| dc.contributor.advisor | 冷則剛 | zh_TW |
| dc.contributor.advisor | Leng, TseKang | en_US |
| dc.contributor.author (作者) | 岳龍 | zh_TW |
| dc.contributor.author (作者) | Navon, Eran | en_US |
| dc.creator (作者) | 岳龍 | zh_TW |
| dc.creator (作者) | Navon, Eran | en_US |
| dc.date (日期) | 2010 | en_US |
| dc.date.accessioned | 5-十月-2011 14:34:35 (UTC+8) | - |
| dc.date.available | 5-十月-2011 14:34:35 (UTC+8) | - |
| dc.date.issued (上傳時間) | 5-十月-2011 14:34:35 (UTC+8) | - |
| dc.identifier (其他 識別碼) | G0098933035 | en_US |
| dc.identifier.uri (URI) | http://nccur.lib.nccu.edu.tw/handle/140.119/51246 | - |
| dc.description (描述) | 碩士 | zh_TW |
| dc.description (描述) | 國立政治大學 | zh_TW |
| dc.description (描述) | 國際經營管理英語碩士學位學程(IMBA) | zh_TW |
| dc.description (描述) | 98933035 | zh_TW |
| dc.description (描述) | 99 | zh_TW |
| dc.description.abstract (摘要) | 中國太陽光能行業轉變–由演化經濟面解決分析 | zh_TW |
| dc.description.abstract (摘要) | China’s growing energy needs have turned renewable energy into a crucial factor necessary for its social stability and national security. This paper has been written with the understanding that the role renewable energy plays in the Chinese industry and market will be nothing less than critical in coming decades. Solar PV electricity is one of the most promising renewable energy technologies and is a fast growing industry. However in China there exists a huge gap between its market potential and current achievements in the field.This thesis paper depicts the evolutionary path China is currently undergoing from a heavy reliance on fossil produced energy to a balanced energy mix by examining its solar PV industry and market. Its major argument is that as transitional processes require long term vision and planning, the potential of china’s energy transition to solar energy needs to be assessed under a set of criteria that can trace a long term development path. By using the six core elements introduced by the evolutionary economics theory, this paper presents a unique in depth analysis of China’s transitional efforts toward solar PV grid parity.The paper has reached three major conclusions. The first and most important is that the Chinese central government seems to be making genuine efforts in promoting solar PV as one of the nation’s future energy sources. These efforts have been marked by assessing governmental legislation concerning Bounded Rationality issues and various incentive programs. The Renewable Energy Law and the Medium and Long-Term Development Plan have served as instrumental driving forces to the immature market. Local governments have shown significant commitment by providing substantial support to the PV industry as well to Co-evolutionary technologies such as inverters and batteries. Legislation has had limited success in handling Lock In issues such as connection to the national grid and real price reflection of conventional energy.The second conclusion is that although the market is still at an early stage of its development, it relies too heavily on Selection promotions, namely direct subsidies. Recent developments in the PV market growth in China can mostly be regarded to the Golden Sun program and the BIPV program. These efforts have been an important promoter in raising global awareness to the potential of its solar sector. However this form of subsidy does not present a long term sustainable growth solution. The lack of a national Fid in Tariff scheme (despite few specific provincial schemes) and existing problems concerning projects tendering process cause an imbalance in terms of market and industry Diversity. This unbalance appears in the form of lack of Diversity in project developers, being mostly local state owned or highly affiliated with the government enterprises. The third conclusion is that China’s government can and should give more focus on domestic Innovation. Currently the country’s national R&D investment is significantly lower than market leaders in Europe. China’s education system does not support more than several world class solar PV electricity research centers and its industry development relies on expensive imported technology and international collaboration. Most companies in the industry hold a short term development vision which affects technological Diversity, mostly in the upstream segments of polysilicon and ingot production. Lack of attention towards a diverse range of future PV and Co-evolutionary technologies limits industry development to specific sectors that have low technological barriers.The paper concludes that while China is well positioned for further expansion of its market it still lacks in specific aspects of its transitional path. This analysis is unique as it presents not only an up to date market and industry status but also refers to their future growth potential. This paper presents a wide range of aspects that directly affect solar PV’s future development. Its true value lies within the usage of the evolutionary economics approach as a theoretical framework, which allows us to gain better understanding of how the different aspects related to the solar PV world affect each other and the fitness of this historic transition. | en_US |
| dc.description.tableofcontents | Abstract iiAcknowledgements ivTable of Contents vList of Figures and Tables viiIntroduction 1Chapter 1 - China’s Transition to Clean Energy 31.1. Energy in China’s Modern Economy 31.2. Transition to Renewable Energy 61.2.1. Energy Security and the Optimization of the Energy Mix 61.2.2. Environmental Concerns and Climate Change 71.2.3. Social and Economic Development Goals for Rural Areas 91.3. Introducing Solar Energy 101.4. Analytical Framework 121.4.1. Price Competitiveness of PV 121.4.2. PV Cost Reduction 131.4.3. Integration of Systems Into the Energy Markets 141.5. Theoretical Background – Evolutionary Economics 141.6. Hypothesis 18Chapter 2 - Government Policy 202.1. Exogenous and Endogenous Selection Factors 202.2. Early Renewable Policy 212.3. Barriers to Renewable Energy 232.3.1. Institutional Barriers 232.3.2. Renewable Energy Cost 242.3.3. Connection to the Grid 252.4. The Renewable Energy Law 262.5. PV Promotion Policy 282.6. Feed in Tariff 302.7. Connection to the Grid 34Chapter 3 - China’s Photovoltaic Industry 373.1. Production of Solar Grade Silicon 383.1.1. Early Development 383.1.2. Between Shortage and Oversupply 393.1.3. Industry Leaders 413.1.4. Technological barriers 413.2. Ingots and Wafers 423.2.1. Market Share and Global Trends 423.2.2. Industry Leaders 433.2.3. A Non Diverse Industry Segment 443.3. Cell and Module Industry 463.3.1. Sector Growth 463.3.2. Industry Leaders 473.3.3. Municipal Drivers Toward Industry Selection 493.4. Cost of the Domestic PV Modules 513.5. Balance of System Components 523.5.1. Inverters 533.5.2. Batteries 54Chapter 4 – Future Technologies and R&D 564.1. Alternative Technologies 564.1.1. Thin Film 564.1.2. Concentrating Solar Power 584.2. Research and Development 60Conclusion 64Bibliography 69 | zh_TW |
| dc.language.iso | en_US | - |
| dc.source.uri (資料來源) | http://thesis.lib.nccu.edu.tw/record/#G0098933035 | en_US |
| dc.subject (關鍵詞) | 中國 | zh_TW |
| dc.subject (關鍵詞) | 太陽光能 | zh_TW |
| dc.subject (關鍵詞) | 演化經濟 | zh_TW |
| dc.title (題名) | 中國太陽光能行業轉變–由演化經濟面解決分析 | zh_TW |
| dc.title (題名) | China’s energy transition to solar photovoltaic energy – an evolutionary economics approach | en_US |
| dc.type (資料類型) | thesis | en |
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