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題名 人民幣國際化挑戰美元霸權- 以霸權穩定理論進行檢視
The RMB Internationalization Challenges the Dollar Hegemony- An Examination of the Hegemonic Stability Theory作者 謝承宏
Hsieh, Chen-Hung貢獻者 張文揚
Chang, Wen-Yang
謝承宏
Hsieh, Chen-Hung關鍵詞 人民幣國際化
美元霸權
霸權穩定理論
國際公共財
數位人民幣
RMB Internationalization
US dollar hegemony
The theory of hegemonic stability
International public goods
e-CNY日期 2023 上傳時間 9-三月-2023 18:38:01 (UTC+8) 摘要 透過歷史可觀察到國際貨幣體系變遷與世界權力格局演變具相關性，興起中的強權中國能否透過國家政策，達到人民幣國際化甚至挑戰美國美元霸權為本文研究動機。本文目的為以霸權穩定理論，檢視美元霸權是否受到動搖以及中國是否能成為國際公共財的提供者。此外，探討人民幣國際化的走向，並以人民幣數位化為案例，分析對於人民幣國際化及美元霸權的影響。本文研究發現雖然中國成為經濟大國，然而美國仍是國際公共財的主要提供者，維持全球金融穩定。而現階段數位人民幣對人民幣國際化尚無幫助，中國政府必須致力於金融發展才有助於人民幣國際化。
Through history, we could observe that changes in the international monetary system are related to the evolution of world power patterns. The motivation of this paper is to examine whether the emerging powerful China can achieve the RMB internationalization and even challenge the US dollar hegemony through national policies. The purpose of this paper is to examine whether the hegemony of the U.S. dollar has been shaken and whether China could become a provider of international public goods by using the theory of hegemonic stability. In addition, the focus is on China`s progress in RMB internationalization, and the impact on the RMB internationalization and the US dollar hegemony are examined with the case of the e-CNY. This paper finds that although China has become a major economic power, the United States is still the main provider of public goods to maintain global financial stability. 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國立政治大學
外交學系戰略與國際事務碩士在職專班
109922003資料來源 http://thesis.lib.nccu.edu.tw/record/#G0109922003 資料類型 thesis dc.contributor.advisor 張文揚 zh_TW dc.contributor.advisor Chang, Wen-Yang en_US dc.contributor.author (作者) 謝承宏 zh_TW dc.contributor.author (作者) Hsieh, Chen-Hung en_US dc.creator (作者) 謝承宏 zh_TW dc.creator (作者) Hsieh, Chen-Hung en_US dc.date (日期) 2023 en_US dc.date.accessioned 9-三月-2023 18:38:01 (UTC+8) - dc.date.available 9-三月-2023 18:38:01 (UTC+8) - dc.date.issued (上傳時間) 9-三月-2023 18:38:01 (UTC+8) - dc.identifier (其他 識別碼) G0109922003 en_US dc.identifier.uri (URI) http://nccur.lib.nccu.edu.tw/handle/140.119/143838 - dc.description (描述) 碩士 zh_TW dc.description (描述) 國立政治大學 zh_TW dc.description (描述) 外交學系戰略與國際事務碩士在職專班 zh_TW dc.description (描述) 109922003 zh_TW dc.description.abstract (摘要) 透過歷史可觀察到國際貨幣體系變遷與世界權力格局演變具相關性，興起中的強權中國能否透過國家政策，達到人民幣國際化甚至挑戰美國美元霸權為本文研究動機。本文目的為以霸權穩定理論，檢視美元霸權是否受到動搖以及中國是否能成為國際公共財的提供者。此外，探討人民幣國際化的走向，並以人民幣數位化為案例，分析對於人民幣國際化及美元霸權的影響。本文研究發現雖然中國成為經濟大國，然而美國仍是國際公共財的主要提供者，維持全球金融穩定。而現階段數位人民幣對人民幣國際化尚無幫助，中國政府必須致力於金融發展才有助於人民幣國際化。 zh_TW dc.description.abstract (摘要) Through history, we could observe that changes in the international monetary system are related to the evolution of world power patterns. The motivation of this paper is to examine whether the emerging powerful China can achieve the RMB internationalization and even challenge the US dollar hegemony through national policies. The purpose of this paper is to examine whether the hegemony of the U.S. dollar has been shaken and whether China could become a provider of international public goods by using the theory of hegemonic stability. In addition, the focus is on China`s progress in RMB internationalization, and the impact on the RMB internationalization and the US dollar hegemony are examined with the case of the e-CNY. This paper finds that although China has become a major economic power, the United States is still the main provider of public goods to maintain global financial stability. At this stage, e-CNY does not spur the RMB internationalization, and the Chinese government must focus on financial development to achieve the RMB internationalization. en_US dc.description.tableofcontents 摘要 IAbstract II目錄 III第一章 緒論 1第一節 研究動機及目的 1第二節 研究方法 6第三節 研究範圍與限制 7第四節 章節安排 8第二章 文獻回顧 11第一節 霸權穩定理論 11第二節 國家貨幣與權力之關係 14第三節 人民幣國際化之討論 17第四節 小結 21第三章 霸權穩定理論下的美中格局 23第一節 由公共財的提供檢視美中能力 23第二節 當前美中國際經貿建制 30第三節 小結 33第四章 人民幣國際化與美元霸權之差距 35第一節 美元霸權回顧 35第二節 2009年至2020年人民幣國際化之走向 41第三節 中央銀行數位貨幣 47第四節 數位人民幣對人民幣國際化影響與美國之因應 49第五節 小結 51第五章 結論 53第一節 研究發現 53第二節 後續研究之建議 55參考文獻 56 zh_TW dc.format.extent 1624027 bytes - dc.format.mimetype application/pdf - dc.source.uri (資料來源) http://thesis.lib.nccu.edu.tw/record/#G0109922003 en_US dc.subject (關鍵詞) 人民幣國際化 zh_TW dc.subject (關鍵詞) 美元霸權 zh_TW dc.subject (關鍵詞) 霸權穩定理論 zh_TW dc.subject (關鍵詞) 國際公共財 zh_TW dc.subject (關鍵詞) 數位人民幣 zh_TW dc.subject (關鍵詞) RMB Internationalization en_US dc.subject (關鍵詞) US dollar hegemony en_US dc.subject (關鍵詞) The theory of hegemonic stability en_US dc.subject (關鍵詞) International public goods en_US dc.subject (關鍵詞) e-CNY en_US dc.title (題名) 人民幣國際化挑戰美元霸權- 以霸權穩定理論進行檢視 zh_TW dc.title (題名) The RMB Internationalization Challenges the Dollar Hegemony- An Examination of the Hegemonic Stability Theory en_US dc.type (資料類型) thesis en_US dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) 中文參考文獻工商時報 數位編輯(2021)。數位人民幣加快公測 背後藏中國3大目的。工商時報︰https://ctee.com.tw/news/china/427290.html。檢索日期：2023年2月9日中國人民銀行數位人民幣研發工作組(2021)。中國數字人民幣的研發進展白皮書。中國人民銀行：http://www.pbc.gov.cn/goutongjiaoliu/113456/113469/4293590/2021071614200022055.pdf。檢索日期：2023年2月9日中華民國中央銀行全球資訊網(2021)。110年3月18日央行理監事會後記者會參考資料，數位人民幣發展現況之分析。中華民國中央銀行：https://www.cbc.gov.tw/tw/cp-302-132478-df984-1.html王巧文(2021)。在全球外匯存底比率連年下滑美元地位下降。經濟日報︰https://udn.com/news/story/6811/5367594。檢索日期：2023年2月9日王國臣(2019)。人民幣國際化程度的評估。經濟前瞻，181，64-71。付敏與吳若伊(2014)。德國馬克國際化及其對中國的啟示。經濟理論與經濟管理，4，100-112。田行健(2018)。構建“一帶一路”倡議下的國際金融新秩序。當代世界，2，73-176。DOI: 10.19422/j.cnki.ddsj.2018.02.018成思危(2014)。人民幣國際化之路。香港：中華書局（香港）有限公司。余曉惠(2021)。美元占全球外匯比率連三季下滑25年來最低。鉅亨網︰https://news.cnyes.com/news/id/4623031。檢索日期：2023年2月9日吳明澤、劉柏定、吳若瑋、張詠真(2020)。美中金融戰對中國大陸金融市場開放之影響及兩岸金融業之影響與因應。大陸委員會委託研究報告（編號：RG11001-0168），未出版。李國平(2012)。美元血汗工廠-美債輕鬆消失的秘密、讓全球買單的美元霸權！臺北市：上奇資訊。李莉莎(2008)。後冷戰時代的美國制度霸權與國際經濟機制 以國際貨幣基金組織為視角。全球視野理論月刊，1，132-135。李巍(2012)。制衡美元的政治基礎-經濟崛起國應對美國貨幣霸權。世界經濟與政治，5，97-119。李巍(2013)。金磚機制與國際金融治理改革。國際觀察，1，33-40。李巍(2016)。中美金融外交中的國際制度競爭。世界經濟與政治，4，112-138。林建甫、林巍(2015)。人民幣國際化進程與影響之分析。兩岸經貿月刊，288，9-13。林添貴（譯）(1998)。大棋盤（原作者：Zbigniew Brzezinski）。臺北：立緒文化事業。邱昭憲(2017)。中國參與全球多邊治理的競合戰略：「亞洲基礎設施投資銀行」規則與制度化的運作。遠景基金會季刊，18(2)，1-43。范一飛(2020)。關於數位人民幣M0定位的政策含義分析。中國金融新聞網︰https://www.financialnews.com.cn/pl/zj/202009/t20200915_200890.html。檢索日期：2023年2月9日徐凡與陳晶(2017)。美國在G20全球經濟治理中的現實挑戰與戰略評估。國際貿易，6，57-61。徐奇淵(2010)。日圓國際化的經驗及其對人民幣的啟示。金融評論，2，114-121。徐明棋(2005)。從日圓國際化的經驗教訓看人民幣國際化與區域化。世界經濟研究，12，39-44。陳元、錢穎一(2016)。“一帶一路”金融大戰略。北京：中信出版社。陳沖(2020)。數位幣點火…人民幣挑戰美元霸權。新世代金融基金會︰http://www.appacus.org.tw/xmdoc/cont?xsmsid=0H255427663549293678&sid=0K134338814313159869。檢索日期：2023年2月9日陳岩(2021)。中國經濟10年內將超美國 「大國政治的悲劇」會否重演。BBC中文網︰https://www.bbc.com/zhongwen/trad/world-56194990。檢索日期：2023年2月9日陳欣之(2011)。崛起、挑戰與承繼霸權－崛起強權參與建構國際制度過程的觀察。問題與研究，50(4)，063-088。DOI：https://doi.org/10.30390/ISC.201112_50(4).0003陳庭翰與王浩(2019)。美國“逆全球化戰略”的緣起與中國“一帶一路”的應對。新疆社會科學，6，69-79。傅豐誠(2017)。人民幣國際化的過去、現在與未來。展望與探索月刊，15(1)，44-67。單驥，2021。中伊25年合作協議後的石油與美元新局。工商時報︰https://view.ctee.com.tw/economic/28746.html。檢索日期：2023年2月9日黃仁德(2015)。貨幣大變革：人民幣國際化的商機與挑戰。臺北市：金融研訓院。黃仁德、張勝峰(2004)。人民幣國際化問題之探討。中山人文社會科學期刊，12(1)，33-69。DOI： 10.6749/JSS.200406_12(1).0002黃志典(2015)。人民幣國際化之貿易與金融條件分析。遠景基金會季刊，16(2)，145-204。塗永紅與王家慶(2015)。亞投行:中國向全球提供公共物品的里程碑。理論視野，4，62-64。楊成(2010)。G20機制與美國金融霸權的策略性調整。國際融資，8，27-29。 https://doi.org/10.3969/j.issn.1009-5810.2010.08.006楊金龍(2019)。國際經貿新局—對美中貿易失衡的觀點演講稿。中央銀行︰https://www.cbc.gov.tw/tw/cp-303-76175-D23B3-1.html。檢索日期：2023年2月9日楊眉(2019)。歐盟設立支付系統幫助伊朗規避美國制裁。法國國際廣播電台︰https://reurl.cc/L7O2mL。檢索日期：2023年2月9日楊茜涵(2019)。“一帶一路”背景下的人民幣跨境支付系統發展研究。時代金融，4，70-71。楊榮仁(2019)。概述經濟制裁暨注意事項。財金資訊季刊，96，29-32。跨境銀行間支付清算有限責任公司之CIPS系統介紹https://www.cips.com.cn/cips/gywm/cipsxt/xtjj/index.html跨境銀行間支付清算有限責任公司之參與者公告https://www.cips.com.cn/cips/ywfw/cyzgg/58427/index.html劉丹陽與陳文敬(2021)。全球數位時代中國跨境支付系統建設思考。國際貿易，9，23-30。蔡穎義(2018)。人民幣的國際化：制度演進與展望。新北市：大億出版有限公司。鄭貞茂(2018)。「美元是我們的貨幣，但問題是你們的！」川普經濟學：令人傷透腦筋的美元政策。今週刊︰https://www.businesstoday.com.tw/article/category/80395/post/201810010009/。檢索日期：2023年2月9日羅至美(2013)。歐元的全球角色：機會與限制。行政暨政策學報，57，91-128。龔天行(2021)。人民幣國際化力抗美元霸權。聯合報︰https://udn.com/news/story/121739/5229956。檢索日期：2023年2月9日英文參考文獻Akhtar, Cimino-Isaacs & Schwarzenberg. 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