學術產出-期刊論文
| 題名 | 房市恐慌購買與缺稀心理：新冠肺炎疫情期間之研究 An Analysis of Impact of the Panic Buying and Perception of Scarcity during COVID-19 Period |
| 作者 | 陳明吉;朱芳妮;劉祉岑 |
| 貢獻者 | 財管系 |
| 關鍵詞 | COVID-19; 情緒; 恐慌購買; 感知稀缺; 房市; 害怕錯過 COVID-19; sentiment; panic buying; perceived scarcity; housing market; FoMO |
| 日期 | 2025-06 |
| 上傳時間 | 24-二月-2025 15:36:49 (UTC+8) |
| 摘要 | 本文探討新冠肺炎(COVID-19)疫情期間市場恐慌情緒與物資急需對房市影響，利用Google trends方法量化一般恐慌、恐慌購買和感知稀缺等情緒，並分析與房價、交易量、銷售天數和議價空間等房市指標的關聯。研究發現恐慌情緒與房價、銷售天數和議價空間存在滯後關聯；恐慌購買情緒與房價和議價空間關係顯著；感知稀缺情緒與房價、銷售天數和議價空間也關係顯著。交易量與情緒需透過非線性門檻模型始能顯現關係。房市變化也會影響民眾情緒，四房市指標均對恐慌、恐慌購買與感知缺稀情緒產生回饋影響。本文支持疫情下恐慌與感知缺稀情緒與房市變化有密切關係。 This paper explores the impact of market panic and urgent demand for supplies during the COVID-19 pandemic on the housing market. Using Google Trends Method, we quantify panic, panic buying, and perceived scarcity sentiments related to COVID-19, analyzing their correlation with housing market indicators such as housing prices, transaction volume, days on the market, and bargaining space. We find that the panic index has a lagged correlation with housing prices, days on the market, and bargaining space; the panic buying index has a significant relationship with housing prices and bargaining space; and the perceived scarcity index has a significant relationship with housing prices, days on the market, and bargaining space. The relationship between transaction volume and these sentiments is weaker and can only be revealed through a nonlinear threshold model. Additionally, changes in the housing market also affect public sentiment, with all four housing market indicators having a feedback effect on panic, panic buying, and perceived scarcity sentiments. The research results support a close relationship between sentiment and the housing market during the COVID-19 pandemic. |
| 關聯 | 住宅學報, Vol.34, No.1, pp.21-55 |
| 資料類型 | article |
| dc.contributor | 財管系 | - |
| dc.creator (作者) | 陳明吉;朱芳妮;劉祉岑 | - |
| dc.date (日期) | 2025-06 | - |
| dc.date.accessioned | 24-二月-2025 15:36:49 (UTC+8) | - |
| dc.date.available | 24-二月-2025 15:36:49 (UTC+8) | - |
| dc.date.issued (上傳時間) | 24-二月-2025 15:36:49 (UTC+8) | - |
| dc.identifier.uri (URI) | https://nccur.lib.nccu.edu.tw/handle/140.119/155773 | - |
| dc.description.abstract (摘要) | 本文探討新冠肺炎(COVID-19)疫情期間市場恐慌情緒與物資急需對房市影響，利用Google trends方法量化一般恐慌、恐慌購買和感知稀缺等情緒，並分析與房價、交易量、銷售天數和議價空間等房市指標的關聯。研究發現恐慌情緒與房價、銷售天數和議價空間存在滯後關聯；恐慌購買情緒與房價和議價空間關係顯著；感知稀缺情緒與房價、銷售天數和議價空間也關係顯著。交易量與情緒需透過非線性門檻模型始能顯現關係。房市變化也會影響民眾情緒，四房市指標均對恐慌、恐慌購買與感知缺稀情緒產生回饋影響。本文支持疫情下恐慌與感知缺稀情緒與房市變化有密切關係。 | - |
| dc.description.abstract (摘要) | This paper explores the impact of market panic and urgent demand for supplies during the COVID-19 pandemic on the housing market. Using Google Trends Method, we quantify panic, panic buying, and perceived scarcity sentiments related to COVID-19, analyzing their correlation with housing market indicators such as housing prices, transaction volume, days on the market, and bargaining space. We find that the panic index has a lagged correlation with housing prices, days on the market, and bargaining space; the panic buying index has a significant relationship with housing prices and bargaining space; and the perceived scarcity index has a significant relationship with housing prices, days on the market, and bargaining space. The relationship between transaction volume and these sentiments is weaker and can only be revealed through a nonlinear threshold model. Additionally, changes in the housing market also affect public sentiment, with all four housing market indicators having a feedback effect on panic, panic buying, and perceived scarcity sentiments. The research results support a close relationship between sentiment and the housing market during the COVID-19 pandemic. | - |
| dc.format.extent | 107 bytes | - |
| dc.format.mimetype | text/html | - |
| dc.relation (關聯) | 住宅學報, Vol.34, No.1, pp.21-55 | - |
| dc.subject (關鍵詞) | COVID-19; 情緒; 恐慌購買; 感知稀缺; 房市; 害怕錯過 | - |
| dc.subject (關鍵詞) | COVID-19; sentiment; panic buying; perceived scarcity; housing market; FoMO | - |
| dc.title (題名) | 房市恐慌購買與缺稀心理：新冠肺炎疫情期間之研究 | - |
| dc.title (題名) | An Analysis of Impact of the Panic Buying and Perception of Scarcity during COVID-19 Period | - |
| dc.type (資料類型) | article | - |