Please use this identifier to cite or link to this item: https://ah.lib.nccu.edu.tw/handle/140.119/141079
DC FieldValueLanguage
dc.contributor.advisor蔡政憲zh_TW
dc.contributor.advisorTsai, Cheng-Hsienen_US
dc.contributor.author林耕伍zh_TW
dc.contributor.authorLin, Keng-Wuen_US
dc.creator林耕伍zh_TW
dc.creatorLin, Keng-Wuen_US
dc.date2022en_US
dc.date.accessioned2022-08-01T09:32:52Z-
dc.date.available2022-08-01T09:32:52Z-
dc.date.issued2022-08-01T09:32:52Z-
dc.identifierG0109358021en_US
dc.identifier.urihttp://nccur.lib.nccu.edu.tw/handle/140.119/141079-
dc.description碩士zh_TW
dc.description國立政治大學zh_TW
dc.description風險管理與保險學系zh_TW
dc.description109358021zh_TW
dc.description.abstract近年受疫情與經濟大環境影響,人們趨向穩健理財,因此具保本與投資雙重性質的分紅保單逐漸成為熱門商品。再者,由於近期臺灣逐步接軌IFRS 17,保單評價回歸現時基礎,因此讓近期銷量增長的分紅保單評價成為關注的焦點,但IFRS 17對於分紅保單中關於未來費差、死差、利差的保單期間未實現價值變化的衡量僅文字上原則性規範,並未提供實際做法,故本文透過文獻與精算會計報告回顧挑選實務上較為常見的作法:隨機情境法,用來衡量市面上的分紅保單關於未實現價值變化部分,此價值變化部分也就是所謂的選擇權與保證利益的時間價值,最後根據保單計算結果提出建議。zh_TW
dc.description.abstractDue to the impact of COVID-19 and economic environment, people manage their wealth more conservative, which makes participating policies with guarantees more popular. On the other hand, since insurance companies in Taiwan have gradually phased in IFRS 17 emphasizing on fair valuation of the policy on the market basis, the valuation of participating policies has become more and more important; however, IFRS 17 doesn’t provide the details of measuring unrealized value regarding expense margin, mortality margin, and interest margin. Therefore, this paper reviews literature and actuarial accounting reports and finds that stochastic modeling is a proper method to measure the policy’s unrealized value which is so-called Time Value of Options and Guarantees(TVOG). In the end, the paper provides suggestions based on TVOG of the policy.en_US
dc.description.tableofcontents第一章 緒論 1\n第一節 研究背景 1\n第二節 研究動機與目的 2\n第三節 研究方法與研究架構 3\n第二章 IFRS 17 選擇權與保證利益的時間價值介紹與文獻回顧 4\n第一節 選擇權與保證利益的時間價值介紹 4\n一、選擇權與保證利益的時間價值所屬架構 4\n二、選擇權與保證利益的時間價值介紹 5\n第二節 選擇權與保證利益的時間價值評價文獻回顧 5\n一、隨機情境法 6\n二、複製資產組合 7\n三、隨機模型封閉解 8\n第三章 選擇權與保證利益的時間價值分析模型與假設 9\n第一節 分紅終身壽險保單之介紹 9\n一、費差分紅 10\n二、死差分紅 11\n三、利差分紅 11\n第二節 模型介紹 12\n一 、Lee Carter 模型 12\n二 、Vasicek-Hull-White 利率模型 14\n第四章 選擇權與保證利益的時間價值分析 17\n第一節 費差分紅模擬 17\n第二節 死差分紅模擬 21\n第三節 利差分紅模擬 26\n第四節 選擇權與保證利益的時間價值計算 29\n第五章 結論與建議 31\n參考文獻 32zh_TW
dc.format.extent1173548 bytes-
dc.format.mimetypeapplication/pdf-
dc.source.urihttp://thesis.lib.nccu.edu.tw/record/#G0109358021en_US
dc.subjectTVOGzh_TW
dc.subject蒙地卡羅模擬zh_TW
dc.subject分紅保單zh_TW
dc.subjectIFRS 17zh_TW
dc.subjectTVOGen_US
dc.subjectMonte Carlo Simulationen_US
dc.subjectparticipating policyen_US
dc.subjectIFRS 17en_US
dc.title臺灣的分紅壽險選擇權與保證利益的時間價值zh_TW
dc.titleTime value of options and guarantees of Taiwan’s participating life insuranceen_US
dc.typethesisen_US
dc.relation.reference1、王靈芝,2015,基於一致性原則的償二代TVOG風險因子校準,保險研究,12期: 30-39。\n2、余清祥,2015,修勻學:生命表的建構與相關考量,https://reurl.cc/ZAkLYW,搜尋日期:2022年6月1日。\n3、余清祥,2015,修勻學:參數修勻法,https://reurl.cc/NAW7Y5,搜尋日期: 2022年6月1日。\n4、孫鑫,2020,IFRS17與大陸現行會計準則負債公允價值之研究:以分紅保險為例,國立政治大學風險管理與保險學研究所未出版之碩士論文,臺北,臺灣。\n5、財政部,2002,本業銷售分紅及不分紅人壽保險單應遵守原則,https://reurl.cc/QLMMDo,搜尋日期:2022年6月15日\n6、陳欣文,2022,保誠人壽分紅保單¬¬¬:三明治族助力,https://reurl.cc/anmRZD,搜尋日期:2022年6月25日。\n7、凱晟精算顧問有限公司,2021,IFRS 17主要關鍵導入議題委託研究案期末報告。\n8、黃芳文,2015,死亡風險的自然避險與商品設計,國立政治大學風險管理與保險學研究所未出版博士論文,臺北,臺灣\n9、萬歷歷,2016,償二代壽險責任準備金評估的理論研究及實證分析,南開大學經濟學研究所未出版之碩士論文,天津,中國。\n10、詹志清,2020,臺灣個人壽險解約與銷售通路之實證研究,逢甲大學金融學位學程未出版之博士論文,臺中,臺灣。\n11、Grosen, A., and Jørgensen, P. L. 2000. Fair valuation of life insurance liabilities: The impact of interest rate guarantees, surrender options, and bonus policies. Insurance: Mathematics and Economics, 26 (2000) : 37–57\n12、Villegas, A.M., Millossovich, P., and Kaishev, V.K. 2018. StMoMo: An R Package for Stochastic Mortality Modeling. Journal of Statistical Software, 84 (3): 1-34.\n13、Brigo, D., and Mercurio, F. 2001. Interest Rate Models Theory and Practice. US: Springer\n14、Chief Financial Officer Forum. 2016. European Embedded Value Principles. https://reurl.cc/2Zn9En. Accessed Mar. 20, 2022.\n15、Deloitte. 2018. IFRS 17 and Embedded Value Reporting. https://reurl.cc/d2Ykn6. Accessed Apr. 15, 2022.\n16、Hull, J. C. 2015. Options, Futures and other Derivatives (9th .ed). US:PEARSON\n17、International Accounting Standards Board. 2017. IFRS 17 Insurance Contracts. https://reurl.cc/Wr6z1e. Accessed March. 2, 2022.\n18、National Association of Insurance Commissioners. 2016. Actuarial Guideline XLIII: CARVM FOR VARIABLE ANNUITIES.\n19、National Association of Insurance Commissioners. 2021. Valuation Manual.\n20、Noel Harewood and Kenneth LaSorella. 2009. Embedded Value (EV) Reporting. American Academy of Actuaries Life Financial Reporting Committee: US: 19-20.\n21、Hunt, P. J. ,and Kennedy, J. E. 2000. Financial Derivatives in Theory and Practice. England : John Wiley and Son LTD.\n22、Hieber, P., Natolskic, J., and Werner, R. 2019. Fair valuation of cliquet-style return guarantees in (homogeneous)heterogeneous life insurance portfolios. Scandinavian Actuarial Journal. 6: 478–507.\n23、Komański, P., and Sokoliński, O. 2015. Least-Squares Monte Carlo Simulation for Time Value of Options and Guarantees Calculation. Unpublished doctoral dissertation, University of Warsaw, Poland.\n24、Nocito, S. 2015. Stochastic Mortality Projections: A Comparison of the Lee-Carter and the Cairns-Blake-Dowd models Using Italian Data. Unpublished doctoral dissertation, University of Studies of Turin, Italy.\n25、Singapore Actuarial Society. 2020. Options and Guarantees.\n26、Society of Actuaries. 2016. Nested Stochastic Modeling for Insurance Companies. https://reurl.cc/6Z8n5y. Accessed Apr. 16, 2022.\n27、Society of Actuaries. 2019. Yield Curve Extrapolation Methods Methodologies for Valuing Liability Cash Flows That Extend Beyond the Maximum Yield Curve.zh_TW
dc.identifier.doi10.6814/NCCU202200973en_US
item.cerifentitytypePublications-
item.openairecristypehttp://purl.org/coar/resource_type/c_46ec-
item.openairetypethesis-
item.fulltextWith Fulltext-
item.grantfulltextopen-
Appears in Collections:學位論文
Files in This Item:
File Description SizeFormat
802101.pdf1.15 MBAdobe PDF2View/Open
Show simple item record

Google ScholarTM

Check

Altmetric

Altmetric


Items in DSpace are protected by copyright, with all rights reserved, unless otherwise indicated.