| dc.contributor.advisor | 鄭宗記 | zh_TW |
| dc.contributor.author (作者) | 呂倩如 | zh_TW |
| dc.contributor.author (作者) | Lu Chien-ju | en_US |
| dc.creator (作者) | 呂倩如 | zh_TW |
| dc.creator (作者) | Lu Chien-ju | en_US |
| dc.date (日期) | 2002 | en_US |
| dc.date.accessioned | 17-九月-2009 18:44:56 (UTC+8) | - |
| dc.date.available | 17-九月-2009 18:44:56 (UTC+8) | - |
| dc.date.issued (上傳時間) | 17-九月-2009 18:44:56 (UTC+8) | - |
| dc.identifier (其他 識別碼) | G0089354018 | en_US |
| dc.identifier.uri (URI) | https://nccur.lib.nccu.edu.tw/handle/140.119/33894 | - |
| dc.description (描述) | 碩士 | zh_TW |
| dc.description (描述) | 國立政治大學 | zh_TW |
| dc.description (描述) | 統計研究所 | zh_TW |
| dc.description (描述) | 89354018 | zh_TW |
| dc.description (描述) | 91 | zh_TW |
| dc.description.abstract (摘要) | 資本資產定價模型 (CAPM) 由Sharp (1964)、Lintner (1965)及Black (1972)發展出後，近年來已被廣泛的應用於衡量證券之預期報酬率與風險間之關係。一般而言，衡量結果之估計有兩個階段，首先由時間序列分析估計出貝它(beta)係數，然後再檢定廠商或投資組合之平均報酬率與貝它係數之關係。Fama與MacBeth (1973)利用最小平方法估計貝它係數，再將由橫斷面迴歸方法所得出之斜率係數加以平均後，以統計t-test檢定之。然而以最小平方法估計係數，其估計值很容易受離群值之影響，因此本研究考慮以穩健估計 (robust estimator)來避免此一問題。另外，本研究亦將長期資料分析 (longitudinal data analysis) 引入CAPM裡，期望能檢定貝它係數是否能確實有效地衡量出系統性風險。論文中以台灣股票市場電子業之實證分析來比較上述不同方法對CAPM的結果，資料蒐集期間為1998年9月至2001年12月之月資料。研究結果顯示出，穩健估計相對於最小平方法就CAPM有較佳的解釋力。而長期資料分析模型更用來衡量債券之超額報酬部分，是否會依上、中、下游或公司之不同而不同。 | zh_TW |
| dc.description.abstract (摘要) | The Capital Asset Pricing Model (CAPM) of Sharp (1964), Lintner (1965) and Black (1972) has been widely used in measuring the relationship between the expected return on a security and its risk in the recent years. It consists of two stages to estimate the relationship between risk and expected return. The first one is that betas are estimated from time series regressions, and the second is that the relationship between mean returns and betas is tested across firms or portfolios. Fama and MacBeth (1973) first used ordinary least squares (OLS) to estimate beta and took time series averages of the slope coefficients from monthly cross-sectional regressions in such studies. However it is well known that OLS is sensitive to outliers. Therefore, robust estimators are employed to avoid the problems. Furthermore, the longitudinal data analysis is applied to examine whether betas over time and securities are the valid measure of risk in the CAPM. An empirical study is carried out to present the different approaches. We use the data about the Information and Electronic industry in Taiwan stock market during the period from September 1998 to December 2001. For the time series regression analysis, the robust methods lead to more explanatory power than the OLS results. The linear mixed-effect model is used to examine the effects of different streams and companies for the security excess returns in these data. | en_US |
| dc.description.tableofcontents | 1 Introduction…………………………………………………………12 Capital Asset Pricing Model……………………………………4 2.1 Systematic and unsystematic risks…………………………4 2.2 The capital asset pricing model……………………………5 2.2.1 Capital market line…………………………………………6 2.2.2 Security market line…………………………………………73 Robust Estimation……………………………………………………10 3.1 Breakdown point…………………………………………………11 3.2 Least trimmed squares approach………………………………12 3.3 RDL1………………………………………………………………134 Longitudinal Data Analysis………………………………………16 4.1 Longitudinal data analysis………………………………………16 4.2 Linear mixed-effects model………………………………………18 4.3 Parameter estimations……………………………………………245 Empirical Study: The Information and Electronic Industry in Taiwan Stock market…………………………………………………30 5.1 Data description……………………………………………………30 5.2 Graphical analysis…………………………………………………31 5.3 Time series regression Analysis………………………………35 5.4 Cross-sectional regression analysis…………………………406 Conclusions……………………………………………………………66Appendix A………………………………………………………………68References………………………………………………………………70 | zh_TW |
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| dc.language.iso | en_US | - |
| dc.source.uri (資料來源) | http://thesis.lib.nccu.edu.tw/record/#G0089354018 | en_US |
| dc.subject (關鍵詞) | 長期資料分析 | zh_TW |
| dc.subject (關鍵詞) | 線性混和效應模型 | zh_TW |
| dc.subject (關鍵詞) | 穩健估計 | zh_TW |
| dc.subject (關鍵詞) | 最小削減平方法 | zh_TW |
| dc.subject (關鍵詞) | 資本資產定價模型 | zh_TW |
| dc.subject (關鍵詞) | longitudinal data analysis | en_US |
| dc.subject (關鍵詞) | linear mixed-effects model | en_US |
| dc.subject (關鍵詞) | robust estimation | en_US |
| dc.subject (關鍵詞) | least trimmed squares estimator | en_US |
| dc.subject (關鍵詞) | capital asset pricing model | en_US |
| dc.subject (關鍵詞) | panel data analysis | en_US |
| dc.title (題名) | 以穩健估計及長期資料分析觀點探討資本資產定價模型 | zh_TW |
| dc.title (題名) | On the CAPM from the Views of Robustness and Longitudinal Analysis | en_US |
| dc.type (資料類型) | thesis | en |
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