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題名 中國收編越南菁英─運用影響力以達地緣政治目的之分析
Chinese Co-opting of Vietnamese Elites: An Analysis in the Exercise of Influence to Achieve Geopolitical Ends
作者 柏傑宓
Blaxland, James
貢獻者 林永芳
Ling, Yung-Fang
柏傑宓
Blaxland, James
關鍵詞 中國
越南
菁英
China
Vietnam
Elites
日期 2022
上傳時間 1-三月-2022 18:18:54 (UTC+8)
摘要 隨著中華人民共和國成為一個日益強大的全球參與者,中國共產黨大幅增加了其影響世界各國菁英的企圖。儘管這是一個有據可查的現象,但有些國家仍對此策略的研究較少。越南儘管是 21 世紀少數幾個名義上屬共產主義的國家之一,且與其強大的北方鄰國有著悠久的交織歷史,越南對於中國是否試著以及如何在該國菁英階級中獲得影響力,仍缺乏相關研究。

本文旨在彌補研究中的此一空白。本文首先透過案例研究,分析中國對於進入其勢力範圍的東南亞國家菁英的影響力。透過這一點,研究建立了影響者和受影響者的行為模式,可用於分析越南政治和商業不透明領域的情況。接著本文分析了中國與越南政府、企業和國有企業領域之間互動的幾個案例研究。研究發現,在東南亞的案例中,菁英階級對於越南背景下潛在持有者和目標的影響力,所表現出的行為模式存在相當大的重疊。鑑於兩國之間的來往關係密切,本文假設在中國對越南菁英日積月累的影響下,可能會對這個東南亞國家未來的政治穩定產生重大影響。
As the People’s Republic of China has become an increasingly powerful global player, the Chinese Communist Party has substantially increased its attempts to influence elites in countries around the world. Though this is a well-documented phenomenon, there are some countries in which this tactic has been less researched. Vietnam, despite being one of the few other nominally communist countries in existence in the 21st century, and despite having a long intertwining history with its powerful northern neighbour, is one such country where there is a dearth of research into whether and how Chinese actors are seeking to gain influence among elites.

This paper seeks to correct this gap in the research. It does so, firstly by analysing case studies of Chinese influence of elites in Southeast Asian countries that have moved into China’s sphere of influence. Through this, the research establishes patterns of behaviour, both on the part of the influencer and the influenced, which can be used to analyse the situation in the opaque realm of Vietnamese politics and business. From here, the research analyses several case studies of interactions between Chinese entities and Vietnamese figures in the fields of government, business, and state-owned enterprises. The research finds that there is considerable overlap in patterns of elite influence in the Southeast Asian case studies, and in the patterns of behaviour exhibited by potential purveyors and targets of influence in the Vietnamese context. Given the frequently fraught nature of the ties between these two countries, this paper hypothesises that ongoing Chinese influence of elites in Vietnam could have substantial ramifications for the Southeast Asian nation’s political stability in the future.
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描述 碩士
國立政治大學
國際研究英語碩士學位學程(IMPIS)
106862019
資料來源 http://thesis.lib.nccu.edu.tw/record/#G0106862019
資料類型 thesis
dc.contributor.advisor 林永芳zh_TW
dc.contributor.advisor Ling, Yung-Fangen_US
dc.contributor.author (作者) 柏傑宓zh_TW
dc.contributor.author (作者) Blaxland, Jamesen_US
dc.creator (作者) 柏傑宓zh_TW
dc.creator (作者) Blaxland, Jamesen_US
dc.date (日期) 2022en_US
dc.date.accessioned 1-三月-2022 18:18:54 (UTC+8)-
dc.date.available 1-三月-2022 18:18:54 (UTC+8)-
dc.date.issued (上傳時間) 1-三月-2022 18:18:54 (UTC+8)-
dc.identifier (其他 識別碼) G0106862019en_US
dc.identifier.uri (URI) http://nccur.lib.nccu.edu.tw/handle/140.119/139312-
dc.description (描述) 碩士zh_TW
dc.description (描述) 國立政治大學zh_TW
dc.description (描述) 國際研究英語碩士學位學程(IMPIS)zh_TW
dc.description (描述) 106862019zh_TW
dc.description.abstract (摘要) 隨著中華人民共和國成為一個日益強大的全球參與者,中國共產黨大幅增加了其影響世界各國菁英的企圖。儘管這是一個有據可查的現象,但有些國家仍對此策略的研究較少。越南儘管是 21 世紀少數幾個名義上屬共產主義的國家之一,且與其強大的北方鄰國有著悠久的交織歷史,越南對於中國是否試著以及如何在該國菁英階級中獲得影響力,仍缺乏相關研究。

本文旨在彌補研究中的此一空白。本文首先透過案例研究,分析中國對於進入其勢力範圍的東南亞國家菁英的影響力。透過這一點,研究建立了影響者和受影響者的行為模式,可用於分析越南政治和商業不透明領域的情況。接著本文分析了中國與越南政府、企業和國有企業領域之間互動的幾個案例研究。研究發現,在東南亞的案例中,菁英階級對於越南背景下潛在持有者和目標的影響力,所表現出的行為模式存在相當大的重疊。鑑於兩國之間的來往關係密切,本文假設在中國對越南菁英日積月累的影響下,可能會對這個東南亞國家未來的政治穩定產生重大影響。
zh_TW
dc.description.abstract (摘要) As the People’s Republic of China has become an increasingly powerful global player, the Chinese Communist Party has substantially increased its attempts to influence elites in countries around the world. Though this is a well-documented phenomenon, there are some countries in which this tactic has been less researched. Vietnam, despite being one of the few other nominally communist countries in existence in the 21st century, and despite having a long intertwining history with its powerful northern neighbour, is one such country where there is a dearth of research into whether and how Chinese actors are seeking to gain influence among elites.

This paper seeks to correct this gap in the research. It does so, firstly by analysing case studies of Chinese influence of elites in Southeast Asian countries that have moved into China’s sphere of influence. Through this, the research establishes patterns of behaviour, both on the part of the influencer and the influenced, which can be used to analyse the situation in the opaque realm of Vietnamese politics and business. From here, the research analyses several case studies of interactions between Chinese entities and Vietnamese figures in the fields of government, business, and state-owned enterprises. The research finds that there is considerable overlap in patterns of elite influence in the Southeast Asian case studies, and in the patterns of behaviour exhibited by potential purveyors and targets of influence in the Vietnamese context. Given the frequently fraught nature of the ties between these two countries, this paper hypothesises that ongoing Chinese influence of elites in Vietnam could have substantial ramifications for the Southeast Asian nation’s political stability in the future.
en_US
dc.description.tableofcontents Acknowledgements iii

Abstract iv

List of Acronyms v

List of Figures vi

Chapter 1: Introduction 1
1.1 Background to the Research 1
1.1.1 Motivation 1
1.1.2 Significance of the Study 2
1.1.3 Research Questions 5
1.2 Literature Review 6
1.2.1 Review of Literature Regarding Chinese Elite Influence 6
1.2.2 Review of Literature Regarding Sino-Vietnamese Relations and Vietnamese Politics 10
1.2.3 Contribution of this Research to the Existing Literature 14
1.3 Analytical Framework 14
1.4 Research Scope and Delimitations 18
1.4 Outline of Thesis 20

Chapter 2: Overview and Analysis of Chinese Influence of Elites in Southeast Asia 21
2.1 Selected Case Studies of Chinese Elite Influence 21
2.1.1 Cambodia Under Prime Minister Hun Sen: An Enemy Turned Ally 21
2.1.2 The Philippines: From International Courts, to Being Courted Internationally 25
2.2 Observations from the Case Studies Regarding the Nature of Chinese Elite Influence 28

Chapter 3. Case Studies of Chinese Influence of Elites in Vietnam 32
3.1 The Vietnam Cybersecurity Law and Security Bureaucracy 32
3.2 PetroVietnam’s Conflict-of-Interest Loans 36
3.3 Special Economic Zones and Sovereignty Concerns 38
3.4 Geleximco Group’s Infrastructure Ambitions 42
3.5 Other Investment Activities of Interest 44
3.5.1 The Abandoned Port in Vung Tau 44
3.5.2 The Vinh Tan Power Plants 46
3.5.3 Hanoi’s Troubled Rapid Transit Project 47
3.5.4 Vietnam Electricity and the Duyen Hai Power Complex 47

Chapter 4. Analysis of Results and Implications 49
4.1 Assessment of the Depth, Breadth, and Effectiveness of Chinese Elite Influence 49
4.2 Potential Implications for Vietnamese Politics in the Future 54

Chapter 5. Conclusion 55

Reference List 59
zh_TW
dc.format.extent 1014296 bytes-
dc.format.mimetype application/pdf-
dc.source.uri (資料來源) http://thesis.lib.nccu.edu.tw/record/#G0106862019en_US
dc.subject (關鍵詞) 中國zh_TW
dc.subject (關鍵詞) 越南zh_TW
dc.subject (關鍵詞) 菁英zh_TW
dc.subject (關鍵詞) Chinaen_US
dc.subject (關鍵詞) Vietnamen_US
dc.subject (關鍵詞) Elitesen_US
dc.title (題名) 中國收編越南菁英─運用影響力以達地緣政治目的之分析zh_TW
dc.title (題名) Chinese Co-opting of Vietnamese Elites: An Analysis in the Exercise of Influence to Achieve Geopolitical Endsen_US
dc.type (資料類型) thesisen_US
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dc.identifier.doi (DOI) 10.6814/NCCU202200293en_US