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題名 價格與數量的實證研究 :以大尺寸的TFT LCD panels為例
作者 楊志常
Chih-Chang Ken Yang
貢獻者 吳文傑
楊志常
Chih-Chang Ken Yang
關鍵詞 Panel Data
Fixed Effect Model
Quantity Elasticity
Price Elasticity
TFT LCD
日期 2004
上傳時間 18-九月-2009 19:26:52 (UTC+8)
摘要 The purpose of this research is to understand and explain the TFT LCD industry phenomenon of oversupply vs. shortage and its impacts on the prices and quantities of individual TFT LCD makers. Also, to look for any fixed effects (if any exist) due to specific company and due to specific time.
     
     We employ a fixed effect model to estimate impacts of individual traded quantity on price and impacts of individual price on traded quantity. Using the panel data covering 16 makers and 24 months, our results reveal that the TFT LCD panel is highly quantity inelastic of the traded price but greatly price elastic of the traded quantity.
     
     With regard to fixed effect, the empirical result reveals there were significant time effects of price for some periods of time while there were significant time effects of quantity for some sizes of panels. Supply and demand could be one of the factors determining the time effects. As to the company fixed effect, most of company fixed effects of quantity prices were found significant whereas company fixed effects of price were not. Market shares and country of origin can be significant factors determining the company fixed effect of quantity.
     
     
     
     
     
     Keywords: Panel Data, Fixed Effect Model, Quantity Elasticity, Price Elasticity, Company Fixed Effect, Time Fixed Effect, TFT LCD
Chapter 1 Introduction----------------------------------------1
     1.1 Motivation------------------------------------------------1
     1.2 Objectives------------------------------------------------2
     1.3 Organization----------------------------------------------2
     Chapter 2 Literature Review-----------------------------------4
     Chapter 3 TFT LCD Industry Introduction-----------------------8
     3.1 What makes TFT LCD panels---------------------------------8
     3.2 Industry Supply Chain------------------------------------10
     The Competitors----------------------------------------------10
     The Suppliers------------------------------------------------14
     The Customers------------------------------------------------15
     The Crystal Cycle--------------------------------------------16
     Chapter 4 Methodology----------------------------------------19
     4.1 Theoretical Analysis and Hypotheses Development----------19
     4.2 Empirical Model and Specification------------------------25
     Chapter 5 Data Source, Sample and Descriptive Statistics-----31
     5.1 Data Source and Sample-----------------------------------31
     5.2 Descriptive Statistics-----------------------------------32
     5.2.1 Descriptive Statistics by Company and by Segment-------34
     5.5.2 Descriptive Statistics by Time and by Segment----------38
     5.2.3 Descriptive Statistics of Aggregate NB and Monitor Panel- -------------------------------------------------------42
     5.2.4 Transition of Different Panel Sizes--------------------46
     Chapter 6 Empirical Results----------------------------------48
     6.1 Analysis of Price Elasticity of Traded Quantity----------48
     6.2 Analysis of Quantity Elasticity of Traded Price----------51
     6.3 Time Effect Analysis-------------------------------------53
     6.4 Company Fixed Effect Analysis----------------------------57
     Chapter 7 Conclusions----------------------------------------61
     7.1 Summary--------------------------------------------------61
     7.2 Recommendation-------------------------------------------62
     Appendix-----------------------------------------------------63
     Reference----------------------------------------------------64
參考文獻 Gujarati, Damodar N.: Basic Econometrics, McGraw Hill, 4th Edition, 2003, pp 636-652.
Greene, William: Econometric Analysis, Prentice Hall, 5th Edition, 2003, pp 283-293.
Keller, Gerald & Warrack, Brian: Statistics, Thomson, 6th Edition, 2003.
DisplaySearch: Notebook PC Strategy Report Part I, May 2004, pp 101-104.
Young, Ross: “TFT LCD Market Outlook” Presentation, Sept 2004.
Hsieh, David: “TFT LCD Market Outlook” Presentation”, Jan 2005.
Mathews, John A.: “ Strategy and the Crystal Cycle”, Macquarie Graduate School of Management, October 2004
Huang, Arex: “Overview of TFT-LCD Market” Presentation, Oct. 2004
Chen, Wen-Chang: “A DSS for Purchasing of Key Component of Notebook-PC”, 1998
張清溪 & 許嘉棟 & 劉鶯釧 & 吳聰敏: 經濟學, 上冊, 二版, 民國八十年, pp 83-94, 156.
王瓊敏: “電腦關鍵零組件之價格預測模式”, 2000
陳泳丞: 台灣的驚嘆號, 時報出版, 2004.
Samsung web site: www.samsungtftlcd.com
AUO web site: www.auo.com
Witsview web site: www.witsview.com
描述 碩士
國立政治大學
國際經營管理碩士班(IMBA)
92933002
93
資料來源 http://thesis.lib.nccu.edu.tw/record/#G0929330021
資料類型 thesis
dc.contributor.advisor 吳文傑zh_TW
dc.contributor.author (作者) 楊志常zh_TW
dc.contributor.author (作者) Chih-Chang Ken Yangen_US
dc.creator (作者) 楊志常zh_TW
dc.creator (作者) Chih-Chang Ken Yangen_US
dc.date (日期) 2004en_US
dc.date.accessioned 18-九月-2009 19:26:52 (UTC+8)-
dc.date.available 18-九月-2009 19:26:52 (UTC+8)-
dc.date.issued (上傳時間) 18-九月-2009 19:26:52 (UTC+8)-
dc.identifier (其他 識別碼) G0929330021en_US
dc.identifier.uri (URI) https://nccur.lib.nccu.edu.tw/handle/140.119/36752-
dc.description (描述) 碩士zh_TW
dc.description (描述) 國立政治大學zh_TW
dc.description (描述) 國際經營管理碩士班(IMBA)zh_TW
dc.description (描述) 92933002zh_TW
dc.description (描述) 93zh_TW
dc.description.abstract (摘要) The purpose of this research is to understand and explain the TFT LCD industry phenomenon of oversupply vs. shortage and its impacts on the prices and quantities of individual TFT LCD makers. Also, to look for any fixed effects (if any exist) due to specific company and due to specific time.
     
     We employ a fixed effect model to estimate impacts of individual traded quantity on price and impacts of individual price on traded quantity. Using the panel data covering 16 makers and 24 months, our results reveal that the TFT LCD panel is highly quantity inelastic of the traded price but greatly price elastic of the traded quantity.
     
     With regard to fixed effect, the empirical result reveals there were significant time effects of price for some periods of time while there were significant time effects of quantity for some sizes of panels. Supply and demand could be one of the factors determining the time effects. As to the company fixed effect, most of company fixed effects of quantity prices were found significant whereas company fixed effects of price were not. Market shares and country of origin can be significant factors determining the company fixed effect of quantity.
     
     
     
     
     
     Keywords: Panel Data, Fixed Effect Model, Quantity Elasticity, Price Elasticity, Company Fixed Effect, Time Fixed Effect, TFT LCD
zh_TW
dc.description.abstract (摘要) Chapter 1 Introduction----------------------------------------1
     1.1 Motivation------------------------------------------------1
     1.2 Objectives------------------------------------------------2
     1.3 Organization----------------------------------------------2
     Chapter 2 Literature Review-----------------------------------4
     Chapter 3 TFT LCD Industry Introduction-----------------------8
     3.1 What makes TFT LCD panels---------------------------------8
     3.2 Industry Supply Chain------------------------------------10
     The Competitors----------------------------------------------10
     The Suppliers------------------------------------------------14
     The Customers------------------------------------------------15
     The Crystal Cycle--------------------------------------------16
     Chapter 4 Methodology----------------------------------------19
     4.1 Theoretical Analysis and Hypotheses Development----------19
     4.2 Empirical Model and Specification------------------------25
     Chapter 5 Data Source, Sample and Descriptive Statistics-----31
     5.1 Data Source and Sample-----------------------------------31
     5.2 Descriptive Statistics-----------------------------------32
     5.2.1 Descriptive Statistics by Company and by Segment-------34
     5.5.2 Descriptive Statistics by Time and by Segment----------38
     5.2.3 Descriptive Statistics of Aggregate NB and Monitor Panel- -------------------------------------------------------42
     5.2.4 Transition of Different Panel Sizes--------------------46
     Chapter 6 Empirical Results----------------------------------48
     6.1 Analysis of Price Elasticity of Traded Quantity----------48
     6.2 Analysis of Quantity Elasticity of Traded Price----------51
     6.3 Time Effect Analysis-------------------------------------53
     6.4 Company Fixed Effect Analysis----------------------------57
     Chapter 7 Conclusions----------------------------------------61
     7.1 Summary--------------------------------------------------61
     7.2 Recommendation-------------------------------------------62
     Appendix-----------------------------------------------------63
     Reference----------------------------------------------------64
-
dc.description.tableofcontents Chapter 1 Introduction----------------------------------------1
     1.1 Motivation------------------------------------------------1
     1.2 Objectives------------------------------------------------2
     1.3 Organization----------------------------------------------2
     Chapter 2 Literature Review-----------------------------------4
     Chapter 3 TFT LCD Industry Introduction-----------------------8
     3.1 What makes TFT LCD panels---------------------------------8
     3.2 Industry Supply Chain------------------------------------10
     The Competitors----------------------------------------------10
     The Suppliers------------------------------------------------14
     The Customers------------------------------------------------15
     The Crystal Cycle--------------------------------------------16
     Chapter 4 Methodology----------------------------------------19
     4.1 Theoretical Analysis and Hypotheses Development----------19
     4.2 Empirical Model and Specification------------------------25
     Chapter 5 Data Source, Sample and Descriptive Statistics-----31
     5.1 Data Source and Sample-----------------------------------31
     5.2 Descriptive Statistics-----------------------------------32
     5.2.1 Descriptive Statistics by Company and by Segment-------34
     5.5.2 Descriptive Statistics by Time and by Segment----------38
     5.2.3 Descriptive Statistics of Aggregate NB and Monitor Panel- -------------------------------------------------------42
     5.2.4 Transition of Different Panel Sizes--------------------46
     Chapter 6 Empirical Results----------------------------------48
     6.1 Analysis of Price Elasticity of Traded Quantity----------48
     6.2 Analysis of Quantity Elasticity of Traded Price----------51
     6.3 Time Effect Analysis-------------------------------------53
     6.4 Company Fixed Effect Analysis----------------------------57
     Chapter 7 Conclusions----------------------------------------61
     7.1 Summary--------------------------------------------------61
     7.2 Recommendation-------------------------------------------62
     Appendix-----------------------------------------------------63
     Reference----------------------------------------------------64
zh_TW
dc.language.iso en_US-
dc.source.uri (資料來源) http://thesis.lib.nccu.edu.tw/record/#G0929330021en_US
dc.subject (關鍵詞) Panel Dataen_US
dc.subject (關鍵詞) Fixed Effect Modelen_US
dc.subject (關鍵詞) Quantity Elasticityen_US
dc.subject (關鍵詞) Price Elasticityen_US
dc.subject (關鍵詞) TFT LCDen_US
dc.title (題名) 價格與數量的實證研究 :以大尺寸的TFT LCD panels為例zh_TW
dc.type (資料類型) thesisen
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) Gujarati, Damodar N.: Basic Econometrics, McGraw Hill, 4th Edition, 2003, pp 636-652.zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) Greene, William: Econometric Analysis, Prentice Hall, 5th Edition, 2003, pp 283-293.zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) Keller, Gerald & Warrack, Brian: Statistics, Thomson, 6th Edition, 2003.zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) DisplaySearch: Notebook PC Strategy Report Part I, May 2004, pp 101-104.zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) Young, Ross: “TFT LCD Market Outlook” Presentation, Sept 2004.zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) Hsieh, David: “TFT LCD Market Outlook” Presentation”, Jan 2005.zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) Mathews, John A.: “ Strategy and the Crystal Cycle”, Macquarie Graduate School of Management, October 2004zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) Huang, Arex: “Overview of TFT-LCD Market” Presentation, Oct. 2004zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) Chen, Wen-Chang: “A DSS for Purchasing of Key Component of Notebook-PC”, 1998zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) 張清溪 & 許嘉棟 & 劉鶯釧 & 吳聰敏: 經濟學, 上冊, 二版, 民國八十年, pp 83-94, 156.zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) 王瓊敏: “電腦關鍵零組件之價格預測模式”, 2000zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) 陳泳丞: 台灣的驚嘆號, 時報出版, 2004.zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) Samsung web site: www.samsungtftlcd.comzh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) AUO web site: www.auo.comzh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) Witsview web site: www.witsview.comzh_TW