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題名 現實主義的探究與評估：拜登政局對中華人民共和國與中華民國的潛在外交政策
A Realist Exploration and Evaluation of the Biden Administration’s Probable Foreign Policy Regarding the People’s Republic of China and the Republic of China (Taiwan)作者 鄧傑明
Denn, Benjamin貢獻者 如大維
Lorenzo, David
鄧傑明
Denn, Benjamin關鍵詞 中華人民共和國
中華民國
美國
歐巴馬
川普
拜登日期 2021 上傳時間 1-七月-2021 21:04:19 (UTC+8) 摘要 As the Biden administration begins its tenure, and an opportunity for a revision or continuation of the Trump administration’s foreign policy occurs, what are the range of policy options that the administration should consider towards the People’s Republic of China (PRC) and the Republic of China (ROC)? In addition to this, what policies are most in the interests of the administration? This thesis explores both of these questions by crafting a framework of policies towards the PRC and ROC characterized underneath a “realist spectrum” of orientations, ranging from Offensive to Defensive Realism. In order to craft this framework of policies labeled under this realist spectrum, this thesis examines the views of major academics, policymakers, and organizations in order to craft certain generalities of policy baskets used to then label policies consequently examined. From there, this thesis uses these understandings to characterize a retrospective analysis of the PRC and ROC policies of the first Obama term, Trump administration, and anticipated policies of the Biden administration. In differentiating and categorizing policies, this paper uses the DIME methodology (Diplomatic, Information, Military, and Economic) to distinguish and categorize levers of state power used within administrations in actualizing PRC and ROC policies. This paper concludes its analysis by analyzing the relative effectiveness of the Trump and Obama administration’s PRC and ROC policies to recommend a set of policies most useful to the Biden administration today. In addition, it compares the major differences and implications of those policies that it recommends to the Biden administration, and those policies that it anticipates the Biden administration to actualize. 參考文獻 References Aggarwal, Vinod K. 2021. "Taiwan’s Trade Policies." The National Bureau of Asian Research. 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國立政治大學
國際研究英語碩士學位學程(IMPIS)
108862018資料來源 http://thesis.lib.nccu.edu.tw/record/#G0108862018 資料類型 thesis dc.contributor.advisor 如大維 zh_TW dc.contributor.advisor Lorenzo, David en_US dc.contributor.author (作者) 鄧傑明 zh_TW dc.contributor.author (作者) Denn, Benjamin en_US dc.creator (作者) 鄧傑明 zh_TW dc.creator (作者) Denn, Benjamin en_US dc.date (日期) 2021 en_US dc.date.accessioned 1-七月-2021 21:04:19 (UTC+8) - dc.date.available 1-七月-2021 21:04:19 (UTC+8) - dc.date.issued (上傳時間) 1-七月-2021 21:04:19 (UTC+8) - dc.identifier (其他 識別碼) G0108862018 en_US dc.identifier.uri (URI) http://nccur.lib.nccu.edu.tw/handle/140.119/136013 - dc.description (描述) 碩士 zh_TW dc.description (描述) 國立政治大學 zh_TW dc.description (描述) 國際研究英語碩士學位學程(IMPIS) zh_TW dc.description (描述) 108862018 zh_TW dc.description.abstract (摘要) As the Biden administration begins its tenure, and an opportunity for a revision or continuation of the Trump administration’s foreign policy occurs, what are the range of policy options that the administration should consider towards the People’s Republic of China (PRC) and the Republic of China (ROC)? In addition to this, what policies are most in the interests of the administration? This thesis explores both of these questions by crafting a framework of policies towards the PRC and ROC characterized underneath a “realist spectrum” of orientations, ranging from Offensive to Defensive Realism. In order to craft this framework of policies labeled under this realist spectrum, this thesis examines the views of major academics, policymakers, and organizations in order to craft certain generalities of policy baskets used to then label policies consequently examined. From there, this thesis uses these understandings to characterize a retrospective analysis of the PRC and ROC policies of the first Obama term, Trump administration, and anticipated policies of the Biden administration. In differentiating and categorizing policies, this paper uses the DIME methodology (Diplomatic, Information, Military, and Economic) to distinguish and categorize levers of state power used within administrations in actualizing PRC and ROC policies. This paper concludes its analysis by analyzing the relative effectiveness of the Trump and Obama administration’s PRC and ROC policies to recommend a set of policies most useful to the Biden administration today. In addition, it compares the major differences and implications of those policies that it recommends to the Biden administration, and those policies that it anticipates the Biden administration to actualize. en_US dc.description.tableofcontents Table of Contents Abstract 1 Acknowledgements 2 Chapter 1: Introduction 8 1.1. Research Motivation 8 1.2. Research Proposal and Questions 10 1.3. Theoretical Orientation: Classical Realism and the Realist Spectrum 11 1.4. The National Security Interests of the United States 15 1.5. Thesis Structure and Chapter Contents 17 Chapter 2: Methodology and Background 20 2.1. The Differences Between Offensive and Defensive Realism 20 2.2. Introducing Instruments of National Power DIME Analysis 21 2.3. DIME As a Methodology 22 2.4. Comparing Obama’s and Trump’s PRC Policies 24 2.5. Comparing Obama’s and Trump’s ROC Policies 25 2.6. Anticipations of Biden’s PRC and ROC Policies 27 2.7. Propositions for Biden’s (and the United States’) PRC and ROC Policies 29 Chapter 3: Offensive Realist Policy Paradigms 32 3.1. Offensive Realism (+) Attributes 32 3.2. Offensive Realism (+) Symbolic Advocate: Senator Tom Cotton 33 3.3. Offensive Realism (+) Symbolic Advocate: The Committee on Present Danger: China 37 3.4. Offensive Realism (+) Symbolic Advocate: Mike Pompeo 40 3.5. Offensive Realism (+) PRC DIME Policies 42 3.6. Offensive Realism (+) ROC DIME Policies 48 3.7. Offensive Realism (−) Attributes 50 3.8. Offensive Realism (−) Symbolic Advocate: Peter Navarro 51 3.9. Offensive Realism (−) PRC DIME Policies 54 3.10. Offensive Realism (−) ROC DIME Policies 55 Chapter 4: Defensive Realist Policy Paradigms 57 4.1. Defensive Realism (−) Attributes 57 4.2. Defensive Realism (−) Symbolic Advocate: Fareed Zakaria 58 4.3. Defensive Realism (−) Symbolic Advocate: Kevin Rudd 59 4.4. Defensive Realism (−) PRC DIME Policies 61 4.5. Defensive Realism (−) ROC DIME Policies 62 4.6. Defensive Realism (+) Attributes 63 4.7. Defensive Realism (+) Symbolic Advocate: Charles Glaser 64 4.8. Defensive Realism (+) Symbolic Advocate: Hugh White 67 4.9. Defensive Realism (+) PRC DIME Policies 70 4.10. Defensive Realism (+) ROC DIME Policies 72 Chapter 5: Obama Administration (First-Term) DIME Analysis 73 5.1. Obama PRC DIME Policies: Analysis & Judgement 73 5.2. Obama ROC DIME Policies: Analysis & Judgement 79 5.3. Summary of Results 84 5.4. Obama Realist Orientation Rating 84 5.5. Comparison of Analysis With General Literature 85 Chapter 6: Trump Administration DIME Analysis 87 6.1. Trump PRC DIME Policies: Analysis & Judgement 87 6.2. Trump ROC DIME Policies: Analysis & Judgement 94 6.3. Summary of Results 100 6.4. Trump Realist Orientation Rating 100 6.5. Comparison of Analysis With General Literature 101 Chapter 7: Biden Administration DIME Analysis 103 7.1. Biden PRC DIME Policies: Analysis & Judgement 103 7.2. Biden ROC DIME Policies: Analysis & Judgement 110 7.3. Summary of Results 117 7.4. Biden Realist Orientation Rating 117 Chapter 8: The Biden Administration’s Interests and Recommended Orientation 119 8.1. The PRC and American National Security Interests Under Biden 119 8.2. The ROC and American National Security Interests Under Biden 124 8.3. A Defensive Realist (−) Approach: Replicating Obama’s Policies Today 125 8.4. An Offensive Realist (−) Approach: Replicating Trump’s Policies Today 126 8.5. A Realist Orientation in the Interests of the Biden Administration 127 Chapter 9: Conclusion 129 9.1. Biden’s Recommended PRC DIME Policies 129 9.2. Biden’s Recommended ROC DIME Policies 132 9.3. Biden’s Recommended and Anticipated Policies Compared 133 9.4. Implications for American Foreign Policy at Large: Détente with Russia 134 References 137 Appendix: Relevant Tables 152 PRC Realist Orientation & DIME Policies Table 152 ROC Realist Orientation & DIME Policies Table 153 Tables and Figures Figure 1: The Spectrum of Realism 13 Figure 2: The Primary National Security Interests of the United States 15 Figure 3: Realist Orientation Policy Paradigm Creation Process 17 Figure 4: Obama, Trump, and Biden DIME Categorization and Realist Rating Process 18 Table 1: Obama PRC DIME Policy Orientation Ratings 84 Table 2: Obama ROC DIME Policy Orientation Ratings 84 Table 3: Trump PRC DIME Policy Orientation Ratings 100 Table 4: Trump ROC DIME Policy Orientation Ratings 100 Table 5: Biden PRC DIME Policy Orientation Ratings 117 Table 6: Biden ROC DIME Policy Orientation Ratings 117 Table 7: PRC Realist Orientation & DIME Policies Table 152 Table 8: ROC Realist Orientation & DIME Policies Table 153 zh_TW dc.source.uri (資料來源) http://thesis.lib.nccu.edu.tw/record/#G0108862018 en_US dc.subject (關鍵詞) 中華人民共和國 zh_TW dc.subject (關鍵詞) 中華民國 zh_TW dc.subject (關鍵詞) 美國 zh_TW dc.subject (關鍵詞) 歐巴馬 zh_TW dc.subject (關鍵詞) 川普 zh_TW dc.subject (關鍵詞) 拜登 zh_TW dc.title (題名) 現實主義的探究與評估：拜登政局對中華人民共和國與中華民國的潛在外交政策 zh_TW dc.title (題名) A Realist Exploration and Evaluation of the Biden Administration’s Probable Foreign Policy Regarding the People’s Republic of China and the Republic of China (Taiwan) en_US dc.type (資料類型) thesis en_US dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) References Aggarwal, Vinod K. 2021. 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