Please use this identifier to cite or link to this item:
https://ah.lib.nccu.edu.tw/handle/140.119/23293
DC Field | Value | Language |
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dc.creator | Chen,Shu-Heng;Wang,Sun-Chong ;Tseng,Jie-Jun ;Li,Sai-Ping | en_US |
dc.date | 2006 | en_US |
dc.date.accessioned | 2009-01-09T04:18:52Z | - |
dc.date.available | 2009-01-09T04:18:52Z | - |
dc.date.issued | 2009-01-09T04:18:52Z | - |
dc.identifier.uri | https://nccur.lib.nccu.edu.tw/handle/140.119/23293 | - |
dc.description.abstract | The ability of accurate epidemic prediction facilitates early preparation for the disease and minimizes losses due to any strikes. We devised a platform on the Web for users to exchange their information / opinion on possible avian flu outbreaks in Taiwan. The likelihood of the first human infection of bird flu in Taiwan in, say, December 2005 is securitized in the form of a futures contract. Incentives are introduced via tournament: users trade the futures in the market on our Web server in order to win the awards in the end of the tournament. We ran such a tournament during the period between December 2005 and February 2006. Results of the futures’ prices correctly predicted no outbreaks of bird flu among the residents in Taiwan \r\nduring the 3-month period, suggesting that the design of the futures exchange on the Web be a useful tool of event forecasting. | - |
dc.format | application/ | en_US |
dc.language | en | en_US |
dc.language | en-US | en_US |
dc.language.iso | en_US | - |
dc.relation | New Mathematics and Natural Computation,2(3),271-279 | en_US |
dc.subject | avian influenza;futures exchange;market | - |
dc.title | Prediction of Bird Flu A(H5N1) Outbreaks in Taiwan by Online Auction: Experimental Results | en_US |
dc.type | article | en |
dc.identifier.doi | 10.1142/S1793005706000567 | - |
dc.doi.uri | http://dx.doi.org/10.1142/S1793005706000567 | - |
item.grantfulltext | open | - |
item.openairecristype | http://purl.org/coar/resource_type/c_18cf | - |
item.languageiso639-1 | en_US | - |
item.openairetype | article | - |
item.cerifentitytype | Publications | - |
item.fulltext | With Fulltext | - |
Appears in Collections: | 期刊論文 |
Files in This Item:
File | Description | Size | Format | |
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birdFlu06.pdf | 177.47 kB | Adobe PDF2 | View/Open |
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