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題名 從地緣政治觀點檢視蒙古的第三鄰國政策
Mongolia’s Third Neighbor Policy: A Geopolitical Perspective作者 郭思佳
Jakóbowska, Zuzanna Zofia貢獻者 袁力強
Li-Chiang Yuan
郭思佳
Zuzanna Zofia Jakóbowska關鍵詞 蒙古
外交政策
地緣政治
Mongolia
foreign policy
geopolitics日期 2024 上傳時間 1-三月-2024 14:18:11 (UTC+8) 摘要 本篇論文詳細分析了蒙古地緣戰略位置及其與最重要外交夥伴(2012-2022) 的外交關係，用以研究該國在美國、中國和俄羅斯等主要全球大國之間地 緣政治衝突的背景下的外交政策。各個章節分別闡述蒙古-中國-俄羅斯三 邊區域合作、與中國和俄羅斯的雙邊關係，以及透過特殊的“第三鄰國政 策”與距離更遠的夥伴建立的關係。收集到的質性資料被用來研究地緣政 治衝突如何影響蒙古及其對大國競爭的官方立場。在結論部分，分析結果 被置於國際關係新現實主義學派的理論框架下，特別著重在“扈從”和 “避險”理論。這個獨立的分析表明，由於內在的國內因素、與鄰國經濟 的依賴關係以及美中俄之間敵對態度的加劇，蒙古將很可能限制其透過 “第三鄰國政策”進行的平衡和避險手段，並在未來更多地表現出“扈從” 的行為。
This dissertation addresses the question of how and why the current geopolitical conflict, primarily characterized by the rivalry among the United States, China, and Russia, is impacting Mongolia’s “Third Neighbor Policy” launched in 2011 to facilitate the diplomatic engagement with external powers and counterbalance the international influence of neighboring China and Russia. Situated within the context of the post-2010s geopolitical landscape, this research provides a new, detailed, and up-to-date analysis of the topic. In this qualitative study, the data on Mongolia’s geostrategic position and recent diplomatic conduct (2012-2022) is examined through the lens of international relations’ neorealism, with a particular focus on S. Walt’s balance of threat theory and its factors driving states toward bandwagoning behavior with regional hegemons. The theoretical analysis presented in the dissertation suggests that, in the current international scenario, Mongolia is likely to adopt a strategy of bandwagoning with China and Russia while limiting its previous hedging behavior of expanding diplomatic relations with other major global powers. This study not only sheds light on Mongolia’s geopolitical situation and foreign policy, but also offers a theoretical framework based on balance of threat theory for understanding how small powers might respond to external geopolitical conflicts, applicable for conducting case studies on different countries.參考文獻 Anceschi, L., Andisha, N. A., Goetschel, L., Briffa, H., Roithner, T., Nowotny, E., ... & Ganbaatar, T. (2022). Neutral Beyond the Cold: Neutral States and the Post-Cold War International System. Rowman & Littlefield. Baatarsuren, B. (2020). Military cooperation between the USA and Mongolia and it’s prospect, Journal of Security and Defense Studies, 130 (40). Blank, S. (2018). 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國立政治大學
亞太研究英語碩士學位學程(IMAS)
110926016資料來源 http://thesis.lib.nccu.edu.tw/record/#G0110926016 資料類型 thesis dc.contributor.advisor 袁力強 zh_TW dc.contributor.advisor Li-Chiang Yuan en_US dc.contributor.author (作者) 郭思佳 zh_TW dc.contributor.author (作者) Zuzanna Zofia Jakóbowska en_US dc.creator (作者) 郭思佳 zh_TW dc.creator (作者) Jakóbowska, Zuzanna Zofia en_US dc.date (日期) 2024 en_US dc.date.accessioned 1-三月-2024 14:18:11 (UTC+8) - dc.date.available 1-三月-2024 14:18:11 (UTC+8) - dc.date.issued (上傳時間) 1-三月-2024 14:18:11 (UTC+8) - dc.identifier (其他 識別碼) G0110926016 en_US dc.identifier.uri (URI) https://nccur.lib.nccu.edu.tw/handle/140.119/150273 - dc.description (描述) 碩士 zh_TW dc.description (描述) 國立政治大學 zh_TW dc.description (描述) 亞太研究英語碩士學位學程(IMAS) zh_TW dc.description (描述) 110926016 zh_TW dc.description.abstract (摘要) 本篇論文詳細分析了蒙古地緣戰略位置及其與最重要外交夥伴(2012-2022) 的外交關係，用以研究該國在美國、中國和俄羅斯等主要全球大國之間地 緣政治衝突的背景下的外交政策。各個章節分別闡述蒙古-中國-俄羅斯三 邊區域合作、與中國和俄羅斯的雙邊關係，以及透過特殊的“第三鄰國政 策”與距離更遠的夥伴建立的關係。收集到的質性資料被用來研究地緣政 治衝突如何影響蒙古及其對大國競爭的官方立場。在結論部分，分析結果 被置於國際關係新現實主義學派的理論框架下，特別著重在“扈從”和 “避險”理論。這個獨立的分析表明，由於內在的國內因素、與鄰國經濟 的依賴關係以及美中俄之間敵對態度的加劇，蒙古將很可能限制其透過 “第三鄰國政策”進行的平衡和避險手段，並在未來更多地表現出“扈從” 的行為。 zh_TW dc.description.abstract (摘要) This dissertation addresses the question of how and why the current geopolitical conflict, primarily characterized by the rivalry among the United States, China, and Russia, is impacting Mongolia’s “Third Neighbor Policy” launched in 2011 to facilitate the diplomatic engagement with external powers and counterbalance the international influence of neighboring China and Russia. Situated within the context of the post-2010s geopolitical landscape, this research provides a new, detailed, and up-to-date analysis of the topic. In this qualitative study, the data on Mongolia’s geostrategic position and recent diplomatic conduct (2012-2022) is examined through the lens of international relations’ neorealism, with a particular focus on S. Walt’s balance of threat theory and its factors driving states toward bandwagoning behavior with regional hegemons. The theoretical analysis presented in the dissertation suggests that, in the current international scenario, Mongolia is likely to adopt a strategy of bandwagoning with China and Russia while limiting its previous hedging behavior of expanding diplomatic relations with other major global powers. This study not only sheds light on Mongolia’s geopolitical situation and foreign policy, but also offers a theoretical framework based on balance of threat theory for understanding how small powers might respond to external geopolitical conflicts, applicable for conducting case studies on different countries. en_US dc.description.tableofcontents Chapter I: Introduction 9 1.1 Research background 9 1.1.1 The current geopolitical conflict 9 1.1.2 Mongolian foreign policy 19 1.2 Research questions 23 1.3 Literature review 24 1.3.1 The geopolitical conflict’s impact on Mongolia and its “Third Neighbor Policy” 24 1.3.2 “Third Neighbor Policy” implementation 30 1.3.3 Mongolian foreign policy: Neorealist perspective 33 1.4 Methodology 37 1.4.1 Theoretical framework 37 1.4.2 Research methods 40 Chapter II: Mongolia’s geopolitical position and regional cooperation 42 2.1 The geopolitical position of Mongolia 42 2.1.1 Domestic situation 42 2.1.2 Geography 44 2.1.3 The current political situation in the region 46 2.2 Mongolia, China, Russia: trilateral cooperation 49 2.2.1 Belt and Road Initiative: China-Mongolia-Russia Economic Corridor 50 2.2.2 CMREC agenda 51 2.2.3 Diplomatic timeline of the Mongolia-China-Russia trilateral cooperation 53 2.2.4 CMREC projects’ implementation 56 2.2.5 The trilateral cooperation and Shanghai Cooperation Organization 58 Chapter III: Mongolian foreign policy (2012-2022) 60 3.1 Relations with neighbors: China and Russia 60 3.1.1 China 60 3.1.2 Russia 69 3.2 Third Neighbor Policy: geopolitical relations 78 3.2.1 United States 78 3.2.2 Japan 83 3.2.3 Republic of Korea (RoK) 87 3.2.4 India 90 3.2.5 North Korea (DPRK) 93 3.2.6 Other states 94 3.2.7 Multinational initiatives 96 Chapter IV: Foreign policy analysis and theories 99 4.1 Mongolian foreign policy (2012-2022): analysis 99 4.2 Theories: balance of power and balance of threat 108 4.2.1 Balance of power 108 4.2.2 Balance of threat 109 4.3 Strategies 121 4.3.1 Bandwagonig 121 4.3.2 Hedging 122 Chapter V: Conclusions 125 5.1 Chapters’ analysis and purpose 125 5.2 Findings 126 5.3 Study limitations 129 5.4 Future implications and policy recommendations 130 Bibliography 133 zh_TW dc.format.extent 2435835 bytes - dc.format.mimetype application/pdf - dc.source.uri (資料來源) http://thesis.lib.nccu.edu.tw/record/#G0110926016 en_US dc.subject (關鍵詞) 蒙古 zh_TW dc.subject (關鍵詞) 外交政策 zh_TW dc.subject (關鍵詞) 地緣政治 zh_TW dc.subject (關鍵詞) Mongolia en_US dc.subject (關鍵詞) foreign policy en_US dc.subject (關鍵詞) geopolitics en_US dc.title (題名) 從地緣政治觀點檢視蒙古的第三鄰國政策 zh_TW dc.title (題名) Mongolia’s Third Neighbor Policy: A Geopolitical Perspective en_US dc.type (資料類型) thesis en_US dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) Anceschi, L., Andisha, N. 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