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題名 外資交易行為是否誤導散戶投資行為下單?
Do foreign investors` trading behavior mislead individuals` investment?
作者 姜珮瑜
貢獻者 李志宏
姜珮瑜
關鍵詞 外資買賣超
買賣單
外資交易行為
日期 2009
上傳時間 8-十二月-2010 01:54:23 (UTC+8)
摘要 本研究主要目的是檢視外資的買賣超資訊是否能為散戶投資人帶來有用資訊,進行跟隨買賣而獲利? 再者,以34家公司樣本為例,觀察外資對某股欲大量買賣超時,經由買賣單的下單積極性分布情形,是否有藉此誤導散戶投資人投資行為的嫌疑?實證結果發現,跟隨外資買進金額買超最大的標的股,確實能為散戶投資人帶來獲利,但若跟隨買超張數最大而買入標的股,獲利幅度會下降。而跟著外資大量賣超而殺出的標的股,不論賣出張數最大或賣出金額最大,散戶投資人未有較高獲利可以獲得。最後,實證發現外資對在欲大量買超或賣超的標的股中,均會以積極性高的下單價格來使其買單或賣單快速成交。但外資大量買超下的賣單比例以及大量賣超下的買單比例下單於積極度最差的價格區間均有高於正常樣本期間的情況發生。
The main purpose of this study is to examine Taiwan`s 34 major companies trading over information for retail investors is to bring useful information to profit following foreign investors’ buy-sell information. Furthermore, this observation of 34 companies to buy-sell ultra -volume, the order distribution of buy and sell would give wrong information to mislead retail investors? The result shows if retail investor follow foreign investors’ step to buy the maximum market share and volume underlying stock can bring abnormal return than market return and industry return, But if retail investors follow foreign investors’ selling behavior not to take extra return from mimic trading behavior. Next, analysis of foreign investors’ trading behavior is consistent or not? We find if foreign investors really want to buy or sell the underlying stock, their buy-order and sell –order will set at the best price to make it a deal quickly , but one the other hand, we find their sell-order and buy-order will set the price which less possible to make this transaction.
參考文獻 一、 中文文獻
王月玲,2003,”外資對台灣股市的影響”,國立政治大學金融研究 所碩士論文。
林炎會,1995,”外資對台灣證券市場股價之影響”,國立中興大學企業管理研究所碩士論文。
林可依,2003,”台灣上市股市三大法人買賣超是否可提供投資人短期獲利的機會?”,國立東華大學國際經濟研究所碩士論文。
姚蕙芸、梁志民(2004),”空頭走勢期間台股股價指數及相關因素之因果關係研究”,商管科技季刊vol 5,No,2, 109-127。
施彥宇,2002,”外資對台灣股票報酬率之影響”,國立中山大學中山學術研究所碩士論文。
翁英傑,1995,自營商及外資之投資行為研究,輔仁大學金融研究所碩士論文。
康景淵,2004,”股王效應-個股股票異常報酬率研究,東吳大學國際貿易所碩士論文。
陳慧如,1996,外資大額交易與股價關聯之研究,淡江大學金融研究所碩士論文。
郭富源,2007,”外資買賣超對投資績效的影響-以台灣50為例”,國立中央大學財務金融系碩士在職專班碩士論文。
葉銀華,1991,”台灣股票市場成交量與股價關係之實證研究-轉換函數模式”,台北銀行月刊,22(11),57-70。
趙詩容,2002,”法人買賣超是否為投資人短期買賣的參考指標?以台灣股市為例”, 國立東華大學國際經濟研究所碩士論文
廖世魁,1996,”國內外法人機構對國內股市影響效果之探討”,淡江大學管理科學研究所碩士論文。
劉佳奇,2006,”投資人的過度自信、從眾行為與交易績效”,國立中山大學財務管理研究所碩士論文。
二、 英文文獻
Back, K., C. H. Cao and G. A. Willard (2000), “Imperfect Competition among Informed Traders”, Journal of Finance, Vol. 55, No. 5, 2117-2155.
Barber, Brad , and Terrance Odean,2008,”All that glitters: The effect of attention and news on the buying behavior of individual and institutional investors, Review of Financial Studies21,785-818
Chan, Louis, and Josef Lakonishok,1995,”The behavior of stock prices around institutional trades”, Journal of Finance 50,1147-1174
Chen,N.F.,Cuny, J.C. and Haugen, A.R,1995,”Stock Volatility and the levels of basis and open interest in futures contracts”, Journal of Finance 12,281-300
Chiao,C. and K.L Lin, 2004 ,”The Informative Content of the Net Buy Information of Institutional Investors: Evidence from the Taiwan Stock market”, Review of Pacific Basin Financial Market and Policies, forthcoming.
Chiao, C., Z. Wang, and H. Lai (2006), “Order Submission Behaviors and Opening Price Behaviors in the Taiwan Stock Market,” working paper, Department of Finance, National Dong Hwa University.
Choe, Hyuk, Rong-Chan Kho, and Rene M Stulz, 1999, “Do foreign investors destabilize stock markets? The Korea experience in 1997,” Journal of Financial Economics 54, 227-264.
Chordia T., R. Roll, and A. Subrahmanyam (2002), “Order Imbalance, Liquidity and Market Returns,” Journal of Financial Economics, 65, 111-130.
Foster, F. D. and S. Viswanathan (1994), “Strategic Trading with
Asymmetrically Informed Traders and Long-Lived Information”, Journal of Financial and Quantitative Analysis, Vol. 29, No.4, 499-518.
Huang Bwo-Nung, 2000, “Impact of Domestic Investment Companies, Registered Trading Firms and Foreign Institutional Investors on the Taiwan Stock Exchange After the Financial Market Liberalization,” working paper.
Jegadeesh, Narasimhan and Sheridan Titman, 1993, “Returns to buying winners and selling losers: Implications for stock market efficiency, ” Journal of Finance48, 2143-2184
Rouwenhorst, K. Geert, 1998, “International momentum strategies, ” Journal of Finance 53, 267-284.
Seasholes, Mark,2000,”Smart foreign traders in emerging markets.”, Working Paper Harvard Business School
Stein, J. C,1983,”Informational externalities and welfare-reducing speculation,” ,Journal of Political Economy 95, 11
描述 碩士
國立政治大學
財務管理研究所
97357016
98
資料來源 http://thesis.lib.nccu.edu.tw/record/#G0097357016
資料類型 thesis
dc.contributor.advisor 李志宏zh_TW
dc.contributor.author (作者) 姜珮瑜zh_TW
dc.creator (作者) 姜珮瑜zh_TW
dc.date (日期) 2009en_US
dc.date.accessioned 8-十二月-2010 01:54:23 (UTC+8)-
dc.date.available 8-十二月-2010 01:54:23 (UTC+8)-
dc.date.issued (上傳時間) 8-十二月-2010 01:54:23 (UTC+8)-
dc.identifier (其他 識別碼) G0097357016en_US
dc.identifier.uri (URI) http://nccur.lib.nccu.edu.tw/handle/140.119/48965-
dc.description (描述) 碩士zh_TW
dc.description (描述) 國立政治大學zh_TW
dc.description (描述) 財務管理研究所zh_TW
dc.description (描述) 97357016zh_TW
dc.description (描述) 98zh_TW
dc.description.abstract (摘要) 本研究主要目的是檢視外資的買賣超資訊是否能為散戶投資人帶來有用資訊,進行跟隨買賣而獲利? 再者,以34家公司樣本為例,觀察外資對某股欲大量買賣超時,經由買賣單的下單積極性分布情形,是否有藉此誤導散戶投資人投資行為的嫌疑?實證結果發現,跟隨外資買進金額買超最大的標的股,確實能為散戶投資人帶來獲利,但若跟隨買超張數最大而買入標的股,獲利幅度會下降。而跟著外資大量賣超而殺出的標的股,不論賣出張數最大或賣出金額最大,散戶投資人未有較高獲利可以獲得。最後,實證發現外資對在欲大量買超或賣超的標的股中,均會以積極性高的下單價格來使其買單或賣單快速成交。但外資大量買超下的賣單比例以及大量賣超下的買單比例下單於積極度最差的價格區間均有高於正常樣本期間的情況發生。zh_TW
dc.description.abstract (摘要) The main purpose of this study is to examine Taiwan`s 34 major companies trading over information for retail investors is to bring useful information to profit following foreign investors’ buy-sell information. Furthermore, this observation of 34 companies to buy-sell ultra -volume, the order distribution of buy and sell would give wrong information to mislead retail investors? The result shows if retail investor follow foreign investors’ step to buy the maximum market share and volume underlying stock can bring abnormal return than market return and industry return, But if retail investors follow foreign investors’ selling behavior not to take extra return from mimic trading behavior. Next, analysis of foreign investors’ trading behavior is consistent or not? We find if foreign investors really want to buy or sell the underlying stock, their buy-order and sell –order will set at the best price to make it a deal quickly , but one the other hand, we find their sell-order and buy-order will set the price which less possible to make this transaction.en_US
dc.description.tableofcontents 摘要 1
     Abstract 2
     第壹章 緒論 5
     第一節 研究背景與動機 5
     第二節 研究目的 10
     第三節 研究限制 10
     第貳章 文獻回顧 11
     第一節 市場投資人交易行為之相關文獻 11
     第二節 外資買賣超資訊對資本市場影響相關文獻 14
     第三節 委託單下單與資訊內涵之相關文獻 17
     第參章 研究方法 20
     第一節 資料說明 20
     第二節 研究方法 23
     第肆章 實證結果 31
     第一節 跟隨外資買賣超投資獲利分析 31
     第二節 外資交易行為檢測 38
     第伍章 結論與建議 48
     圖表 51
     參考文獻 71
zh_TW
dc.language.iso en_US-
dc.source.uri (資料來源) http://thesis.lib.nccu.edu.tw/record/#G0097357016en_US
dc.subject (關鍵詞) 外資買賣超zh_TW
dc.subject (關鍵詞) 買賣單zh_TW
dc.subject (關鍵詞) 外資交易行為zh_TW
dc.title (題名) 外資交易行為是否誤導散戶投資行為下單?zh_TW
dc.title (題名) Do foreign investors` trading behavior mislead individuals` investment?en_US
dc.type (資料類型) thesisen
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) 一、 中文文獻zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) 王月玲,2003,”外資對台灣股市的影響”,國立政治大學金融研究 所碩士論文。zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) 林炎會,1995,”外資對台灣證券市場股價之影響”,國立中興大學企業管理研究所碩士論文。zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) 林可依,2003,”台灣上市股市三大法人買賣超是否可提供投資人短期獲利的機會?”,國立東華大學國際經濟研究所碩士論文。zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) 姚蕙芸、梁志民(2004),”空頭走勢期間台股股價指數及相關因素之因果關係研究”,商管科技季刊vol 5,No,2, 109-127。zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) 施彥宇,2002,”外資對台灣股票報酬率之影響”,國立中山大學中山學術研究所碩士論文。zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) 翁英傑,1995,自營商及外資之投資行為研究,輔仁大學金融研究所碩士論文。zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) 康景淵,2004,”股王效應-個股股票異常報酬率研究,東吳大學國際貿易所碩士論文。zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) 陳慧如,1996,外資大額交易與股價關聯之研究,淡江大學金融研究所碩士論文。zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) 郭富源,2007,”外資買賣超對投資績效的影響-以台灣50為例”,國立中央大學財務金融系碩士在職專班碩士論文。zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) 葉銀華,1991,”台灣股票市場成交量與股價關係之實證研究-轉換函數模式”,台北銀行月刊,22(11),57-70。zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) 趙詩容,2002,”法人買賣超是否為投資人短期買賣的參考指標?以台灣股市為例”, 國立東華大學國際經濟研究所碩士論文zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) 廖世魁,1996,”國內外法人機構對國內股市影響效果之探討”,淡江大學管理科學研究所碩士論文。zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) 劉佳奇,2006,”投資人的過度自信、從眾行為與交易績效”,國立中山大學財務管理研究所碩士論文。zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) 二、 英文文獻zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) Back, K., C. H. Cao and G. A. Willard (2000), “Imperfect Competition among Informed Traders”, Journal of Finance, Vol. 55, No. 5, 2117-2155.zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) Barber, Brad , and Terrance Odean,2008,”All that glitters: The effect of attention and news on the buying behavior of individual and institutional investors, Review of Financial Studies21,785-818zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) Chan, Louis, and Josef Lakonishok,1995,”The behavior of stock prices around institutional trades”, Journal of Finance 50,1147-1174zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) Chen,N.F.,Cuny, J.C. and Haugen, A.R,1995,”Stock Volatility and the levels of basis and open interest in futures contracts”, Journal of Finance 12,281-300zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) Chiao,C. and K.L Lin, 2004 ,”The Informative Content of the Net Buy Information of Institutional Investors: Evidence from the Taiwan Stock market”, Review of Pacific Basin Financial Market and Policies, forthcoming.zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) Chiao, C., Z. Wang, and H. Lai (2006), “Order Submission Behaviors and Opening Price Behaviors in the Taiwan Stock Market,” working paper, Department of Finance, National Dong Hwa University.zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) Choe, Hyuk, Rong-Chan Kho, and Rene M Stulz, 1999, “Do foreign investors destabilize stock markets? The Korea experience in 1997,” Journal of Financial Economics 54, 227-264.zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) Chordia T., R. Roll, and A. Subrahmanyam (2002), “Order Imbalance, Liquidity and Market Returns,” Journal of Financial Economics, 65, 111-130.zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) Foster, F. D. and S. Viswanathan (1994), “Strategic Trading withzh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) Asymmetrically Informed Traders and Long-Lived Information”, Journal of Financial and Quantitative Analysis, Vol. 29, No.4, 499-518.zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) Huang Bwo-Nung, 2000, “Impact of Domestic Investment Companies, Registered Trading Firms and Foreign Institutional Investors on the Taiwan Stock Exchange After the Financial Market Liberalization,” working paper.zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) Jegadeesh, Narasimhan and Sheridan Titman, 1993, “Returns to buying winners and selling losers: Implications for stock market efficiency, ” Journal of Finance48, 2143-2184zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) Rouwenhorst, K. Geert, 1998, “International momentum strategies, ” Journal of Finance 53, 267-284.zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) Seasholes, Mark,2000,”Smart foreign traders in emerging markets.”, Working Paper Harvard Business Schoolzh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) Stein, J. C,1983,”Informational externalities and welfare-reducing speculation,” ,Journal of Political Economy 95, 11zh_TW