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題名 美中於東南亞的競逐戰略：權力轉移重現或反轉
Strategizing US-China Competition in Southeast Asia: Power Transition Revisited or Reversed?
作者 張喁
Chang, Yu
貢獻者 楊昊
Yang, Hao
張喁
Chang, Yu
關鍵詞 權力轉移
重返亞洲
印太戰略
一帶一路
Power transition
Pivot to Asia
Indo-Pacific Strategy
BRI
日期 2021
上傳時間 1-Nov-2021 12:16:44 (UTC+8)
摘要 冷戰結束以來，世界形成單一超強的穩定階層體系。然而美國的相對衰退以及中國崛起成為其主要挑戰者，帶來另一個冷戰的隱憂。隨著川普上任後對中貿易戰如火如荼的開展，全球不再平靜，二戰後未見的衝突規模隱然若現。就權力平衡的觀點，強權間的均勢帶來國際體系的穩定，然而權力轉移論卻認為此刻若一國對另一國或現狀不滿意，發動戰爭的可能性便會遽增。於此美中對立節節升高之際，本文分析二國於東南亞的戰略、實際作為、與各國的反應，研究權力轉移是否已然重現，或是原有霸權得以反轉該趨勢。
For the past three decades, the world is dominated by a stable hierarchy with only one superpower, i.e., the US. However, the relative decline of the US and the rise of China as America’s leading competitor, however, appear to shadow globe with the concern of another cold war. The trade war given rise to by the Trump government against China is now going on like a raging fire. As the Khmer proverb goes, “When elephants fight, the ants perish.” The whole world is unrestful with the two major powers “communicating” violently. At the beginning of year 2018, The Economist published a cover story titled, “The Next War: The Growing Danger of Great Power Conflict”, which detailed how shifts in technology and geopolitics are bringing the threat of great-power conflict back. In this view, “conflict on a scale and intensity not seen since the Second World War is once again plausible.”

Of the scope of Balance of Power, the international system leans to peace when the power of major players converges to equivalence. While borrowing the lens of Power Transition Theory to look into the competition between the two great powers, China and the US, when one state’s power approaches that of another state and dissatisfaction level is high, the risk of initiating a war soars. As the confrontation between is escalating, the paper is to look into primary official documents as well as secondary data supplemented with the study of the practice of both sides in Southeast Asia and analyze whether power transition has revisited this era or the current dominant power can reverse the shift of power.
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描述 博士
國立政治大學
亞太研究英語博士學位學程(IDAS)
992655051
資料來源 http://thesis.lib.nccu.edu.tw/record/#G0992655051
資料類型 thesis
dc.contributor.advisor 楊昊zh_TW
dc.contributor.advisor Yang, Haoen_US
dc.contributor.author (Authors) 張喁zh_TW
dc.contributor.author (Authors) Chang, Yuen_US
dc.creator (作者) 張喁zh_TW
dc.creator (作者) Chang, Yuen_US
dc.date (日期) 2021en_US
dc.date.accessioned 1-Nov-2021 12:16:44 (UTC+8)-
dc.date.available 1-Nov-2021 12:16:44 (UTC+8)-
dc.date.issued (上傳時間) 1-Nov-2021 12:16:44 (UTC+8)-
dc.identifier (Other Identifiers) G0992655051en_US
dc.identifier.uri (URI) http://nccur.lib.nccu.edu.tw/handle/140.119/137723-
dc.description (描述) 博士zh_TW
dc.description (描述) 國立政治大學zh_TW
dc.description (描述) 亞太研究英語博士學位學程(IDAS)zh_TW
dc.description (描述) 992655051zh_TW
dc.description.abstract (摘要) 冷戰結束以來，世界形成單一超強的穩定階層體系。然而美國的相對衰退以及中國崛起成為其主要挑戰者，帶來另一個冷戰的隱憂。隨著川普上任後對中貿易戰如火如荼的開展，全球不再平靜，二戰後未見的衝突規模隱然若現。就權力平衡的觀點，強權間的均勢帶來國際體系的穩定，然而權力轉移論卻認為此刻若一國對另一國或現狀不滿意，發動戰爭的可能性便會遽增。於此美中對立節節升高之際，本文分析二國於東南亞的戰略、實際作為、與各國的反應，研究權力轉移是否已然重現，或是原有霸權得以反轉該趨勢。zh_TW
dc.description.abstract (摘要) For the past three decades, the world is dominated by a stable hierarchy with only one superpower, i.e., the US. However, the relative decline of the US and the rise of China as America’s leading competitor, however, appear to shadow globe with the concern of another cold war. The trade war given rise to by the Trump government against China is now going on like a raging fire. As the Khmer proverb goes, “When elephants fight, the ants perish.” The whole world is unrestful with the two major powers “communicating” violently. At the beginning of year 2018, The Economist published a cover story titled, “The Next War: The Growing Danger of Great Power Conflict”, which detailed how shifts in technology and geopolitics are bringing the threat of great-power conflict back. In this view, “conflict on a scale and intensity not seen since the Second World War is once again plausible.”

Of the scope of Balance of Power, the international system leans to peace when the power of major players converges to equivalence. While borrowing the lens of Power Transition Theory to look into the competition between the two great powers, China and the US, when one state’s power approaches that of another state and dissatisfaction level is high, the risk of initiating a war soars. As the confrontation between is escalating, the paper is to look into primary official documents as well as secondary data supplemented with the study of the practice of both sides in Southeast Asia and analyze whether power transition has revisited this era or the current dominant power can reverse the shift of power.		en_US
dc.description.tableofcontents Chapter 1 Introduction 1
1.1 Research Questions 1
1.2 Methodology and Data Analysis 2
1.3 Plan of the Dissertation 10
Chapter 2 Literature Review 12
Chapter 3 Evolution of the Schemes and Strategies of the US 29
3.1 Obama’s Pivot to Asia Strategy 30
3.2 Trump’s Indo-Pacific Strategy 41
3.3 Comparison of the Strategies 52
3.4 Impact to the Centrality and Unity of ASEAN 55
Chapter 4 Evolution of the Schemes and Strategies of China 74
4.1 From Deng to Hu’s “Tao Guang Yang Hui” 76
4.2 Xi Jinping’s “Chinese Dream” 78
4.3 Major Projects and Controversies in Southeast Asia 83
4.3.1 Belt and Road Initiative in Myanmar 85
4.3.2 Belt and Road Initiative in Malaysia 92
4.3.3 Belt and Road Initiative in Vietnam 98
4.3.4 Belt and Road Initiative in Thailand 102
4.3.5 Belt and Road Initiative in Singapore 105
Chapter 5 Conclusion 110
5.1 Main Findings 110
5.2 Contribution and Implications 112
References 116
Appendix 132		zh_TW
dc.format.extent 5571765 bytes-
dc.format.mimetype application/pdf-
dc.source.uri (資料來源) http://thesis.lib.nccu.edu.tw/record/#G0992655051en_US
dc.subject (關鍵詞) 權力轉移zh_TW
dc.subject (關鍵詞) 重返亞洲zh_TW
dc.subject (關鍵詞) 印太戰略zh_TW
dc.subject (關鍵詞) 一帶一路zh_TW
dc.subject (關鍵詞) Power transitionen_US
dc.subject (關鍵詞) Pivot to Asiaen_US
dc.subject (關鍵詞) Indo-Pacific Strategyen_US
dc.subject (關鍵詞) BRIen_US
dc.title (題名) 美中於東南亞的競逐戰略：權力轉移重現或反轉zh_TW
dc.title (題名) Strategizing US-China Competition in Southeast Asia: Power Transition Revisited or Reversed?en_US
dc.type (資料類型) thesisen_US
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dc.identifier.doi (DOI) 10.6814/NCCU202101670en_US