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題名 Overfitting or Poor Learning : A Critique of Current Financial Applications of GP
作者 陳樹衡
Chen,Shu-Heng
貢獻者 經濟系
日期 2003
上傳時間 14-八月-2014 11:43:23 (UTC+8)
摘要 Motivated by a measure of predictability, this paper uses the extracted signal ratio as a measure of the degree of overfitting. With this measure, we examine the performance of one type of overfittingavoidance design frequently used in financial applications of GP. Based on the simulation results run with the software Simple GP, we find that this design is not effective in avoiding overfitting. Furthermore, within the range of search intensity typically considered by these applications, we find that underfitting, instead of overfitting, is the more prevalent problem. This problem becomes more serious when the data is generated by a process that has a high degree of algorithmic complexity. This paper, therefore, casts doubt on the conclusions made by those early applications regarding the poor performance of GP, and recommends that changes be made to ensure progress.
關聯 Genetic Programming Lecture Notes in Computer Science Volume 2610, 2003, pp 34-46
資料類型 book/chapter
DOI http://dx.doi.org/10.1007/3-540-36599-0_4
dc.contributor 經濟系en_US
dc.creator (作者) 陳樹衡zh_TW
dc.creator (作者) Chen,Shu-Hengen_US
dc.date (日期) 2003en_US
dc.date.accessioned 14-八月-2014 11:43:23 (UTC+8)-
dc.date.available 14-八月-2014 11:43:23 (UTC+8)-
dc.date.issued (上傳時間) 14-八月-2014 11:43:23 (UTC+8)-
dc.identifier.uri (URI) http://nccur.lib.nccu.edu.tw/handle/140.119/68715-
dc.description.abstract (摘要) Motivated by a measure of predictability, this paper uses the extracted signal ratio as a measure of the degree of overfitting. With this measure, we examine the performance of one type of overfittingavoidance design frequently used in financial applications of GP. Based on the simulation results run with the software Simple GP, we find that this design is not effective in avoiding overfitting. Furthermore, within the range of search intensity typically considered by these applications, we find that underfitting, instead of overfitting, is the more prevalent problem. This problem becomes more serious when the data is generated by a process that has a high degree of algorithmic complexity. This paper, therefore, casts doubt on the conclusions made by those early applications regarding the poor performance of GP, and recommends that changes be made to ensure progress.en_US
dc.format.extent 305027 bytes-
dc.format.mimetype application/pdf-
dc.language.iso en_US-
dc.relation (關聯) Genetic Programming Lecture Notes in Computer Science Volume 2610, 2003, pp 34-46en_US
dc.title (題名) Overfitting or Poor Learning : A Critique of Current Financial Applications of GPen_US
dc.type (資料類型) book/chapteren
dc.identifier.doi (DOI) 10.1007/3-540-36599-0_4-
dc.doi.uri (DOI) http://dx.doi.org/10.1007/3-540-36599-0_4-