Publications-Theses

題名 公司負債到期結構之實證研究-以台灣製造業為例
An Empirical Study on The Determinants of Taiwan Corporate Debt Maturity Structure
作者 孫孟文
Amy Meng-Wen Pan
貢獻者 杜化宇
Anthony Tu
孫孟文
Amy Meng-Wen Pan
關鍵詞 負債到期結構
代理成本
資訊假說
Debt Maturity Structure
Signaling Hypothesis
Agency Cost Hypothesis
日期 2002
上傳時間 18-Sep-2009 14:43:31 (UTC+8)
摘要 本論文探討公司負債到期結構的實證決定因素。本研究首先選取台灣一般製造業104家樣本,使用複迴歸進行分析,結果顯示此104家樣本公司市價對帳面價值比與實質稅率的係數估計值為負,證明高成長和高預期代理成本的公司,擁有長於三年到期結構負債的比率顯著的較低,驗證資訊不對稱程度較高的企業較不偏好長期負債的假說,並與理論的預測相同。對於負債到期結構之其他三項決定因素,即資產年限、變異性、與超額盈餘而言,結果和假說理論及國外實證研究結果不合,無法驗證資產與負債年限相配之假說,同時以負債到期結構與超額盈餘傳遞訊息假說之理論亦無法成立。由於此六項決定因素皆不具統計顯著性,故而再選取電子業31家樣本進行實證研究。此上市公司電子業31家的實證結果支持代理成本與負債到期結構之間具有負相關的假說,以及企業會配合公司資產年限和負債到期結構的相配假說;然而,實證結果無法驗證此31家電子產業的負債到期結構與企業規模呈現正相關,也無法驗證負債到期結構和公司價值的變異性、超額報酬具有負相關的假說。此外,研究結果並不支持稅負會影響負債到期結構的說法,以及企業會利用負債到期結構發佈訊息的假設。
This paper investigates the empirical determinants of corporate debt maturity structure by exploring the possible relations between the firm’s debt maturity structure and six firm-specific characteristics of agency-related costs, size, signaling, asset maturity, taxes and variability. This is done by testing the theoretical model of debt maturity structure first using a cross-sectional data set of 104 non-financial Taiwan firms, and then using a data set of 31 Taiwan electronic firms. The results of the test on the 104 non-financial Taiwan firms shows that agency-costs, asset-maturity and taxes exert negative impacts on debt maturity, while size, variability and abcdrmal profit have positive impacts on debt maturity. However, none of these determinants are significant on the debt maturity structure decisions. As for the 31 Taiwan electronic firms, the evidence lends considerable support to the prediction that the impact of agency-costs on debt maturity is negative. The findings also provide support for the notion that these firms match the maturity of their debt to that of their assets. Though firm size is positively associated with debt maturity, it is not a significant determinant. The empirical analysis provides no evidence that taxes and volatility of firm value affect debt maturity structure. Finally, the empirical results are not supportive of the signaling hypothesis that Taiwan electronic firms use their debt maturity structure to signal information to the market.
參考文獻 參考文獻
中文部份
吳儀玲 (民82),「可轉換公司債之特探討」,國立台灣大學財務金融研究所碩士論文。
蔡垂君 (民84),「以風險、經營績效、股利政策及股東報評估企業現金增資及可轉換公司債融資」,國立中興大學企業管理研究所碩士論文。
余曉亭 (民88),「上市公司發行可轉換公司債之長期績效評估」,國立台灣大學商學研究所碩士論文。
施敏慧 (民90),「債券型與權益型轉換對財務績效的影響」,私立中國文化大學會計研究所碩士論文。
陳俐君 (民91),「財務彈性對可轉換公司債發行公司長期營運績效影響之分析」,國立政治大學財務管理研究所碩士論文。
英文部份
Barclay, M. J. and Smith, C. W. (1995), “The maturity structure of corporate debt”, Journal of Finance, 50, 609-632.
Barnea, A., Haugen, R. A. and Senbet L. W. (1980), “A rationale for debt maturity structure and call provisions in the agency theoretic framework, Journal of Finance, 35, 1223-1234.
Brick, I. E. and Ravid, S. A. (1985), “On the relevance of debt maturity structure”, Journal of Finance, 40, 1423-1437.
Brick, I. E. and Ravid, S. A. (1991), “Interest rate uncertainty and the optimal debt maturity”, Journal of Financial and Quantitative Analysis, 26, 63-81.
Boyce, W. M. and Kalotay, A. J. (1979), “Tax differentials and callable bonds”, Journal of Finance, 34, 825-838.
Cook, R. D. and Weisberg S. (1983), “Diagnostics for heteroscedasticity in regression”, Biometrica, 70, 1-10.
Demirguc-Kunt, A. and Maksimovic, V. (1999), “Institutions, financial markets, and firm debt maturity”, Journal of Financial Economics, 54, 295-336.
Diamond, D. (1991), “Debt maturity and liquidity risk”, Quarterly Journal of Economics, 106, 709-737.
Diamond, D. (1993), “Seniority and maturity of debt contracts”, Journal of Financial Economics, 33, 341-368.
Flannery, M. J. (1986), “Asymmetric information and risky debt maturity choice”, Journal of Finance, 41, 19-37.
Flannery, M. J. (1994), “Debt maturity and the deadweight cost of leverage: Optimally financing banking firms”, American Economic Review, March, 320-331.
Goswami, G., Noe, T. and Rebello, M. (1995), “Debt financing under asymmetric information”, Journal of Finance, 50, 633-659.
Green, R. (1984), “Investment incentives, debts, and warrants”, Journal of Financial Economics, 13, 115-136.
Guedes, J. and Opler, T. (1995), “The determinant of the maturity of new corporate debt issues”, Working paper.
Hansen, R. and Crutchley, C. (1990), “Corporate earnings and financings: An empirical analysis”, Journal of Business, 63, 347-371.
Hart, O. and Moore, J. (1994), “A theory of debt based upon the inalienability of human capital”, Quarterly Journal of Economics, 109, 841-879.
Hart, O. and Moore, J. (1995), “Debt seniority: An analysis of the role of hard claims in constraining management”, American Economic Review, June, 567-585.
Jensen, M. C. and Meckling, W. (1976), “Theory of the firm: managerial behaviour, agency costs, and capital structure”, Journal of Financial Economics, 3, 305-360.
Kale, J. R. and Noe, T. H. (1990), “Risky debt maturity choice in a sequential equilibrium”, Journal of Financial Research, 3, 155-165.
Kane, A., Marcus, A. J. and McDonald, R. L. (1985), “Debt policy and the rate of return premium to leverage”, Journal of Financial and Quantitative Analysis, 20, 479-499.
Kim, C., Mauer D. and Stohs, M. (1995), “Corporate debt maturity policy and investor tax timing options: Theory and evidence”, Financial Management, 24, 33-45.
Goswami, G., Noe, T. and Rebello, M. (1995), “Debt financing under asymmetric information”, Journal of Finance, 50, 633-659.
Lee, I. and Loughran, T (1998), “Performance following convertible bond issuance”, Journal of Corporate Finance, 4, 185-207.
Leland, H. (1994), “Corporate debt value, bond covenants, and optimal capital structure”, Journal of Finance, 49, 1213-1252.
Leland, H. E. and Thoft, K. B. (1996), “Optimal capital structure, endogenous bankruptcy, and the term structure of credit spreads”, Journal of Finance, 51, 987-1019.
Lewis, C. (1990), “A multi-period theory of corporate financial policy under taxation”, Journal of Financial and Quantitative Analysis, 25, 25-43.
Lewis, C. Rogalski, R. and Seward, J. (2001), “The long-run performance of firms that issue convertible debt: An empirical analysis of operating characteristics and analyst forecasts”, Journal of Corporate Finance, 7, 447-474.
Mayers, D. (1998), “Why firms issue convertible bonds: The matching of financial and real investment options”, Journal of Financial Economics, 47, 83-102.
McLaughlin, R. Safieddine and Vasudevan, G. (1996), “The operating performance of seasoned equity issuers: Free cash flow and post-issue performance”, Financial Management, 25, 41-53.
Miller, M. H. (1977), “Debt and taxes”, Journal of Finance, 31, 29-37.
Mitchell, K. (1991), “The call, sinking fund and term-to-maturity features of corporate bonds: an empirical investigation”, Journal of Financial and Quantitative Analysis, 26, 1-22.
Mitchell, K. (1993), “The debt maturity choice: An empirical investigation”, Journal of Financial Research, 6, 309-320.
Morris, J. (1992), “Factors affecting the maturity structure of corporate debt”, Working paper, University of Colorado at Denver.
Myers, S. C. (1977), “Determinants of corporate borrowing”, Journal of Financial Economics, 5, 147-175.
Ozkan, A. (2000), “An empirical analysis of corporate debt maturity structure”, European Financial management, 6, 197-212.
Ozkan, A. (2002), “The determinants of corporate debt maturity: Evidence from UK firms”, Applied Financial Economics, 12, 19-24.
Park, C. (1994), “Monitoring and debt seniority structure”, Working paper, University of Chicago.
Patel, A., Emery, D.R. and Lee, Y.W. “Firm performance and security type in seasoned offerings: An empirical examination of alternative signaling models”, Journal of Financial Research, 16, 181-192.
Rajan, R. (1992), “Insiders and outsiders: The choice between informed and arm’s length debt”, Journal of Finance, 47, 1367-1400.
Ravid, S. A. (1996), “Debt maturity-survey”, Financial Markets, Institutions and Instruments, 5, 1-69.
Sarig, O. and Warga, A. (1989), “Some empirical estimates of the risk structure of interest rates”, Journal of Finance, 44, 1351-1360.
Sharpe, S. (1991), “Credit rationing, concessionary lending and debt maturity”, Journal of Banking and Finance, 15, 581-604.
Smith, C. W. (1986), “Investment banking and the capital acquisition process”, Journal of Financial Economics, 15, 3-29.
Stein, J. (1992), “Convertible bonds as backdoor equity financing”, Journal of Financial Economics, 32, 3-21.
Stohs, M. H. and Mauer, D. C. (1996), “The determinants of corporate debt maturity structure”, Journal of Business, 69, 279-312.
Titman, S. and Wessels, R. (1988), “The determinants of capital structure choice”, Journal of Finance, 43, 1503-1516.
Titman, S. (1992), “Interest rates swaps and corporate financing choices”, Journal of Finance, 47, 1-19.
White, H. (1980), “A heteroscedasticity-consistent covariance matrix estimator and a direct test for heteroscedasticity”, Econometrica, 48, 817-830.
Whited, T. M. (1992), “Debt, liquidity constraints, and corporate investment: evidence from panel data”, Journal of Finance, 47, 1425-1460.
描述 碩士
國立政治大學
經營管理碩士學程(EMBA)
89932129
91
資料來源 http://thesis.lib.nccu.edu.tw/record/#G0089932129
資料類型 thesis
dc.contributor.advisor 杜化宇zh_TW
dc.contributor.advisor Anthony Tuen_US
dc.contributor.author (Authors) 孫孟文zh_TW
dc.contributor.author (Authors) Amy Meng-Wen Panen_US
dc.creator (作者) 孫孟文zh_TW
dc.creator (作者) Amy Meng-Wen Panen_US
dc.date (日期) 2002en_US
dc.date.accessioned 18-Sep-2009 14:43:31 (UTC+8)-
dc.date.available 18-Sep-2009 14:43:31 (UTC+8)-
dc.date.issued (上傳時間) 18-Sep-2009 14:43:31 (UTC+8)-
dc.identifier (Other Identifiers) G0089932129en_US
dc.identifier.uri (URI) https://nccur.lib.nccu.edu.tw/handle/140.119/35318-
dc.description (描述) 碩士zh_TW
dc.description (描述) 國立政治大學zh_TW
dc.description (描述) 經營管理碩士學程(EMBA)zh_TW
dc.description (描述) 89932129zh_TW
dc.description (描述) 91zh_TW
dc.description.abstract (摘要) 本論文探討公司負債到期結構的實證決定因素。本研究首先選取台灣一般製造業104家樣本,使用複迴歸進行分析,結果顯示此104家樣本公司市價對帳面價值比與實質稅率的係數估計值為負,證明高成長和高預期代理成本的公司,擁有長於三年到期結構負債的比率顯著的較低,驗證資訊不對稱程度較高的企業較不偏好長期負債的假說,並與理論的預測相同。對於負債到期結構之其他三項決定因素,即資產年限、變異性、與超額盈餘而言,結果和假說理論及國外實證研究結果不合,無法驗證資產與負債年限相配之假說,同時以負債到期結構與超額盈餘傳遞訊息假說之理論亦無法成立。由於此六項決定因素皆不具統計顯著性,故而再選取電子業31家樣本進行實證研究。此上市公司電子業31家的實證結果支持代理成本與負債到期結構之間具有負相關的假說,以及企業會配合公司資產年限和負債到期結構的相配假說;然而,實證結果無法驗證此31家電子產業的負債到期結構與企業規模呈現正相關,也無法驗證負債到期結構和公司價值的變異性、超額報酬具有負相關的假說。此外,研究結果並不支持稅負會影響負債到期結構的說法,以及企業會利用負債到期結構發佈訊息的假設。zh_TW
dc.description.abstract (摘要) This paper investigates the empirical determinants of corporate debt maturity structure by exploring the possible relations between the firm’s debt maturity structure and six firm-specific characteristics of agency-related costs, size, signaling, asset maturity, taxes and variability. This is done by testing the theoretical model of debt maturity structure first using a cross-sectional data set of 104 non-financial Taiwan firms, and then using a data set of 31 Taiwan electronic firms. The results of the test on the 104 non-financial Taiwan firms shows that agency-costs, asset-maturity and taxes exert negative impacts on debt maturity, while size, variability and abcdrmal profit have positive impacts on debt maturity. However, none of these determinants are significant on the debt maturity structure decisions. As for the 31 Taiwan electronic firms, the evidence lends considerable support to the prediction that the impact of agency-costs on debt maturity is negative. The findings also provide support for the notion that these firms match the maturity of their debt to that of their assets. Though firm size is positively associated with debt maturity, it is not a significant determinant. The empirical analysis provides no evidence that taxes and volatility of firm value affect debt maturity structure. Finally, the empirical results are not supportive of the signaling hypothesis that Taiwan electronic firms use their debt maturity structure to signal information to the market.en_US
dc.description.tableofcontents 第壹章 緒論
第一節 研究動機與目的……………………………………… 1
第二節 研究流程與步驟……………………………………… 4
第三節 研究限制……………………………………………… 6
第貳章 理論與文獻探討
第一節 假說理論……………………………………………… 7
第二節 國內外相關實證文獻………………………………… 9
第三節 相關文獻摘要………………………………………… 24
第參章 研究方法與模型
第一節 變數說明……………………………………………… 31
第二節 實証模型……………………………………………… 35
第三節 資料來源及樣本篩選………………………………… 36
第肆章 實證結果與分析
第一節 樣本資料敘述統計…………………………………… 41
第二節 實證分析……………………………………………… 42
第伍章 結論與建議
第一節 結論…………………………………………………… 53
第二節 後續研究方向建議…………………………………… 54
參考文獻 ………………………………………………………… 56
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dc.source.uri (資料來源) http://thesis.lib.nccu.edu.tw/record/#G0089932129en_US
dc.subject (關鍵詞) 負債到期結構zh_TW
dc.subject (關鍵詞) 代理成本zh_TW
dc.subject (關鍵詞) 資訊假說zh_TW
dc.subject (關鍵詞) Debt Maturity Structureen_US
dc.subject (關鍵詞) Signaling Hypothesisen_US
dc.subject (關鍵詞) Agency Cost Hypothesisen_US
dc.title (題名) 公司負債到期結構之實證研究-以台灣製造業為例zh_TW
dc.title (題名) An Empirical Study on The Determinants of Taiwan Corporate Debt Maturity Structureen_US
dc.type (資料類型) thesisen
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) 參考文獻zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) 中文部份zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) 吳儀玲 (民82),「可轉換公司債之特探討」,國立台灣大學財務金融研究所碩士論文。zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) 蔡垂君 (民84),「以風險、經營績效、股利政策及股東報評估企業現金增資及可轉換公司債融資」,國立中興大學企業管理研究所碩士論文。zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) 余曉亭 (民88),「上市公司發行可轉換公司債之長期績效評估」,國立台灣大學商學研究所碩士論文。zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) 施敏慧 (民90),「債券型與權益型轉換對財務績效的影響」,私立中國文化大學會計研究所碩士論文。zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) 陳俐君 (民91),「財務彈性對可轉換公司債發行公司長期營運績效影響之分析」,國立政治大學財務管理研究所碩士論文。zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) 英文部份zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) Barclay, M. J. and Smith, C. W. (1995), “The maturity structure of corporate debt”, Journal of Finance, 50, 609-632.zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) Barnea, A., Haugen, R. A. and Senbet L. W. (1980), “A rationale for debt maturity structure and call provisions in the agency theoretic framework, Journal of Finance, 35, 1223-1234.zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) Brick, I. E. and Ravid, S. A. (1985), “On the relevance of debt maturity structure”, Journal of Finance, 40, 1423-1437.zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) Brick, I. E. and Ravid, S. A. (1991), “Interest rate uncertainty and the optimal debt maturity”, Journal of Financial and Quantitative Analysis, 26, 63-81.zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) Boyce, W. M. and Kalotay, A. J. (1979), “Tax differentials and callable bonds”, Journal of Finance, 34, 825-838.zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) Cook, R. D. and Weisberg S. (1983), “Diagnostics for heteroscedasticity in regression”, Biometrica, 70, 1-10.zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) Demirguc-Kunt, A. and Maksimovic, V. (1999), “Institutions, financial markets, and firm debt maturity”, Journal of Financial Economics, 54, 295-336.zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) Diamond, D. (1991), “Debt maturity and liquidity risk”, Quarterly Journal of Economics, 106, 709-737.zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) Diamond, D. (1993), “Seniority and maturity of debt contracts”, Journal of Financial Economics, 33, 341-368.zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) Flannery, M. J. (1986), “Asymmetric information and risky debt maturity choice”, Journal of Finance, 41, 19-37.zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) Flannery, M. J. (1994), “Debt maturity and the deadweight cost of leverage: Optimally financing banking firms”, American Economic Review, March, 320-331.zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) Goswami, G., Noe, T. and Rebello, M. (1995), “Debt financing under asymmetric information”, Journal of Finance, 50, 633-659.zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) Green, R. (1984), “Investment incentives, debts, and warrants”, Journal of Financial Economics, 13, 115-136.zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) Guedes, J. and Opler, T. (1995), “The determinant of the maturity of new corporate debt issues”, Working paper.zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) Hansen, R. and Crutchley, C. (1990), “Corporate earnings and financings: An empirical analysis”, Journal of Business, 63, 347-371.zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) Hart, O. and Moore, J. (1994), “A theory of debt based upon the inalienability of human capital”, Quarterly Journal of Economics, 109, 841-879.zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) Hart, O. and Moore, J. (1995), “Debt seniority: An analysis of the role of hard claims in constraining management”, American Economic Review, June, 567-585.zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) Jensen, M. C. and Meckling, W. (1976), “Theory of the firm: managerial behaviour, agency costs, and capital structure”, Journal of Financial Economics, 3, 305-360.zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) Kale, J. R. and Noe, T. H. (1990), “Risky debt maturity choice in a sequential equilibrium”, Journal of Financial Research, 3, 155-165.zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) Kane, A., Marcus, A. J. and McDonald, R. L. (1985), “Debt policy and the rate of return premium to leverage”, Journal of Financial and Quantitative Analysis, 20, 479-499.zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) Kim, C., Mauer D. and Stohs, M. (1995), “Corporate debt maturity policy and investor tax timing options: Theory and evidence”, Financial Management, 24, 33-45.zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) Goswami, G., Noe, T. and Rebello, M. (1995), “Debt financing under asymmetric information”, Journal of Finance, 50, 633-659.zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) Lee, I. and Loughran, T (1998), “Performance following convertible bond issuance”, Journal of Corporate Finance, 4, 185-207.zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) Leland, H. (1994), “Corporate debt value, bond covenants, and optimal capital structure”, Journal of Finance, 49, 1213-1252.zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) Leland, H. E. and Thoft, K. B. (1996), “Optimal capital structure, endogenous bankruptcy, and the term structure of credit spreads”, Journal of Finance, 51, 987-1019.zh_TW
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