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題名 匯率與工資變動對台灣輸美十大產業之影響—遞延分配與體系模擬之應用
作者 蔡慧美
貢獻者 單驥
蔡慧美
日期 1989
上傳時間 4-May-2016 14:21:51 (UTC+8)
參考文獻 參考文獻
一、中文部份
1.許日和(民62),「臺灣進出口貿易的所得與價格彈性」，經濟論文1卷1期，pp.167-181。
2.胡士文(民67),「中美貿易之計量分析」，逢甲經研碩士論文。
3.賴日祿(民67),「中日貿易之計量分析」，逢甲經研碩士論文。
4.宋健治(民72),「貶值的彈性分析與臺灣的驗證」，學北市銀月刊14卷，5期，pp. 21-29。
5.宋健治、胡士文(民75),「中日國際賀易的價格因素與所得因素的計量經濟分析」，學灣經濟合融月刊，22卷5期。
6.宋健治、胡士文、林燕姬(民75)，「我國與歐市國際貿易聯立方程模型之動態計量分析」，臺灣經濟合融月刊，22卷11期。
7.毛嘉莉(民76)，「匯率變動對出口產業的影響－臺灣之實證研究」，政大國貿所碩士論文。
8.王立中(民76)，「臺灣出口函數之實證研究」，政大國貿所碩士論文。
9.林容如(民77)，「匯率變動對貿易收支與產出之影響－國際間的實證研究」，政大國貿所碩士論文。
10.許松根、陳玉瓏(民78)，「獎勵投資條例與固定資本形成」，國立臺灣大學臺灣景氣循環與經濟成長研討會。

二、英文部份
1. Amemiya, T. and K. Morimune, "Selecting the Optimal Order of Polynomial in the Almon Distributed Lag," The Review of Economics and Statistics, 1974, pp.378-386.
2. _________, "Selection of Regressors," International Economic Review, Vol. 21, No.2, June 1980, pp.331-354.
3. Artus, J. R. and S. C. Sosa, "Relative Price Effects on Export Performance: The Case of Nonelectrical Machinery,"International Monetary Fund Staff Papers, 1978, pp.25-47.
4. Bond, M. E., "Export Demand and Supply for Groups of Non-Oil Developing Countries," International Monetary Fund Staff Papers, Vol. 32, No.1, March 1985, pp.56-77.
5. _________, "An Econometric Study of Primary Commodity Exports from Developing Country Regions to the World," International Monetary Fund Staff Papers, Vol. 34, No 2, 1987, pp.191-227.
6. Burgess, D. F., "A Cost Minimization Approach to Import Demand Equations," The Review of Economics and Statistics, Vol. 56, 1974, pp.225-234.
7. Christensen, L. R., D.W. Jorgenson and L. J. Lon,"Transcendental Logarithmic Production Frontiers," The Review of Economics and Statistics, Vol. 55, 1973, pp.28-45.
8. Geweke J. and R. Meese, "Estimating Regression Models of Finite but Unknown Order," International Economic Review, Vol. 22, No.1, February 1981, pp.55-70.
9. Godfrey, L. G. and D. S. Poskitt, "Testing the Restrictions of the Almon Lag Technique," Journal of the American Statistical Association, Vol. 70, No. 349, 1975, pp.105-108.
10. Goldstein, M. and M. S. Khan, "Large Versus Small Price Changes and the Demand for Imports," International Monetary Fund Staff Papers, Vol. 23, March 1976, pp.200-225.
11. _____ , and ______ , "The Supply and Demand for Exports: A Simultaneous Approach," The Review of Economics and Statistics, Vol. 60, May 1978, pp.275-286.
12. Grossman, F . M., "Import Competition from Developed and Developing Countries", The Review of Economics and Statistics, Vol. 64, No.2, pp.271-281.
13. Haynes, S. E., M. M. Hutchison and R. F. Mikesell, "U.S. Japanese Bilateral Trade and the Yen-Dollar Exchange Rate: An Empirical Analysis," Southern Economic Journal, Vol. 52, No.4, April 1986, pp.923-932.
14. Houthakker, H. S. and S. P. Magee, "Income and Price Elasticities in World Trade," The Review of Economics and Statistics, Vol. 61, No.2, May 1969, pp.111-125.
15. Johnston, J., Econometric Methods, Third Edition, 1984.
16. Jones, R. W. and P. B. Kenen, Handbook of International Economics, Vol. II (New York: Elsevier Science Publishing Inc., 1985).
17. Judge, G. G., R. C. Hill, W. Griffiths, H. Lutkepohl and T. C. Lee, Introduction to the Theory and Practice of Econometrics, 1982.
18. Junz, H. B. and R. R. Rhomberg, "Price Competitiveness in Export Trade Among Industrial Countries," American Economic Association, Vol. 63, No.2, May 1973, pp.412-418.
19. Kohli, U. R., "A Gross National Product Function and the Derived Demand for Imports and Supply of Exports," Canadian Journal of Economics, Vol. 11, 1978, pp.167-182.
20. ________, "The Le Chatelier Principle and the Demand for Imports in the Short Run and the Medium Run: Australia, 1959-60-1978-79," The Economic Record, June 1983, pp.149-165.
21. _______, "U. S. Imports by Origin: A System Approach," Weltwirtschaftliches Archiv, Vol. 121, 1985, pp.741-755.
22. Kreinin, M. E., "`The Effect of Exchange Rate Changes on the Prices and Volume of Foreign Trade," International Monetary Fund Staff Papers, 1977, pp.297-329.
23. Magee, S. P., "Currency Contracts, Pass-through, and Devaluation," Brookings Papers on Economic Activity, No.1,1973, pp.303-325.
24. Mohabbat, A., J. Dalal and Williams, "Import Demand for India: A Translog Cost Function Approach," Economic Development and Cultural Change, April 1984, pp .59-605.
25.__________, "Factor Substitution and Import Demand For South Korea: Translog Analysis," Weltwirtschaftliches Archiv, 1983, pp.709-723.
26. Schwarz, G., "Estimating the Dimension of a Model," The Annals of Statistics, Vol. 6, No.2, 1978, pp.461-464.
27. Spitaller, E., "Short-Run Effects of Exchange Rate Changes on Terms of Trade and Trade Balance," International Monetary Fund Staff Papers, Vol. 27, 1980, pp.320-347.
28. Warner, D. and M. E. Kreinin, "Determinants of International Trade Flows," The Review of Economics and Statistics, February 1983, pp.96-104.
29. Wilson, J. F. and W. E. Takacs, "Differential Responses to Price and Exchange Rate Influences in the Foreign Trade of Selected Industrial Countries," The Review of Economics and Statistics, Vol. 51, 1979, pp.267-279.
描述 碩士
國立政治大學
國際經營與貿易學系
資料來源 http://thesis.lib.nccu.edu.tw/record/#B2002005698
資料類型 thesis
dc.contributor.advisor 單驥zh_TW
dc.contributor.author (Authors) 蔡慧美zh_TW
dc.creator (作者) 蔡慧美zh_TW
dc.date (日期) 1989en_US
dc.date.accessioned 4-May-2016 14:21:51 (UTC+8)-
dc.date.available 4-May-2016 14:21:51 (UTC+8)-
dc.date.issued (上傳時間) 4-May-2016 14:21:51 (UTC+8)-
dc.identifier (Other Identifiers) B2002005698en_US
dc.identifier.uri (URI) http://nccur.lib.nccu.edu.tw/handle/140.119/90437-
dc.description (描述) 碩士zh_TW
dc.description (描述) 國立政治大學zh_TW
dc.description (描述) 國際經營與貿易學系zh_TW
dc.description.tableofcontents 目錄
第一章 緒論………1
第一節 研究動機與目的………1
第二節 研究範圍………2
第三節 本文架構………3
第二章 文獻回顧………5
第一節 出口函數模型的設立………5
第二節 遞延型態之考慮………12
第三節 替代彈性的測定………17
第三章 模型的設定………21
第一節 匯率與工資指數影響出口單價的遞延分配型態………22
第二節 出口單價對變動對出口值的影響………27
第三節 各國之間產品替代彈性的測定………33
第四節 模擬匯率變動時對出口值及出口量的影響………36
第五節 資料來源與限制………41
第四章 實證分析………43
第一節 匯率與工資指數對出口單價的遞延影響………45
第二節 出口單價變動對出口值的影響………54
第三節 出口單價變動對出口量的影響………59
第四節 模擬匯率變動時對出口量及出口值的影響………64
第五節 綜合實證結果………67
第五章 結論與建議………71
附錄一 美國海關稅則之商品分類………77
附錄二 臺灣輸美十大產業之實證分析………83
第一節 電子機械設備………83
第二節 機械設備………87
第三節 鞋、帽、提包………91
第四節 成衣服飾………95
第五節 釣具、輪車、玩具、運動器材、武器彈藥………99
第六節 金屬製品………103
第七節 橡膠、塑膠製品………106
第八節 傢俱家飾………110
第九節 光學科學儀器………114
第十節 運輸設備………117
參考文獻………162		zh_TW
dc.source.uri (資料來源) http://thesis.lib.nccu.edu.tw/record/#B2002005698en_US
dc.title (題名) 匯率與工資變動對台灣輸美十大產業之影響—遞延分配與體系模擬之應用zh_TW
dc.type (資料類型) thesisen_US
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) 參考文獻
一、中文部份
1.許日和(民62),「臺灣進出口貿易的所得與價格彈性」，經濟論文1卷1期，pp.167-181。
2.胡士文(民67),「中美貿易之計量分析」，逢甲經研碩士論文。
3.賴日祿(民67),「中日貿易之計量分析」，逢甲經研碩士論文。
4.宋健治(民72),「貶值的彈性分析與臺灣的驗證」，學北市銀月刊14卷，5期，pp. 21-29。
5.宋健治、胡士文(民75),「中日國際賀易的價格因素與所得因素的計量經濟分析」，學灣經濟合融月刊，22卷5期。
6.宋健治、胡士文、林燕姬(民75)，「我國與歐市國際貿易聯立方程模型之動態計量分析」，臺灣經濟合融月刊，22卷11期。
7.毛嘉莉(民76)，「匯率變動對出口產業的影響－臺灣之實證研究」，政大國貿所碩士論文。
8.王立中(民76)，「臺灣出口函數之實證研究」，政大國貿所碩士論文。
9.林容如(民77)，「匯率變動對貿易收支與產出之影響－國際間的實證研究」，政大國貿所碩士論文。
10.許松根、陳玉瓏(民78)，「獎勵投資條例與固定資本形成」，國立臺灣大學臺灣景氣循環與經濟成長研討會。

二、英文部份
1. Amemiya, T. and K. Morimune, "Selecting the Optimal Order of Polynomial in the Almon Distributed Lag," The Review of Economics and Statistics, 1974, pp.378-386.
2. _________, "Selection of Regressors," International Economic Review, Vol. 21, No.2, June 1980, pp.331-354.
3. Artus, J. R. and S. C. Sosa, "Relative Price Effects on Export Performance: The Case of Nonelectrical Machinery,"International Monetary Fund Staff Papers, 1978, pp.25-47.
4. Bond, M. E., "Export Demand and Supply for Groups of Non-Oil Developing Countries," International Monetary Fund Staff Papers, Vol. 32, No.1, March 1985, pp.56-77.
5. _________, "An Econometric Study of Primary Commodity Exports from Developing Country Regions to the World," International Monetary Fund Staff Papers, Vol. 34, No 2, 1987, pp.191-227.
6. Burgess, D. F., "A Cost Minimization Approach to Import Demand Equations," The Review of Economics and Statistics, Vol. 56, 1974, pp.225-234.
7. Christensen, L. R., D.W. Jorgenson and L. J. Lon,"Transcendental Logarithmic Production Frontiers," The Review of Economics and Statistics, Vol. 55, 1973, pp.28-45.
8. Geweke J. and R. Meese, "Estimating Regression Models of Finite but Unknown Order," International Economic Review, Vol. 22, No.1, February 1981, pp.55-70.
9. Godfrey, L. G. and D. S. Poskitt, "Testing the Restrictions of the Almon Lag Technique," Journal of the American Statistical Association, Vol. 70, No. 349, 1975, pp.105-108.
10. Goldstein, M. and M. S. Khan, "Large Versus Small Price Changes and the Demand for Imports," International Monetary Fund Staff Papers, Vol. 23, March 1976, pp.200-225.
11. _____ , and ______ , "The Supply and Demand for Exports: A Simultaneous Approach," The Review of Economics and Statistics, Vol. 60, May 1978, pp.275-286.
12. Grossman, F . M., "Import Competition from Developed and Developing Countries", The Review of Economics and Statistics, Vol. 64, No.2, pp.271-281.
13. Haynes, S. E., M. M. Hutchison and R. F. Mikesell, "U.S. Japanese Bilateral Trade and the Yen-Dollar Exchange Rate: An Empirical Analysis," Southern Economic Journal, Vol. 52, No.4, April 1986, pp.923-932.
14. Houthakker, H. S. and S. P. Magee, "Income and Price Elasticities in World Trade," The Review of Economics and Statistics, Vol. 61, No.2, May 1969, pp.111-125.
15. Johnston, J., Econometric Methods, Third Edition, 1984.
16. Jones, R. W. and P. B. Kenen, Handbook of International Economics, Vol. II (New York: Elsevier Science Publishing Inc., 1985).
17. Judge, G. G., R. C. Hill, W. Griffiths, H. Lutkepohl and T. C. Lee, Introduction to the Theory and Practice of Econometrics, 1982.
18. Junz, H. B. and R. R. Rhomberg, "Price Competitiveness in Export Trade Among Industrial Countries," American Economic Association, Vol. 63, No.2, May 1973, pp.412-418.
19. Kohli, U. R., "A Gross National Product Function and the Derived Demand for Imports and Supply of Exports," Canadian Journal of Economics, Vol. 11, 1978, pp.167-182.
20. ________, "The Le Chatelier Principle and the Demand for Imports in the Short Run and the Medium Run: Australia, 1959-60-1978-79," The Economic Record, June 1983, pp.149-165.
21. _______, "U. S. Imports by Origin: A System Approach," Weltwirtschaftliches Archiv, Vol. 121, 1985, pp.741-755.
22. Kreinin, M. E., "`The Effect of Exchange Rate Changes on the Prices and Volume of Foreign Trade," International Monetary Fund Staff Papers, 1977, pp.297-329.
23. Magee, S. P., "Currency Contracts, Pass-through, and Devaluation," Brookings Papers on Economic Activity, No.1,1973, pp.303-325.
24. Mohabbat, A., J. Dalal and Williams, "Import Demand for India: A Translog Cost Function Approach," Economic Development and Cultural Change, April 1984, pp .59-605.
25.__________, "Factor Substitution and Import Demand For South Korea: Translog Analysis," Weltwirtschaftliches Archiv, 1983, pp.709-723.
26. Schwarz, G., "Estimating the Dimension of a Model," The Annals of Statistics, Vol. 6, No.2, 1978, pp.461-464.
27. Spitaller, E., "Short-Run Effects of Exchange Rate Changes on Terms of Trade and Trade Balance," International Monetary Fund Staff Papers, Vol. 27, 1980, pp.320-347.
28. Warner, D. and M. E. Kreinin, "Determinants of International Trade Flows," The Review of Economics and Statistics, February 1983, pp.96-104.
29. Wilson, J. F. and W. E. Takacs, "Differential Responses to Price and Exchange Rate Influences in the Foreign Trade of Selected Industrial Countries," The Review of Economics and Statistics, Vol. 51, 1979, pp.267-279.		zh_TW