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題名 探討威權政體型態與溫室氣體排放之間的關聯性：1972-2014年
The correlation between Authoritarian regime types and greenhouse gas emission: 1972-2014作者 古惠如 貢獻者 張文揚
古惠如關鍵詞 威權政體型態
氣候變遷
環境治理
Authoritarian regime types
Climate change
Environmental governance日期 2021 上傳時間 10-二月-2022 13:16:33 (UTC+8) 摘要 由於威權主義的研究為我們呈現文官威權、皇室與軍事等各類型威權政體型態的多元性，本研究欲探討的問題為不同的威權政體型態是否針對氣候變遷危機的應對能力亦有所差異？依據氣候變遷危機在政治層面上，特別是威權國家，所形成的挑戰，本研究提出威權政體型態在攏絡社會與穩定統治之兩種面向的能力上可能發展出差異，且分別以文官威權、君主政體型態為具備該項優勢的代表。透過從1972年到2014年間的威權政體型態作為研究的主要解釋變數，以及人均二氧化碳排放量作為結果變數，本研究依據大樣本數據的量化分析後發現：在所有威權政體型態中，君主威權政體型態對於排放量的傾向是負向影響，顯示其為表現較好的威權政體型態；軍事政體的表現則次之，以包含一黨、有限多黨政體型態的文官威權作為表現最差的類型。前述的排序在納入經濟、資源消耗、人口等控制變數後並沒有改變，此外，使用其他作者所分類的威權政體型態也大抵呈現君主政體型態的優勢以及文官威權政體型態的劣勢。據此，本研究認為有關於攏絡社會能力與穩定統治能力對氣候治理之表現差異所形成的競爭性解釋，以君主政體型態之減碳表現具備統計上的顯著影響而以穩定統治作為較具影響力的解釋。本研究最後認為未來的探討方現有針對中東與北非地區之君主國家形成較深入的個案研究，亦或是形成比較研究之必要，以幫助我們增進威權主義與氣候治理之間的學術對話。
Since the study of authoritarianism has revealed the diversity of various types of authoritarian regimes, such as civil, monarchy and military, the question to be explored in this study is whether different types of authoritarian regimes are also different in their ability to cope with climate change crisis. In light of the political challenges posed by the climate change crisis, especially in authoritarian states, this study suggests that authoritarian regimes may develop differences in their ability to integrate society and stabilize governance, with civil authoritarianism and monarchical regimes as the representatives of this advantage respectively.Through the type of authoritarian regime from 1972 to 2014 as the research main independent variables, as well as the carbon emissions per capita as the dependent variables, this study based on large sample data of quantitative analysis showed: among all the authoritarian regime type, tendency of the monarchy regime type for emissions has the most negative impact, indicating that it has best performance; The military regime is the on the second place, while the civil authoritarianism which includes one party and limited multi-party regime is the worst.The above ranking does not change when controlling variables such as economy, resource consumption and population are taken into account. In addition, the authoritarian regimes classified by other authors generally show the advantages of the monarchy and the disadvantages of the civil authoritarian regimes. Accordingly, this study considers the debate over the competing explanations formed by the ability of cooption and the ability of stability can be justified with the monarchy regimes being the type whose carbon reduction performance has statistically significant influence, which explains to stabilize the rule is the more influential factor. 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國立政治大學
外交學系
107253010資料來源 http://thesis.lib.nccu.edu.tw/record/#G0107253010 資料類型 thesis dc.contributor.advisor 張文揚 zh_TW dc.contributor.author (作者) 古惠如 zh_TW dc.creator (作者) 古惠如 zh_TW dc.date (日期) 2021 en_US dc.date.accessioned 10-二月-2022 13:16:33 (UTC+8) - dc.date.available 10-二月-2022 13:16:33 (UTC+8) - dc.date.issued (上傳時間) 10-二月-2022 13:16:33 (UTC+8) - dc.identifier (其他 識別碼) G0107253010 en_US dc.identifier.uri (URI) http://nccur.lib.nccu.edu.tw/handle/140.119/138981 - dc.description (描述) 碩士 zh_TW dc.description (描述) 國立政治大學 zh_TW dc.description (描述) 外交學系 zh_TW dc.description (描述) 107253010 zh_TW dc.description.abstract (摘要) 由於威權主義的研究為我們呈現文官威權、皇室與軍事等各類型威權政體型態的多元性，本研究欲探討的問題為不同的威權政體型態是否針對氣候變遷危機的應對能力亦有所差異？依據氣候變遷危機在政治層面上，特別是威權國家，所形成的挑戰，本研究提出威權政體型態在攏絡社會與穩定統治之兩種面向的能力上可能發展出差異，且分別以文官威權、君主政體型態為具備該項優勢的代表。透過從1972年到2014年間的威權政體型態作為研究的主要解釋變數，以及人均二氧化碳排放量作為結果變數，本研究依據大樣本數據的量化分析後發現：在所有威權政體型態中，君主威權政體型態對於排放量的傾向是負向影響，顯示其為表現較好的威權政體型態；軍事政體的表現則次之，以包含一黨、有限多黨政體型態的文官威權作為表現最差的類型。前述的排序在納入經濟、資源消耗、人口等控制變數後並沒有改變，此外，使用其他作者所分類的威權政體型態也大抵呈現君主政體型態的優勢以及文官威權政體型態的劣勢。據此，本研究認為有關於攏絡社會能力與穩定統治能力對氣候治理之表現差異所形成的競爭性解釋，以君主政體型態之減碳表現具備統計上的顯著影響而以穩定統治作為較具影響力的解釋。本研究最後認為未來的探討方現有針對中東與北非地區之君主國家形成較深入的個案研究，亦或是形成比較研究之必要，以幫助我們增進威權主義與氣候治理之間的學術對話。 zh_TW dc.description.abstract (摘要) Since the study of authoritarianism has revealed the diversity of various types of authoritarian regimes, such as civil, monarchy and military, the question to be explored in this study is whether different types of authoritarian regimes are also different in their ability to cope with climate change crisis. In light of the political challenges posed by the climate change crisis, especially in authoritarian states, this study suggests that authoritarian regimes may develop differences in their ability to integrate society and stabilize governance, with civil authoritarianism and monarchical regimes as the representatives of this advantage respectively.Through the type of authoritarian regime from 1972 to 2014 as the research main independent variables, as well as the carbon emissions per capita as the dependent variables, this study based on large sample data of quantitative analysis showed: among all the authoritarian regime type, tendency of the monarchy regime type for emissions has the most negative impact, indicating that it has best performance; The military regime is the on the second place, while the civil authoritarianism which includes one party and limited multi-party regime is the worst.The above ranking does not change when controlling variables such as economy, resource consumption and population are taken into account. In addition, the authoritarian regimes classified by other authors generally show the advantages of the monarchy and the disadvantages of the civil authoritarian regimes. Accordingly, this study considers the debate over the competing explanations formed by the ability of cooption and the ability of stability can be justified with the monarchy regimes being the type whose carbon reduction performance has statistically significant influence, which explains to stabilize the rule is the more influential factor. In the end, this study suggests that further case studies or comparative studies of monarchies in the Middle East and North Africa (MENA) may be necessary in order to enhance the academic dialogue between authoritarianism and climate governance. en_US dc.description.tableofcontents 第一章 緒論 1第一節 研究動機與目的 1第二節 研究方法 7第三節 研究範圍與限制 8第四節 章節安排 9第二章 文獻回顧 11第一節 威權政體型態與存續 13第二節 威權政體型態與經濟發展 16第三節 威權政體型態對衝突行為影響 18第四節 小結 22第三章 研究理論與架構 23第一節 威權領導者減碳動機的一致性 24第二節 威權領導者減碳能力的差異 26第三節 小結 31第四章 變數來源、操作與研究方法 35第一節 溫室氣體排放量 35第二節 威權政體型態 36第三節 更多經濟、社會與政治變數 41第四節 研究設計與方法 44第五章 統計結果 45第一節 敘述統計 45第二節 統計結果 49第三節 穩健性檢驗 53第六章 結論 57第一節 討論 57第二節 未來研究建議 61參考資料 63附件一 75附件二 78 zh_TW dc.format.extent 2875650 bytes - dc.format.mimetype application/pdf - dc.source.uri (資料來源) http://thesis.lib.nccu.edu.tw/record/#G0107253010 en_US dc.subject (關鍵詞) 威權政體型態 zh_TW dc.subject (關鍵詞) 氣候變遷 zh_TW dc.subject (關鍵詞) 環境治理 zh_TW dc.subject (關鍵詞) Authoritarian regime types en_US dc.subject (關鍵詞) Climate change en_US dc.subject (關鍵詞) Environmental governance en_US dc.title (題名) 探討威權政體型態與溫室氣體排放之間的關聯性：1972-2014年 zh_TW dc.title (題名) The correlation between Authoritarian regime types and greenhouse gas emission: 1972-2014 en_US dc.type (資料類型) thesis en_US dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) 呂素蓮，施泰彬，2018，〈從犯罪類型探討所得分配不均程度與刑案發生率相關性研究〉，《犯罪與刑事司法研究 》，30：1-44。李河清，2004，〈知識社群與全球氣候談判〉，《問題與研究》，43(6)：73-102。周晚晴，2019，〈亞馬遜的火為何燃燒？又是誰在火上澆油？〉，https://theinitium.com/article/20190915-opinion-brazil-rainforest/，查閱時間：2020/3/3。葉俊榮，1993，《環境政策與法律，臺大法學叢書（六三）》，台北：元照。Ahlers, Anna Lisa, and Yongdong Shen. 2017. “Breathe Easy? 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