Publications-Theses

題名 公司治理與財務危機:以經營不善之上市櫃公司為例
作者 吳立勤
貢獻者 張清福
吳立勤
關鍵詞 財務危機
經營不善型財務危機
掏空型財務危機
離散時間涉險分析
financial distress
operating-failure financial distress
fraud financial distress
discrete-time survival model
日期 2006
上傳時間 18-Sep-2009 09:07:04 (UTC+8)
摘要 本研究將財務危機分為『經營不善型財務危機』以及『掏空型財務危機』兩種類型,運用離散時間涉險方法,分析公司在不同財務狀況以及公司治理機制下,發生『經營不善型財務危機』的可能性。另外,本研究也探討『經營不善型財務危機』對公司獲利能力的敏感性,是否也受到公司治理的影響。
以民國85-94年上市櫃公司為研究對象,實證結果顯示當公司治理機制強,而財務狀況弱時,最有可能發生『經營不善而非掏空型』財務危機。再者,公司治理機制,會增強財務危機對財務狀況的敏感程度。
This study classifies financial distress into two types: operating-failure financial distress and fraud financial distress. Based on business performance and corporate governance while employing discrete-time survival model, it analyzes the probability of the operating-failure financial distress. Furthermore, this study also examines if the sensitivity of operating-failure financial distress to profitability is moderated by corporate governance.
Firms listed in Taiwan Stock Exchange during 1996-2005 are selected as sample. The empirical results indicate that firms with good corporate governance and bad business performance are most likely to encounter operating-failure financial distress. Furthermore, the corporate governance moderates the sensitivity of the operating-failure financial distress to profitability.
參考文獻 石月華,1993,建立銀行授信信用評估模式之研究,國立交通大學管理科學研究所碩士論文。
吳清在、謝宛庭,2004,會計評論,第 39 期(7 月):55-88。
周培如,2003,銀行危機預警指標-KMV信用風險模型與財務指標之應用,國立政治大學經濟研究所碩士論文。
林基煌,1999,我國銀行發展投資銀行業務之探討,財務金融,第二期。
邱郁茹,2002,台灣商業銀行股權結構與經營績效風險關聯性之研究,國立臺灣大學財務金融學系碩士論文
徐佩鈺,2001,財務比率與股票型基金持股關聯性之實證研究,國立政治大學會計學系碩士論文。
郝旭烈,1994,銀行放款信用評估模型之研究-以臺灣地區塑膠業為例,國立政治大學企業管理技術研究所碩士論文。
陳渭淳,2001,上市公司失敗預測之實證研究,國立台北大學企業管理學系博士論文。
陳肇榮,1983,運用財務比率預測企業財務危機之實證研究,國立政治大學企業管理研究所博士論文。
黃宏志,1993,銀行放款信用評估模型之研究-以臺灣地區電工器材業為對象,私立淡江大學管理科學研究所碩士論文。
楊浚泓,2001,考慮財務操作與合併報表後之財務危機預警模式,國立中央大學財務管理研究所碩士論文。
經濟日報,2002.08.20,莫理斯核爆與投資人關係(四十二版)。
經濟日報,2003.08.26,專注事業 不要專注本業(四十版)。
鄭國瑞,2002,多項財務危機預警模式之探討,國立高雄第一科技大學金融營運系碩士論文。
鄧志豪,1999,以分類樣本偵測地雷股-新財務危機預警模型,國立政治大學金融學系碩士論文。
Altman, E. 1968. Financial ratios, discriminant analysis and the prediction of corporate bankruptcy. Journal of Finance 6 (1): 4-19.
Altman, E. I., and H. A. Rijken. 2005. A Point-in-Time Perspective on Through-the-Cycie Ratings. Mathematical Methods of Operations Research 62(3):375-386.
Altman, E. I., H. Frydman, and D. L. Kao. 1985. Introducing Recursive Partitioning for Financial Classification: The Case of Financial Distress.THE JOURNAL OF FINANCE 4 (1): 269-291.
Beaver, W. 1966. Financial ratios as predictors of failure. Journal of Accounting Research 4 (Supplement): 71-111.
Blum, M. 1974. Failing Company Discriminant Analysis. Journal of Accounting Research 74(12):1-25.
Chen, K., and J. Lee. 1993. Financial ratios and corporate endurance: A case of the oil and gas industry. Contemporary Accounting Research 9 (2): 667-694.
Cheng, M. T. 2006. The Effect of Financial Ratios on Returns from Initial Public Offerings: An Application of Principal Components Analysis. International Journal of Managemen 23(1):187-194.
Choi, J. H., R. K. Doogar, and A. R.Ganguly. 2004. The Riskiness of Large Audit Firm Client Portfolios and Changes in Audit Liability Regimes: Evidence from the U.S. Audit Market. Contemporary Accounting Research 21(4):747-785.
Deakin, E. B. 1972. A Discriminant Analysis of Predictors of Business Failure. Journal of Accounting Research 10(1):167-179.
Dechow, P. M. and D. J. Skinner. 2000. Earnings management: Reconciling the views of accounting academics, practitioners, and regulators. Accounting Horizons 14 (February): 235-250.
Delaney, K. J. 1991. Strategic bankruptcy: How corporate and creditors use chapter 11 to their advantage. University of California Press (Winter): 112-169.
Faccio, M. and L. H. P. Lang. 2000. The separation of ownership and control: An analysis of ultimate ownership in western European corporations. European Financial Management Association Annual Meeting.
Fan, P. H. and T. J. Wong. 2000. Corporate ownership structure and the informativeness of accounting earnings in East Asia. The Seventh Asia-Pacific Finance Association Annual Conference.
Foster, B. P., T. J. Ward, and J. Woodroof. 1998. An analysis of the usefulness of debt defaults and going concern opinions in bankruptcy risk assessment. Journal of Accounting Auditing and Finance (Summer): 351-71
Her, M. M., and A. Mahajan. 2000. Corporate governance and family control: The case of Taiwanese listed firms. Working paper, Texas A&M University.
Ioannidis, C., D. A. Peel, and M. J. Peel. 2003. The Time Series Properties of Financial Ratios: Lev Revisited. Journal of Business Finance & Accounting 30(5/6):699-714.
La Porta, R., F. Lopez-de-Silanes, A. Shleifer, and R. W. Vishny. 2000. Investor protection and corporate governance. Journal of Financial Economics (August-December): 3-27.
La Porta, R., F. Lopez-de-Silanes, A. Shleifer, and R. W. Vishny. 2001. Investor protection and corporate valuation. Journal of Finance 66 (January): 235-270.
La Porta, R., F. Lopez-de-Silanes, and A. Shleifer. 1999. Corporate ownership around the world. Journal of Finance 54 (November): 471-517.
Lau, A. 1987. A five-state financial distress prediction model. Journal of Accounting Research 25(1): 127-138.
Lemmon, M. L., and K. V. Lins. 2001. Ownership structure, corporate governance, and firm value: Evidence from the east Asian financial crisis. The third annual conference on financial market development in emerging and transition economies, Working paper, Hong Kong University of Science and Technology.
Ohlson, J. 1980. Financial ratios and the probabilistic prediction of bankruptcy. Journal of Accounting Research 18 (1): 109-131.
Palepu, K. 1986. Predicting takeover targets: A methodological and empirical analysis. Journal of Accounting and Economics 8 (1): 3-35.
Platt, D., and M. Platt. 1990. Development of a class of stable predictive variables: The case of bankruptcy prediction. Journal of Business Finance and Accounting 17(1): 31-49.
Prowse, S. 1998. Corporate governance: Emerging issues and lessons from East Asia. Responding to the Global Financial Crisis ─World Bank Mimeo.
Semkow, B. W. 1994. Chinese corporate governance and finance in Taiwan. Journal of International Banking and Financial Law (December): 528-40.
Shumway, T. 2001. Forecasting bankruptcy more accurately: A simple hazard model. Journal of Business 74 (1): 101-124.
Singh, A. J., and R. S. Schmidgall. 2002. Analysis of financial ratios commonly used by US lodging financial executive. Journal of Leisure Property 2(3):201-213.
Ward, T. J. and B. P. Foster. 1997. A note on selecting a response measure for financial distress, Journal of Business Finance and Accounting 24 (January): 869-79.
Ward, T. J. 1994. An Empirical Study of the Incremental Predictive Ability of Beaver’s Native Operating Flow Measure Using Four-State Ordinal Model of Financial Distress. Journal of Business Finance and Accounting (September): 547-61.
Yeh, Y. H., S. B. Chiu, and H. C. Ho. 1997. Wealth Exploitation and Ownership Structure: A Study of Agency Theory on Taiwan Stock Market. Journal of Financial Studies 5 (11): 47-73.
Zavgren, C. V. 1982. A Logistic Analysis of the Relationship between Vulnerability to Failure and Certain Financial Variables for American Industrial Firms. Working paper No. 796, Krannert Graduate School of Management, Purdue University.
Zingales, L. 1994. The Value of the Voting Right-A Study of the Milan Stock Exchange Experience. Review of Financial Studies 7(5): 125-48.
Zmijewski, M. 1984. Methodological issues related to the estimation of financial distress prediction models. Journal of Accounting Research 22 (Supplement): 59-82.
描述 碩士
國立政治大學
會計研究所
94353040
95
資料來源 http://thesis.lib.nccu.edu.tw/record/#G0094353040
資料類型 thesis
dc.contributor.advisor 張清福zh_TW
dc.contributor.author (Authors) 吳立勤zh_TW
dc.creator (作者) 吳立勤zh_TW
dc.date (日期) 2006en_US
dc.date.accessioned 18-Sep-2009 09:07:04 (UTC+8)-
dc.date.available 18-Sep-2009 09:07:04 (UTC+8)-
dc.date.issued (上傳時間) 18-Sep-2009 09:07:04 (UTC+8)-
dc.identifier (Other Identifiers) G0094353040en_US
dc.identifier.uri (URI) https://nccur.lib.nccu.edu.tw/handle/140.119/34245-
dc.description (描述) 碩士zh_TW
dc.description (描述) 國立政治大學zh_TW
dc.description (描述) 會計研究所zh_TW
dc.description (描述) 94353040zh_TW
dc.description (描述) 95zh_TW
dc.description.abstract (摘要) 本研究將財務危機分為『經營不善型財務危機』以及『掏空型財務危機』兩種類型,運用離散時間涉險方法,分析公司在不同財務狀況以及公司治理機制下,發生『經營不善型財務危機』的可能性。另外,本研究也探討『經營不善型財務危機』對公司獲利能力的敏感性,是否也受到公司治理的影響。
以民國85-94年上市櫃公司為研究對象,實證結果顯示當公司治理機制強,而財務狀況弱時,最有可能發生『經營不善而非掏空型』財務危機。再者,公司治理機制,會增強財務危機對財務狀況的敏感程度。
zh_TW
dc.description.abstract (摘要) This study classifies financial distress into two types: operating-failure financial distress and fraud financial distress. Based on business performance and corporate governance while employing discrete-time survival model, it analyzes the probability of the operating-failure financial distress. Furthermore, this study also examines if the sensitivity of operating-failure financial distress to profitability is moderated by corporate governance.
Firms listed in Taiwan Stock Exchange during 1996-2005 are selected as sample. The empirical results indicate that firms with good corporate governance and bad business performance are most likely to encounter operating-failure financial distress. Furthermore, the corporate governance moderates the sensitivity of the operating-failure financial distress to profitability.
en_US
dc.description.tableofcontents 第一章 緒論 1
第一節 研究動機與目的 1
第二節 研究主題 3
第三節 研究流程 3
第二章 理論探討與文獻回顧 5
第一節 財務危機的定義 5
第二節 經營不善的成因 8
第三節 財務危機預警模型的文獻探討 10
第四節 常用於財務危機預警模型中變數說明 13
第三章 研究設計 34
第一節 研究假說 34
第二節 研究樣本與資料來源 35
第三節 統計方法 37
第四節 研究模型、解釋變數及研究步驟 38
第四章 實證結果 38
第一節 敘述性統計分析 38
第二節 假說檢定 38
第五章 結論與建議 38
第一節 研究結論 38
第二節 研究限制與後續研究建議 38
參考文獻 38
附錄 38
zh_TW
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dc.source.uri (資料來源) http://thesis.lib.nccu.edu.tw/record/#G0094353040en_US
dc.subject (關鍵詞) 財務危機zh_TW
dc.subject (關鍵詞) 經營不善型財務危機zh_TW
dc.subject (關鍵詞) 掏空型財務危機zh_TW
dc.subject (關鍵詞) 離散時間涉險分析zh_TW
dc.subject (關鍵詞) financial distressen_US
dc.subject (關鍵詞) operating-failure financial distressen_US
dc.subject (關鍵詞) fraud financial distressen_US
dc.subject (關鍵詞) discrete-time survival modelen_US
dc.title (題名) 公司治理與財務危機:以經營不善之上市櫃公司為例zh_TW
dc.type (資料類型) thesisen
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) 石月華,1993,建立銀行授信信用評估模式之研究,國立交通大學管理科學研究所碩士論文。zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) 吳清在、謝宛庭,2004,會計評論,第 39 期(7 月):55-88。zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) 周培如,2003,銀行危機預警指標-KMV信用風險模型與財務指標之應用,國立政治大學經濟研究所碩士論文。zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) 林基煌,1999,我國銀行發展投資銀行業務之探討,財務金融,第二期。zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) 邱郁茹,2002,台灣商業銀行股權結構與經營績效風險關聯性之研究,國立臺灣大學財務金融學系碩士論文zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) 徐佩鈺,2001,財務比率與股票型基金持股關聯性之實證研究,國立政治大學會計學系碩士論文。zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) 郝旭烈,1994,銀行放款信用評估模型之研究-以臺灣地區塑膠業為例,國立政治大學企業管理技術研究所碩士論文。zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) 陳渭淳,2001,上市公司失敗預測之實證研究,國立台北大學企業管理學系博士論文。zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) 陳肇榮,1983,運用財務比率預測企業財務危機之實證研究,國立政治大學企業管理研究所博士論文。zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) 黃宏志,1993,銀行放款信用評估模型之研究-以臺灣地區電工器材業為對象,私立淡江大學管理科學研究所碩士論文。zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) 楊浚泓,2001,考慮財務操作與合併報表後之財務危機預警模式,國立中央大學財務管理研究所碩士論文。zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) 經濟日報,2002.08.20,莫理斯核爆與投資人關係(四十二版)。zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) 經濟日報,2003.08.26,專注事業 不要專注本業(四十版)。zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) 鄭國瑞,2002,多項財務危機預警模式之探討,國立高雄第一科技大學金融營運系碩士論文。zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) 鄧志豪,1999,以分類樣本偵測地雷股-新財務危機預警模型,國立政治大學金融學系碩士論文。zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) Altman, E. 1968. Financial ratios, discriminant analysis and the prediction of corporate bankruptcy. Journal of Finance 6 (1): 4-19.zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) Altman, E. I., and H. A. Rijken. 2005. A Point-in-Time Perspective on Through-the-Cycie Ratings. Mathematical Methods of Operations Research 62(3):375-386.zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) Altman, E. I., H. Frydman, and D. L. Kao. 1985. Introducing Recursive Partitioning for Financial Classification: The Case of Financial Distress.THE JOURNAL OF FINANCE 4 (1): 269-291.zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) Beaver, W. 1966. Financial ratios as predictors of failure. Journal of Accounting Research 4 (Supplement): 71-111.zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) Blum, M. 1974. Failing Company Discriminant Analysis. Journal of Accounting Research 74(12):1-25.zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) Chen, K., and J. Lee. 1993. Financial ratios and corporate endurance: A case of the oil and gas industry. Contemporary Accounting Research 9 (2): 667-694.zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) Cheng, M. T. 2006. The Effect of Financial Ratios on Returns from Initial Public Offerings: An Application of Principal Components Analysis. International Journal of Managemen 23(1):187-194.zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) Choi, J. H., R. K. Doogar, and A. R.Ganguly. 2004. The Riskiness of Large Audit Firm Client Portfolios and Changes in Audit Liability Regimes: Evidence from the U.S. Audit Market. Contemporary Accounting Research 21(4):747-785.zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) Deakin, E. B. 1972. A Discriminant Analysis of Predictors of Business Failure. Journal of Accounting Research 10(1):167-179.zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) Dechow, P. M. and D. J. Skinner. 2000. Earnings management: Reconciling the views of accounting academics, practitioners, and regulators. Accounting Horizons 14 (February): 235-250.zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) Delaney, K. J. 1991. Strategic bankruptcy: How corporate and creditors use chapter 11 to their advantage. University of California Press (Winter): 112-169.zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) Faccio, M. and L. H. P. Lang. 2000. The separation of ownership and control: An analysis of ultimate ownership in western European corporations. European Financial Management Association Annual Meeting.zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) Fan, P. H. and T. J. Wong. 2000. Corporate ownership structure and the informativeness of accounting earnings in East Asia. The Seventh Asia-Pacific Finance Association Annual Conference.zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) Foster, B. P., T. J. Ward, and J. Woodroof. 1998. An analysis of the usefulness of debt defaults and going concern opinions in bankruptcy risk assessment. Journal of Accounting Auditing and Finance (Summer): 351-71zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) Her, M. M., and A. Mahajan. 2000. Corporate governance and family control: The case of Taiwanese listed firms. Working paper, Texas A&M University.zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) Ioannidis, C., D. A. Peel, and M. J. Peel. 2003. The Time Series Properties of Financial Ratios: Lev Revisited. Journal of Business Finance & Accounting 30(5/6):699-714.zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) La Porta, R., F. Lopez-de-Silanes, A. Shleifer, and R. W. Vishny. 2000. Investor protection and corporate governance. Journal of Financial Economics (August-December): 3-27.zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) La Porta, R., F. Lopez-de-Silanes, A. Shleifer, and R. W. Vishny. 2001. Investor protection and corporate valuation. Journal of Finance 66 (January): 235-270.zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) La Porta, R., F. Lopez-de-Silanes, and A. Shleifer. 1999. Corporate ownership around the world. Journal of Finance 54 (November): 471-517.zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) Lau, A. 1987. A five-state financial distress prediction model. Journal of Accounting Research 25(1): 127-138.zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) Lemmon, M. L., and K. V. Lins. 2001. Ownership structure, corporate governance, and firm value: Evidence from the east Asian financial crisis. The third annual conference on financial market development in emerging and transition economies, Working paper, Hong Kong University of Science and Technology.zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) Ohlson, J. 1980. Financial ratios and the probabilistic prediction of bankruptcy. Journal of Accounting Research 18 (1): 109-131.zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) Palepu, K. 1986. Predicting takeover targets: A methodological and empirical analysis. Journal of Accounting and Economics 8 (1): 3-35.zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) Platt, D., and M. Platt. 1990. Development of a class of stable predictive variables: The case of bankruptcy prediction. Journal of Business Finance and Accounting 17(1): 31-49.zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) Prowse, S. 1998. Corporate governance: Emerging issues and lessons from East Asia. Responding to the Global Financial Crisis ─World Bank Mimeo.zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) Semkow, B. W. 1994. Chinese corporate governance and finance in Taiwan. Journal of International Banking and Financial Law (December): 528-40.zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) Shumway, T. 2001. Forecasting bankruptcy more accurately: A simple hazard model. Journal of Business 74 (1): 101-124.zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) Singh, A. J., and R. S. Schmidgall. 2002. Analysis of financial ratios commonly used by US lodging financial executive. Journal of Leisure Property 2(3):201-213.zh_TW
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