學術產出-學位論文

題名 流動性與總體經濟--台灣股票市場實證
The Macroeconomic Determinants of Liquidity:Evidence from Taiwan Stock Market
作者 冉雋
Jan Chun
貢獻者 郭炳伸
Kuo Biing Shen
冉雋
Jan Chun
關鍵詞 流動性
總體經濟
季節性
Liquidity
Macroeconomic
Seasonality
日期 2002
上傳時間 18-九月-2009 14:06:13 (UTC+8)
摘要 本論文主要研究主題為股票市場流動性的共同影響因子,並檢定總體經濟變數是否能對股票市場整體流動性的變動提供解釋。
過去對於流動性相關主題的研究多半著重於個別股票流動性與其股價高低,股價變動程度以及公司個別事件如股票分割等對其股票流動性所造成的影響。而本文則是針對在台灣股票市場交易之個股為標的,探討總體經濟變數對股票市場整體流動性的影響。與過去文獻實證結果相同的是,台灣股票市場交易的不同個股之流動性的確存在共同的影響因子。而在流動性解釋因子的實證方面,結果顯示總體經濟變數中的匯率,工業生產指數,以及貨幣供給額之變動率皆對股票之流動性有正面的影響。而利率與通貨膨脹變動率則與股票流動性存在著負向的相關性。除此之外,本研究也發現以上各總體變數對股票流動性的影響力會隨景氣循環的不同階段而有所差異。
本論文之實證結果不但增進我們對股票市場整體流動性長期變化的了解,同時也更進一步建立起總體經濟與股票市場流動性之間的關聯。
This study investigates the common factors of the stock market liquidity and examine whether the variations of liquidity can be explained by the general macroeconomic variables. In contrast with pervious research which focuses on the firm-specific determinants of liquidity, our study emphasizes the influence of a macro-perspective aspect on the market-wide liquidity. Consistent with what other studies documented in the U.S. security market, we first evidence commonality in liquidity in Taiwan stock market. We also find exchange rate, industrial production index, and money supply are positively correlated with stock liquidity while interest rate and inflation rate are negatively related to liquidity. Furthermore, we show that macroeconomic variables impose influences of different magnitudes on stock liquidity during different stages of business cycles though the empirical results are not statistically significant in our study. This research helps us learn more about the relationship between stock market liquidity and the macro economy and provides another prospect of how liquidity changes in the long run.
參考文獻 Amihud, Y. and H. Mendelson, 1980, Dealershiip market: Market making with inventory, Journal of financial Economics 8, 31-53.
Amihud, Y., H. Mendelson, and R. A. Wood, 1990, Liquidity and the 1987 stock market crash, Journal of Portfolio Management 16, 65-69.
Bartov, E., and Bodnor, G. M., 1994, Firm valuation, earnings expectations, and the exchange-rate exposure effect, The Journal of Finance 34, 1755-1785.
Chen, N. F., Roll R., and Ross S. A., 1986. Economic factors and the stock market, Journal of Business 59, 383-403.
Clark, R. A., J. J. McConnell, and M. Singh, 1992, Seasonalities in NYSE bid-ask spreads and stock returns in January, Journal of Finance 47, 1999-2014.
Chordia, T. R. Roll, and A. Subrahmanyam, 2000, Commonality in liquidity, Journal of Financial Economics 56, 3-28.
Charoenwong, C. and K. H. Chung, 2000, An empirical analysis of quoted depths of NYSE and AMEX stocks, Review of Quantitative Finance and Accounting 14, 85-102.
Fama, Eugene F., 1981, Stock returns, real activity, inflation, and money, American Economic Review 71, 545-565.
Fortin, R. D., R. C. Grube, and O. M. Joy, 1989, Seasonality in NASDAQ dealer spreads, Journal of Financial and Quantitative Analysis 24, 395-407.
Fama, Eugene F., 1991, Efficient capital markets: Ⅱ, Journal of Finance 46, 1575-1618.
Fama, Eugene F., and Kenneth R. French, 1993, Common risk factors in the returns on stocks and bonds, Journal of Financial Economics 33, 3-56.
Fama, Eugene F., and Kenneth R. French, 1996, Multifactor explanations of asset pricing anomalies, Journal of Finance 51, 55-84.
Gallant, A.R., Rossi, P.E., Tauchen, G., 1992, Stock prices and volume, Review of Financial Studies 5, 199-242.
Huberman, G., Halka, D., 2001, Systematic liquidity, The Journal of Financial Research 24, 161-178.
Huang, R.D., and Stoll, H.R., 2001, Exchange rates and firms’ liquidity: evidence from ADRs, Journal of International Money and Finance 20, 297-325.
Hasbrouck, J., and Seppi, D. J., 2001, Common factors in prices, order flows, and liquidity, Journal of Financial Economics 59, 383-411.
Karpoff, J.M., 1987, The relation between price changes and trading volume: a survey. Journal of Financial and Quantitative Analysis 22, 109-126.
Linn,, S.C., and Lockwood, L.J., 1988, Short-Term Stock Price Patterns: NYSE, AMEX, OTC, Journal of Portfolio Management 14, 30-35.
Mandelker, G., and Tandon, K., 1985, Common stock returns, real activity, money, and inflation: some international evidence, Journal of International Money and Finance 4, 267-286.
McInish, T.H., and Wood, R.A., 1992, An Analysis of Intraday Patterns in Bid/Ask Spreads for NYSE Stocks, The Journal of Finance 47, 753-765.
Mookerjee, R., and Yu Q., 1997, Macroeconomic variables and stock prices in a small open economy: The case of Singapore, Pacific-Basin Finance Journal 5, 377-388.
Osborne, M.F.M., 1959, Brownian motion in the stock market, Operations Research 7, 145-173.
Poon, S., and Taylor, S.J., 1991, Macroeconomic factors and the UK stock market, Journal of Business Finance and Accounting 18, 619-636.
Smirlock, M., Starks, L., 1988, An empirical analysis of the stock price-volume relationship, Journal of Banking and Finance 12, 31-41.
Saatcioglu, K., and Starks, L.T., 1998, The stock price-volume relationship in emerging stock markets: the case of Latin America, International Journal of Forecasting 14, 215-225.
Silvapulle, P., and Choi, J.S., 1999, Testing for linear and nonlinear granger causality in the stock price-volume relation: Korean Evidence, The Quarterly Review of Economics and Finance 39, 59-76.
Shilvakumar, L., and Chordia, T., 2002, Momentum, business cycles, and time-varying expected returns, Journal of Finance 67, 985-1020.
Wood, R. A., T. H. McInish, and J. K. Ord, 1985, An Investigation of transactions data for NYSE stocks, Journal of Finance 60, 723-739.
Ying, C. C., 1966, Stock market prices and volumes of sales, Econometrica 34 676-686.
描述 碩士
國立政治大學
國際經營與貿易研究所
90351001
91
資料來源 http://thesis.lib.nccu.edu.tw/record/#G0090351001
資料類型 thesis
dc.contributor.advisor 郭炳伸zh_TW
dc.contributor.advisor Kuo Biing Shenen_US
dc.contributor.author (作者) 冉雋zh_TW
dc.contributor.author (作者) Jan Chunen_US
dc.creator (作者) 冉雋zh_TW
dc.creator (作者) Jan Chunen_US
dc.date (日期) 2002en_US
dc.date.accessioned 18-九月-2009 14:06:13 (UTC+8)-
dc.date.available 18-九月-2009 14:06:13 (UTC+8)-
dc.date.issued (上傳時間) 18-九月-2009 14:06:13 (UTC+8)-
dc.identifier (其他 識別碼) G0090351001en_US
dc.identifier.uri (URI) https://nccur.lib.nccu.edu.tw/handle/140.119/35076-
dc.description (描述) 碩士zh_TW
dc.description (描述) 國立政治大學zh_TW
dc.description (描述) 國際經營與貿易研究所zh_TW
dc.description (描述) 90351001zh_TW
dc.description (描述) 91zh_TW
dc.description.abstract (摘要) 本論文主要研究主題為股票市場流動性的共同影響因子,並檢定總體經濟變數是否能對股票市場整體流動性的變動提供解釋。
過去對於流動性相關主題的研究多半著重於個別股票流動性與其股價高低,股價變動程度以及公司個別事件如股票分割等對其股票流動性所造成的影響。而本文則是針對在台灣股票市場交易之個股為標的,探討總體經濟變數對股票市場整體流動性的影響。與過去文獻實證結果相同的是,台灣股票市場交易的不同個股之流動性的確存在共同的影響因子。而在流動性解釋因子的實證方面,結果顯示總體經濟變數中的匯率,工業生產指數,以及貨幣供給額之變動率皆對股票之流動性有正面的影響。而利率與通貨膨脹變動率則與股票流動性存在著負向的相關性。除此之外,本研究也發現以上各總體變數對股票流動性的影響力會隨景氣循環的不同階段而有所差異。
本論文之實證結果不但增進我們對股票市場整體流動性長期變化的了解,同時也更進一步建立起總體經濟與股票市場流動性之間的關聯。
zh_TW
dc.description.abstract (摘要) This study investigates the common factors of the stock market liquidity and examine whether the variations of liquidity can be explained by the general macroeconomic variables. In contrast with pervious research which focuses on the firm-specific determinants of liquidity, our study emphasizes the influence of a macro-perspective aspect on the market-wide liquidity. Consistent with what other studies documented in the U.S. security market, we first evidence commonality in liquidity in Taiwan stock market. We also find exchange rate, industrial production index, and money supply are positively correlated with stock liquidity while interest rate and inflation rate are negatively related to liquidity. Furthermore, we show that macroeconomic variables impose influences of different magnitudes on stock liquidity during different stages of business cycles though the empirical results are not statistically significant in our study. This research helps us learn more about the relationship between stock market liquidity and the macro economy and provides another prospect of how liquidity changes in the long run.en_US
dc.description.tableofcontents Abstract.....................................................Ⅰ
Contents.....................................................Ⅱ
1.Introduction...............................................1
2.Literature Review..........................................6
2.1Commonality in Liquidity.................................6
2.2Relationship between Stock Returns and Macro-economic Factors......................................................7
3.The Data...................................................9
4.Liquidity Measures.........................................11
5.Seasonality in Liquidity...................................14
6.Empirical Systematic Movements in Measures of Liquidity....19
6.1Empirical evidence of common factors of liquidity........19
6.2Economic Variables and Systematic Liquidity..............25
6.2.1The Macroeconomic Variables...........................26
6.2.2Empirical Tests and Returns...........................32
6.3Business Cycle and Liquidity.............................38
6.3.1The Business Cycle....................................38
6.3.2Empirical Results.....................................41
6.3.3Economic Variables and Business Cycle.................46
7.Conclusion.................................................49
References...................................................51
zh_TW
dc.format.extent 10546 bytes-
dc.format.extent 12156 bytes-
dc.format.extent 12399 bytes-
dc.format.extent 21422 bytes-
dc.format.extent 16312 bytes-
dc.format.extent 17232 bytes-
dc.format.extent 18801 bytes-
dc.format.extent 33342 bytes-
dc.format.extent 152650 bytes-
dc.format.extent 10807 bytes-
dc.format.extent 16961 bytes-
dc.format.mimetype application/pdf-
dc.format.mimetype application/pdf-
dc.format.mimetype application/pdf-
dc.format.mimetype application/pdf-
dc.format.mimetype application/pdf-
dc.format.mimetype application/pdf-
dc.format.mimetype application/pdf-
dc.format.mimetype application/pdf-
dc.format.mimetype application/pdf-
dc.format.mimetype application/pdf-
dc.format.mimetype application/pdf-
dc.language.iso en_US-
dc.source.uri (資料來源) http://thesis.lib.nccu.edu.tw/record/#G0090351001en_US
dc.subject (關鍵詞) 流動性zh_TW
dc.subject (關鍵詞) 總體經濟zh_TW
dc.subject (關鍵詞) 季節性zh_TW
dc.subject (關鍵詞) Liquidityen_US
dc.subject (關鍵詞) Macroeconomicen_US
dc.subject (關鍵詞) Seasonalityen_US
dc.title (題名) 流動性與總體經濟--台灣股票市場實證zh_TW
dc.title (題名) The Macroeconomic Determinants of Liquidity:Evidence from Taiwan Stock Marketen_US
dc.type (資料類型) thesisen
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) Amihud, Y. and H. Mendelson, 1980, Dealershiip market: Market making with inventory, Journal of financial Economics 8, 31-53.zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) Amihud, Y., H. Mendelson, and R. A. Wood, 1990, Liquidity and the 1987 stock market crash, Journal of Portfolio Management 16, 65-69.zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) Bartov, E., and Bodnor, G. M., 1994, Firm valuation, earnings expectations, and the exchange-rate exposure effect, The Journal of Finance 34, 1755-1785.zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) Chen, N. F., Roll R., and Ross S. A., 1986. Economic factors and the stock market, Journal of Business 59, 383-403.zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) Clark, R. A., J. J. McConnell, and M. Singh, 1992, Seasonalities in NYSE bid-ask spreads and stock returns in January, Journal of Finance 47, 1999-2014.zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) Chordia, T. R. Roll, and A. Subrahmanyam, 2000, Commonality in liquidity, Journal of Financial Economics 56, 3-28.zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) Charoenwong, C. and K. H. Chung, 2000, An empirical analysis of quoted depths of NYSE and AMEX stocks, Review of Quantitative Finance and Accounting 14, 85-102.zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) Fama, Eugene F., 1981, Stock returns, real activity, inflation, and money, American Economic Review 71, 545-565.zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) Fortin, R. D., R. C. Grube, and O. M. Joy, 1989, Seasonality in NASDAQ dealer spreads, Journal of Financial and Quantitative Analysis 24, 395-407.zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) Fama, Eugene F., 1991, Efficient capital markets: Ⅱ, Journal of Finance 46, 1575-1618.zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) Fama, Eugene F., and Kenneth R. French, 1993, Common risk factors in the returns on stocks and bonds, Journal of Financial Economics 33, 3-56.zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) Fama, Eugene F., and Kenneth R. French, 1996, Multifactor explanations of asset pricing anomalies, Journal of Finance 51, 55-84.zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) Gallant, A.R., Rossi, P.E., Tauchen, G., 1992, Stock prices and volume, Review of Financial Studies 5, 199-242.zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) Huberman, G., Halka, D., 2001, Systematic liquidity, The Journal of Financial Research 24, 161-178.zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) Huang, R.D., and Stoll, H.R., 2001, Exchange rates and firms’ liquidity: evidence from ADRs, Journal of International Money and Finance 20, 297-325.zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) Hasbrouck, J., and Seppi, D. J., 2001, Common factors in prices, order flows, and liquidity, Journal of Financial Economics 59, 383-411.zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) Karpoff, J.M., 1987, The relation between price changes and trading volume: a survey. Journal of Financial and Quantitative Analysis 22, 109-126.zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) Linn,, S.C., and Lockwood, L.J., 1988, Short-Term Stock Price Patterns: NYSE, AMEX, OTC, Journal of Portfolio Management 14, 30-35.zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) Mandelker, G., and Tandon, K., 1985, Common stock returns, real activity, money, and inflation: some international evidence, Journal of International Money and Finance 4, 267-286.zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) McInish, T.H., and Wood, R.A., 1992, An Analysis of Intraday Patterns in Bid/Ask Spreads for NYSE Stocks, The Journal of Finance 47, 753-765.zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) Mookerjee, R., and Yu Q., 1997, Macroeconomic variables and stock prices in a small open economy: The case of Singapore, Pacific-Basin Finance Journal 5, 377-388.zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) Osborne, M.F.M., 1959, Brownian motion in the stock market, Operations Research 7, 145-173.zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) Poon, S., and Taylor, S.J., 1991, Macroeconomic factors and the UK stock market, Journal of Business Finance and Accounting 18, 619-636.zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) Smirlock, M., Starks, L., 1988, An empirical analysis of the stock price-volume relationship, Journal of Banking and Finance 12, 31-41.zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) Saatcioglu, K., and Starks, L.T., 1998, The stock price-volume relationship in emerging stock markets: the case of Latin America, International Journal of Forecasting 14, 215-225.zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) Silvapulle, P., and Choi, J.S., 1999, Testing for linear and nonlinear granger causality in the stock price-volume relation: Korean Evidence, The Quarterly Review of Economics and Finance 39, 59-76.zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) Shilvakumar, L., and Chordia, T., 2002, Momentum, business cycles, and time-varying expected returns, Journal of Finance 67, 985-1020.zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) Wood, R. A., T. H. McInish, and J. K. Ord, 1985, An Investigation of transactions data for NYSE stocks, Journal of Finance 60, 723-739.zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) Ying, C. C., 1966, Stock market prices and volumes of sales, Econometrica 34 676-686.zh_TW