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題名 外交承認轉變對政治及經濟發展的影響：巴拿馬、薩爾瓦多和哥斯大黎加三國的個案研究
The Impact of Shifting Diplomatic Recognition from ROC to PRC on Latin American Countries’ Political and Economic Development: Case Studies of Panama, El Salvador, and Costa Rica作者 高尉
Galvez, Hector Emilio Avila貢獻者 薛健吾
Alex Chien-Wu Hsueh
高尉
Hector Emilio Avila Galvez關鍵詞 中國
臺灣
外交關係
不連續回歸設計
政治發展
經濟發展
巴拿馬
薩爾瓦多
哥斯大黎加
China
Taiwan
Diplomatic relations
Regression discontinuity
Political development
Economic development
Panama
El Salvador
Costa Rica日期 2022 上傳時間 1-七月-2022 16:33:23 (UTC+8) 摘要 中國毋庸置疑的茁壯及其在世界上與日俱增的影響力，使得與臺灣有邦交關係的發展中國家轉移甚或考慮將外交關係由臺灣轉向至中國一事具備十足的吸引力。愈來愈多的研究試圖分析與中國建立外交關係對這些國家發展之影響，而文獻多著重於中國對非洲國家發展的影響。本文採取質性研究方法與不連續回歸設計，展示外交承認從臺灣移轉至中國對拉丁美洲國家政治及經濟發展的影響。為此，本研究分析了對巴拿馬、薩爾瓦多以及哥斯大黎加特定三國的影響；這三個國家所以中選，不僅因過往必須同臺灣具外交關係爾後轉向中國，同時也因三國間相似的條件。文中分別使用六項變數衡量對政治發展的影響和四項變數衡量對經濟發展的影響，研究發現外交承認轉移至中國對各國的結果是大相逕庭。就巴拿馬而言，對政治發展產生負面影響，但對經濟發展則有正面影響；薩爾瓦多方面，雖同樣對政治發展有著負面影響，經濟發展卻毫無影響；最後是哥斯大黎加，該國政治發展完全沒有影響，對其經濟發展則是負面影響。
China’s undeniable growth and its increasing influence around the world has made it very attractive for small developing countries that have diplomatic relations with Taiwan to shift or consider shifting their diplomatic relations from Taiwan to China. There has been increasing studies performed trying to analyze the effect that establishing relations with China has on these countries’ development. The literature focuses mostly on China’s effect on African countries’ development. Using a qualitative approach and regression discontinuity as a method, this research demonstrates the impact that shifting diplomatic recognition from Taiwan to China has on Latin American countries’ political and economic development. To do so, the research analyzes the impact in three specific countries, Panama, El Salvador, and Costa Rica. These three countries were selected not only because they needed to be countries that had relations with Taiwan and shifted to China, but also because of their similar conditions. It uses six variables to measure the impact in the political development and four variables to measure the impact in the economic development of these countries. The research shows that the impact of shifting diplomatic recognition to China is different in each country. In Panama, it had a negative impact in the political development, but a positive impact in the economic development. In El Salvador, it also had a negative impact in the political development, but it had no impact at all in the economic development. Lastly, In Costa Rica, there was not an effect at all in the country’s political development, and there was a negative impact in its economic development.參考文獻 Asante, M. O. (2018). Changing aid and diplomatic relations: New development actors and Norway in Africa. 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China`s strategic partnership diplomacy: engaging with a changing world. European Strategic Partnership Observatory. 描述 碩士
國立政治大學
國際研究英語碩士學位學程(IMPIS)
109862024資料來源 http://thesis.lib.nccu.edu.tw/record/#G0109862024 資料類型 thesis dc.contributor.advisor 薛健吾 zh_TW dc.contributor.advisor Alex Chien-Wu Hsueh en_US dc.contributor.author (作者) 高尉 zh_TW dc.contributor.author (作者) Hector Emilio Avila Galvez en_US dc.creator (作者) 高尉 zh_TW dc.creator (作者) Galvez, Hector Emilio Avila en_US dc.date (日期) 2022 en_US dc.date.accessioned 1-七月-2022 16:33:23 (UTC+8) - dc.date.available 1-七月-2022 16:33:23 (UTC+8) - dc.date.issued (上傳時間) 1-七月-2022 16:33:23 (UTC+8) - dc.identifier (其他 識別碼) G0109862024 en_US dc.identifier.uri (URI) http://nccur.lib.nccu.edu.tw/handle/140.119/140720 - dc.description (描述) 碩士 zh_TW dc.description (描述) 國立政治大學 zh_TW dc.description (描述) 國際研究英語碩士學位學程(IMPIS) zh_TW dc.description (描述) 109862024 zh_TW dc.description.abstract (摘要) 中國毋庸置疑的茁壯及其在世界上與日俱增的影響力，使得與臺灣有邦交關係的發展中國家轉移甚或考慮將外交關係由臺灣轉向至中國一事具備十足的吸引力。愈來愈多的研究試圖分析與中國建立外交關係對這些國家發展之影響，而文獻多著重於中國對非洲國家發展的影響。本文採取質性研究方法與不連續回歸設計，展示外交承認從臺灣移轉至中國對拉丁美洲國家政治及經濟發展的影響。為此，本研究分析了對巴拿馬、薩爾瓦多以及哥斯大黎加特定三國的影響；這三個國家所以中選，不僅因過往必須同臺灣具外交關係爾後轉向中國，同時也因三國間相似的條件。文中分別使用六項變數衡量對政治發展的影響和四項變數衡量對經濟發展的影響，研究發現外交承認轉移至中國對各國的結果是大相逕庭。就巴拿馬而言，對政治發展產生負面影響，但對經濟發展則有正面影響；薩爾瓦多方面，雖同樣對政治發展有著負面影響，經濟發展卻毫無影響；最後是哥斯大黎加，該國政治發展完全沒有影響，對其經濟發展則是負面影響。 zh_TW dc.description.abstract (摘要) China’s undeniable growth and its increasing influence around the world has made it very attractive for small developing countries that have diplomatic relations with Taiwan to shift or consider shifting their diplomatic relations from Taiwan to China. There has been increasing studies performed trying to analyze the effect that establishing relations with China has on these countries’ development. The literature focuses mostly on China’s effect on African countries’ development. Using a qualitative approach and regression discontinuity as a method, this research demonstrates the impact that shifting diplomatic recognition from Taiwan to China has on Latin American countries’ political and economic development. To do so, the research analyzes the impact in three specific countries, Panama, El Salvador, and Costa Rica. These three countries were selected not only because they needed to be countries that had relations with Taiwan and shifted to China, but also because of their similar conditions. It uses six variables to measure the impact in the political development and four variables to measure the impact in the economic development of these countries. The research shows that the impact of shifting diplomatic recognition to China is different in each country. In Panama, it had a negative impact in the political development, but a positive impact in the economic development. In El Salvador, it also had a negative impact in the political development, but it had no impact at all in the economic development. Lastly, In Costa Rica, there was not an effect at all in the country’s political development, and there was a negative impact in its economic development. en_US dc.description.tableofcontents Table of Contents 5Table of Tables 8Table of Figures 10Chapter 1 Introduction 111.1 Introduction 111.2 Research Motivation 121.3 Research Question and Hypothesis 16Research Question 16Hypothesis 161.4 Research Method, Research Scope, and Limitations 17Research Method 17Research Scope 23Limitations 241.5 Research Framework 251.6 Structure of the Thesis 25Chapter 2 Literature Review 292.1 Diplomatic Relations and Its Influence on a Country’s Development 29Insights from the Literature 332.2 Taiwan as an Ally 34Insights from the Literature 362.3 China as an Ally 37Insights from the Literature 412.4 Economic Development 412.5 Political Development 432.6 Concluding Remarks 45Chapter 3 Case 1: Panama 473.1 The Switching Process 473.2 Economic relations with ROC and PRC before and after shifting diplomatic recognition 493.3 Political development before and after shifting recognition 533.3.1 Political Perception 543.3.2 Human Development Index 553.3.3 Corruption Perception Index 563.3.4 Democracy Index 573.3.5 Gini Coefficient 583.3.6 Education 593.4 Economic development before and after shifting recognition 603.4.1 Gross Domestic Product 603.4.2 Gross National Income 613.4.3 Infrastructure 623.4.4 Unemployment Rate 633.5 Discussion 64Chapter 4 Case 2: El Salvador 684.1 The Switching Process 684.2 Economic relations with ROC and PRC before and after shifting diplomatic recognition 704.3 Political development before and after switching recognition 734.3.1 Political Perception 744.3.2 Human Development Index 754.3.3 Corruption Perception Index 764.3.4 Democracy Index 774.3.5 Gini Coefficient 784.3.6 Education 794.4 Economic development before and after switching recognition 814.4.1 Gross Domestic Product 814.4.2 Gross National Income 824.4.3 Infrastructure 834.4.4 Unemployment Rate 844.4 Discussion 85Chapter 5 Case 3: Costa Rica 885.1 The Switching Process 885.2 Economic relations with ROC and PRC before and after shifting diplomatic recognition 905.3 Political development before and after switching recognition 945.3.1 Political Perception 945.3.2 Human Development Index 965.3.3 Corruption Perception Index 965.3.4 Democracy Index 975.3.5 Gini Coefficient 985.3.6 Education 985.4 Economic development before and after switching recognition 995.4.1 Gross Domestic Product 995.4.2 Gross National Income 1005.4.3 Infrastructure 1015.4.4 Unemployment Rates 1015.4 Discussion 102Chapter 6 Conclusion 1056.1 Main Findings 1056.2 Policy Suggestions 1076.3 Recommendations for Future Research 107References 108 zh_TW dc.format.extent 2670498 bytes - dc.format.mimetype application/pdf - dc.source.uri (資料來源) http://thesis.lib.nccu.edu.tw/record/#G0109862024 en_US dc.subject (關鍵詞) 中國 zh_TW dc.subject (關鍵詞) 臺灣 zh_TW dc.subject (關鍵詞) 外交關係 zh_TW dc.subject (關鍵詞) 不連續回歸設計 zh_TW dc.subject (關鍵詞) 政治發展 zh_TW dc.subject (關鍵詞) 經濟發展 zh_TW dc.subject (關鍵詞) 巴拿馬 zh_TW dc.subject (關鍵詞) 薩爾瓦多 zh_TW dc.subject (關鍵詞) 哥斯大黎加 zh_TW dc.subject (關鍵詞) China en_US dc.subject (關鍵詞) Taiwan en_US dc.subject (關鍵詞) Diplomatic relations en_US dc.subject (關鍵詞) Regression discontinuity en_US dc.subject (關鍵詞) Political development en_US dc.subject (關鍵詞) Economic development en_US dc.subject (關鍵詞) Panama en_US dc.subject (關鍵詞) El Salvador en_US dc.subject (關鍵詞) Costa Rica en_US dc.title (題名) 外交承認轉變對政治及經濟發展的影響：巴拿馬、薩爾瓦多和哥斯大黎加三國的個案研究 zh_TW dc.title (題名) The Impact of Shifting Diplomatic Recognition from ROC to PRC on Latin American Countries’ Political and Economic Development: Case Studies of Panama, El Salvador, and Costa Rica en_US dc.type (資料類型) thesis en_US dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) Asante, M. 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