The office buildings within 500 meters around the route will be opened before and after the Songshan Line is opened. After the original single station body was converted to the MRT station, its house price changes were compared. This research uses Zou`s verification analysis and uses 104 years as the reference point to compare whether there is a significant difference in house prices before and after the construction of the Songshan Line at the MRT Station. The variable data is divided into two annual intervals. The empirical results show that The construction of the Transport Fair Station will help the housing prices of surrounding office buildings to rise, which may indicate that the housing prices of office buildings will indeed be changed by the establishment of the two-line MRT, which will have a structural impact. For users, it has considerable importance and influence, which in turn affects surrounding house prices.參考文獻 一、 國內文獻王一帆,2006,「捷運沿線土地使用變遷之影響因素分析—臺北捷運板南線之實證研究」,國立交通大學交通運輸研究所碩士論文:新竹。王潔敏,2009,「大眾運輸系統對房地產價格之影響研究-以高雄大都會區為例」,國立成功大學都市計劃研究所碩士論文:臺南。王群猛,2014,「銀行聚集與不動產價格之關係-以台北市辦公商圈為例」,國立政治大學地政研究所碩士論文:臺北。方劭元,2013,「銷售模式對商用不動產價格之影響─以台北市商辦大樓為例」,國立政治大學地政研究所碩士論文:臺北。李家儂、羅健文,2006,「大眾運輸導向發展設計概念中步行可及性與大眾捷運系統旅次關係之初探」,『都市交通季刊』,20(4):1-12。李怡婷,2005,「大眾運輸導向發展策略對捷運站區房地產價格之影響分析」,國立成功大學都市計畫研究所碩士論文:臺南。林楨家、黃志豪,2003,「臺北捷運營運前後沿線房地屬性特徵價格之變化」,『運輸計劃季刊』,32(4):777-800。林家弘,2004,「競租價格模型與屬性價格對捷運車站周邊房價預測之比較分析」,國立成功大學都市計劃研究所碩士論文:臺南。林楨家、馮正民、胡怡鴦,2004,「臺北捷運藍線營運前後沿線發展變化之分析」,『運輸計劃季刊』,33(2):361-390。林欣樺,2015,「大眾捷運系統對辦公大樓租金之影響」,國立政治大學地政研究所碩士論文:臺北。吳濟華、葉晉嘉、蔡源培,2007,「臺北捷運通車後車站周邊土地價格變動之實證分析」,『土地經濟年刊』,18:1-26。洪得洋、林祖嘉,1999,「臺北市捷運系統與道路寬度對房屋價格影響之研究」,『住宅學報』,8:47-67。高婉玲,2012,「都會區大眾捷運路網之車站共同影響範圍對於周邊房價影響之探討」,逢甲大學都市計畫與空間資訊學系研究所碩士論文:臺中。許侶馨,1989,「捷運系統對沿線地區地價影響之研究」,交通大學交通運輸研究所碩士論文:新竹。黃名義、張金鶚,1999,「臺北市辦公租金之研究」,『中華民國住宅學會第八屆年會論文集』,77-93。張金鶚、范垂爐,1993,「房地產真實交易價格之研究」,『住宅學報』,1:75-97。張嘉宇,2008,「台北市辦公大樓租金影響因素分析-以物業管理觀點之分析」,國立政治大學地政研究所碩士論文:臺北。馮正民、曾平毅、王冠斐,1994,「捷運系統對車站地區房價之影響」,『都市與計劃』,21(1):25-45。馮正民、黃台生,2001,「台北市綜合發展計畫─捷運網絡發展對台北市都市空間結構影響之規劃」,台北市政府都市發展局。彭克仲、陳姿萍,2004,「台灣即飲咖啡特徵價格之研究」,『農業經濟半年刊』,75:83-112。彭建文、楊宗憲、楊詩韻,2009,「捷運系統對不同區位房價影響分析」,『運輸計劃季刊』,38(3):275-296。曾翊偉,2005,「租戶結構對辦公大樓租金收益穩定性之影響-兼論辦公大樓投資組合分析」,國立政治大學地政研究所碩士論文:臺北。楊思聰,2007,「內湖線捷運對房價之影響」,國立中央大學產業經濟研究所碩士論文:桃園。楊子慧,2013,「大眾捷運系統轉乘車站對房價成長趨勢之影響」,國立交通大學經營管理研究所碩士論文:新竹。戴國正,2012,「大眾捷運系統對房價影響效果之再檢視」,國立政治大學地政研究所碩士論文:臺北羅育華,2014,「大眾捷運導向發展類型與指標之研究-以臺北都會區捷運系統為例」,國立政治大學地政研究所碩士論文:臺北。二、 國外文獻Bollinger, C.R.,and Ihlanfeldt, K.R.,1997, “The impact of rapid rail transiton economic development:the case of Atlanta’s MARTA” ,Journalof Urban Economics,42(2):179-204.Cervero,R.,and Landis,J.,1993, “Assessing the impacts of urban railtransit on local real estate markets using quasi-experimentalcomparisons” ,Transportation Research A,27(1):13-22.Colwell,P.,Munneke,H.,and Trefzger,J.,1998,“Chicago’s office market:price indices,location and time” ,Real Estate Economics,26(1):83-106.Cervero, R., and Duncan, M.,2001,. “Transit`s value-added: effects oflight and commuter rail services on commercial l values,” Transportation Research,1805(2):8-15.Downs, D. and Slade, B.,1999, “Characteristics of a full-disclosure, transaction-based index of commercial real estate” ,Journal of Real Estate Portfolio Management,5(1):95-104.Debrezion,G.,Pels,E.,and Rietveld,P.,2007, “The impact of railway stations on residential and commercial property value:a meta-analysis” ,Journal of real estate finance and economics,35(2):161-180.Falcke,C.O.,1978,Study of BART’s effects on property prices and rents. Washington,D.C.:Urban Mass Transportation Administration, U.S. Department of Transportation.Fisher,J.D.,1992, “Integrating research on market for space and capital” ,AREUEA,20(2):161-180.Frew,J.,and Jud G.D.,1988, “The vacancy rate and rent levels in the commercial office market” ,Journal of real estate research,3(1):1-8.Gat,D.,1998, “Urban focal points and design quality influence rents:The case of the Tel Aviv office market” ,Journal of real estate research,16(2):229-247.Glascock,J.L.,1990, “An analysis of office market rents: some empirical evidence” ,AREUEA,18(1):105-119.Rosen,S.,1974, “Hedonic prices and implicit markets:product differentiation in pure competition” ,Journal of political economy,82(1):34-55.Sivitanidou,R.,and Sivitanides,P.,1999, “ Overall Capitalization Rates:Real Estate and Capital Market” ,Journal of Real Estate Finance and Economics,18(3):297-322.Weinstein,B.,and Clower,T.,1999, “The Initial Economic Impacts of the DART LRT System” ,report prepared for the Dallas Area Rapid Transit District.Denton,Texas:University of North Texas,Center for Economic Development and Research.三、 參考網站臺北大眾捷運股份有限公司網站,「路網圖、各站資訊及時刻表」,網址:https://www.metro.taipei/cp.aspx?n=91974f2b13d997f1,取用日期:108年10月25日。中華民國交通部網站,「臺北市交通統計查詢系統」,網址:http://dotstat.taipei.gov.tw/pxweb2007P/Dialog/varval.asp?ma=TP10202YA&ti=%BBO%A5%5F%B1%B6%B9B%A6U%AF%B8%B6i%A5X%A4H%A6%B8%2D%A6%7E&path=../PXfile/CountyStatistics/&search=%B1%B6%B9B&lang=9,取用日期:108年10月25日。新北市捷運工程局網站,「三環六線進度公開專頁」,網址: https://open33.ntpc.gov.tw/about,取用日期:108年10月25日。臺北市政府都市發展局網站,「擬定臺北市大眾運輸導向可申請開發許可地區細部計畫案」,網址: https://www.udd.gov.taipei/pages/detail.aspx?Node=34&Page=11703&Index=3,取用日期:108年10月25日。世宏不動產商仲網站,「市場動態-台北市辦公商圈概況」,網址: http://www.fpl.com.tw/index.php/web/news_i/363/,取用日期:108年10月25日。101商仲網站,「辦公商圈介紹」,網址: http://tw101.tw/About.aspx?id=5,取用日期:108年10月25日。 描述 碩士
國立政治大學
地政學系碩士在職專班
105923029資料來源 http://thesis.lib.nccu.edu.tw/record/#G0105923029 資料類型 thesis dc.contributor.advisor 邊泰明 zh_TW dc.contributor.author (作者) 黃俞瑄 zh_TW dc.contributor.author (作者) Huang, Yu-Sheng en_US dc.creator (作者) 黃俞瑄 zh_TW dc.creator (作者) Huang, Yu-Sheng en_US dc.date (日期) 2020 en_US dc.date.accessioned 2-三月-2020 11:23:46 (UTC+8) - dc.date.available 2-三月-2020 11:23:46 (UTC+8) - dc.date.issued (上傳時間) 2-三月-2020 11:23:46 (UTC+8) - dc.identifier (其他 識別碼) G0105923029 en_US dc.identifier.uri (URI) http://nccur.lib.nccu.edu.tw/handle/140.119/128912 - dc.description (描述) 碩士 zh_TW dc.description (描述) 國立政治大學 zh_TW dc.description (描述) 地政學系碩士在職專班 zh_TW dc.description (描述) 105923029 zh_TW dc.description.abstract (摘要) 近年都市地區由於居住及就業人口持續增長,導致交通需求量不斷提升,為解決日益嚴重之交通擁塞問題,須提供穩定、可靠且有效率的交通運輸服務,因此引進了大眾捷運系統。捷運所帶來的便捷性,加速提升周邊商業活動,也帶動了當地經濟繁榮成長,可謂捷運系統已然成為了都市居民生活與工作環境密不可分的一部份。此外,由於工商業活動之頻繁,加深了行政區域內對於商辦不動產之需求性,間接助長了捷運周邊商辦不動產之價格。然過往研究多著墨於捷運系統與周邊住宅價格之關聯性及影響程度,卻少有提及商辦不動產與捷運彼此的交互關係。本次研究以民國101年至107年之捷運交會站周邊商辦不動產交易樣本作為本次研究範圍,運用複迴歸模型分析,實證結果顯示,辦公大樓是否位在捷運交會站與房價之影響存在著正向顯著效果,其中,以距離捷運周邊500公尺內的辦公交易價格為研究對象,得出位於交會站地區房價將顯著高於單一站體的房價,且平均高於1.9%,實證結果證實了捷運交會站對辦公交易價格具有正向影響。此外,本次研究欲探討捷運通車前後對商辦不動產價格之影響,並選定松山新店線作為研究範圍,探討該路線周邊500公尺內之辦公大樓於松山新店線通車前後,周邊捷運由原先單一站體轉為捷運交會站後其房價變化進行比較。本次研究採用鄒檢定分析,並以104年作為基準點,分別比較捷運交會站於松山新店線興建前後之房價有無顯著差異,並將變數資料區分為兩個年度區間,實證結果顯示出捷運交會站的興建,有助於周邊辦公大樓房價上漲,可說明辦公大樓的房價確實會受到雙線捷運之成立而發生變化,而產生結構性之影響,由此可見,轉乘對於捷運使用者而言,具有相當的重要性及影響力,進而影響周邊的房價。 zh_TW dc.description.abstract (摘要) In recent years, due to the continuous growth of the living and employment population in urban areas, the demand for transportation has continued to increase. In order to solve the problem of increasing traffic congestion, it is necessary to provide stable, reliable and efficient transportation services, so the mass rapid transit system has been introduced. The convenience brought by the MRT and the acceleration of the surrounding business activities have also promoted the prosperity of the local economy. It can be said that the MRT system has become an inseparable part of the urban residents` living and working environment. In addition, due to the frequent industrial and commercial activities, the demand for commercial real estate in the administrative area has been deepened, which indirectly boosted the prices of commercial real estate around MRT. However, in the past, most studies have focused on the correlation and degree of impact of the MRT system and surrounding residential prices, but few mention the interaction between commercial real estate and MRT.In this study, the sample of commercial real estate transactions around the MRT interchange station from 2012 to 2018 was used as the scope of this study. Using a multiple regression analysis, the empirical results show whether the office building is located at the MRT station and the impact of housing prices. There is a significant positive effect. Among them, the office transaction price within 500 meters from the MRT area is taken as the research object, and it is concluded that the house price at the intersection station area will be significantly higher than that of a single station body, and the average price will be higher than 1.9%. Empirical results confirm that the MRT station has a positive impact on office transaction prices.In addition, this study intends to explore the impact of the MRT on the commercial real estate price before and after the opening of the MRT, and select the Songshan Line as the scope of study. The office buildings within 500 meters around the route will be opened before and after the Songshan Line is opened. After the original single station body was converted to the MRT station, its house price changes were compared. This research uses Zou`s verification analysis and uses 104 years as the reference point to compare whether there is a significant difference in house prices before and after the construction of the Songshan Line at the MRT Station. The variable data is divided into two annual intervals. The empirical results show that The construction of the Transport Fair Station will help the housing prices of surrounding office buildings to rise, which may indicate that the housing prices of office buildings will indeed be changed by the establishment of the two-line MRT, which will have a structural impact. For users, it has considerable importance and influence, which in turn affects surrounding house prices. en_US dc.description.tableofcontents 第一章 緒論 1第一節 研究動機與目的 1第二節 研究範圍與方法 6第三節 研究架構與流程 11第二章 文獻回顧 13第一節 特徵價格理論 13第二節 捷運系統與都市空間結構之關係 16第三節 商辦不動產價格影響因素之相關文獻 22第四節 捷運系統對商辦不動產價格之影響 31第五節 小結 37第三章 研究背景與現況分析 38第一節 臺北大眾運輸捷運系統發展與現況 38第二節 捷運交會站周邊辦公商圈現況 46第四章 研究設計 51第一節 特徵模型架構 51第二節 資料來源與說明 54第三節 影響不動產價格變數選取與說明 60第五章 實證結果分析 65第一節 特徵價格模型分析 65第二節 捷運交會站興建前後價格分析 69第六章 結論與建議 73第一節 結論 73第二節 建議 76參考文獻 79 zh_TW dc.source.uri (資料來源) http://thesis.lib.nccu.edu.tw/record/#G0105923029 en_US dc.subject (關鍵詞) 捷運交會站 zh_TW dc.subject (關鍵詞) 商辦不動產價格 zh_TW dc.subject (關鍵詞) 複迴歸模型分析 zh_TW dc.subject (關鍵詞) 鄒檢定 zh_TW dc.subject (關鍵詞) transfer station en_US dc.subject (關鍵詞) commercial real estate prices en_US dc.subject (關鍵詞) multiple regression analysis en_US dc.subject (關鍵詞) Chow test en_US dc.title (題名) 捷運交會站對周邊商辦不動產價格 影響之研究-以臺北市為例 zh_TW dc.title (題名) The impact on commercial real estate price of the MRT interchange station: The case of Taipei City en_US dc.type (資料類型) thesis en_US dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) 一、 國內文獻王一帆,2006,「捷運沿線土地使用變遷之影響因素分析—臺北捷運板南線之實證研究」,國立交通大學交通運輸研究所碩士論文:新竹。王潔敏,2009,「大眾運輸系統對房地產價格之影響研究-以高雄大都會區為例」,國立成功大學都市計劃研究所碩士論文:臺南。王群猛,2014,「銀行聚集與不動產價格之關係-以台北市辦公商圈為例」,國立政治大學地政研究所碩士論文:臺北。方劭元,2013,「銷售模式對商用不動產價格之影響─以台北市商辦大樓為例」,國立政治大學地政研究所碩士論文:臺北。李家儂、羅健文,2006,「大眾運輸導向發展設計概念中步行可及性與大眾捷運系統旅次關係之初探」,『都市交通季刊』,20(4):1-12。李怡婷,2005,「大眾運輸導向發展策略對捷運站區房地產價格之影響分析」,國立成功大學都市計畫研究所碩士論文:臺南。林楨家、黃志豪,2003,「臺北捷運營運前後沿線房地屬性特徵價格之變化」,『運輸計劃季刊』,32(4):777-800。林家弘,2004,「競租價格模型與屬性價格對捷運車站周邊房價預測之比較分析」,國立成功大學都市計劃研究所碩士論文:臺南。林楨家、馮正民、胡怡鴦,2004,「臺北捷運藍線營運前後沿線發展變化之分析」,『運輸計劃季刊』,33(2):361-390。林欣樺,2015,「大眾捷運系統對辦公大樓租金之影響」,國立政治大學地政研究所碩士論文:臺北。吳濟華、葉晉嘉、蔡源培,2007,「臺北捷運通車後車站周邊土地價格變動之實證分析」,『土地經濟年刊』,18:1-26。洪得洋、林祖嘉,1999,「臺北市捷運系統與道路寬度對房屋價格影響之研究」,『住宅學報』,8:47-67。高婉玲,2012,「都會區大眾捷運路網之車站共同影響範圍對於周邊房價影響之探討」,逢甲大學都市計畫與空間資訊學系研究所碩士論文:臺中。許侶馨,1989,「捷運系統對沿線地區地價影響之研究」,交通大學交通運輸研究所碩士論文:新竹。黃名義、張金鶚,1999,「臺北市辦公租金之研究」,『中華民國住宅學會第八屆年會論文集』,77-93。張金鶚、范垂爐,1993,「房地產真實交易價格之研究」,『住宅學報』,1:75-97。張嘉宇,2008,「台北市辦公大樓租金影響因素分析-以物業管理觀點之分析」,國立政治大學地政研究所碩士論文:臺北。馮正民、曾平毅、王冠斐,1994,「捷運系統對車站地區房價之影響」,『都市與計劃』,21(1):25-45。馮正民、黃台生,2001,「台北市綜合發展計畫─捷運網絡發展對台北市都市空間結構影響之規劃」,台北市政府都市發展局。彭克仲、陳姿萍,2004,「台灣即飲咖啡特徵價格之研究」,『農業經濟半年刊』,75:83-112。彭建文、楊宗憲、楊詩韻,2009,「捷運系統對不同區位房價影響分析」,『運輸計劃季刊』,38(3):275-296。曾翊偉,2005,「租戶結構對辦公大樓租金收益穩定性之影響-兼論辦公大樓投資組合分析」,國立政治大學地政研究所碩士論文:臺北。楊思聰,2007,「內湖線捷運對房價之影響」,國立中央大學產業經濟研究所碩士論文:桃園。楊子慧,2013,「大眾捷運系統轉乘車站對房價成長趨勢之影響」,國立交通大學經營管理研究所碩士論文:新竹。戴國正,2012,「大眾捷運系統對房價影響效果之再檢視」,國立政治大學地政研究所碩士論文:臺北羅育華,2014,「大眾捷運導向發展類型與指標之研究-以臺北都會區捷運系統為例」,國立政治大學地政研究所碩士論文:臺北。二、 國外文獻Bollinger, C.R.,and Ihlanfeldt, K.R.,1997, “The impact of rapid rail transiton economic development:the case of Atlanta’s MARTA” ,Journalof Urban Economics,42(2):179-204.Cervero,R.,and Landis,J.,1993, “Assessing the impacts of urban railtransit on local real estate markets using quasi-experimentalcomparisons” ,Transportation Research A,27(1):13-22.Colwell,P.,Munneke,H.,and Trefzger,J.,1998,“Chicago’s office market:price indices,location and time” ,Real Estate Economics,26(1):83-106.Cervero, R., and Duncan, M.,2001,. “Transit`s value-added: effects oflight and commuter rail services on commercial l values,” Transportation Research,1805(2):8-15.Downs, D. and Slade, B.,1999, “Characteristics of a full-disclosure, transaction-based index of commercial real estate” ,Journal of Real Estate Portfolio Management,5(1):95-104.Debrezion,G.,Pels,E.,and Rietveld,P.,2007, “The impact of railway stations on residential and commercial property value:a meta-analysis” ,Journal of real estate finance and economics,35(2):161-180.Falcke,C.O.,1978,Study of BART’s effects on property prices and rents. 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