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https://ah.lib.nccu.edu.tw/handle/140.119/147241| 題名: | 俄烏戰爭背景下東協與俄羅斯關係之研究 A Study on ASEAN-Russia Relations in the Context of Russia-Ukraine War |
作者: | 鄧詠中 Tang, Wing-Chung Ivy |
貢獻者: | 林永芳 Lin, Yung-Fang 鄧詠中 Tang, Wing-Chung Ivy |
關鍵詞: | 俄羅斯 俄烏戰爭 東協 東協-俄羅斯 避險 Russia Russia-Ukraine war ASEAN ASEAN-Russia hedging |
日期: | 2023 | 上傳時間: | 1-Sep-2023 | 摘要: | 俄烏戰爭反映俄羅斯與東協成員不同戰略願景。此研究探討俄烏戰爭背景下，東協與俄羅斯關係，東協國家外交、經濟及軍事避險級別分為高、中及低三級。俄烏戰爭仍持續，此研究集中探討俄烏戰爭開始至2023年6月期間，東協與俄羅斯關係。新加坡及緬甸避險程度為低，預料新加坡將維持其強硬立場及制裁俄羅斯；緬甸則繼續與俄羅斯保持密切關係。預料柬埔寨將繼續提供排雷訓練予烏克蘭，並與俄羅斯探討軍事合作。越南與俄羅斯的經濟連繫，或受中國船隻進入越俄合資天然氣區塊事件影響。預料越南、菲律賓及馬來西亞將分散武器來源；汶萊將與俄羅斯發展更緊密軍事合作；寮國、泰國及印尼將與俄羅斯發展更緊密經濟關係。 The Russia-Ukraine war illustrates the different strategic visions of Russia and ASEAN members. This research studies ASEAN-Russia relations in the context of the Russia-Ukraine war, the hedging levels of ASEAN states in diplomatic, economic and military aspects are divided into three categories: high, medium and low. While the Russia-Ukraine war is still on going, this study focuses on ASEAN-Russia relations since the outbreak of war till June 2023. The hedging levels of Singapore and Myanmar were low, it is predicted that Singapore will continue its strong stand and sanctions towards Russia; Myanmar will remain close to Russia. Cambodia will continue to support Ukraine through deminer training and discuss military cooperation with Russia. Vietnam’s economic ties with Russia may be hindered, due to China’s incursions into Russian-operated gas fields jointly operated with Vietnam. Vietnam, Philippines and Malaysia will diversify the sources of weapons; Brunei will develop closer military cooperation with Russia; whereas Laos, Thailand, Indonesia will develop closer economic relations with Russia. |
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Asia– Pacific.” Journal of Contemporary China, 17(55), 207–227.\n\nNews Articles:\n\n\nABS-CBN News. “Philippines Warned Fuel Imports From Russia Risk Aiding Ukraine War.” ABS-CBN News, October 21, 2022. https://news.abs-cbn.com/business/10/21/22/ph-warned-fuel-imports-from-russia-risk-aiding-ukraine-war.\n\nAFP. “Myanmar Junta Says Russian Invasion Of Ukraine ‘Justified’.” Al Arabiya News, February 25, 2022. https://english.alarabiya.net/News/world/2022/02/25/Myanmar-junta-says-Russian-invasion-of-Ukraine-justified-.\n\nAl Jazeera. “Russian FM Lavrov on Visit to ‘long-standing partner’ Myanmar.” AlJazeera, August 3, 2022. https://www.aljazeera.com/news/2022/8/3/russias-fm-lavrov-makes-official-visit-to-myanmar.\n\nAl Jazeera. “Russia’s War in Ukraine Challenges Old Comrades in Southeast Asia.” Al Jazeera, November 15, 2022. https://www.aljazeera.com/news/2022/11/15/russias-war-in-ukraine-challenges-old-comrades-in-southeast-asia.\n\nAl Jazeera. “Singapore Economy Beats Estimates as Government Warns of Risks.” AlJazeera, May. 25, 2023. https://www.aljazeera.com/economy/2023/5/25/singapore-economy-beats-estimates-as-government-warns-of-risks.\n\nAl Jazeera. “Ukraine Boots Political Ties in Southeast Asia With Peace Treaty.” Al Jazeera, November 10, 2022. https://www.aljazeera.com/news/2022/11/10/ukraine-boosts-political-ties-in-southeast-asia-with-peace-treaty.\n\nAndres, Gabrielle. “Malaysia Bans Chicken Exports: What You Need To Know.” Channel News. Asia, May 24, 2022. https://www.channelnewsasia.com/singapore/malaysia-bans-chicken-exports-singapore-supply-price-consumers-2703071.\n\nAng, Hwee Min. “Singapore Banks Have Limited Exposure To Russia; MAS Sends Reminder To. Manage Risks Amid Ukraine Crisis,” Channel News Asia, March 1, 2022. https://www.channelnewsasia.com/singapore/singapore-banks-limited-exposure-russia-dbs-uob-ocbc-mas-2528091\n\nAP News. “Distress In Singapore As Malaysia Bans Chicken Export.” AP News, May 31, 2022. https://apnews.com/article/russia-ukraine-politics-global-trade-malaysia-4188e124f886aeea8549f3bb363b3d3b\n\nAyad, Pierre. “With International Army Games, Russia Tries to Show It’s Not ‘A Pariah State’.” France 24, August 23, 2022. https://www.france24.com/en/europe/20220823-what-russia-s-international-army-games-tell-us-about-the-war-in-ukraine.\n\nBBC News. “South China Sea: Vietnamese Hold Anti-Chinese Protest”. June 5, 2011. https://www.bbc.com/news/world-asia-pacific-13661779\n\nBeltran, Michael. “Philippine Jeepney Drivers Strike Over Soaring Fuel Prices.” Nikkei Asia, March. 25, 2022. https://asia.nikkei.com/Economy/Philippine-jeepney-drivers-strike-over-soaring-fuel-prices.\n\nBorneo Bulletin. “ASEN Centrality Key to Regional Security, Says Deputy Minister.” Borneo Bulletin, May 30, 2023. https://borneobulletin.com.bn/asean-centrality-key-to-regional-security-says-deputy-minister/.\n\nBusiness Insider. “Growth Is Slowing In Indonesia And Events Thousands Of Miles Away Are. Playing A Part,” Business Insider, March 16, 2023. https://www.businessinsider.com/sc/the-economy-in-indonesia-is-being-affected-by-the-war-in-ukraine-2023.\n\nChhengpor, Aun. “In Cambodia, Japan Digs in to Keep China’s Rise in Check.” VOA Cambodia, 11. May, 2019, https://www.voacambodia.com/a/in-cambodia-japan-digs-in-to-keep-china-rise-in-check/4912417.html.\n\nChristina, Bernadette and Fransiska Nangoy, “Indonesia President Declares End Of Palm Oil Export. Ban From Monday,” Reuters, May 19, 2022. https://www.reuters.com/markets/commodities/indonesia-mps-seek-palm-oil-export-ban-review-industry-warns-storage-2022-05-19/.\n\nCNA. “Amid Russia-Ukraine War, Small Countries Like Singapore Must Keep A Sober Mind And. Look Beyond Headlines: Shanmugam”, CNA, March 8, 2023. https://www.channelnewsasia.com/singapore/russia-ukraine-singapore-shanmugam-small-countries-regional-cooperation-rivalry-3333796.\n\nCNN Philippines Staff. “Defense Chief: PH ‘Neutral’ on Russia’s Invasion of Ukraine,” CNN. Philippines, February 25, 2022. http://www.cnnphilippines.com/news/2022/2/25/Philippines-Ukraine-Russia-attack.html.\n\nDara, Voun. “Putin Gives PM Friendship Medal.” The Phnom Penh Post, July 27, 2021. https://www.phnompenhpost.com/national-politics/putin-gives-pm-friendship-medal.\n\nDominguez, Gabriel. “‘Ukraine Must Not Happen in Asia’: Defense Ministers Urge U.S.-China Talks.” The Japan Times, June 3, 2023. https://www.japantimes.co.jp/news/2023/06/03/asia-pacific/singapore-defense-minister-ng-eng-hen-china-us/.\n\nDuangdee, Vijitra. “Russians Make Thailand a Refuge as Ukraine War Enters Second Year.” AlJazeera, February 22, 2023. https://www.aljazeera.com/economy/2023/2/22/russians-make-thailand-a-refuge-as-ukraine-war-enters-second-year.\n\nDW. “Russia: Putin Slams Sanctions in Pitch for New Global Order.” DW, September 7, 2022. https://www.dw.com/en/russia-vladimir-putin-slams-sanctions-in-pitch-for-new-global-order/a-63038600.\n\nDW. “Singapore Hosts Key Asia Defense Summit with Eye on Ukraine.” DW, June 2, 2023. https://www.dw.com/en/singapore-hosts-key-asia-defense-summit-with-eye-on-ukraine/a-65801537.\n\nEAC News. “Cambodia and Russia Military MOU Draft Nearly Completed.” EAC News, December. 15, 2022. https://eacnews.asia/home/details/17947.\n\nEkawati, Arti. “Jokowi Visits Ukraine and Russia amid Global Food Crisis.” DW, June 29, 2022. https://www.dw.com/en/indonesia-jokowi-walks-tightrope-balancing-ties-with-russia-west/a-62396110.\n\nFrance 24. “Russia Backs Myanmar Junta’s Efforts to ‘Stabilize’ Country, Hold Elections.” France 24, August 3, 2022. https://www.france24.com/en/live-news/20220803-russia-backs-myanmar-junta-s-efforts-to-stabilise-country-hold-elections\n\nFresh News. “Russia is Ready for Military Cooperation with Cambodia.” Fresh News, February 17, 2023. https://en.freshnewsasia.com/index.php/en/localnews/34806-2023-02-17-15-45-11.html.\n\nGhoshal, Devjyot. “India-Russia Defence Firm Eyes $200 Mln Missile Deal With Indonesia.” Reuters, March 15, 2023. https://www.reuters.com/business/aerospace-defense/india-russia-defence-firm-eyes-200-mln-missile-deal-with-indonesia-2023-03-15/.\n\nGoldenziel, Jill. “China Illegally Entered Vietnam’s Waters. 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Times, https://www.khmertimeskh.com/501282202/outcomes-of-19th-asean-russia-senior-officials-meeting/.\n\nKimseng Men,“Cambodian Leader Defends UN Vote on Ukraine Invasion”, VOA News, 3 March, 2022, https://www.voanews.com/a/cambodian-leader-defends-un-vote-on-ukraine-invasion-/6469158.html.\n\nKOMPAS.com. “Indonesia Drops Plans To Acquire Russian Su-35 Fighter Jets Due To Budget. Concern.” KOMPAS.com, December 22, 2021. https://go.kompas.com/read/2021/12/22/231631974/indonesia-drops-plans-to-acquire-russian-su-35-fighter-jets-due-to-budget-concern.\n\nKoemsoeun, Soth. “Strong Commitment: Cambodia Pushing for Ukraine to be ASEAN Dialogue. 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Investor, April 7, 2023. https://theinvestor.vn/russia-sees-vietnam-as-regional-key-business-partner-russian-deputy-pm-d4435.html.\n\nMaulia, Erwida. “Jokowi Says Putin Agrees to Sea Route for Ukraine Wheat Exports.” Nikkei Asia, June 30, 2022. https://asia.nikkei.com/Politics/Ukraine-war/Jokowi-says-Putin-agrees-to-sea-route-for-Ukraine-wheat-exports.\n\nMaulia, Erwida. “Russia Pitches Use of Local Currencies in Appeal to ASEAN.” Nikkei Asia, July. 13, 2023. https://asia.nikkei.com/Politics/International-relations/Russia-pitches-use-of-local-currencies-in-appeal-to-ASEAN.\n\nMendelson, Allegra. “ ‘Stronger Together’: Myanmar, Russia Parade Military Relatonship.” AlJazeera, March 27, 2022. https://www.aljazeera.com/news/2022/3/27/holdstronger-togethermyanmarrussiaparademilitary-relationship.\n\nMercado, Neil Arwin. “Marcos on Ukraine-Russia Conflict: ‘No Need to Make A Stand.’’ INQUIRERE.net, March 1, 2022. https://newsinfo.inquirer.net/1561904/marcos-on-ukraine-russia-conflict-no-need-to-make-a-stand.\n\nMi, Tra. “Japan Donates 2 More Patrol Boats to Vietnam Amid S. China Sea Tensions.” VOA, November 3, 2015. https://www.voanews.com/a/japan-donates-patrol-boats-to-vietnam-south-china-sea-tensions/3035300.html.\n\nMinh, Duc. “Russia Calls Vietnam Leading Partner In Southeast Asia.” April 6, 2023, VnExpress, https://e.vnexpress.net/news/economy/russia-calls-vietnam-leading-partner-in-southeast-asia-4590454.html.\n\nMizzima. “Myanmar Exporting Hundreds Of Tons Of Fisheries Products To Russia.” November 17, 2022. https://mizzima.com/article/myanmar-exporting-hundreds-tons-fisheries-products-russia.\n\nMollman, Steve. “The South China Sea’s Untapped Oil and Natural Gas Are Back in Focus.” Quartz, 25 July, 2017. https://qz.com/1037896/south-china-seas-untapped-oil-and-natural-gas-back-in-focus\n\nMyanmar Now. “Russia and Myanmar Junta to Host ASEAN Counter-Terrorism Exercises.” Myanmar Now, June 22, 2023. https://myanmar-now.org/en/news/russia-and-myanmar-junta-to-host-asean-counter-terrorism-exercises-despite-boycott-by-dialogue-partners/.\n\nNangoy, Fransiska. “Indonesia Bans Palm Oil Exports As Global Food Inflation Spikes.” Reuters, April 24, 2022. https://www.reuters.com/world/asia-pacific/indonesia-ban-palm-oil-exports-shore-up-supply-soyoil-futures-surge-2022-04-22/.\n\nNarayan, Mohi and Matthew Chye, “Singapore Imports of Russian Naphtha Surge as EU Ban Shifts. Flows.” Reuters, April 6, 2023. https://www.reuters.com/business/energy/singapore-imports-russian-naphtha-surge-eu-ban-shifts-flows-2023-04-06/.\n\nNirmala, Ronna; Tria Dianti and Shailaja Neelakantan. “Indonesia, Singapore Condemn Russian. Invasion Of Ukraine,” RFA, February 24, 2022. https://www.rfa.org/english/news/vietnam/ukraine-reaction-02242022171344.html.\n\nNiseiy, Sao Phal. “Cambodia Calls for Peaceful Solution to Ukraine Crisis.” Cambodianess, February 25, 2022. https://cambodianess.com/article/cambodia-calls-for-peaceful-solution-to-ukraine-crisis.\n\nNguyen, Duy. “Vietnam-Russia Strategic Partnership: 20 Years And Prospect.” Hanoi Times, April 6, 2021. https://hanoitimes.vn/vietnam-russia-strategic-partnership-20-years-and-prospect-316918.html\n\nNguyen, Mai and My Pham. “Japan Pledges Boats to Vietnam as China Dispute Simmers.” Reuters, January 16, 2017. https://www.reuters.com/article/us-vietnam-japan-idUSKBN15015O.\n\nNPR. “U.S. Aircraft Carrier Visits Vietnam for the First Time since the War.” March 4, 2018, https://www.npr.org/2018/03/04/590670170/u-s-aircraft-carrier-visits-vietnam-for-the-first-time-since-the-war.\n\nPaul, Amrita, “Laos, Russia Kickstart Counter-Terror Drills for Laros 2022.” The Laotian Times, November 30, 2022. https://laotiantimes.com/2022/11/30/laos-russia-kickstart-counter-terror-drills-for-laros-2022/.\n\nParrocha, Azer. “PH’s Helicopter Deal With Russia Won’t Carry Through: PBBM.” Philippine News. Agency, October 20, 2022. https://www.pna.gov.ph/articles/1186665.\n\nParrocha, Azer. “Russia’s Invasion of Ukraine Deserves ‘Condemnation’: PRRD.” Philippine News. Agency, April 12, 2022. https://www.pna.gov.ph/articles/1172124.\n\nPhaicharoen, Nontarat, and Wilawan Watcharasakwet. “At Bilateral Meet, Japanese, Thai PMs Urge. End to War in Ukraine,” RFA, May 2, 2022. https://www.rfa.org/english/news/vietnam/japan-ukraine-05022022183801.html\n\nPhea, Kin. “65 Years of Cambodia-Russia Relations: An Overview.” The Phnom Penh Post, 13 May, 2021. https://www.phnompenhpost.com/opinion/65-years-cambodia-russia-relations-overview.\n\nPhonevilay, Latsamy. “Laos To Seek Oil From Russia.” The Laotian Times, May 7, 2022. https://laotiantimes.com/2022/05/07/laos-to-seek-oil-from-russia/.\n\nPisei, Hin. “Int’t Trade Rises As Commerce Ministry Lays Out 2023 Plans.” The Phnom Penh Post, January 31, 2023. https://www.phnompenhpost.com/business/intl-trade-rises-commerce-ministry-lays-out-2023-plans.\n\nPNA. “Dating Back 200 Years Ago: The Old PH-Russia Ties.” PNA, June 1, 2019. https://www.pna.gov.ph/articles/1071240.\n\nPrachatai. “Thai Military Attends Planning Meeting for Myanmar-Russia Military Exercises Despite. Sanctions.” Prachatai English, June 26, 2023. https://prachataienglish.com/node/10441.\n\nReuters. “Cambodia PM Condemns Russian Invasion of Ukraine.” Reuters, March 28, 2022. https://www.reuters.com/world/cambodia-pm-condemns-russian-invasion-ukraine-2022-03-28/.\n\nReuters. “G20 Host Indonesia Says Putin May Seek To Join Summit Virtually.” Reuters, November 8, 2022. https://www.reuters.com/world/asia-pacific/g20-host-indonesia-has-strong-impression-putin-will-skip-bali-summit-ft-2022-11-08/.\n\nReuters. “Indonesia Kicks Off Multilateral Naval Exercise amid Asia-Pacific Tension.” Reuters, June. 5, 2023. https://www.reuters.com/world/indonesia-kicks-off-multilateral-naval-exercise-amid-asia-pacific-tension-2023-06-05/.\n\nReuters. “Myanmar Junta Chief Makes Another Visit To Russia.” Reuters, September 5, 2022. https://www.reuters.com/world/myanmar-junta-chief-makes-another-visit-russia-2022-09-05/.\n\nReuters. “Malaysia Signs $2.3 Billion in Defence Deals at Biennial Fair.” Reuters, May 25, 2023. https://www.reuters.com/article/malaysia-defence-idINL4N37M237.\n\nReuters, “PetroVietnam Says Ukraine-Russia Crisis May Impact New Oil Drilling.” Reuters, March. 10, 2023. https://www.reuters.com/article/vietnam-energy-idUSL3N2VD1FA.\n\nReuters. “Russia Fuel Oil Heading East As EU Embargo Takes Hold.” Reuters, February 6, 2023. https://www.reuters.com/business/energy/russia-fuel-oil-heading-east-eu-embargo-takes-hold-2023-02-06/.\n\nReuters. “Russia Invades Ukraine: Political, Military Leaders’ Reactions.” Reuters, February 24, 2022. https://www.reuters.com/markets/europe/leaders-key-quotes-after-russia-invades-ukraine-2022-02-24/.\n\nReuters. “Russia March Fuel Oil Exports To Singapore And Malaysia Hit Record-Traders, Data.” Reuters, March 29, 2023. https://www.reuters.com/business/energy/russia-march-fuel-oil-exports-singapore-malaysia-hit-record-traders-data-2023-03-29/\n\nReuters. “Russia, Southeast Asia Conclude First Joint Naval Exercise.” Reuters, December 4, 2021. https://www.reuters.com/world/asia-pacific/russia-southeast-asia-conclude-first-joint-naval-exercise-2021-12-04/.\n\nReuters. “Russia Says It Will Deepen Defence Cooperation With Myanmar.” Reuters, July 13, 2022, https://www.reuters.com/world/russia-says-it-will-deepen-defence-cooperation-with-myanmar-2022-07-12/.\n\nReuters. “U.S. Delivers More Patrol Boats to Vietnam amid Deepening Security Ties.” Reuters, April. 1, 2019. https://www.reuters.com/article/us-usa-vietnam-idUSKCN1RD1YA\n\nReuters. “Vietnam Demands Chinese Ship Leave Its Exclusive Economic Zone.” Reuters, May 25, 2023. https://www.reuters.com/world/china/vietnam-demands-chinese-ship-leave-its-exclusive-economic-zone-2023-05-25/.\n\nRFA. “Myanmar’s Junta Leader Heaps Praise On Putin At Meeting In Russia.” RFA, September 7, 2022. https://www.rfa.org/english/news/myanmar/myanmar-junta-leader-putin-09072022054527.html.\n\nRFA. “Vietnam Hosts Its First International Defense Expo.” RFA, December 8, 2022. https://www.rfa.org/english/news/vietnam/vietnam-defense-expo-12082022030531.html.\n\nRFA. “Vietnam Says It Discussed Army Games with Russia, Not Military Drills,” RFA, April 25, 2022. https://www.rfa.org/english/news/vietnam/russia-military-04252022134026.html.\n\nRFA. “Russia Says Military Drills Planned With Vietnam.” RFA, April 19, 2022. https://www.rfa.org/english/news/vietnam/russia-military-04192022132730.html.\n\nRFA Burmese, “Myanmar Junta Chief Calls For Improved Ties In Talks With Russian Defense. Ministry.” RFA Burmese, July 13, 2022. https://www.rfa.org/english/news/myanmar/ties-07132022202624.html.\n\nRFA Burmese, “Myanmar Junta Opens ‘Nuclear Information Center’ in Yangon with Russia’s. Rosatom.” RFA Burmese, February 8, 2023. https://www.rfa.org/english/news/myanmar/nuclear-02082023170437.html.\n\nSalna, Karlis and Arys Aditya, “Trump Threat Spurred Indonesia To Drop Russia, China Arms. Deals.” Bloomberg, March 12, 2020, https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2020-03-12/trump-threat-spurred-indonesia-to-drop-russia-china-arms-deals.\n\nSaruga, Tsubasa. “Laos President: Sanction, Embargoes ‘Will Not Make World A Better Place’”. Nikkei Asia, May 27, 2022. https://asia.nikkei.com/Spotlight/The-Future-of-Asia/The-Future-of-Asia-2022/Laos-president-Sanctions-embargoes-will-not-make-world-a-better-place.\n\nSauer, Pjotr. “Myanmar Junta Imported $15M Worth Of Russian Radar Equipment In February.” The. Moscow Times, June 21, 2021. https://www.themoscowtimes.com/2021/04/20/myanmar-junta-imported-15m-worth-of-russian-radar-equipment-in-february-a73672\n\nSimeon, Louise Maureen. “Philippine Exports Vulnerable To Russia-Ukraine War.” Philstar, May 9, 2022. https://www.philstar.com/business/2022/05/09/2179636/philippine-exports-vulnerable-russiaukraine-war.\n\nSochan, Ry. “Cambodia Rejects Meddling in Ukraine ‘Proxy War’: Hun Sen.” The Phnom Penh. Post, March 3, 2022. https://asianews.network/cambodia-rejects-meddling-in-ukraine-proxy-war-hun-sen/.\n\nSochan, Ry. “No Neutrality in Ukraine Row.” The Phnom Penh Post, March 28, 2022, https://www.phnompenhpost.com/national-politics/pm-no-neutrality-ukraine-row.\n\nSochan, Ry. “Will Russia’s Putin Attend Dual ASEAN Summits?” The Phnom Penh Post, November. 1, 2022. https://www.phnompenhpost.com/national-politics/will-russias-putin-attend-dual-asean-summits.\n\nSubhani, Ovais. “Indirect Exposure to Russia-Ukraine War Poses Key Risks to Singapore Economy, MAS Says.” The Straits Times, April 28, 2022. https://www.straitstimes.com/business/economy/indirect-exposure-to-russia-ukraine-war-are-key-risks-to-singapore-economy-says-mas.\n\nTamayo, Bernadette E. “PH a ‘Significant Partner’- Russian Envoy.” The Manila Times, June 10, 2023. https://www.manilatimes.net/2023/06/10/news/national/ph-a-significant-partner-russian-envoy/1895398.\n\nTan, Su-Lin. “G-20 Meeting Ends Without Full Consensus; Food Security and Inflation Top Agenda. At Bali Meeting.” CNBC, July 17, 2022. https://www.cnbc.com/2022/07/17/g20-no-full-consensus-food-security-inflation-ukraine-war-top-agenda.html.\n\nTang, See Kit. “Singapore Maintains 2023 GDP Forecast at 0.5% to 2.5%, After Economy Grew. 3.6% Last Year.” Channel News Asia. February 13, 2023. https://www.channelnewsasia.com/singapore/mti-singapore-economy-2023-maintain-gdp-forecast-3273471.\n\nTASS. “Cambodia Looks Forward to Expanding Military Cooperation with Russia, Says Top Brass.” TASS, August 16, 2022. https://tass.com/world/1494397.\n\nTASS. “Eighth International Army Games to Get Rolling Aug 13.” TASS, August 12, 2022. https://tass.com/defense/1492957.\n\nTASS. “Eight International Military Exercises to Take Place at Russian Training Ranges in 2023,” TASS, January 1, 2023. https://tass.com/defense/1558379.\n\nTASS. “Laos, Russia Kick Off Laros 2022 Joint Counter-Terror Drills.” TASS, November 29, 2022. https://tass.com/defense/1543009.\n\nTASS. “Lavrov, Vietnamese Foreign Minister Discuss Economic Problems Caused by US and. Allies.” TASS, July 6, 2022. https://tass.com/politics/1476317.\n\nTASS, “Lavrov to Have Talks with Visiting Thai Counterpart on September 5-6 - Foreign Ministry.” TASS, September 5, 2022. https://tass.com/politics/1502919.\n\nTASS, “Medvedev Arrives in Hanoi for Talks with Vietnamese Leadership.” TASS, May 22, 2023, https://tass.com/politics/1620817.\n\nTASS. “Putin Not Go To East Asia Summit, Says Kremlin Spokesman.” TASS, November 7, 2023. https://tass.com/politics/1533227.\n\nTASS. “Russia Ready to Meet Fertilizer Demand of Friendly States – Putin.” TASS, July 1, 2022. https://tass.com/economy/1474159.\n\nTASS. “Russia Seeking to Develop Military-Technical Cooperation with Brunei – Defense Official.” TASS, August 15, 2022. https://tass.com/politics/1493597.\n\nTASS. “Russia To Continue Cooperation With ASEAN, Focus On Trade Turnover Diversification.” TASS, January 24, 2022. https://tass.com/economy/1566363.\n\nTASS. “Russia’s Top Security Official Meets With Peers from Laos, Brunei, Burundi, Philippines,” TASS, May 23, 2023. https://tass.com/defense/1621561.\n\nTeng, Yalirozy. “Cambodia Backs UN Vote On Russia’s Ukraine Annexation.” Cambodianess, October 13, 2022. https://cambodianess.com/article/cambodia-backs-un-vote-on-russias-ukraine-annexation.\n\nTerazono, Emiko. “Russian Fertiliser Export Revenue Surged 70% In 2022 As Prices Jumped.” Financial Times, January 15, 2023. https://www.ft.com/content/c10bcdb9-d01d-4a01-a4a1-38736e263a1e.\n\nThai PBS World. “Cambodia Offers To Host Russia-Ukraine Talks During ASEAN Summit.” Thai. PBS World, November 1, 2022. https://www.thaipbsworld.com/cambodia-offers-to-host-russia-ukraine-talks-during-asean-summit/.\n\nThai PBS World. “Thailand Will Not Rush to Condemn Russia over Ukraine, Says Foreign Minister. Don.” Thai PBS World, March 1, 2022. https://www.thaipbsworld.com/thailand-will-not-rush-to-condemn-russia-over-ukraine-says-foreign-minister-don/.\n\nThanh, Dat. “Fertilizer Seen Becoming Billion-Dollar Export Earner.” The Saigon Times, November. 23, 2022. https://english.thesaigontimes.vn/fertilizer-seen-becoming-billion-dollar-export-earner/.\n\nThe Irrawaddy. “A Timeline Of Russia’s Relations With Myanmar Junta Since The Coup.” The. Irrawaddy, February 15, 2023. https://www.irrawaddy.com/specials/a-timeline-of-russias-relations-with-myanmar-junta-since-the-coup.html.\n\nThe Irrawaddy. “Myanmar Regime Chief Meets Russian Trade Delegation.” The Irrawaddy, March. 15, 2023. https://www.irrawaddy.com/news/burma/myanmar-regime-chief-meets-russian-trade-delegation.html.\n\nThe Irrawaddy, “Myanmar Regime, Russia Sign Nuclear Cooperation ‘Roadmap’.” The Irrawaddy, September 7, 2022. https://www.irrawaddy.com/news/burma/myanmar-regime-russia-sign-nuclear-cooperation-roadmap.html.\n\nThe Moscow Times. “Myanmar Buys Diesel Fuel From Russia, Junta Chief Says.” The Moscow. Times, September 7, 2022. https://www.themoscowtimes.com/2022/09/07/myanmar-buys-diesel-fuel-from-russia-junta-chief-says-a78732.\n\nThe Moscow Times. “Russia, Southeast Asian States Kick Off First Naval Drills Off Indonesia.” The. Moscow Times, December 1, 2021. https://www.themoscowtimes.com/2021/12/01/russia-southeast-asian-states-kick-off-first-naval-drills-off-indonesia-a75712.\n\nThe Nation Thailand. “Thai Exporters Starting To Feel The Pinch Of War And Rising Economic. Woes: TCC.” The Nation Thailand, June 1, 2022. https://www.nationthailand.com/business/40016194.\n\nThe Nation Thailand. “Ukraine War Blows Huge Hole in Thai Exports to Russia.” The Nation. Thailand, February 21, 2023. https://www.nationthailand.com/thailand/economy/40025063.\n\nThe Phnom Penh Post. “Cambodia Joins UN In Resolution On Russia.” The Phnom Penh Post, October 13, 2022. https://www.phnompenhpost.com/national-politics/cambodia-joins-un-resolution-russia.\n\nThe Star. “Malaysia Abstains in Vote to Suspend Russia from UN Rights Council.” The Star, April 8, 2022. https://www.thestar.com.my/news/nation/2022/04/08/malaysia-abstains-from-voting-to-suspend-russia-from-un-human-rights-council.\n\nThe Star. “M’sia, Russia Set To Ink MoU For Bilateral Trade.” The Star, February 1, 2023. https://www.thestar.com.my/news/nation/2023/02/01/msia-russia-set-to-ink-mou-for-bilateral-trade.\n\nThe Star. “Semiconductor Sector Likely To Slowdown In 2023: MSIA.” The Star, January 16, 2023. https://www.thestar.com.my/business/business-news/2023/01/16/semiconductor-sector-likely-to-slowdown-in-2023-msia.\n\nThe Straits Times. “Malaysia Mulls Purchasing Russian Grain To Produce Animal Feed – Mohamad. Sabu.” The Straits Times, May 20, 2023. https://www.nst.com.my/news/nation/2023/05/911547/malaysia-mulls-purchasing-russian-grain-produce-animal-feed-mohamad-sabu.\n\nThe Straits Times. “Vietnam Shifts Gears on Arms Trade As It loosens Ties with Russia.” The Straits Times, December 8, 2022. https://www.straitstimes.com/asia/se-asia/vietnam-shifts-gears-on-arms-trade-as-it-loosens-ties-with-russia.\n\nTrompiz, Gus. “Food Prices Hir Record High In March, U.N. Agency Says.” Reuters, April 8, 2022. https://www.reuters.com/world/food-prices-surge-new-record-high-march-un-agency-says-2022-04-08/.\n\nVarley, Kevin. “Malaysia Records Trade Surplus For 25th Consecutive Year.” Bloomberg News, January 18, 2023. https://www.bnnbloomberg.ca/malaysia-records-trade-surplus-for-25th-consecutive-year-1.1871477.\n\nVisapra, Phontham. “Russia’s Dmitry Medvedev in Laos for High-Level Meetings.” The Laotian. Times, May 23, 2023. https://laotiantimes.com/2023/05/23/russian-vice-president-dmitry-medvedev-in-laos-for-high-level-meetings/.\n\nViet Nam News. “First International Defence Expo in Viet Nam Begins December 8.” Viet Nam. News, November 25, 2022. https://vietnamnews.vn/politics-laws/1398397/first-international-defence-expo-in-viet-nam-begins-december-8.html.\n\nVNA. “Vietnam Ranks Fifth at Army Games 2022.” VietnamPlus, August 28, 2022. https://en.vietnamplus.vn/vietnam-ranks-fifth-at-army-games-2022/236404.vnp.\n\nVnEconomy. “Vietnam & Russia Target $10bln In Two-Way Trade By 2025.” VnEconomy, April 18, 2023. https://vneconomy.vn/vietnam-russia-target-10bln-in-two-way-trade-by-2025.htm.\n\nVOA Burmese Service. “Myanmar’s Military Council Supports Russia’s Invasion Of Ukraine.” VOA, February 25, 2022. https://www.voanews.com/a/myanmar-s-military-council-supports-russia-s-invasion-0f-ukraine/6458527.html.\n\nWalker, Tommy. “Thousands Of Russians Flee To Thailand To Escape War.” VOA News, February. 25, 2023. https://www.voanews.com/a/thousands-of-russians-flee-to-thailand-to-escape-war-/6979011.html\n\nYamamoto, Yuji. “Indonesia Shakes Palm Oil Market Again, Eyeing Biodiesel Over Exports.” Nikkei Asia, February 8, 2023. https://asia.nikkei.com/Business/Markets/Commodities/Indonesia-shakes-palm-oil-market-again-eyeing-biodiesel-over-exports.\n\nYeung Jessie, Darya Tarasova and Alex Stambaugh. “Putin and Xi Meet Against Backdrop of Growing. Crises for Both Leaders,” CNN, 30 Dec, 2022. https://edition.cnn.com/2022/12/30/asia/china-xi-russia-putin-video-meeting-intl-hnk/index.html.\n\nZan, Hein Htoo. “Russia Uses Myanmar Pipeline To Transport Oil To China.” The Irrawaddy, April. 28, 2023. https://www.irrawaddy.com/news/the-world-myanmar/russia-uses-myanmar-pipeline-to-transport-oil-to-china.html.\n\nZhabina, Alena. “Will Russian Aid For Myanmar Give Moscow An Asian Foothold?” DW, February. 8, 2023, https://www.dw.com/en/will-russian-support-for-myanmar-give-moscow-an-asian-foothold/a-64644348.\n\nZulkifli, Ahmad Mustakim. “Russian Defence Products Missing from Lima 2023.” Malaysia Now, June 29, 2023. https://www.malaysianow.com/news/2023/05/26/russian-defence-products-missing-from-lima-2023.\n\n\nOnline Articles:\n\n\nAMRO Asia. “Brunei Darussalem Benefiting From Fuller Economic Re-Opening And Higher. Energy Prices,” AMRO Asia, January 13, 2023. https://www.amro-asia.org/brunei-darussalam-benefiting-from-fuller-economic-re-opening-and-higher-energy-prices/.\n\nBitzinger, A. Richard. “The Russia-Ukraine War: Lessons for Southeast Asia,” Nanyang Technological University Singapore, January 13, 2023. https://www.rsis.edu.sg/rsis-publication/idss/ip23008-the-russia-ukraine-war-lessons-for-southeast-asia/#.ZFDCwOxBwR5.\n\nCentre For Strategic and Policy Studies. “Brunei Economic Outlook 2023” Centre for Strategic and Policy Studies, February 2023, http://www.csps.org.bn/wp-content/uploads/2023/03/Brunei-Economic-Outlook-2023.pdf.\n\nCentre For Strategic and Policy Studies. “Brunei Economic Update,” Centre for Strategic and Policy Studies, August 2022. http://www.csps.org.bn/wp-content/uploads/2023/03/Brunei-Economic-Update-August-2022.pdf.\n\nChheang, Vannarith. “Cambodia Hedges.” East Asia Forum, 13 September, 2022. https://www.eastasiaforum.org/2022/09/13/cambodia-hedges/.\n\nDBS. “DBS Asian Insights Forum: As Char OF ASEAN Summit 2023, Indonesia Could Turbocharge. Southeast Asia’s Economy.” DBS, March 13, 2023. https://www.dbs.com/newsroom/DBS_Asian_Insights_Forum__As_Chair_of_ASEAN_Summit_2023_Indonesia_could_turbocharge_Southeast_Asia_economy\n\nDevonshire-Ellis, Chris. “ASEAN’s Trade Relations with Russia.” ASEAN Briefing, September 6, 2022. https://www.aseanbriefing.com/news/aseans-trade-relations-with-russia/.\n\nEfimova, Larisa M. “Soviet Policy in Indonesia during the ‘Liberal Democracy’ Period, 1950-1959.” Wilson Center. Accessed July 1, 2023. https://www.wilsoncenter.org/publication/soviet-policy-indonesia-during-the-liberal-democracy-period-1950-1959.\n\nGardner, Tony and Ylva Rylander, “Indonesia Makes Progress Towards Zero Palm Oil Deforestation. - But Gains In Forest Protection Are Fragile.” Stockholm Environment Institute, September 15, 2022. https://www.sei.org/featured/zero-palm-oil-deforestation/.\n\nGlauber, Joseph, David Laborde and Abdullah Mamun. “The Impact Of The Ukraine Crisis On The. Global Vegetable Oil Market.” International Food Policy Research Institute, May 3, 2022. https://www.ifpri.org/blog/impact-ukraine-crisis-global-vegetable-oil-market\nGref, German. “Russia And Southeast Asia: Commitment To Cooperation,” RIA Novosti [Russian. Information Agency News]. May 23, 2007.\nHayton, Bill. “ASEAN is Slowly Finding Its Voice over Ukraine.” Chatham House, March 4, 2022, https://www.chathamhouse.org/2022/03/asean-slowly-finding-its-voice-over-ukraine.\n\nHayton, Bill. “China’s Intimidation Exposes Vietnam’s Lack of Deterrence.” Chatham House. 26 April, 2018. https://www.almendron.com/tribuna/chinas-intimidation-exposes-vietnams-lack-of-deterrence/.\n\nIan Storey, “The War in Ukraine: Camodia’s Surprisingly Hard-line Stand”, FULCRUM, 25 May, 2022. https://fulcrum.sg/the-war-in-ukraine-cambodias-surprisingly-hard-line-stand/.\n\nIEA. “Southeast Asia Energy Outlook 2019.” IEA, October 2019. https://www.iea.org/reports/southeast-asia-energy-outlook-2019.\n\nIEA. “Southeast Asia Energy Outlook 2022.” IEA, May 2022. https://www.iea.org/reports/southeast- asia-energy-outlook-2022/key-findings.\n\nKuik, Cheng-Chwee, “Hedging in Post-Pandemic Asia: What, How, and Why?” Asan Forum 8, no.5. 2020. https://theasanforum.org/hedging-in-post-pandemic-asia-what-how-and-why/.\n\nLee, Kare and Gregory B. Poling. “The Latest On Southeast Asia: March 2, 2023,” CSIS Blogs. March 2, 2023. https://www.csis.org/blogs/latest-southeast-asia/latest-southeast-asia-march-2-2023.\n\nMaybank. “War and Sanctions: The Collateral Damage on ASEAN.” Maybank, March 8, 2022. https://mkefactsettd.maybank-ke.com/PDFS/254961.pdf.\n\nMathieu, Hans. “Indonesia: A new Mediator between Russia and Ukraine?” IPS Journal, July 8, 2022. https://www.ips-journal.eu/topics/foreign-and-security-policy/indonesia-a-new-mediator-between-russia-and-ukraine-6052/.\nRosoboronexport. “Cooperation with Malaysia.” Rosoboronexport, 2023. https://roe.ru/eng/export/malayziya/.\nSaha, Premesha. “The Ongoing Russia-Ukraine Conflict: Impact On Southeast Asia.” ORF, March. 11, 2023. https://www.orfonline.org/expert-speak/the-ongoing-russia-ukraine-conflict-impact-on-southeast-asia/.\n\nSamavong, Chanhsy and Buavanh Vilavong, “Laos Must Address Rising Inflation In 2023.” East. Asia Forum, February 1, 2023. https://www.eastasiaforum.org/2023/02/01/laos-must-address-rising-inflation-in-2023/.\n\nSKRINE. “The European Union is Cracking Down on the Circumvention on Its Sanctions Against. Russia: Why Any Company in Malaysia Should Take Note of the European Union’s Latest Sanctions Package.” June 28, 2023. https://www.skrine.com/insights/alerts/june-2023/the-european-union-is-cracking-down-on-the-circumv.\n\nStorey, Ian. “The Russia-Ukraine War And Its Potential Impact On Russia’s Arms Sales To Southeast. Asia.” FULCRUM, May 6, 2022. https://fulcrum.sg/the-russia-ukraine-war-and-its-potential-impact-on-russias-arms-sales-to-southeast-asia/.\n\nThiha, Amara and James Crabtree. “Myanmar’s Twin Objectives in Drawing Closer to Russia.” IISS, September 15, 2022. https://www.iiss.org/online-analysis/online-analysis/2022/09/myanmars-twin-objectives-in-drawing-closer-to-russia/.\n\nYanovsky, Oleg. “Russia Looks East To Trade.” East Asia Forum, 9 May 2023. https://www.eastasiaforum.org/2023/05/09/russia-looks-east-to-trade/.\n\nOnline Databases:\n\nOur World In Data. “Trade As Share Of GDP, 1960 to 2020,” Our World In Data, 2023. https://ourworldindata.org/grapher/trade-as-share-of-gdp?country=VNM~HKG~SGP.\n\nStockholm International Peace Research Institute. “SIPRI Arms Transfers Database.” March 14, 2022. https://www.sipri.org/databases/armstransfers.\n\nUnited Nations. “UN Comtrade Database.” 2022. https://comtradeplus.un.org/. | 描述: | 碩士 國立政治大學 國際研究英語碩士學位學程(IMPIS) 110862008 |
資料來源: | http://thesis.lib.nccu.edu.tw/record/#G0110862008 | 資料類型: | thesis |
| Appears in Collections: | 學位論文 |
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