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題名 Expectation and cooperation in prisoner`s dilemmas: The moderating role of game riskiness
作者 吳庭達
Ng , Gary Ting Tat
Au, Wing Tung
貢獻者 心理系
關鍵詞 Prisoner’s dilemma;Risk aversion;Risk orientation;Expectation of cooperation;Game riskiness
日期 2016-04
上傳時間 10-二月-2022 11:32:32 (UTC+8)
摘要 This paper investigated the effect of risk orientation, game riskiness, and expectation of cooperation on cooperation in one-shot prisoner’s dilemmas (PD). Participants in pairs played PD games that varied on game riskiness such that for half of the games cooperation was more risky than defection (more risky games) while for another half cooperation was less risky (less risky games). They estimated how likely it was that the other player was going to cooperate (expectation of cooperation) before they made their cooperation/defection decision on each game. Supporting the Goal/Expectation Hypothesis, we replicated the effect that expectation of cooperation enhanced cooperation. We also found that risk-seeking individuals cooperated more in more risky games whereas risk-averse individuals cooperated more in less risky games. More importantly, we found that game riskiness moderated the effect of expectation of cooperation on cooperation. The positive effect of expectation of cooperation on cooperation was stronger for more risky games than for less risky games. Our results illustrated how the relation between expectation and cooperation as stipulated by the Goal/Expectation Hypothesis was moderated by riskiness of the situations. A prisoner’s dilemma (PD) models a situation that a decision of achieving an optimal individual outcome leads to a suboptimal collective outcome. In a typical two-person PD game, each player decides simultaneously whether to cooperate or defect. If both players choose to cooperate, both receive the reward outcome (R). If one chooses to cooperate and one chooses to defect, the one who defected receives the temptation outcome (T), while the one who cooperated receives the sucker outcome (S). If both players choose to defect, both receive the punishment outcome (P). The dilemma arises when these four outcomes satisfy a condition such that T > R > P > S (Rapoport, 1967). Players unavoidably face risk due to uncertainty of outcomes because choosing cooperation faces the uncertainty of getting either R or S; while choosing defection faces the uncertainty of getting T or P. Understanding how risk is related to cooperation in PD is thus essential. Numerous studies have investigated the relation between an individual’s risk orientation and cooperation, but the results were inconsistent (e.g., de Heus, Hoogervorst, & Dijk, 2010; Glöckner & Hilbig, 2012; Sabater-Grande & Georgantzis, 2002). In this paper, we explore further how riskiness of situation and individual difference in risk orientation can influence cooperation by incorporating expectation of cooperation in the context of one-shot PD games in which a game is played once only.
關聯 Psychonomic Bulletin & Review, Vol.23, No.2, pp.353–360
資料類型 article
DOI https://doi.org/10.3758/s13423-015-0911-7
dc.contributor 心理系
dc.creator (作者) 吳庭達
dc.creator (作者) Ng , Gary Ting Tat
dc.creator (作者) Au, Wing Tung
dc.date (日期) 2016-04
dc.date.accessioned 10-二月-2022 11:32:32 (UTC+8)-
dc.date.available 10-二月-2022 11:32:32 (UTC+8)-
dc.date.issued (上傳時間) 10-二月-2022 11:32:32 (UTC+8)-
dc.identifier.uri (URI) http://nccur.lib.nccu.edu.tw/handle/140.119/138853-
dc.description.abstract (摘要) This paper investigated the effect of risk orientation, game riskiness, and expectation of cooperation on cooperation in one-shot prisoner’s dilemmas (PD). Participants in pairs played PD games that varied on game riskiness such that for half of the games cooperation was more risky than defection (more risky games) while for another half cooperation was less risky (less risky games). They estimated how likely it was that the other player was going to cooperate (expectation of cooperation) before they made their cooperation/defection decision on each game. Supporting the Goal/Expectation Hypothesis, we replicated the effect that expectation of cooperation enhanced cooperation. We also found that risk-seeking individuals cooperated more in more risky games whereas risk-averse individuals cooperated more in less risky games. More importantly, we found that game riskiness moderated the effect of expectation of cooperation on cooperation. The positive effect of expectation of cooperation on cooperation was stronger for more risky games than for less risky games. Our results illustrated how the relation between expectation and cooperation as stipulated by the Goal/Expectation Hypothesis was moderated by riskiness of the situations. A prisoner’s dilemma (PD) models a situation that a decision of achieving an optimal individual outcome leads to a suboptimal collective outcome. In a typical two-person PD game, each player decides simultaneously whether to cooperate or defect. If both players choose to cooperate, both receive the reward outcome (R). If one chooses to cooperate and one chooses to defect, the one who defected receives the temptation outcome (T), while the one who cooperated receives the sucker outcome (S). If both players choose to defect, both receive the punishment outcome (P). The dilemma arises when these four outcomes satisfy a condition such that T > R > P > S (Rapoport, 1967). Players unavoidably face risk due to uncertainty of outcomes because choosing cooperation faces the uncertainty of getting either R or S; while choosing defection faces the uncertainty of getting T or P. Understanding how risk is related to cooperation in PD is thus essential. Numerous studies have investigated the relation between an individual’s risk orientation and cooperation, but the results were inconsistent (e.g., de Heus, Hoogervorst, & Dijk, 2010; Glöckner & Hilbig, 2012; Sabater-Grande & Georgantzis, 2002). In this paper, we explore further how riskiness of situation and individual difference in risk orientation can influence cooperation by incorporating expectation of cooperation in the context of one-shot PD games in which a game is played once only.
dc.format.extent 502040 bytes-
dc.format.mimetype application/pdf-
dc.relation (關聯) Psychonomic Bulletin & Review, Vol.23, No.2, pp.353–360
dc.subject (關鍵詞) Prisoner’s dilemma;Risk aversion;Risk orientation;Expectation of cooperation;Game riskiness
dc.title (題名) Expectation and cooperation in prisoner`s dilemmas: The moderating role of game riskiness
dc.type (資料類型) article
dc.identifier.doi (DOI) 10.3758/s13423-015-0911-7
dc.doi.uri (DOI) https://doi.org/10.3758/s13423-015-0911-7