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題名 盈餘中應計成份與現金流量成份對股價之影響
The impact of accruals and cash flow components of earnings on the stock price
作者 賴彥彰
Lai,Yen-Chang
貢獻者 胡聯國
Hu,Lien-Kuo
賴彥彰
Lai,Yen-Chang
關鍵詞 盈餘
應計基礎
現金流量
股價
Earnings
Cash flow
Accruals
Stock price
日期 2005
上傳時間 11-九月-2009 17:11:59 (UTC+8)
摘要 This paper investigates the impact of accruals and cash flow components of earnings on the stock prices and whether the stock prices fully reflect information about future earnings contained in the accrual and cash flow components of current earnings. This is an interesting issue of narrow framing, an application of behavioral finance. We mainly follow Sloan (1996)’s methodology but adjust hypothesis settings to fit the real situation of stock market in Taiwan. We find that high earnings performance that is attributable to cash flow components is more likely to be sustained than high earnings performance that is attributable to accrual components.
This paper investigates the impact of accruals and cash flow components of earnings on the stock prices and whether the stock prices fully reflect information about future earnings contained in the accrual and cash flow components of current earnings. This is an interesting issue of narrow framing, an application of behavioral finance. We mainly follow Sloan (1996)’s methodology but adjust hypothesis settings to fit the real situation of stock market in Taiwan. We find that high earnings performance that is attributable to cash flow components is more likely to be sustained than high earnings performance that is attributable to accrual components.
參考文獻 Abel. A., and F. Mishkin. 1983. “An integrated view of tests of rationality, market efficiency and the short run neutrality if monetary policy.” Journal of Monetary Economics 11 (January): 3-24
Brown, Robert M., David Burgstahler, and Lane A. Daley. 1987. “The incremental information content of accruals versus cash flows.” Accounting Review 61:723-747
Bernald, Victor L., and Jacob K. Thomas. 1990. “Evidence that stock prices do not fully reflect the implications of current earnings for future earnings.” Journal of Accounting and Economics 13: 305-340
Cheng, C. S. Agnes, Chao-Shin Liu, and Thomas F. Schaefer. 1996. “Earnings permanence and the incremental information content of cash flows from operations.” Journal of Accounting Research 34: 173-181
Collins, Daniel, and Paul Hribar. 2000 “Earnings-based and accrual-based market anomalies: One effect or two?” Journal of Accounting and Economics 29: 101-123
Daniel, Kent, David Hirshleifer, and Acanidhar Subrahmanyam. 1998. “Investor psychology and security market under- and overreactions. “ Journal of Finance 53: 1839-1885
Dechow, P. 1994. “Accounting earnings and cash flows as measures of firm performance: The role of accruals.” Journal of Accounting and Economics 18 (July): 3-42
Drtina, R., J. Largay 1985. “Pitfalls in calculating cash flows from operations.” The Accounting Review 60 (April): 314-326
Freeman, R., J. Ohlson, and S. Penman. 1982. “Book rate-of-return and prediction of earnings changes: An empirical investigation.” Journal of Accounting Research 20 (Autumn):3-42
Kieso, D., and J. Weygandt. 1995. Intermediate Accounting. 8th ed. New York, NY: John Wiley & Sons.
Mishkin, F., 1983. “A rational expectations approach to macroeconometrics: Testing Policy Effectiveness and Efficient Markets Models.” Chicago IL: University of Chicago Press for the National Bureau of Economic Research
Stickney, C. 1993. Financial Statement Analysis: A Strategic Perspective. 2nd ed. Fort Worth, TX: The Dryden Press
描述 碩士
國立政治大學
國際經營與貿易研究所
92351030
94
資料來源 http://thesis.lib.nccu.edu.tw/record/#G0923510301
資料類型 thesis
dc.contributor.advisor 胡聯國zh_TW
dc.contributor.advisor Hu,Lien-Kuoen_US
dc.contributor.author (作者) 賴彥彰zh_TW
dc.contributor.author (作者) Lai,Yen-Changen_US
dc.creator (作者) 賴彥彰zh_TW
dc.creator (作者) Lai,Yen-Changen_US
dc.date (日期) 2005en_US
dc.date.accessioned 11-九月-2009 17:11:59 (UTC+8)-
dc.date.available 11-九月-2009 17:11:59 (UTC+8)-
dc.date.issued (上傳時間) 11-九月-2009 17:11:59 (UTC+8)-
dc.identifier (其他 識別碼) G0923510301en_US
dc.identifier.uri (URI) https://nccur.lib.nccu.edu.tw/handle/140.119/30084-
dc.description (描述) 碩士zh_TW
dc.description (描述) 國立政治大學zh_TW
dc.description (描述) 國際經營與貿易研究所zh_TW
dc.description (描述) 92351030zh_TW
dc.description (描述) 94zh_TW
dc.description.abstract (摘要) This paper investigates the impact of accruals and cash flow components of earnings on the stock prices and whether the stock prices fully reflect information about future earnings contained in the accrual and cash flow components of current earnings. This is an interesting issue of narrow framing, an application of behavioral finance. We mainly follow Sloan (1996)’s methodology but adjust hypothesis settings to fit the real situation of stock market in Taiwan. We find that high earnings performance that is attributable to cash flow components is more likely to be sustained than high earnings performance that is attributable to accrual components.zh_TW
dc.description.abstract (摘要) This paper investigates the impact of accruals and cash flow components of earnings on the stock prices and whether the stock prices fully reflect information about future earnings contained in the accrual and cash flow components of current earnings. This is an interesting issue of narrow framing, an application of behavioral finance. We mainly follow Sloan (1996)’s methodology but adjust hypothesis settings to fit the real situation of stock market in Taiwan. We find that high earnings performance that is attributable to cash flow components is more likely to be sustained than high earnings performance that is attributable to accrual components.en_US
dc.description.tableofcontents Contents
     Abstract 2
     1. Introduction
     1.1 Biases of Judgment 6
     1.2 Errors of Preference 8
     2. Literature Review 14
     3. Development of Hypotheses 15
     4. Data Collection and Variable Measurement 18
     5. Empirical Results
     5.1 Summary Statistics 21
     5.2 Test of H1 23
     5.3 Test of H2 27
     5.4 Do Stocks with Relative High Proportion of
     Cash Flows Outperform Those with Relative High Accruals? 30
     6. Conclusions 32
     7. Recommendation 34
     8. Reference 35
zh_TW
dc.language.iso en_US-
dc.source.uri (資料來源) http://thesis.lib.nccu.edu.tw/record/#G0923510301en_US
dc.subject (關鍵詞) 盈餘zh_TW
dc.subject (關鍵詞) 應計基礎zh_TW
dc.subject (關鍵詞) 現金流量zh_TW
dc.subject (關鍵詞) 股價zh_TW
dc.subject (關鍵詞) Earningsen_US
dc.subject (關鍵詞) Cash flowen_US
dc.subject (關鍵詞) Accrualsen_US
dc.subject (關鍵詞) Stock priceen_US
dc.title (題名) 盈餘中應計成份與現金流量成份對股價之影響zh_TW
dc.title (題名) The impact of accruals and cash flow components of earnings on the stock priceen_US
dc.type (資料類型) thesisen
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) Abel. A., and F. Mishkin. 1983. “An integrated view of tests of rationality, market efficiency and the short run neutrality if monetary policy.” Journal of Monetary Economics 11 (January): 3-24zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) Brown, Robert M., David Burgstahler, and Lane A. Daley. 1987. “The incremental information content of accruals versus cash flows.” Accounting Review 61:723-747zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) Bernald, Victor L., and Jacob K. Thomas. 1990. “Evidence that stock prices do not fully reflect the implications of current earnings for future earnings.” Journal of Accounting and Economics 13: 305-340zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) Cheng, C. S. Agnes, Chao-Shin Liu, and Thomas F. Schaefer. 1996. “Earnings permanence and the incremental information content of cash flows from operations.” Journal of Accounting Research 34: 173-181zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) Collins, Daniel, and Paul Hribar. 2000 “Earnings-based and accrual-based market anomalies: One effect or two?” Journal of Accounting and Economics 29: 101-123zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) Daniel, Kent, David Hirshleifer, and Acanidhar Subrahmanyam. 1998. “Investor psychology and security market under- and overreactions. “ Journal of Finance 53: 1839-1885zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) Dechow, P. 1994. “Accounting earnings and cash flows as measures of firm performance: The role of accruals.” Journal of Accounting and Economics 18 (July): 3-42zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) Drtina, R., J. Largay 1985. “Pitfalls in calculating cash flows from operations.” The Accounting Review 60 (April): 314-326zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) Freeman, R., J. Ohlson, and S. Penman. 1982. “Book rate-of-return and prediction of earnings changes: An empirical investigation.” Journal of Accounting Research 20 (Autumn):3-42zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) Kieso, D., and J. Weygandt. 1995. Intermediate Accounting. 8th ed. New York, NY: John Wiley & Sons.zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) Mishkin, F., 1983. “A rational expectations approach to macroeconometrics: Testing Policy Effectiveness and Efficient Markets Models.” Chicago IL: University of Chicago Press for the National Bureau of Economic Researchzh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) Stickney, C. 1993. Financial Statement Analysis: A Strategic Perspective. 2nd ed. Fort Worth, TX: The Dryden Presszh_TW