Please use this identifier to cite or link to this item: https://ah.lib.nccu.edu.tw/handle/140.119/68534
DC FieldValueLanguage
dc.contributor.advisor黃泓智zh_TW
dc.contributor.author蘇嘉雄zh_TW
dc.contributor.authorSou, Ka Hongen_US
dc.creator蘇嘉雄zh_TW
dc.creatorSou, Ka Hongen_US
dc.date2013en_US
dc.date.accessioned2014-08-12T06:03:03Z-
dc.date.available2014-08-12T06:03:03Z-
dc.date.issued2014-08-12T06:03:03Z-
dc.identifierG0101358033en_US
dc.identifier.urihttp://nccur.lib.nccu.edu.tw/handle/140.119/68534-
dc.description碩士zh_TW
dc.description國立政治大學zh_TW
dc.description風險管理與保險研究所zh_TW
dc.description101358033zh_TW
dc.description102zh_TW
dc.description.abstract本論文以1998年1月至2014年2月台灣股票市場上市、櫃股票作為投資標的,首先利用每季公布之財務報表,以市值、股票月週轉率、負債比率、EPS、ROE及本益比等六項指標篩選股票,並根據ASKSR股票評分指標將股票排序,選出前n檔股票作為投資標的。研究使用樣本內資料估計出多元Gaussian-Copula-GJR(1,1)-t資產模型的參數、以它產生多組資產組合報酬的預測,藉由CRRA效用函數、Mean-Variance效用函數、Sharpe ratio效用函數及CARA效用函數最適化權重進行投資。研究發現使用GJR(1,1)-t模型、ASKSR股票評分指標、10天調整投資組合一次及CARA (λ=1) 效用函數下,投資組合不論在期末淨值或整段投資期間的績效上,都優於等權重投資策略。zh_TW
dc.description.tableofcontents口試委員會審定書------------------------------------------------------------- (i)\n致謝------------------------------------------------------------------------------ (ii)\n摘要----------------------------------------------------------------------------- (iii)\n第一章 緒論\n1.1研究動機與目的---------------------------------------------------- (1)\n1.2研究方法及成果---------------------------------------------------- (2)\n1.3章節概要------------------------------------------------------------- (3)\n第二章 文獻回顧\n2.1股價報酬決定因素------------------------------------------------ (5)\n2.2 GARCH 文獻探討------------------------------------------------ (5)\n2.3 Copula 文獻探討-------------------------------------------------- (7)\n2.4本章小結------------------------------------------------------------ (9)\n第三章 股票型基金資產配置\n3.1證券投資基金簡介------------------------------------------------ (10)\n3.2股票型基金資產配置思考--------------------------------------- (10)\n3.3本章小結---------------------------------------------------------- (12)\n第四章 研究方法\n4.1資產選擇---------------------------------------------------------- (13)\n4.1.1第一階段資產選擇--------------------------------------- (14)\n4.1.2第二階段資產選擇--------------------------------------- (14)\n4.2 資產模型---------------------------------------------------------- (18)\n4.2.1多元Gaussian-Copula-GARCH(1,1)-t資產模型--- (19)\n4.2.2 GARCH(1,1)-t模型參數估計------------------------- (21)\n4.3蒙地卡羅方法--------------------------------------------------- (22)\n4.4市場風險中立的避險策略------------------------------------ (24)\n4.5本章小結--------------------------------------------------------- (24)\n第五章 實驗結果\n5.1資料說明--------------------------------------------------------- (25)\n5.1.1以台灣股票為投資標的-------------------------------- (25)\n5.1.2台灣股票市場買賣股票的交易成本----------------- (25)\n5.2穩健性測試------------------------------------------------------- (26)\n5.2.1 評估投資組合期末績效------------------------------- (27)\n5.2.2 評量投資組合績效------------------------------------- (39)\n5.2.3 四種評量指標的結果---------------------------------- (42)\n5.3本章小結------------------------------------------------------- (45)\n第六章 結論與展望\n6.1結論------------------------------------------------------------- (46)\n6.2展望------------------------------------------------------------- (46)\n參考文獻----------------------------------------------------------------- (48)\n附錄A--------------------------------------------------------------------- (53)zh_TW
dc.format.extent1491503 bytes-
dc.format.mimetypeapplication/pdf-
dc.language.isoen_US-
dc.source.urihttp://thesis.lib.nccu.edu.tw/record/#G0101358033en_US
dc.subject財務報表zh_TW
dc.subject股票評分指標zh_TW
dc.subject資產模型zh_TW
dc.subject等權重投資策略zh_TW
dc.subjectfinancial statementen_US
dc.subjectstock rank indexen_US
dc.subjectasset modelen_US
dc.subjectequally-weighted strategyen_US
dc.title以財務報表資訊為台灣股票市場建構最適資產配置zh_TW
dc.titleThe Optimal Asset Allocation According to Financial Statement Information in Taiwan Stock Marketen_US
dc.typethesisen
dc.relation.reference[1] 陳炫羽. “Asset Modeling with Non-Gaussian Innovation and Applications to Asset Allocation. ” National Chengchi University, 2013\n\n[2] 孫博辰. “ Dynamic asset allocation with regime-switching Copula. ” National Chengchi University, 2012\n\n[3] A. Patton, 2006. Modelling asymmetric exchange rate dependence, international economic review 47, 527-556.\n\n[4] Andrew Ang & Geert Bekaert, 2002a, 2002b. International asset allocation with regime shiftes.\n\n[5] Ang. A., and J. Chen. 2002. “ Asymmetric Correlations of Equity Portfolios.” Journal of Financial Economics 63:443-94.\n\n[6] Barr Rosenberg, Kenneth Reid, and Ronald Lanstein. “Persuasive evidence of market inefficiency.” The Journal of Portfolio Management, Spring 1985, Vol. 11, No. 3: pp. 9-16\n\n[7] Basu, Sanjoy, 1983. “The relationship between earnings yield, market value, and return for NYSE common stocks: Further evidence.” Journal of Financial Economics 12, 129-156.\n\n[8] Ball, R., and P. Brown. 1968. “An empirical evaluation of accounting income numbers.” Journal of Accounting Research 6 (2): 159-178.\n\n[9] Corsetti, G., Pericoli, M., Sbracia, M., 2005. "`Some contagion, some interdependence: More pitfalls in tests of financial contagion." Journal of International Money and Finance, 24, 1177-1199.\n\n[10] D. Pelletier, 2006. Regime switching for dynamic correlations, Journal of econometrics 131, 445-473.\n\n[11] Daniel B. Nelson. “Conditional Heteroskedasticity in Asset Returns: A New Approach.” Econometrica, Vol. 59,No. 2(Mar., 1991), 347-370.\n\n[12] Eric Jondeau, Michael Rockinger. “The Copula-GARCH model of conditional\ndependencies: An international stock market application.” Journal of International Money and Finance 25 (2006) 827-853\n\n[13] Eugene F. Fama and Kenneth R. French. “Common risk factors in the returns on stocks and bonds.” Journal of Financial Economics 33 (1993) 3-56. North-Holland\n\n[14] Francois longin and Bruno Solnik. “Extreme Correlation of International Equity Markets.” The Journal of finance. Vol. Lv1, No. 2. April 2001\n\n[15] Garcia R. & Tsafack G., 2011. Dependence structure and extreme comovements in in international equity and bond market, Journal of Banking & Finance Volume 35, 1954-1970.\n\n[16] Glosten, Lawrence R & Jagannathan, Ravi & Runkle, David E, 1993. " On the Relation between the Expected Value and the Volatility of the Nominal Excess Return on Stocks," Journal of Finance, American Finance Association, vol. 48(5), pages 1779-1801, December.\n\n[17] Heni Boubaker a, Nadia Sghaier (2012), Portfolio optimization in the presence of dependent financial returns with long memory: A copula based approach. Journal of Banking & Finance.\n\n[18] H. Manner & O. Reznikova, 2012. A survey on time-varying copulas: specification, simulations, and application. Econometric reviews 31(6), 654-678.\n\n[19] Hodges, S. (1998). “A Generalization of the Sharpe Ratio and its Appli- cations to Valuation Bounds and Risk Measures”, Working Paper, Financial Options Research Centre, University of Warwick.\n\n[20] Hentschel, Ludger (1995). "All in the family Nesting symmetric and asymmetric GARCH models". Journal of Financial Economics 39 (1): 71–104\n\n[21] Hamilton, James D. (1989), “A New Approach to the Economic Analysis of Non-stationary Time Series and the Business Cycle,” Econometrica 57, 357-384\n\n[22] Harry Markowitz. “Portfolio Selection.” The Journal of Finance, Vol. 7, No. 1. (Mar., 1952), pp. 77-91\n\n[23] J. C. Rodriguez. “Measuring Financial Contagion: A Copula Approach.” Journal of Empirical Finance, Vol. 14, No. 3,2007\n\n[24] Joseph D. Piotroski. “Value Investing: The Use of Historical Financial Statement Information to Separate Winners from Losers.” Journal of Accounting Research. Vol. 38 Supplement 2000 \n\n[25] Joe, H. and Xu, J.J. (1996). The estimation method of inference functions for \nmargins for multivariate models. Technical Report 166, Department of Statistics, University of British Columbia. \n\n[26] Jeffrey Jaffe, Donald B. Keim and Randolph Westerfield. “Earnings Yields, Market Values, and Stock Returns.” The Journal of Finance, Volume 44, Issue 1,pages 135-148, March 1989.\n\n[27] Jane A.OU and Stephen H. Penman. “Financial statement analysis and the prediction of stock returns.” Journal of Accounting and Economics 11 (1989) 295-329. North-Holland\n\n[28] L. Chollete, A. Heinen, and A. Valdesogo, 2009. Modelling international financial returns with a multivariate regime switching copula, Journal of Financial Economics 7, 437-480.\n\n[29] Mohanram, P. (2005). “Separating winners from losers among low book-to-market stocks using financial statement analysis.” Review of Accounting Studies, 133-170. \n\n[30] O. Candido, F. A. Ziegelmann, J. Duekerc, 2012. Modelling the Dependence Dynamics through Copulas with Regime Switching, Insurance: Mathematics and Economics 50, 346-356.\n\n[31] Okimoto, T. (2008): New Evidence of Asymmetric Dependence Structures in International Eq- uity Markets, Journal of Financial and Quantitative Analysis, Vol. 43(3), pp. 787-816.\n\n[32] Patton, A. (2004). On the out-of-sample importance of skewness and asymmetric depend- ence for asset allocation. Journal of Financial Econometrics 2(1), 130–168.\n\n[33] Rand Kwong Yew Low, Jamie Alcock, Robert Faff and Timothy Brailsford. “Canonical vine copulas in the context of modern portfolio management: Are they worth it?,” The Journal of Banking and Finance, (2013), 37(8) 3085—3099\n\n[34] Ribeiro, R. & P. Veronesil, 2002. The excess comovement of international stock returns in bad times: a rational expectations equilibrium model, working paper.\n\n[35] Ribeiro, R. & P. Veronesil, 2002. The excess comovement of international stock returns in bad times: a rational expectations equilibrium model, working paper.\n\n[36] Robert F. Engle. “Autoregressive Conditional Heteroscedasticity with Estimates of the Variance ofUnited Kingdom Inflation.” Econometrica, Vol. 50, No. 4. (Jul., 1982), pp. 987-1007.\n\n[37] Stober, T.L., 1992, “Summary financial statement measures and analysis’ forecasts of earnings.” Journal of Accounting and Economics 15. North-Holland \n\n[38] S.Basu. “Price-Earnings Ratios: A Test of the Efficient Market Hypothesis.” The Journal of Finance, Vol. 32, No. 3 (Jun., 1977), 663-682.\n\n[39] Sharpe, William F. 1964. “Capital Asset Prices: A Theory of Market Equilibrium under Condi- tions of Risk.” Journal of Finance. 19:3, pp. 425– 42.\n\n[40] T. Okimoto, 2008. New evidence of asymmetric dependence structures in international equity markets, Journal of financial and quantitative analysis 43, 787-816.\n\n[41] Tim Bollerslev. “General AutoRegressive Conditional Heteroskedasticity.” Journal of Econometrics 31 (1986) 307-327. North-Holland.\n\n[42] U. Cherubini & E. Luciano, 2010. Bivariate option pricing with copulas.\n\n[43] Valeri Zakamouline, Steen Koekebakker. “Portfolio performance evaluation with generalized Sharpe ratios: Beyond the mean and variance.” Journal of Banking & Finance 33 (2009) 1242-1254.\n\n[44] Victor DeMiguel, Lorenzo Garlappi and Raman Uppal, “Optimal Versus Naive Diversification: How Inefficient is the 1/N Portfolio Strategy?” Rev. Financ. Stud. (2009) 22(5): 1915-1953.\n\n[45] 賴柏成. “Constructing Portfolios According to Financial Statement Information and Copula-Garch Model in Taiwan Stock Market. ” National Sun Yat-sen University, 2013zh_TW
item.fulltextWith Fulltext-
item.grantfulltextopen-
item.languageiso639-1en_US-
item.openairetypethesis-
item.openairecristypehttp://purl.org/coar/resource_type/c_46ec-
item.cerifentitytypePublications-
Appears in Collections:學位論文
Files in This Item:
File SizeFormat
803301.pdf1.46 MBAdobe PDF2View/Open
Show simple item record

Google ScholarTM

Check


Items in DSpace are protected by copyright, with all rights reserved, unless otherwise indicated.