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題名 股市價量關係: 工具變數分量迴歸方法的應用
作者 葉憶婷
貢獻者 管中閔
葉憶婷
關鍵詞 價量關係
日期 2006
上傳時間 14-九月-2009 13:28:38 (UTC+8)
摘要 本文經由模擬比較Chernozhukov and Hansen (2005)所提出的工具
     變數分量迴歸方法與傳統分量迴歸方法在不同的內生性情況下, 其估
     計偏誤的特性。另一方面,也藉由工具變數分量迴歸方法分析台灣、新
     加坡、南韓與香港股市報酬率與成交量間的關係。以工具變數分量迴
     歸方法分析價量關係不僅能完整描繪條件於成交量下報酬率的分配,
     亦能修正以傳統分量迴歸方法估計同期價量關係所造成估計結果不具
     一致性的問題。本文實証結果顯示台灣、新加坡、南韓與香港的正報
     酬率與成交量有正向關係; 負報酬率與成交量多有負向關係。且正報
     酬率與成交量的相依程度隨著分量的增加而逐漸增加, 而負報酬率與
     成交量的相依程度則隨著分量的減少而逐漸增加。
參考文獻 莊家彰(2005), 股市價量關係的分量迴歸分析, 國立政治大學國際貿易研究所博士
論文.
莊家彰、管中閔(2005),台灣與美國股市價量關係的分量迴歸分析, 經濟論文, 33(4),
381-404.
Basci, E., S. Ozyidirim and K. Aydogan (1996), A Note on Price-Volume
Dynamics in an Emerging Stock Market, Journal of Banking and Finance,
20, 389–400.
Blume, L., D. Easley, and M. O’Hara (1994), Market Statistics and Technical
Analysis: The Role of Volume, The Journal of Finance, 49, 153–182.
Brailsford, T. J. (1996), The Empirical relationship between Trading Volume,
Returns and05 Volatility, Accounting and Finanace, 35, 89–111.
Buchinsky, M. (1994), Changes in the U.S. wage structure 1963- 1987: Appli-
cation of quantile regression, Econometrica, 62, 405–458.
Buchinsky, M. (1998), Recent advances in quantile regression: A practical
guide for empirical research, Journal of Human Resources, 33, 88–126.
Chernozhukov, V. and C. Hansen (2005), An IV Model of Quantile and Treat-
ment Effects, Econometrica, 73, 245–261.
Chernozhukov, V. and C. Hansen (2006), Instrumental Quantile Regression
Inference for Structural and Treatment Effect Models, Journal of Econometrics
, 132, 491–525.
Click, R. W. and M. G. Plummer (2005), Stock Market Integration in Asean
after the Asian Financial Crisis, Journal of Asian Economics, 16, 5–28.
Copeland, T. E. (1976), A Model of Asset Trading under the Assumption of
Sequential Information Arrival, The Journal of Finance, 31, 1149–1168.
Corsettia, G., P. Pesentib and N. Roubinic (1999), What Caused the Asian
Currency and Rnancial Crisis?, Japan and the World Economy, 11, 305–
373.
33
Epps, T. W., and M. L. Epps (1976), The Stochastic Dependence of Security
Price Changes and Transaction Volume: Implications for the Mixture-of-
Distributions Hypothesis, Econometrica, 44, 305–321.
Gallant, A. R., P. E. Rossi, and G. Tauchen (1992), Stock Prices and Volume,
The Review of Financial Studies, 5, 199–242.
Godfrey, M. D., C. W. J. Granger, and O. Morgenstern (1964), The Random
Walk Hypothesis of Stock Market Behavior, Kyklos, 17, 1–30.
Jain, P. C. and G. H. Joh, (1988), The Dependence between Hourly Prices
and Trading Volume, The Journal of Financial and Quantitative Analysis,
23, 269–283.
Jang, H. and W. Sul (2002), The Asian Financial Crisis and the Co-movement
of Asian Stock Markets, Journal of Asian Economics, 13, 94–104.
Karpoff, J. M. (1987), The Relation between Price Changes and Trading Vol-
ume: A Survey, The Journal of Financial and Quantitative Analysis, 22,
109–126.
Koenker, R. and G. Bassett (1978), Regression Quantile, Econometrica, 46,
33–50.
Kuan, C. M. (2005), An Introduction to Quantile Regression, Institute of
Economics Academica Sinica.
Lamoureux, C. G. and W. D. Lastrapes (1990), Heteroskedasticity in Stock
Return Data: Volume versus GARCH Effects, The Journal of Finance, 45,
221–229.
Lee, B. S. and O. M. Rui (2002), The Dynamic Relationship Between Stock Re-
turns and Trading Volume: Domestic and Cross-Country Evidence., Journal
of Asian Economics, 13, 94–104.
Powell, J. L. (1984), Least Absolute Deviations Estimation for the Censored
Regression Model, Journal of Econometrics, 25, 303–325.
Summers, L. H. (2000), International Financial Crises: Causes, Prevention,
and Cures, The American Economic Review, 90, 1–16.
34
Tauchen, G. E. andM. Pitts (2000), The Price Variability-Volume Relationship
on Speculative Markets, Econometrica, 51, 485–505.
Ying, C. C. (1966), Stock Market Prices and Volumes of Sale, Econometrica,
34, 676–686.
描述 碩士
國立政治大學
經濟研究所
94258005
95
資料來源 http://thesis.lib.nccu.edu.tw/record/#G0094258005
資料類型 thesis
dc.contributor.advisor 管中閔zh_TW
dc.contributor.author (作者) 葉憶婷zh_TW
dc.creator (作者) 葉憶婷zh_TW
dc.date (日期) 2006en_US
dc.date.accessioned 14-九月-2009 13:28:38 (UTC+8)-
dc.date.available 14-九月-2009 13:28:38 (UTC+8)-
dc.date.issued (上傳時間) 14-九月-2009 13:28:38 (UTC+8)-
dc.identifier (其他 識別碼) G0094258005en_US
dc.identifier.uri (URI) https://nccur.lib.nccu.edu.tw/handle/140.119/32236-
dc.description (描述) 碩士zh_TW
dc.description (描述) 國立政治大學zh_TW
dc.description (描述) 經濟研究所zh_TW
dc.description (描述) 94258005zh_TW
dc.description (描述) 95zh_TW
dc.description.abstract (摘要) 本文經由模擬比較Chernozhukov and Hansen (2005)所提出的工具
     變數分量迴歸方法與傳統分量迴歸方法在不同的內生性情況下, 其估
     計偏誤的特性。另一方面,也藉由工具變數分量迴歸方法分析台灣、新
     加坡、南韓與香港股市報酬率與成交量間的關係。以工具變數分量迴
     歸方法分析價量關係不僅能完整描繪條件於成交量下報酬率的分配,
     亦能修正以傳統分量迴歸方法估計同期價量關係所造成估計結果不具
     一致性的問題。本文實証結果顯示台灣、新加坡、南韓與香港的正報
     酬率與成交量有正向關係; 負報酬率與成交量多有負向關係。且正報
     酬率與成交量的相依程度隨著分量的增加而逐漸增加, 而負報酬率與
     成交量的相依程度則隨著分量的減少而逐漸增加。
zh_TW
dc.description.tableofcontents 1 前言1
     2 文獻回顧3
     2.1 價量關係. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 3
     2.2 理論模型. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 4
     2.3 分量迴歸模型與估計. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 5
     2.4 分量迴歸大樣本性質. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 7
     2.5 變異數矩陣之估計. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 10
     3 工具變數分量迴歸模型12
     3.1 工具變數分量迴歸模型. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 12
     3.2 工具變數分量迴歸的大樣本性質. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 15
     4 模擬19
     4.1 模擬設定. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 19
     4.2 模擬結果. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 21
     5 實證分析23
     5.1 資料描述與處理. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 23
     5.2 實證模型與工具變數的挑選. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 25
     5.3 實證結果. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 28
     6 結論
zh_TW
dc.language.iso en_US-
dc.source.uri (資料來源) http://thesis.lib.nccu.edu.tw/record/#G0094258005en_US
dc.subject (關鍵詞) 價量關係zh_TW
dc.title (題名) 股市價量關係: 工具變數分量迴歸方法的應用zh_TW
dc.type (資料類型) thesisen
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) 莊家彰(2005), 股市價量關係的分量迴歸分析, 國立政治大學國際貿易研究所博士zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) 論文.zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) 莊家彰、管中閔(2005),台灣與美國股市價量關係的分量迴歸分析, 經濟論文, 33(4),zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) 381-404.zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) Basci, E., S. Ozyidirim and K. Aydogan (1996), A Note on Price-Volumezh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) Dynamics in an Emerging Stock Market, Journal of Banking and Finance,zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) 20, 389–400.zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) Blume, L., D. Easley, and M. O’Hara (1994), Market Statistics and Technicalzh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) Analysis: The Role of Volume, The Journal of Finance, 49, 153–182.zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) Brailsford, T. J. (1996), The Empirical relationship between Trading Volume,zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) Returns and05 Volatility, Accounting and Finanace, 35, 89–111.zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) Buchinsky, M. (1994), Changes in the U.S. wage structure 1963- 1987: Appli-zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) cation of quantile regression, Econometrica, 62, 405–458.zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) Buchinsky, M. (1998), Recent advances in quantile regression: A practicalzh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) guide for empirical research, Journal of Human Resources, 33, 88–126.zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) Chernozhukov, V. and C. Hansen (2005), An IV Model of Quantile and Treat-zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) ment Effects, Econometrica, 73, 245–261.zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) Chernozhukov, V. and C. Hansen (2006), Instrumental Quantile Regressionzh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) Inference for Structural and Treatment Effect Models, Journal of Econometricszh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) , 132, 491–525.zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) Click, R. W. and M. G. Plummer (2005), Stock Market Integration in Aseanzh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) after the Asian Financial Crisis, Journal of Asian Economics, 16, 5–28.zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) Copeland, T. E. (1976), A Model of Asset Trading under the Assumption ofzh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) Sequential Information Arrival, The Journal of Finance, 31, 1149–1168.zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) Corsettia, G., P. Pesentib and N. Roubinic (1999), What Caused the Asianzh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) Currency and Rnancial Crisis?, Japan and the World Economy, 11, 305–zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) 373.zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) 33zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) Epps, T. W., and M. L. Epps (1976), The Stochastic Dependence of Securityzh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) Price Changes and Transaction Volume: Implications for the Mixture-of-zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) Distributions Hypothesis, Econometrica, 44, 305–321.zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) Gallant, A. R., P. E. Rossi, and G. Tauchen (1992), Stock Prices and Volume,zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) The Review of Financial Studies, 5, 199–242.zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) Godfrey, M. D., C. W. J. Granger, and O. Morgenstern (1964), The Randomzh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) Walk Hypothesis of Stock Market Behavior, Kyklos, 17, 1–30.zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) Jain, P. C. and G. H. Joh, (1988), The Dependence between Hourly Priceszh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) and Trading Volume, The Journal of Financial and Quantitative Analysis,zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) 23, 269–283.zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) Jang, H. and W. Sul (2002), The Asian Financial Crisis and the Co-movementzh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) of Asian Stock Markets, Journal of Asian Economics, 13, 94–104.zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) Karpoff, J. M. (1987), The Relation between Price Changes and Trading Vol-zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) ume: A Survey, The Journal of Financial and Quantitative Analysis, 22,zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) 109–126.zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) Koenker, R. and G. Bassett (1978), Regression Quantile, Econometrica, 46,zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) 33–50.zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) Kuan, C. M. (2005), An Introduction to Quantile Regression, Institute ofzh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) Economics Academica Sinica.zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) Lamoureux, C. G. and W. D. Lastrapes (1990), Heteroskedasticity in Stockzh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) Return Data: Volume versus GARCH Effects, The Journal of Finance, 45,zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) 221–229.zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) Lee, B. S. and O. M. Rui (2002), The Dynamic Relationship Between Stock Re-zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) turns and Trading Volume: Domestic and Cross-Country Evidence., Journalzh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) of Asian Economics, 13, 94–104.zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) Powell, J. L. (1984), Least Absolute Deviations Estimation for the Censoredzh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) Regression Model, Journal of Econometrics, 25, 303–325.zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) Summers, L. H. (2000), International Financial Crises: Causes, Prevention,zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) and Cures, The American Economic Review, 90, 1–16.zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) 34zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) Tauchen, G. E. andM. Pitts (2000), The Price Variability-Volume Relationshipzh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) on Speculative Markets, Econometrica, 51, 485–505.zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) Ying, C. C. (1966), Stock Market Prices and Volumes of Sale, Econometrica,zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) 34, 676–686.zh_TW