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題名 The discontinuous effect of economic performance on political turnover
作者 潘振宇
Pan, Chen-Yu
Tsai, Pi-Han
貢獻者 國貿系
關鍵詞 Political turnover;voting behaviour;economic growth;economic voting
日期 2021-06
上傳時間 2022-04-12
摘要 This paper re-examines the asymmetric marginal effect of economic variables on voting. By applying the comprehensive cross-country panel data of democracies from 1975 to 2016, the empirical results demonstrate that there is a striking discontinuity in the relationship between economic performance and political turnover, in the sense that voters are sensitive to incumbents’ economic performance when the countries are during the economic prosperity but are less sensitive during the economic recession. The results are robust no matter we use the absolute growth rate or relative growth rate of the country, and no matter voters’ reaction in response to political turnover is conditional on the institutional factor or not.
關聯 Applied Economics Letter, Vol.29, No.17, pp.1564-1570
資料類型 article
DOI https://doi.org/10.1080/13504851.2021.1947956
dc.contributor 國貿系-
dc.creator (作者) 潘振宇-
dc.creator (作者) Pan, Chen-Yu-
dc.creator (作者) Tsai, Pi-Han-
dc.date (日期) 2021-06-
dc.date.accessioned 2022-04-12-
dc.date.available 2022-04-12-
dc.date.issued (上傳時間) 2022-04-12-
dc.identifier.uri (URI) http://nccur.lib.nccu.edu.tw/handle/140.119/139832-
dc.description.abstract (摘要) This paper re-examines the asymmetric marginal effect of economic variables on voting. By applying the comprehensive cross-country panel data of democracies from 1975 to 2016, the empirical results demonstrate that there is a striking discontinuity in the relationship between economic performance and political turnover, in the sense that voters are sensitive to incumbents’ economic performance when the countries are during the economic prosperity but are less sensitive during the economic recession. The results are robust no matter we use the absolute growth rate or relative growth rate of the country, and no matter voters’ reaction in response to political turnover is conditional on the institutional factor or not.-
dc.format.extent 737687 bytes-
dc.format.mimetype application/pdf-
dc.relation (關聯) Applied Economics Letter, Vol.29, No.17, pp.1564-1570-
dc.subject (關鍵詞) Political turnover;voting behaviour;economic growth;economic voting-
dc.title (題名) The discontinuous effect of economic performance on political turnover-
dc.type (資料類型) article-
dc.identifier.doi (DOI) 10.1080/13504851.2021.1947956-
dc.doi.uri (DOI) https://doi.org/10.1080/13504851.2021.1947956-