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題名 強制性盈餘預測制度取消前後公司自願性財務預測行為之研究—從董事會結構觀點探討
作者 盧威利
貢獻者 李怡宗
盧威利
關鍵詞 財務預測
董事會特性
獨立董事
日期 2005
上傳時間 11-九月-2009 17:22:15 (UTC+8)
摘要 我國自民國94年起,取消強制性財務預測制度,公司於該制度取消前後之財務預測行為值得深入探討。而財務預測之發佈需提報董事會通過,董事會是否能發揮其應有之公司監理機制,提供足夠資訊給投資人,亦值得深入探討。因此,本研究從董事會結構觀點探討強制性盈餘預測制度取消前後公司自願性財務預測行為。實證結果發現,公司獨立董事佔董事會席數比例越高、董事會持股成數越低、前一年度有自願揭露財務預測時,公司於自願揭露財務預測制度下,越有可能揭露財務預測。且,民國94年有揭露財務預測之公司,若該公司董事會持股比例越少,則公司會越早揭露財務預測。而93年有自願揭露財務預測並且於94年進行董事會改選之公司,當公司董事成員變動越多時,公司越不可能繼續揭露財務預測。
參考文獻 中文部分
方智強、吳安妮,1997,台灣經理人員主動揭露盈餘預測之實證研究,會計評論,第30 期:253-269。
吳安妮,1991,經理人員自願性揭露盈餘預測資訊給外界之決定因素-實證研究,會計評論,第25期:1-24。
吳昆皇,1995,上市公司董事會組成與特性對企業經營績效之關聯性研究,國立台灣大學商學學系碩士論文。
宋義德,1996,管理當局自願性財務預測準確性與資訊內涵之研究,國立政治大學會計研究所碩士論文。
李冠毅,1994,財務預測揭露對股票市場影響之研究-強制性與自願性揭露之比較,東吳大學會計學系碩士論文。
李建然,1998,影響台灣上市公司自願性盈餘預測行為因素之研究,國立政治大學會計系博士論文。
李淑華,1993,公司規模對異常報酬及盈餘反應係數之影響,國立台灣大學會計研究所碩士論文。
周俊德,2000,管理當局信譽與自願性盈餘預測資訊內涵關係之研究,私立文化大學會計研究所碩士論文。
尚光琪,1999,我國財務預測制度實行成效之實證探討,會計研究月刊,第160 期:74-80。
林穎芬、劉維琪,2003,從高階主管薪酬的研究探討代理理論在台灣的適用程度,管理學報,第20卷:365-395 。
金成隆、林修葳及張永芳,1999,強制性財務預測與盈餘管理關係:20%門檻限制影響之研究,中國財務學刊,第7卷:59-96 。
金志遠,2000,董事會特性與年報自願性揭露關係之研究,國立政治大學會計研究所碩士論文。
俞海琴、周本鄂,1994,台灣上市公司董監事關係人持股比率與公司托賓 Q關係之研究,管理評論,第13 卷:79-98。
施羿如,1998,影響公司管理當局自願揭露盈餘預測因素之研究,國立台灣大學會計研究所碩士論文。
施琬倩,1988,管理當局自願性盈餘預測對股價及交易量影響之研究,政治大學會計學系碩士論文。
范玥琪,1988,財務預測誤差決定性因素之研究,國立彰化師範大學碩士論文。
康榮寶、張仕奇,1996,財務預測規範應從長計議,會計研究月刊,第125 期:20-9。
張希恭,1996,自願性揭露下管理當局盈餘預測準確度決定因素之研究,國立政治大學會計研究所碩士論文。
張峻萍,1999,公司監理與經營績效之關係,國立台灣大學會計學研究所碩士論文。
張淑娟,1991,盈餘預測準確度與公司特質關係之研究,國立政治大學會計研究所碩士論文。
許盟,2000,我國董事會結構與自願性盈餘預測行為之預測,國立政治大學會計系碩士論文。
陳如慧,1995,經理人員盈餘預測發佈對交易量影響之研究,國立台灣大學會計研究所碩士論文。
陳建樺,1997,管理當局自願性盈餘預測揭露行為之研究-時點分析,政治大學會計學系博士論文。
陳家慧,2000,我國上市公司管理機制與盈餘管理相關性之實證研究,國立政治大學會計研究所未出版碩士論文。
黃馨盈,2001,企業國際化與代理成本關聯性之探討,銘傳大學國際企業管理學系碩士論文。
葉銀華,1998,家族控股集團與股票報酬共變性之實證研究,台大管理論叢,第9卷第1期:25-49。
劉聯旭,1999,實施強制性財務預測對管理當局自願性盈餘預測揭露行為之影響,國立台灣大學會計研究所碩士論文。
謝淑娟,1994,觀點探討股權結構與公司經營績效之關係-以台灣上市公司為實證,國立交通大學管理科學研究所碩士論文。
英文部分
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描述 碩士
國立政治大學
會計研究所
93353002
94
資料來源 http://thesis.lib.nccu.edu.tw/record/#G0093353002
資料類型 thesis
dc.contributor.advisor 李怡宗zh_TW
dc.contributor.author (作者) 盧威利zh_TW
dc.creator (作者) 盧威利zh_TW
dc.date (日期) 2005en_US
dc.date.accessioned 11-九月-2009 17:22:15 (UTC+8)-
dc.date.available 11-九月-2009 17:22:15 (UTC+8)-
dc.date.issued (上傳時間) 11-九月-2009 17:22:15 (UTC+8)-
dc.identifier (其他 識別碼) G0093353002en_US
dc.identifier.uri (URI) https://nccur.lib.nccu.edu.tw/handle/140.119/30162-
dc.description (描述) 碩士zh_TW
dc.description (描述) 國立政治大學zh_TW
dc.description (描述) 會計研究所zh_TW
dc.description (描述) 93353002zh_TW
dc.description (描述) 94zh_TW
dc.description.abstract (摘要) 我國自民國94年起,取消強制性財務預測制度,公司於該制度取消前後之財務預測行為值得深入探討。而財務預測之發佈需提報董事會通過,董事會是否能發揮其應有之公司監理機制,提供足夠資訊給投資人,亦值得深入探討。因此,本研究從董事會結構觀點探討強制性盈餘預測制度取消前後公司自願性財務預測行為。實證結果發現,公司獨立董事佔董事會席數比例越高、董事會持股成數越低、前一年度有自願揭露財務預測時,公司於自願揭露財務預測制度下,越有可能揭露財務預測。且,民國94年有揭露財務預測之公司,若該公司董事會持股比例越少,則公司會越早揭露財務預測。而93年有自願揭露財務預測並且於94年進行董事會改選之公司,當公司董事成員變動越多時,公司越不可能繼續揭露財務預測。zh_TW
dc.description.tableofcontents 第一章 緒論
     第一節 研究動機與目的
     第二節 研究問題
     第三節 論文架構
     第二章 文獻探討
     第一節 我國財務預測制度
     第二節 公司治理相關文獻
     第三節 董事會結構與公司資訊揭露之關係
     第四節 自願性盈餘預測揭露因素之相關研究
     第三章 研究方法
     第一節 研究假說
     第二節 變數選取
     第三節 樣本選取與資料蒐集
     第四節 研究設計
     第四章 實證結果
     第一節 敘述統計
     第二節 影響公司94年發佈財務預測行為之因素
     第三節 影響公司93年與94年間發佈財務預測行為差異之因素
     第五章 結論與建議
     第一節 研究結論與建議
     第二節 研究限制
     第三節 後續研究之建議
     參考文獻
zh_TW
dc.language.iso en_US-
dc.source.uri (資料來源) http://thesis.lib.nccu.edu.tw/record/#G0093353002en_US
dc.subject (關鍵詞) 財務預測zh_TW
dc.subject (關鍵詞) 董事會特性zh_TW
dc.subject (關鍵詞) 獨立董事zh_TW
dc.title (題名) 強制性盈餘預測制度取消前後公司自願性財務預測行為之研究—從董事會結構觀點探討zh_TW
dc.type (資料類型) thesisen
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) 中文部分zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) 方智強、吳安妮,1997,台灣經理人員主動揭露盈餘預測之實證研究,會計評論,第30 期:253-269。zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) 吳安妮,1991,經理人員自願性揭露盈餘預測資訊給外界之決定因素-實證研究,會計評論,第25期:1-24。zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) 吳昆皇,1995,上市公司董事會組成與特性對企業經營績效之關聯性研究,國立台灣大學商學學系碩士論文。zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) 宋義德,1996,管理當局自願性財務預測準確性與資訊內涵之研究,國立政治大學會計研究所碩士論文。zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) 李冠毅,1994,財務預測揭露對股票市場影響之研究-強制性與自願性揭露之比較,東吳大學會計學系碩士論文。zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) 李建然,1998,影響台灣上市公司自願性盈餘預測行為因素之研究,國立政治大學會計系博士論文。zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) 李淑華,1993,公司規模對異常報酬及盈餘反應係數之影響,國立台灣大學會計研究所碩士論文。zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) 周俊德,2000,管理當局信譽與自願性盈餘預測資訊內涵關係之研究,私立文化大學會計研究所碩士論文。zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) 尚光琪,1999,我國財務預測制度實行成效之實證探討,會計研究月刊,第160 期:74-80。zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) 林穎芬、劉維琪,2003,從高階主管薪酬的研究探討代理理論在台灣的適用程度,管理學報,第20卷:365-395 。zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) 金成隆、林修葳及張永芳,1999,強制性財務預測與盈餘管理關係:20%門檻限制影響之研究,中國財務學刊,第7卷:59-96 。zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) 金志遠,2000,董事會特性與年報自願性揭露關係之研究,國立政治大學會計研究所碩士論文。zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) 俞海琴、周本鄂,1994,台灣上市公司董監事關係人持股比率與公司托賓 Q關係之研究,管理評論,第13 卷:79-98。zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) 施羿如,1998,影響公司管理當局自願揭露盈餘預測因素之研究,國立台灣大學會計研究所碩士論文。zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) 施琬倩,1988,管理當局自願性盈餘預測對股價及交易量影響之研究,政治大學會計學系碩士論文。zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) 范玥琪,1988,財務預測誤差決定性因素之研究,國立彰化師範大學碩士論文。zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) 康榮寶、張仕奇,1996,財務預測規範應從長計議,會計研究月刊,第125 期:20-9。zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) 張希恭,1996,自願性揭露下管理當局盈餘預測準確度決定因素之研究,國立政治大學會計研究所碩士論文。zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) 張峻萍,1999,公司監理與經營績效之關係,國立台灣大學會計學研究所碩士論文。zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) 張淑娟,1991,盈餘預測準確度與公司特質關係之研究,國立政治大學會計研究所碩士論文。zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) 許盟,2000,我國董事會結構與自願性盈餘預測行為之預測,國立政治大學會計系碩士論文。zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) 陳如慧,1995,經理人員盈餘預測發佈對交易量影響之研究,國立台灣大學會計研究所碩士論文。zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) 陳建樺,1997,管理當局自願性盈餘預測揭露行為之研究-時點分析,政治大學會計學系博士論文。zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) 陳家慧,2000,我國上市公司管理機制與盈餘管理相關性之實證研究,國立政治大學會計研究所未出版碩士論文。zh_TW
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