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題名 租稅負擔與地下經濟的門檻效果--台灣的實證研究
THRESHOLD EFFECTS IN THE RELATIONSHIP BETWEEN THE TAX BURDEN AND THE SHADOW ECONOMY: EVIDENCE FROM TAIWAN
作者 朱美麗
Chu, Mei-Lie
林朕陞
Lin, Chen-Sheng
洪福聲
Hung, Fu-Sheng
貢獻者 經濟系
關鍵詞 地下經濟 ; 租稅負擔率 ; 門檻模型
Shadow economy ; Tax burden ; Threshold model
日期 2020-12
上傳時間 25-五月-2021 11:06:55 (UTC+8)
摘要 地下經濟與租稅負擔之間存在著緊密的關係。相對於過去文獻大多從線性模型來探討租稅負擔率(或稅率)與地下經濟規模的關係,本文運用非線性的門檻模型(threshold model),以租税負擔率作為門檻變數,探討租稅負擔率與我國地下經濟規模是否存在非線性關係。實證結果支持台灣的租稅負擔與地下經濟之間存在一個門檻效果,當租稅負擔率低於19.657%時,租稅負擔率的提高將顯著降低地下經濟的規模;但若租稅負擔率高於19.657%,租稅負擔率的上升將顯著提高地下經濟的規模。從樣本內預測能力的評比中,我們也發現門檻模型確實優於線性模型,且門檻模型的結論不因地下經濟的估計方法不同而有所差異。
A close relationship between the tax burden and the shadow economy (SE) has been established in the literature. While most existing studies examine this relationship using a linear model, this paper adopts a non-linear threshold model to identify whether there exists any tax-burden threshold effect for this relationship in Taiwan. We find that there is a threshold effect for the rate of tax burden in this relationship, which is equal to 19.657%. If the rate of tax burden is less than 19.657%, then an increase in the rate of tax burden significantly decreases SE. By contrast, if the rate of tax burden is greater than 19.657%, then a further increase in this rate leads to an increase in SE. In addition, we present results showing that the threshold model outperforms the linear model in terms of in-sample fits, and that the relationship between the tax burden and SE, whether above or below the former`s threshold level, is quite robust with respect to different estimation methods for SE.
關聯 經濟論文, 48卷4期, 511-555
資料類型 article
dc.contributor 經濟系
dc.creator (作者) 朱美麗
dc.creator (作者) Chu, Mei-Lie
dc.creator (作者) 林朕陞
dc.creator (作者) Lin, Chen-Sheng
dc.creator (作者) 洪福聲
dc.creator (作者) Hung, Fu-Sheng
dc.date (日期) 2020-12
dc.date.accessioned 25-五月-2021 11:06:55 (UTC+8)-
dc.date.available 25-五月-2021 11:06:55 (UTC+8)-
dc.date.issued (上傳時間) 25-五月-2021 11:06:55 (UTC+8)-
dc.identifier.uri (URI) http://nccur.lib.nccu.edu.tw/handle/140.119/135095-
dc.description.abstract (摘要) 地下經濟與租稅負擔之間存在著緊密的關係。相對於過去文獻大多從線性模型來探討租稅負擔率(或稅率)與地下經濟規模的關係,本文運用非線性的門檻模型(threshold model),以租税負擔率作為門檻變數,探討租稅負擔率與我國地下經濟規模是否存在非線性關係。實證結果支持台灣的租稅負擔與地下經濟之間存在一個門檻效果,當租稅負擔率低於19.657%時,租稅負擔率的提高將顯著降低地下經濟的規模;但若租稅負擔率高於19.657%,租稅負擔率的上升將顯著提高地下經濟的規模。從樣本內預測能力的評比中,我們也發現門檻模型確實優於線性模型,且門檻模型的結論不因地下經濟的估計方法不同而有所差異。
dc.description.abstract (摘要) A close relationship between the tax burden and the shadow economy (SE) has been established in the literature. While most existing studies examine this relationship using a linear model, this paper adopts a non-linear threshold model to identify whether there exists any tax-burden threshold effect for this relationship in Taiwan. We find that there is a threshold effect for the rate of tax burden in this relationship, which is equal to 19.657%. If the rate of tax burden is less than 19.657%, then an increase in the rate of tax burden significantly decreases SE. By contrast, if the rate of tax burden is greater than 19.657%, then a further increase in this rate leads to an increase in SE. In addition, we present results showing that the threshold model outperforms the linear model in terms of in-sample fits, and that the relationship between the tax burden and SE, whether above or below the former`s threshold level, is quite robust with respect to different estimation methods for SE.
dc.format.extent 2430288 bytes-
dc.format.mimetype application/pdf-
dc.relation (關聯) 經濟論文, 48卷4期, 511-555
dc.subject (關鍵詞) 地下經濟 ; 租稅負擔率 ; 門檻模型
dc.subject (關鍵詞) Shadow economy ; Tax burden ; Threshold model
dc.title (題名) 租稅負擔與地下經濟的門檻效果--台灣的實證研究
dc.title (題名) THRESHOLD EFFECTS IN THE RELATIONSHIP BETWEEN THE TAX BURDEN AND THE SHADOW ECONOMY: EVIDENCE FROM TAIWAN
dc.type (資料類型) article