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題名 A three factor model for MBS with credit risk
作者 林怡潔
貢獻者 胡聯國
林怡潔
關鍵詞 MBS
credit risk
日期 2003
上傳時間 18-九月-2009 18:54:49 (UTC+8)
摘要 本篇論文將Kariya, Ushiyama, and Pliska三位學者在2003所發表之三因子不動產證券化評價模型加入信用風險(credit risk)的考量.
In this paper, we extend Kariya, Ushiyama, and Pliska’s three factor mortgage-backed securities pricing model with credit risk. In our model, two reasons that cause prepayment behaviors are the refinancing factor and the equity factor. Our pricing model is a discrete-time model, and the credit risk is priced due to the concept of reduced form model. We also use Monte Carlo simulation to test our theoretical value and make some comparisons between changing parameters.
參考文獻 1. Bjork, Tomas, Arbitrage Theory in Continuous Time, Oxford university press CH15 p228~241
2. Black, Fischer, and Myron Scholes, 1973, The Pricing of Options and Corporate Liabilities. Journal of Political Economy, Vol.81, No. 3, p637-653
3. Cossin, Didier, and Hugues Pirotte, 2000, Advanced Credit Risk Analysis, John Wiley&Sons, Ltd.
4. Cunningham, D.F., P.H. Hendershott, 1984, Pricing FHA Mortgage Default Insurance. Housing Finance Review,13, p373-392
5. Darrell Duffie, Kenneth J. Singleton, Modeling Term Structures of Defaultable Bonds. The Review of Financial Studies Special 1999, Vol.12, No.4, p687-720
6. Das, Sanjiv, and Peter Tufano, 1996, Pricing Credit Sensitive Debt when Interest Rates, Credit Ratings and Credit Spreads are Stochastic. Journal of Financial Engineering, 5(2), June
7. Deng, Yongheng, and John M. Quigley, and Robert Van Order, Mortgage terminations, Heterogeneity and the exercise of mortgage options. Econometrica 68, 275-307
8. Duffie, Darrell, and Kenneth J, Singleton, 1997, An Econometric Model of the Term Structure of Interest Rate Swap Yields. Journal of Finance, Vol.52, No. 4, p1287-1321
9. Epperson,J.F., J.B.Kau, D.C. Keenan, W.J.Muller, 1985, Pricing Default Risk in Mortgages. Journal of the American Real Estate and Urban Economics Association,13,p261-272
10. Foster, C., R.Van Order,1984, An Option-based Model of Mortgage Default. Housing Finance Review,3,p351-372
11. Heath, D., R.Jarrow, and A.Merton,1992, Bond pricing and the Term Structure of Interest Rates: A New Methodology for Contingent Claims Valuation. Econometrica, 60, 77-106
12. Hite, G., and Arthur Warga,1997, The effect of Bond-Rating Changes on Bond Price Performance. Financial Analysts Journal, Vol. 53,p35-51
13. Hübner , Georges, 1997, A Two-Factor Gaussian Model of Default Risk, working paper, Paris and University of Liege, Belgium, 84pp
14. Jacob Boudoukh, Matthew Richardson, Richard Stanton, The pricing and hedging of mortgage-backed securities: a multivariate density estimation approach. Review of Financial studies 10,405-446
15. Jarrow, R. and Stuart Turnbull, 1995, Pricing Derivatives on Financial Securities Subject to Credit Risk. Journal of Finance,50(1),53-85
16. Jarrow,R. David Lando and Stuart Turnbull, 1997, A Markov Model of the Term Structure of Credit Spreads. Review of Financial Studies, 10(2)
17. Kariya, Takeaki, Fumiaki Ushiyama, Stanley R. Pliska, 2002, A 3-factor Valuation Model for Mortgage-Backed Securities, working paper
18. Kariya, T. and Kobayashi, 2000, Pricing Mortgage-Backed Securities-A Model Describing the Burnout Effect. Asia-Pacific Financial Markets 7, p189-204
19. Kau, J.B., D.C.Deenan,1995, An Overview of the Option-Theoretic Pricing of Mortgages. Journal of Housing Research,6,p217-244
20. Kim, In Joon, Krishna Ramaswamy, and Suresh Sundaresan, 1989. The valuation of Corporate Fixed Income Securities, Working paper, University of Pennsylvania.
21. Lando, David, 1998, On Cox Processes and Credit Risky Securities. Review of Derivatives Research, Vol.2, p99-120
22. Merton, Robert C.. On the Pricing of Corporate Debt: The Risk Structure of Interest Rates. The Journal of Finance,29 May 1974 ,P449-470
23. Protter, P., 1990, Stochastic Integration and Differential Equations, Springer-Verlag, New York
24. Quigley, .J.M, and R.Van Order,1995, Explicit Tests of Contingent Claims Models of Mortgage Default. The journal of Real Estate Finance and Economics, 11, p99-117
25. Suresh Sundaresan, Fixed income markets and their derivatives 2ed, south-western
26. Shimko, David, Naohiko Tejima and Dodald Van Deventer, The Pricing of Ridky Debt When Interest Rates are Stochastic. Journal of Fixed Income, 1993 September, p58-65
27. Titman, S.,M.N. Torous,1989, Valuing Commercial Mortgages: An Empirical Investment of the Contingent Claims Approach to Pricing Risky Debt. Journal of Finance, 44, p345-373
□ Chinese
1. 記者宋繐瑢/台北報導, 2003/03/21, 玉山銀行進軍資產證券化市場, 新浪新聞
2. 游育蓁/台北報導, 2003/02/25, 首宗金融資產證券化上路, 奇摩新聞
3. 洪川詠/台北報導, 2003/05/13, 台灣證券化市場直逼日韓, 工商時報
4. 洪川詠/台北報導, 2003/04/10, 開發工銀搶攻證券化商機, 工商時報
5. 洪川詠/台北報導, 2003/05/13, 開發台工銀戮力開拓商機, 工商時報
6. 李玉玲/台北報導, 2003/04/15, 安信出售信用卡債權給荷銀, 中國時報
7. 謝明瑞, 2002/06/03, 台灣實施不動產抵押貸款債權證券化之問題, 財團法人國家政策研究基金會 國策研究報告
8. 陳文達 李阿乙 廖咸興, 2002/08, 資產證券化, 智勝文化事業有限公司
9. 林妙宜, 2002, 信用風險之衡量, 國立政治大學金融所
10. 施宜君, 2001, 信用風險之評價與應用, 國立政治大學金融所
描述 碩士
國立政治大學
國際經營與貿易研究所
90351027
92
資料來源 http://thesis.lib.nccu.edu.tw/record/#G0090351027
資料類型 thesis
dc.contributor.advisor 胡聯國zh_TW
dc.contributor.author (作者) 林怡潔zh_TW
dc.creator (作者) 林怡潔zh_TW
dc.date (日期) 2003en_US
dc.date.accessioned 18-九月-2009 18:54:49 (UTC+8)-
dc.date.available 18-九月-2009 18:54:49 (UTC+8)-
dc.date.issued (上傳時間) 18-九月-2009 18:54:49 (UTC+8)-
dc.identifier (其他 識別碼) G0090351027en_US
dc.identifier.uri (URI) https://nccur.lib.nccu.edu.tw/handle/140.119/36585-
dc.description (描述) 碩士zh_TW
dc.description (描述) 國立政治大學zh_TW
dc.description (描述) 國際經營與貿易研究所zh_TW
dc.description (描述) 90351027zh_TW
dc.description (描述) 92zh_TW
dc.description.abstract (摘要) 本篇論文將Kariya, Ushiyama, and Pliska三位學者在2003所發表之三因子不動產證券化評價模型加入信用風險(credit risk)的考量.zh_TW
dc.description.abstract (摘要) In this paper, we extend Kariya, Ushiyama, and Pliska’s three factor mortgage-backed securities pricing model with credit risk. In our model, two reasons that cause prepayment behaviors are the refinancing factor and the equity factor. Our pricing model is a discrete-time model, and the credit risk is priced due to the concept of reduced form model. We also use Monte Carlo simulation to test our theoretical value and make some comparisons between changing parameters.en_US
dc.description.tableofcontents 1. Introduction 1
     2. Cash flow with prepayment 9
     3. Credit risk 13
     3.1 Structural approach model or firm value model 13
     3.2 Reduced firm model 17
     4. Three factor model with credit risk 22
     5. Monte Carlo Simulation: method 28
     6. Monte Carlo Simulation: result 31
     6.1 Comparison of three factor MBS model without and with credit risk 36
     6.2 The threshold parameters on the MBS prices 36
     6.3 Parameters on the housing price 38
     7. Conclusions 40
     Reference 42
zh_TW
dc.language.iso en_US-
dc.source.uri (資料來源) http://thesis.lib.nccu.edu.tw/record/#G0090351027en_US
dc.subject (關鍵詞) MBSen_US
dc.subject (關鍵詞) credit risken_US
dc.title (題名) A three factor model for MBS with credit riskzh_TW
dc.type (資料類型) thesisen
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) 1. Bjork, Tomas, Arbitrage Theory in Continuous Time, Oxford university press CH15 p228~241zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) 2. Black, Fischer, and Myron Scholes, 1973, The Pricing of Options and Corporate Liabilities. Journal of Political Economy, Vol.81, No. 3, p637-653zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) 3. Cossin, Didier, and Hugues Pirotte, 2000, Advanced Credit Risk Analysis, John Wiley&Sons, Ltd.zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) 4. Cunningham, D.F., P.H. Hendershott, 1984, Pricing FHA Mortgage Default Insurance. Housing Finance Review,13, p373-392zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) 5. Darrell Duffie, Kenneth J. Singleton, Modeling Term Structures of Defaultable Bonds. The Review of Financial Studies Special 1999, Vol.12, No.4, p687-720zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) 6. Das, Sanjiv, and Peter Tufano, 1996, Pricing Credit Sensitive Debt when Interest Rates, Credit Ratings and Credit Spreads are Stochastic. Journal of Financial Engineering, 5(2), Junezh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) 7. Deng, Yongheng, and John M. Quigley, and Robert Van Order, Mortgage terminations, Heterogeneity and the exercise of mortgage options. Econometrica 68, 275-307zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) 8. Duffie, Darrell, and Kenneth J, Singleton, 1997, An Econometric Model of the Term Structure of Interest Rate Swap Yields. Journal of Finance, Vol.52, No. 4, p1287-1321zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) 9. Epperson,J.F., J.B.Kau, D.C. Keenan, W.J.Muller, 1985, Pricing Default Risk in Mortgages. Journal of the American Real Estate and Urban Economics Association,13,p261-272zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) 10. Foster, C., R.Van Order,1984, An Option-based Model of Mortgage Default. Housing Finance Review,3,p351-372zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) 11. Heath, D., R.Jarrow, and A.Merton,1992, Bond pricing and the Term Structure of Interest Rates: A New Methodology for Contingent Claims Valuation. Econometrica, 60, 77-106zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) 12. Hite, G., and Arthur Warga,1997, The effect of Bond-Rating Changes on Bond Price Performance. Financial Analysts Journal, Vol. 53,p35-51zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) 13. Hübner , Georges, 1997, A Two-Factor Gaussian Model of Default Risk, working paper, Paris and University of Liege, Belgium, 84ppzh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) 14. Jacob Boudoukh, Matthew Richardson, Richard Stanton, The pricing and hedging of mortgage-backed securities: a multivariate density estimation approach. Review of Financial studies 10,405-446zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) 15. Jarrow, R. and Stuart Turnbull, 1995, Pricing Derivatives on Financial Securities Subject to Credit Risk. Journal of Finance,50(1),53-85zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) 16. Jarrow,R. David Lando and Stuart Turnbull, 1997, A Markov Model of the Term Structure of Credit Spreads. Review of Financial Studies, 10(2)zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) 17. Kariya, Takeaki, Fumiaki Ushiyama, Stanley R. Pliska, 2002, A 3-factor Valuation Model for Mortgage-Backed Securities, working paperzh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) 18. Kariya, T. and Kobayashi, 2000, Pricing Mortgage-Backed Securities-A Model Describing the Burnout Effect. Asia-Pacific Financial Markets 7, p189-204zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) 19. Kau, J.B., D.C.Deenan,1995, An Overview of the Option-Theoretic Pricing of Mortgages. Journal of Housing Research,6,p217-244zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) 20. Kim, In Joon, Krishna Ramaswamy, and Suresh Sundaresan, 1989. The valuation of Corporate Fixed Income Securities, Working paper, University of Pennsylvania.zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) 21. Lando, David, 1998, On Cox Processes and Credit Risky Securities. Review of Derivatives Research, Vol.2, p99-120zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) 22. Merton, Robert C.. On the Pricing of Corporate Debt: The Risk Structure of Interest Rates. The Journal of Finance,29 May 1974 ,P449-470zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) 23. Protter, P., 1990, Stochastic Integration and Differential Equations, Springer-Verlag, New Yorkzh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) 24. Quigley, .J.M, and R.Van Order,1995, Explicit Tests of Contingent Claims Models of Mortgage Default. The journal of Real Estate Finance and Economics, 11, p99-117zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) 25. Suresh Sundaresan, Fixed income markets and their derivatives 2ed, south-westernzh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) 26. Shimko, David, Naohiko Tejima and Dodald Van Deventer, The Pricing of Ridky Debt When Interest Rates are Stochastic. Journal of Fixed Income, 1993 September, p58-65zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) 27. Titman, S.,M.N. Torous,1989, Valuing Commercial Mortgages: An Empirical Investment of the Contingent Claims Approach to Pricing Risky Debt. Journal of Finance, 44, p345-373zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) □ Chinesezh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) 1. 記者宋繐瑢/台北報導, 2003/03/21, 玉山銀行進軍資產證券化市場, 新浪新聞zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) 2. 游育蓁/台北報導, 2003/02/25, 首宗金融資產證券化上路, 奇摩新聞zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) 3. 洪川詠/台北報導, 2003/05/13, 台灣證券化市場直逼日韓, 工商時報zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) 4. 洪川詠/台北報導, 2003/04/10, 開發工銀搶攻證券化商機, 工商時報zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) 5. 洪川詠/台北報導, 2003/05/13, 開發台工銀戮力開拓商機, 工商時報zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) 6. 李玉玲/台北報導, 2003/04/15, 安信出售信用卡債權給荷銀, 中國時報zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) 7. 謝明瑞, 2002/06/03, 台灣實施不動產抵押貸款債權證券化之問題, 財團法人國家政策研究基金會 國策研究報告zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) 8. 陳文達 李阿乙 廖咸興, 2002/08, 資產證券化, 智勝文化事業有限公司zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) 9. 林妙宜, 2002, 信用風險之衡量, 國立政治大學金融所zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) 10. 施宜君, 2001, 信用風險之評價與應用, 國立政治大學金融所zh_TW