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題名 俄羅斯與南韓關係： 以俄羅斯遠東地區為例
Relations between Russia and South Korea: The case of Russian Far East作者 葉星彤
Yei, Xing-Tong貢獻者 許菁芸
Hsu, Jing-Yun
葉星彤
Yei, Xing-Tong關鍵詞 俄韓關係
互賴理論
貿易合作
朝鮮半島
遠東地區
Russia and ROK relations
Interdependence theory
Trade cooperation
Korean peninsula
Far East日期 2023 上傳時間 9-三月-2023 18:26:59 (UTC+8) 摘要 俄羅斯與南韓的互動，可以追溯到18世紀，但本文討論的重點著重於2014年克里米亞危機發生之後至俄烏戰爭前，面對美歐對俄羅斯實施的制裁，使俄羅斯將外交政策目標轉向亞洲，並提出「轉向東方」政策方向，期望透過遠東地區豐富的自然資源，吸引國外的資金與技術，共同開發遠東地區。南韓於2017年9月提出「新北方政策」，該政策內容為透過建立朝韓經濟共同體，加強與朝鮮聯繫，並以此目的向外拓展，發展俄朝韓三方合作項目。天然氣管道的架設能使南韓降低進口成本及風險，亦能使能源進口多樣化；而鐵路的架設除了能加強與朝鮮的關係之外，亦能使南韓物流供應鏈擴展至整個歐亞地區。因此新北方政策中以九橋策略作為俄韓主要合作領域，並同時簽署相關的合作備忘錄為進入市場做前期準備。本文以研究國家間相互影響的互賴理論作為研究架構，並透過中文、英文、韓文及俄文等文獻資料作為資料來源，以便全面性地分析俄韓雙方合作誘因，並透過能源及經濟兩個層面了解目前合作現狀，根據現狀總結影響兩國合作因素及未來發展建議。目前對俄韓合作主要影響因素為朝鮮核試驗，由於鐵路及天然氣管道的架設，皆須經由朝鮮領土，朝鮮的政治不穩定狀態導致談判多年的項目，依舊受限，另外面對美歐對俄羅斯及朝鮮的制裁，也使南韓與俄朝兩國的合作雪上加霜。
The interaction between Russia and South Korea can be traced back to the 18th century, but the focus of this article is on the face of the sanctions imposed by the United States and Europe on Russia after the Crimean crisis in 2014 and before the Russian-Ukraine war, which led Russia to turn its foreign policy objectives to Asia, and declared the policy direction of "turning to the east", attracting foreign funds and technology through the rich natural resources in the Far East, hoping to jointly develop the Far East.South Korea declared the "New North Policy" in September 2017. The content of the policy is to strengthen ties with North Korea through the establishment of the inter-Korean economic community, and expand outward for this purpose, and develop trilateral cooperation projects between Russia, North Korea and South Korea. The erection of natural gas pipeline can reduce the import cost and risk of South Korea, and also diversify the energy import; Besides strengthening the relationship with North Korea, the construction of the railway can also expand the logistics supply chain of South Korea to the whole Eurasian region. Therefore, in the New North Policy, the Nine-Bridges Strategy shows the main area of cooperation between Russia and South Korea, and MOU are signed at the same time to prepare for entering the market.This paper uses the interdependence theory as a framework for studying the interactions between countries, and uses Chinese, English, Korean and Russian literature as a source of information in order to comprehensively analyze the incentives for cooperation between Russia and Korea, and to understand the current state of cooperation at both the energy and economic levels, and to summarize the factors affecting cooperation between the two countries and suggestions for future development based on the current state of affairs.At present, the main influencing factor of cooperation with Russia and South Korea is the North Korean nuclear development plans. Due to the fact that the construction of railways and natural gas pipelines must pass through the territory of North Korea, the political instability of North Korea has led to the restriction of the projects negotiated for many years. 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國立政治大學
俄羅斯研究所
108263005資料來源 http://thesis.lib.nccu.edu.tw/record/#G0108263005 資料類型 thesis dc.contributor.advisor 許菁芸 zh_TW dc.contributor.advisor Hsu, Jing-Yun en_US dc.contributor.author (作者) 葉星彤 zh_TW dc.contributor.author (作者) Yei, Xing-Tong en_US dc.creator (作者) 葉星彤 zh_TW dc.creator (作者) Yei, Xing-Tong en_US dc.date (日期) 2023 en_US dc.date.accessioned 9-三月-2023 18:26:59 (UTC+8) - dc.date.available 9-三月-2023 18:26:59 (UTC+8) - dc.date.issued (上傳時間) 9-三月-2023 18:26:59 (UTC+8) - dc.identifier (其他 識別碼) G0108263005 en_US dc.identifier.uri (URI) http://nccur.lib.nccu.edu.tw/handle/140.119/143788 - dc.description (描述) 碩士 zh_TW dc.description (描述) 國立政治大學 zh_TW dc.description (描述) 俄羅斯研究所 zh_TW dc.description (描述) 108263005 zh_TW dc.description.abstract (摘要) 俄羅斯與南韓的互動，可以追溯到18世紀，但本文討論的重點著重於2014年克里米亞危機發生之後至俄烏戰爭前，面對美歐對俄羅斯實施的制裁，使俄羅斯將外交政策目標轉向亞洲，並提出「轉向東方」政策方向，期望透過遠東地區豐富的自然資源，吸引國外的資金與技術，共同開發遠東地區。南韓於2017年9月提出「新北方政策」，該政策內容為透過建立朝韓經濟共同體，加強與朝鮮聯繫，並以此目的向外拓展，發展俄朝韓三方合作項目。天然氣管道的架設能使南韓降低進口成本及風險，亦能使能源進口多樣化；而鐵路的架設除了能加強與朝鮮的關係之外，亦能使南韓物流供應鏈擴展至整個歐亞地區。因此新北方政策中以九橋策略作為俄韓主要合作領域，並同時簽署相關的合作備忘錄為進入市場做前期準備。本文以研究國家間相互影響的互賴理論作為研究架構，並透過中文、英文、韓文及俄文等文獻資料作為資料來源，以便全面性地分析俄韓雙方合作誘因，並透過能源及經濟兩個層面了解目前合作現狀，根據現狀總結影響兩國合作因素及未來發展建議。目前對俄韓合作主要影響因素為朝鮮核試驗，由於鐵路及天然氣管道的架設，皆須經由朝鮮領土，朝鮮的政治不穩定狀態導致談判多年的項目，依舊受限，另外面對美歐對俄羅斯及朝鮮的制裁，也使南韓與俄朝兩國的合作雪上加霜。 zh_TW dc.description.abstract (摘要) The interaction between Russia and South Korea can be traced back to the 18th century, but the focus of this article is on the face of the sanctions imposed by the United States and Europe on Russia after the Crimean crisis in 2014 and before the Russian-Ukraine war, which led Russia to turn its foreign policy objectives to Asia, and declared the policy direction of "turning to the east", attracting foreign funds and technology through the rich natural resources in the Far East, hoping to jointly develop the Far East.South Korea declared the "New North Policy" in September 2017. The content of the policy is to strengthen ties with North Korea through the establishment of the inter-Korean economic community, and expand outward for this purpose, and develop trilateral cooperation projects between Russia, North Korea and South Korea. The erection of natural gas pipeline can reduce the import cost and risk of South Korea, and also diversify the energy import; Besides strengthening the relationship with North Korea, the construction of the railway can also expand the logistics supply chain of South Korea to the whole Eurasian region. Therefore, in the New North Policy, the Nine-Bridges Strategy shows the main area of cooperation between Russia and South Korea, and MOU are signed at the same time to prepare for entering the market.This paper uses the interdependence theory as a framework for studying the interactions between countries, and uses Chinese, English, Korean and Russian literature as a source of information in order to comprehensively analyze the incentives for cooperation between Russia and Korea, and to understand the current state of cooperation at both the energy and economic levels, and to summarize the factors affecting cooperation between the two countries and suggestions for future development based on the current state of affairs.At present, the main influencing factor of cooperation with Russia and South Korea is the North Korean nuclear development plans. Due to the fact that the construction of railways and natural gas pipelines must pass through the territory of North Korea, the political instability of North Korea has led to the restriction of the projects negotiated for many years. In addition, the sanctions imposed by the United States and Europe on Russia and North Korea have also made the cooperation between South Korea and Russia and North Korea worse. en_US dc.description.tableofcontents 第一章、 緒論 1第一節、 研究動機與目的 1第二節、 文獻探討 4第三節、 研究方法與途徑與範圍 21第四節、 研究架構與章節安排 23第二章、 互賴理論與遠東地區投資環境 25第一節、 互賴理論 25第二節、 遠東地區投資環境分析 35第三節、 俄羅斯遠東區政策：轉向東方 50第四節、 小結 57第三章、 俄羅斯與南韓互賴關係 59第一節、 俄韓合作誘因 60第二節、 能源合作層面 72第三節、 經濟合作層面 77第四節、 新北方政策中的俄韓合作 85第五節、 小結 92第四章、 影響因素與未來發展 93第一節、 影響因素 93第二節、 未來發展建議 102第三節、 小結 108第五章、 結論 109參考文獻 113 zh_TW dc.format.extent 3610066 bytes - dc.format.mimetype application/pdf - dc.source.uri (資料來源) http://thesis.lib.nccu.edu.tw/record/#G0108263005 en_US dc.subject (關鍵詞) 俄韓關係 zh_TW dc.subject (關鍵詞) 互賴理論 zh_TW dc.subject (關鍵詞) 貿易合作 zh_TW dc.subject (關鍵詞) 朝鮮半島 zh_TW dc.subject (關鍵詞) 遠東地區 zh_TW dc.subject (關鍵詞) Russia and ROK relations en_US dc.subject (關鍵詞) Interdependence theory en_US dc.subject (關鍵詞) Trade cooperation en_US dc.subject (關鍵詞) Korean peninsula en_US dc.subject (關鍵詞) Far East en_US dc.title (題名) 俄羅斯與南韓關係： 以俄羅斯遠東地區為例 zh_TW dc.title (題名) Relations between Russia and South Korea: The case of Russian Far East en_US dc.type (資料類型) thesis en_US dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) 一、 中文文獻(一). 專書倪世雄，2003。《當代國際關係理論》，臺北市：五南圖書出版股份有限公司。倪世雄，2010。《當代國際關係理論》，台北市：五南圖書出版股份有限公司。徐淑敏，2005。《敏感性與脆弱性 : 互賴理論下的兩岸關係》，臺北市：時英出版社。高佩珊，2012。《美中強權博弈: 互賴理論之分析》，新竹市 ：國立交通大學。盛海燕，2011，《冷戰后俄羅斯朝鮮半島政策研究》，中國：吉林大學博士學位論文。許菁芸，2012，〈俄羅斯亞太能源強權之路：從俄羅斯能源政策探討俄羅斯遠東地區困境與俄中關係問題〉，《金磚國家俄羅斯及歐亞地區研究》，臺北市：五南圖書，頁79-132。楊靜，2019，《俄羅斯在朝鮮半島的國家利益研究》，中國：黑龍江大學碩士研究生學位論文。葉立誠, & 葉至誠，2011。《研究方法與論文寫作》，新北市：商鼎數位出版有限公司。趙靜雪，2021，《冷戰后俄羅斯的朝鮮半島政策調整研究》，中國：延邊大學碩士學位論文。(二). 期刊論文А.Г.布雷, С.В.格賴濟科, & 鐘建平，2019，〈俄羅斯遠東開發新政策及其與東北亞國家的經貿合作〉，《西伯利亞研究》，(02)。丁永康，1997，〈相互依存理論興起的背景及其發展過程〉，《東亞季刊》，26(3)：87-97。申浩, 池祥成, & 郭龍，2017，〈俄羅斯遠東地區礦業投資環境淺析〉，《資源與產業》，(06)。余万里，2003，〈相互依賴研究評述〉，《欧洲研究》，21(4)：51-61。季志業，2013，〈俄羅斯的東北亞政策〉，《東北亞論壇》，(01)。胡逢瑛，2018，〈俄羅斯當前對朝鮮半島的政策特點〉，《韓國學報》，(34)：43-66。馬友君, 鐘建平, 封安全, & 鄒秀婷，2015，〈俄聯邦社會經濟超前發展區聯邦法〉，《西伯利亞研究》，(04)。馬斌，2016，〈俄韓貿易發展的特點與突破路徑〉，《韓國研究論叢》，(01)。張弛，2018，〈俄韓朝經濟合作:方案、困境與展望〉，《俄羅斯東歐中亞研究》，(05)：89-157。曹英偉，2019，〈俄羅斯“積極東方政策”及對東北亞的影響〉，《東北亞學刊》，(02)：89-150。郭培清, & 宋晗，2018，〈“新北方政策”下的韓俄遠東-北極合作及對中國啟示〉，《太平洋學報》，(08)。陳小沁，2011，〈俄羅斯東部能源發展戰略〉，《國際資料信息》，(06)：1-6。陳小沁，2021，〈俄羅斯亞太能源戰略評析——基于遠東油氣管道項目的視角〉，《東北亞論壇》，30(02)：100-112。單天雷，2020，〈“新北方政策”與韓俄經濟合作的現狀及前景〉，《現代商貿工業》，(09)。新形勢下中國對俄羅斯東部地區投資戰略及投資風險防范研究課題組，2017，〈俄羅斯東部地區投資環境研究〉，《俄羅斯學刊》，(03)。楊虔豪，2013，〈俄韓朝經貿課題與挑戰〉，《台俄經貿》，(14)：24-29。楊雷，2011，〈俄韓油氣合作遲滯的原因分析〉，《國際石油經濟》，(09)：21-28。路寶英，2006，〈當代國際政治中的相互依賴理論〉，《理論學習》，(01)：58。潘順之，2022，〈俄羅斯遠東超前發展區建設現狀分析〉，《商業經濟》，(04)。薛鎖鎖，2019，〈俄羅斯轉向東方的動向及前景〉，《西伯利亞研究》，(06)。(三). 網路資料BBC NEWS，2017，〈美國「火線部署」薩德 中國驚呼「背後挨刀」〉，BBC NEWS,，https://www.bbc.com/zhongwen/trad/world-39721514，2022/08/29。BBC NEWS，2021，〈上海合作組織 中國俄羅斯聯手抗衡美國重要機制的歷史和現狀〉，BBC NEWS,，https://www.bbc.com/zhongwen/trad/world-58596692，2022/09/03。Pocket Money 口袋財經，2017，〈給時事冷感者的懶人包：大家都在說的「一帶一路」是什麼？〉，關鍵評論網，https://www.thenewslens.com/article/68680，2022/09/03。William Noah Glucroft，2022，〈為什麼俄羅斯反對北約東擴？〉，德國之聲，https://www.dw.com/zh/%E4%B8%BA%E4%BB%80%E4%B9%88%E4%BF%84%E7%BD%97%E6%96%AF%E5%8F%8D%E5%AF%B9%E5%8C%97%E7%BA%A6%E4%B8%9C%E6%89%A9/a-60898915，2022/08/29。中華人民共和國外交部，2009，〈中華人民共和國東北地區與俄羅斯聯邦遠東及東西伯利亞地區合作規劃綱要〉，中華人民共和國外交部，https://www.fmprc.gov.cn/web/gjhdq_676201/gj_676203/oz_678770/1206_679110/1207_679122/201006/t20100618_9337134.shtml，2022/11/18。吳宜貞，2006，〈俄羅斯遠東地區海港及設施簡介〉，經貿透視雙周刊，https://www.trademag.org.tw/page/newsid1/?id=433110&iz=6，2022/07/11。姚鴻成，2017，〈韓國新政府文在寅施政5年計畫之剖析－以致力推動百大國政課題為目標〉，中華經濟研究院WTO及RTA中心，https://web.wtocenter.org.tw/mobile/page.aspx?pid=297978&nid=126，2022/11/05。賀先蕙，2022，〈歐美日韓都在搶，價格漲翻天 天然氣市場怎麼了？〉，天下雜誌，https://www.cw.com.tw/article/5122498，2022/10/11。廖士鋒，2022，〈歐亞經濟聯盟：決定開發中國西部到歐洲交通走廊〉，聯合新聞網，https://udn.com/news/story/6809/6406270，2022/09/03。二、 英文文獻(一). 專書Antonova, Natal`ya E, & Natal`ya V Lomakina. 2018.“Natural resource-based industries of the Far East: New Drivers of Development.” In Economic and Social Changes: facts, trends, forecast.Blakkisrud, Helge. 2018.“An Asian Pivot Starts at Home: The Russian Far East in Russian Regional Policy.” In RUSSIA’S TURN TO THE EAST Domestic Policymaking and Regional Cooperation. 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