dc.contributor.advisor | 陳帝富 | zh_TW |
dc.contributor.author (作者) | 陳巧玲 | zh_TW |
dc.creator (作者) | 陳巧玲 | zh_TW |
dc.date (日期) | 2003 | en_US |
dc.date.accessioned | 14-九月-2009 09:03:57 (UTC+8) | - |
dc.date.available | 14-九月-2009 09:03:57 (UTC+8) | - |
dc.date.issued (上傳時間) | 14-九月-2009 09:03:57 (UTC+8) | - |
dc.identifier (其他 識別碼) | G0903570171 | en_US |
dc.identifier.uri (URI) | https://nccur.lib.nccu.edu.tw/handle/140.119/31016 | - |
dc.description (描述) | 碩士 | zh_TW |
dc.description (描述) | 國立政治大學 | zh_TW |
dc.description (描述) | 財務管理研究所 | zh_TW |
dc.description (描述) | 90357017 | zh_TW |
dc.description (描述) | 92 | zh_TW |
dc.description.abstract (摘要) | 本研究以價值型投資法為主軸,探討民國71至91年間,該策略運用於台灣股票市場之有效性。爾後加入其他變數(股市狀況、月份、規模、貨幣環境等),以了解價值型投資法在各變數之控制下,是否仍然有效。最後加入成長型變數,探討價值型投資與成長特徵相結合能否創造績效之提升作用。研究結論如下: 一、分別依據低市價/盈餘比、低市價/淨值比及低市價/銷貨比所形成的價值型組合,績效表現均優於市場組合及成長型組合,其中又以市價/淨值比之價值型組合最為突出。 二、不論處於多頭或空頭市場,價值型組合均能一致地擊敗市場組合及成長型組合。其中,空頭時期的價值效應較多頭時期明顯,此可能與價值型組合相對抗跌之特性有關。 三、台灣股市存在季節現象,且若運用前期季節特性構建投資策略於後期驗證,發現可獲得更佳之投資績效。此外,價值型組合之報酬不見得在每一月份均能擊敗成長型組合,其中在5、6月份時價值效應相對較為明顯,而在2月份則出現了負價值效應。 四、台灣股市之小型股績效表現優於大型股。而在控制規模因素下,價值效應於大型股中較為明顯,在小型股中則不太穩定,此可能因成長型組合之績效相對於價值組,較易受規模因素影響所致。 五、不論貨幣政策為寬鬆或緊縮,價值型組合之績效表現大多均較成長型組合為佳,其中又以貨幣寬鬆時期之價值效應較為明顯。 六、以過去一年每股盈餘成長率做為成長型變數,發現結合成長因子與價值型投資風格所形成的新投資組合,與單就市價/盈餘比所區分之價值型組合相比,前者並未帶來績效之提升。 | zh_TW |
dc.description.tableofcontents | 第壹章 緒論 1 第一節 研究動機 1 第二節 研究目的 4 第三節 研究架構 5 第貳章 文獻探討 6 第一節 價值效應 6 一、市價/盈餘比(Price-to-Earnings) 6 二、市價/淨值比(Price-to-Book Value) 7 三、市價/銷貨比(Price-to-Sales) 9 第二節 價值效應vs.其他異常現象 11 一、規模效應 12 二、月份效應 13 三、總體經濟環境-貨幣政策 15 第三節 成長型變數 17 第參章 研究方法 19 第一節 研究期間、對象及資料來源 19 第二節 變數的選取及定義 20 第三節 投資組合之設計 23 第四節 績效衡量方式 24 第肆章 實證結果與分析 27 第一節 價值效應之驗證 27 第二節 價值效應在不同股市狀況之驗證 38 第三節 價值效應在不同月份下之驗證 40 第四節 考慮規模效應之價值型投資組合績效之驗證 53 第五節 價值效應在不同貨幣環境之驗證 74 第六節 結合成長因子與價值型投資風格績效之驗證 78 第七節 綜合分析比較 82 第伍章 結論與建議 84 第一節 研究結論 84 第二節 研究限制 86 第三節 貢獻與建議 87 參考文獻 89 附錄 93 | zh_TW |
dc.language.iso | en_US | - |
dc.source.uri (資料來源) | http://thesis.lib.nccu.edu.tw/record/#G0903570171 | en_US |
dc.subject (關鍵詞) | 價值效應 | zh_TW |
dc.subject (關鍵詞) | 規模效應 | zh_TW |
dc.subject (關鍵詞) | 月份效應 | zh_TW |
dc.subject (關鍵詞) | 貨幣政策 | zh_TW |
dc.title (題名) | 價值型投資風格於台灣股票市場之研究 | zh_TW |
dc.type (資料類型) | thesis | en |
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) | 一、 中文部分 | zh_TW |
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) | 1. 朱富春,股票本益比理論及其應用,台灣經濟金融月刊第十一卷第十一期,民 | zh_TW |
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) | 國64年。 | zh_TW |
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) | 2. 王明仁,股票益本比與公司年度盈餘對投資組合投資績效影響之研究,東海大 | zh_TW |
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) | 學企業管理研究所未出版之碩士論文,民國78年。 | zh_TW |
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) | 3. 林伶如,股票本益比與公司規模對股票報酬之影響─以台灣股市為例,中興大 | zh_TW |
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) | 學企業管理研究所未出版之碩士論文,民國79年。 | zh_TW |
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) | 4. 方淑莉,公司規模、本益比與股票報酬之研究,東海大學企業管理研究所未出 | zh_TW |
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) | 版之碩士論文,民國79年。 | zh_TW |
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) | 5. 劉美蘭,台灣股票本益比與報酬率關係之研究,中興大學企業管理研究所未出 | zh_TW |
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) | 版之碩士論文,民國80年。 | zh_TW |
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) | pp.9-16 | zh_TW |
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) | 26. Loughran T. “Book-to-market across firm size, exchange, and | zh_TW |
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) | seasonality: Is there an effect?” Journal of Financial and Quantitative | zh_TW |
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) | Analysis, Sep 1997, Vol.32, pp.249-268 | zh_TW |
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) | 27. Bauman, W. S. and Miller, R. E. “Investor expectations and the | zh_TW |
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) | performance of value stocks versus growth stocks.” Journal of Portfolio | zh_TW |
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) | Management, Spring 1997, Vol. 23, pp. 57-68 | zh_TW |
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) | 6. 劉維琪、李佳玲,運用隨機優勢模式再探討台灣股市本益比效應,會計評論, | zh_TW |
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) | 民國82年,第27期,第1-24頁。 | zh_TW |
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) | 7. 廖東亮,以隨機優勢理論測試價銷比策略之研究,台灣科技大學管理技術研究 | zh_TW |
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) | 所未出版之博士論文,民國83年。 | zh_TW |
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) | 8. 胡玉雪,本益比、淨值市價比及公司規模對股票報酬之影響─相似無關法之應 | zh_TW |
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) | 用,台灣大學商學研究所未出版之碩士論文,民國83年。 | zh_TW |
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) | 9. 陳志和,價值導向投資策略在台灣股市之實證研究,政治大學財務管理研究所 | zh_TW |
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) | 未出版之碩士論文,民國86年。 | zh_TW |
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) | 10. 黃淑娟,傳統的與強化的價值導向投資策略在台灣股票市場之實證研究,政治大學 | zh_TW |
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) | 財務管理研究所未出版之碩士論文,民國87年。 | zh_TW |
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) | 11. 林季甫,價值特徵在台灣股票市場之實證研究,政治大學財務管理研究所未出版之 | zh_TW |
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) | 碩士論文,民國88年。 | zh_TW |
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) | 12. 留政鈺,貨幣政策與股票報酬之關係—台灣實證研究,淡江大學財務金融研究所未 | zh_TW |
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) | 出版之碩士論文,民國88年。 | zh_TW |
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) | 13. 薛仲男,成長型與價值型股票選時策略之研究,政治大學財務管理研究所未出版之 | zh_TW |
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) | 碩士論文,民國89年。 | zh_TW |
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) | 14. 廖淑惠,本益比與成長機會策略組合之投資報酬研究,國防管理學院國防財務資源 | zh_TW |
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) | 研究所未出版之碩士論文,民國91年。 | zh_TW |
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) | 15. 繆燕鴦,亞太地區貨幣政策與股市報酬之關聯性分析—以向量自我迴歸及共整合模 | zh_TW |
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) | 型為例,中原大學企業管理研究所未出版之碩士論文,民國91年。 | zh_TW |
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) | 二、 英文部分 | zh_TW |
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) | 1. Black, A. “The Impact of Monetary Policy on Value and Growth Stocks: | zh_TW |
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) | An International Evaluation.” Journal of Asset Management, Sep 2002, Vol.3, | zh_TW |
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) | pp.142-172 | zh_TW |
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) | 2. Arshanapalli, B., T. D. Coggin, and J. Doukas. “Multifactor asset | zh_TW |
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) | pricing analysis of international value investment strategies.” Journal of | zh_TW |
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) | Portfolio Management, Summer 1998, Vol. 24, pp.10-23 | zh_TW |
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) | 3. Banz, R., W., “The Relationship Between Return and Market Value of | zh_TW |
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) | Common Stocks.” Journal of Financial Economics, Mar 1981, Vol. 9, pp. 3-18 | zh_TW |
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) | 4. Barbee, William C., Sandip Mukherji, and Gary A. Raines. “Do | zh_TW |
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) | sales-price and debt-equity explain stock returns better than book-market | zh_TW |
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) | and firm size?” Financial Analysts Journal, Mar/Apr 1996, Vol. 52, pp.56-60 | zh_TW |
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) | 5. Basu, S. “Investment Performance of Common Stocks In Relation To | zh_TW |
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) | Their Price-Earnings Ratios – A Test of The Efficient Market Hypothesis.” | zh_TW |
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) | The Journal of Finance, June 1977, Vol. 32, pp.663-682 | zh_TW |
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) | 6. Capual, C., I. Rowley, and W. F. Sharpe “International value and | zh_TW |
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) | growth stock returns.” Financial Analysts Journal, Jan/Feb 1993, Vol. 49, | zh_TW |
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) | pp.27-36 | zh_TW |
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) | 7. Chan, L., Y. Hamao, and J. Lakonishok “Fundamentals and Stock | zh_TW |
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) | Returns in Japan.” The Journal of Finance, Dec 1991, Vol. 46, pp.1739-1764 | zh_TW |
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) | 8. Davis, James L. “The cross-section of realized stock returns: The | zh_TW |
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) | pre-COMPUST.” The Journal of Finance, Dec 1994, Vol.49, pp. 1579-1593 | zh_TW |
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) | 9. De Bondt, W. F. M. and R. H. Thaler “Further Evidence on Investor | zh_TW |
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) | Overreaction and Stock Market Seasonality.” The Journal of Finance, Jul | zh_TW |
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) | 1987, Vol. 42, pp. 557-581 | zh_TW |
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) | 10. Dreman, David N., and Michael A. Berry. “Overreaction, underreaction, | zh_TW |
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) | and the low-p/e effect.” Financial Analysts Journal, Jul/Aug 1995, Vol. 51, | zh_TW |
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) | pp. 21-30 | zh_TW |
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) | 11. Fama, E. F. and K. R. French. “The Cross-Section of Expected Stock | zh_TW |
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) | Returns.” The Journal of Finance, Jun 1992, Vol. 47, pp.427-465 | zh_TW |
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) | 12. Jensen, Gerald R., and Robert R. Johnson “Discount rate changes and | zh_TW |
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) | security returns in the U.S., 1962-1991.” Journal of Banking & Finance, Apr | zh_TW |
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) | 1995, Vol. 19 pp. 79-95 | zh_TW |
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) | 13. Jensen, G.R., R.R.Johnson and J.M.Mercer “New evidence on size and | zh_TW |
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) | price-to-book effects in stock returns.” Financial Analysts Journal, | zh_TW |
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) | Nov/Dec 1997, Vol. 53, pp.34-42 | zh_TW |
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) | 14. Jensen, G. R. and Mercer, J. M. “Monetary policy and the cross-section | zh_TW |
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) | of expected stock returns.” The Journal of Financial Research, Spring 2002, | zh_TW |
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) | Vol. 25, pp. 125-139 | zh_TW |
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) | 15. Harris, R.S., and F.C. Marston. “Value versus Growth Stocks: | zh_TW |
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) | Book-to-Market, Growth and Beta.” Financial Analysts Journal, | zh_TW |
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) | September/October 1994, pp.18-24. | zh_TW |
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) | 16. Lakonishok, J., Shleifer, A. and Vishny, R. “Contrarian investment, | zh_TW |
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) | extrapolation, and risk.” The Journal of Finance, Dec 1994, Vol. 49, | zh_TW |
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) | pp.1541-1578 | zh_TW |
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) | 17. Jaffe, J., D. Keim, and R. Westerfield “Earnings Yields, Market Values, | zh_TW |
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) | And Stock Returns.” The Journal of Finance, Mar 1989, Vol.44, pp. 135-148 | zh_TW |
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) | 18. James P. O’Shaughnessy, “What Works on Wall Street: A Guide to the | zh_TW |
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) | Best- Performing Investment Strategies of All Time.” McGraw-Hill: New York, | zh_TW |
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) | 1996. | zh_TW |
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) | 19. Scott, J. and M. Stumpp and P. Xu “Behavioral bias, valuation, and | zh_TW |
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) | active management.” Financial Analysts Journal, Jul/Aug 1999, Vol.55, pp. | zh_TW |
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) | 49-57 | zh_TW |
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) | 20. Beneda, N. “Growth stocks outperform value stocks over the long term.” | zh_TW |
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) | Journal of Asset Management, Sep 2002, Vol. 3, pp.112-23 | zh_TW |
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) | 21. Goodman, David A and John W. Peavy “The Significance of Ps for | zh_TW |
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) | Portfolio Returns.” Journal of Portfolio Management, Winter 1983, Vol.9, | zh_TW |
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) | pp. 43-47 | zh_TW |
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) | 22. Ahmed, Parvez, and Sudhir Nanda. “Style investing: Incorporating growth | zh_TW |
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) | characteristics in value stocks.” Journal of Portfolio Management, Spring | zh_TW |
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) | 2001, Vol. 27, pp.47-59 | zh_TW |
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) | 23. Reinganum, M. R. “Misspecification of Capital Asset Pricing: Empirical | zh_TW |
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) | Anomalies Based on Earnings` Yields and Market Values.” Journal of | zh_TW |
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) | Financial Economics, Mar 1981, Vol. 9, pp. 19-46 | zh_TW |
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) | 24. Harris, R.D.F. “The accuracy, bias and efficiency of analysts` long run | zh_TW |
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) | earnings growth forecasts.” Journal of Business Finance & Accounting, | zh_TW |
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) | Jun/Jul 1999, Vol. 26, pp. 725-755 | zh_TW |
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) | 25. Rosenberg, B., K. Reid, and R. Lanstein “Persuasive Evidence of Market | zh_TW |
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) | Inefficiency.” Journal of Portfolio Management, Spring 1985, Vol. 11, | zh_TW |