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題名 臺灣之外匯需求與外匯管理制度
作者 曾思洵
貢獻者 林柏生
曾思洵
日期 1987
上傳時間 4-May-2016 17:09:13 (UTC+8)
參考文獻 參考文獻
     一、中文部分
     1.侯金英:最適宜的國際準備水準，現代金融月刊，第二卷第十一期，民國61.年11.月20.日，頁55-74。
     2.謝勇男:我國適當外匯準備水準的試算，經濟論文第一卷第一期，民國62.年3月，頁203-217。
     3.郭婉容:外匯準備快速增加的影響及其對策，行政院研考會，民國62.年6月。
     4.許日和:調整成本與國際準備在台灣之實證研究，國立政治大學學報第35期，頁203-214。
     5.曾明煙:台灣地區調整政策與最適之外匯準備，台灣銀行季刊第30.卷第二期，民國69.年6月，頁50-82。
     6.陳添枝:外匯準備過多，多多少?，經濟前瞻第三號，民國75.年7月，頁22-25。
     7.主要國家外匯準備比較分析，貿易周刊，民國74.年11月20.日，頁18-19。
     8.陳錦峰:外匯準備需求理論與台灣的實證分析，東吳大學經濟研究所碩士論文，民國68.年。
     9.林素麗:最適外匯準備與外匯存底組合理論之研究兼論台灣地區外匯準備需求之實證分析，台灣大學商學研究所碩士論文，民國73.年。
     10.各種外匯制度概要，中央銀行經濟研究處編印，金融研究資料(58.-1)，民國58.年。
     11.重要工業國家外匯管制制度，香港珠海書院經濟研究所編，國際經濟及金融叢刊之五，1976年。
     12.Hugh Patrick & Henny Rosovsky合著，周憲文譯:戰後日本經濟史，台灣銀行經濟研究室編印，民國73年。
     13.彭准南;日本外匯市場，中央銀行季刊第二卷第二期，民國69.年3月，頁25-39。
     14.陳素鶯:外匯管理制度之探討，民國75.年。
     15.瞿荊洲:70.年代日本經濟概況，中日關係研究會出版，民國73.年。
     16.第二次世界大戰後各國經濟復興資料，第一輯(日本)、第二輯(西德)，行政院經濟動員計劃委員會編印，民國55.年、民國60.年。
     17.陳挹秀:由國際收支理論與政策以及過去順差國家的經驗看我國順差問題，台北市銀月刊第17.卷第10.期，民國75.年，頁33-44。
     18.高鴻興:外匯業務－管理暨法規之運用，金融人員訓練中心出版，民國73.年增修訂版，76.年增修訂四版。
     19.李麗:我國外匯市場與匯率制度，金融人員訓練中心出版，民國75.年。
     20.國際金融參考資料，中央銀行經濟研究處編印。
     21.王景陽:外匯管理論，正中書局出版，民國59.年三版。
     22.李森介:國際匯兌，東華書局印行，民國75.年增修版。
     23.于政長:外匯實務，民國67.年8月初版。
     24.台灣對外貿易論文集，于宗先、孫震編，台灣經濟發展論文集，民國64.年。
     
     二、外文部分
     1. A World Guide to Exchange Control Regulations, edited by Philip Bentley, published by Euromoney Publications, 1985
     2. Agarwal, J. P. "Optimal Monetary Reserves for Developing Countries", Welwirtschaftliches Archiv, 107, 76–91, 1971
     3. Annual Report of Exchange Arrangements and Exchange Restrictions, IMF
     4. An Outline of Foreign Exchange Control in Korea, The Bank of Korea, Exchange Control Department, 1982
     5. Archibald, G.C. & Richmond, J. "on the Theory of Foreign Exchange Requirements", Review of Economic Studies, 38, 245–362, 1971
     6. Bahmani-Oskooee, M. "Gold Price as Another Determinant of Demand for International Reserves", Journal of Economic Studies, 11: 4, 23-32, 1984
     7. _____, "Demand for International Reserves: Survey of Recent Empirical Studies", Applied Economics, 17, 359-375, 1985a
     8. _____, "Demand and Supply of International Reserves: a Simultaneous Approach", Journal of Post Keynesian Economics, 7:4, 493-503, 1985b
     9. Batten, D. S. "Central Banks` Demand for Foreign Reserves Under Fixed and Floating Exchange Rates", Federal Reserves Bank of St. Louis, 20–30, March 1982
     10. Ben-Bassat, A. "the optimal composition of Foreign Exchange Reserves", Journal of International Economics, 10, 285–295, 1980
     11. Bilson, J. F.O. & Frenkel, J. A. "Dynamics Adjustment and the Demand for International Reserves", NBER Working Paper Series, 1979
     12. Britto, R. & Heller, H. R. "International Adjustment and Optimal Reserves", International Economic Review, 14, 182-195, 1973
     13. Brown, w.M. the External Liquidity of an Advanced Country, Princeton Studies in International Finance, No. 14, Princeton: Princeton University Press, 1964
     14. Clark, P. B. "the Demand for International Reserves a Cross Country Analysis", Canadian Journal of Economics, 3, 577–594, 1970a
     15. _____, "Optimum International Reserves and the Speed of Adjustment", Journal of Political Economy, 78, 356-376, 1970b
     16. Clower, R. & Lipsey R. "the Present state of International Liquidity Theory", American Economic Review, 58, 586–595, 1968
     17. Cohen, B.J. "International Reserves and liquidity" International Trade and Finance Frontiers for Research, edited by Peter B. Kenen, Cambridge University Press, 1975
     18. Courchene, T. J. & Youssef, G. H. "the Demand for International Reserves", Journal of Political Economy, 75, 404-413, 1967
     19. Eaton, J. & Gersovitz, H. "LDC Participation in International Financial Markets: Debt and Reserves", Journal of Development Economics, 7, 3-21, 1980
     20. Edwards, S. "a Note on the dynamic Adjustment of the Demand for International Reserves by LDC`s "Economics Letters, 5, 71–74, 1980
     21. _____, "the Demand for International Reserves and Exchange Rate Adjustments: the case of LDC`s 1964-1972", Economica, 50, 269–80, 1983
     22. _____, "the Role of International Reserves and Foreign Debt in the External Adjustment Process", Adjustment, Conditionality and International Financing, edited by IMF, 1984a
     23. _____, "the Demand for International Reserves and Monetary Equilibrium: Some Evidence from Developing Countries", the Review of Economics and statistics, 495-499, 1984b
     24. _____, "on the Interest-Rate Elasticity of the Demand for International Reserves: Some Evidence from Developing Countries", Journal of International Money and Finance, 4, 287-295, 1985
     25. Exchange Rate Management and the Conduct of Monetary Policy, OECD Monetary studies series, 1985
     26. Flanders, M.J. "International Liquidity is always Inadequate", Kyklos, 22, 519–529, 1971
     27. Fomby T.B., Hill, R.C. & Johnson, S.R. Advanced Econometric Methods, 1984
     28. Frenkel, J. A. "Openness and the Demand for International Reserves", National Monetary Policies and the International Financial System, edited by R. Z. Aliber, University of Chicago Press, 1974a
     29. _____, "the Demand for International Reserves by Developed and Less Developed Countries", Economica, 41, 14-24, 1974b
     30. _____, "International Reserves: Pegged Exchange Rates and Managed Float", Public Policy in Open Economics, edited by K. Brunner & A. H. Meltzer, Carnegie-Rochester Conferences Series on Public Policy, 9, 111-40, 1978
     31. _____, "International Reserves Pegged Exchange Rates and Managed Float, corrections and Extensions”, Journal of Monetary Economics, 9, 295-302, 1980
     32. _____, "International Liquidity and Monetary Control." International Money and Credit: the Policy Roles, edited by George M. von Furstenberg, IMF, 1983
     33. Frenkel J. A. & Jovanovic, B. "Optimal International Reserves: a stochastic Framework", the Economic Journal, 91, 507–14, 1981
     34. Grubel, H. G. "Gold and the Dollar Crisis Five Years Lates", National Banking Review, 3, 89–99, 1965
     35. _____, "the Demand for International Reserves: a Critical Review of the Literature", Journal of Economic Literature, 9, 1148–66, 1971
     36. Heller, H.R. & Khan, M.S. "the Demand for International Reserves under Fixed and Floating Exchange Rates", IMF staff Papers, 25, 623–49, 1978
     37. Hipple, F. S. "the Disturbance Approach to the Demand for International Reserves", Studies in International Finance 35, Princeton, N.J., 1974
     38. _____, "a Note on the Measurement of the Holding Cost of International Reserves", the Review of Economics and Statistics, 61, 612–14, 1979
     39. Iyoha, M. A. "Demand for International Reserves in Less Developed countries: a Distributed Lag Specification", Review of Economics and Statistics, 58, 351–5, 1976
     40. Johnston, J. Econometric Methods, McGraw-Hill Book Company, 1984
     41. Jones, M. "International Liquidity: a Welfare Analysis" Quartly Journal of Economics, 98:1, 1-23, 1983
     42. Judge, George G. et al. Introduction to the Theory and Practice of Econometrics, John Wiley & Sons, Inc. 1982
     43. Kelly, Michael G. "The Demand for International Reserves", American Economic Review, 59, 655-67, 1970
     44. Kenen, P. B. & Yudin, E. "the Demand for Inter– national Reserves", Review of Economics and Statistics, 47, 242-50, 1965
     45. Keran, M. "the Demand for International Money", U.S. Treasury mimeo, 1971
     46. Levy, w. "Demand for International Reserves and Exchange-Rate Intervention Policy in an Adjustable-Peg Economy", Journal of Monetary Economics, 11, 89-101, 1983
     47. Machlup, F. "The Need for Monetary Reserves", Banca Nazionale del Lavoro Quarterly Review, 19, 115-225, 1966
     48. Makin, J. H. "Reserves Adequacy Betore and After Limited Floating", Journal of Economic Business, 30, 8–14, 1977
     49. Niehans, J. International Monetary Fund, International Reserves: Needs and Availability, IMF, Washington, D.C., 1970
     50. Saidi, N. "the Square-root law, Uncertainty and International Reserves under Alternative Regimes", Journal of Monetary Economics, 10, 271-90, 1981
     51. Salant, W. International Monetary Fund, International Reserves: Needs and Availability, IMF, Washington, D.C., 1970
     52. Sellekaerts, Willy & Sellekaerts, Brigitte "Balance of Payments Deficits, the Adjustment cost, and the optimum Level of International Reserves", Weltwirtschaftliches Archiv, 109, 1–18, 1973
     53. Shinkai, Yoichi "Demand for International Reserves in Less Developed Countries: a Comment", the Review of Economics and Statistics, 61, 614-15, 1979
     54. Suss, E.C. "the Trade-off Between Exchange Rate and Reserve changes: Theoretical and Empirical Evidence", the Functioning of Floating Exchange Rates: Theory, evidence, and Policy Implications, edited by David Bigman & Teizo Taya, Ballinger Pub. Com., pp. 221-241, 1980
     55. Triffin, R. Gold and the Dollar crisis, Yale University Press, New Haven, C.T., 1960
     56. Williamson, J. H. "Surveys in Applied Economis: International Liquidity", Economic Journal, 83, 685-746, 1973
     57. Willett, Thomas D. International Liquidity Issues, American Enterprise Institute for Public Policy Research, 33-50, 1980
     58. Worrell, D. "the Theory of optimal Foreign Exchange Reserves in a Developing country", social and Economic Studies, 25, 259-279, 1976
描述 碩士
國立政治大學
國際經營與貿易學系
資料來源 http://thesis.lib.nccu.edu.tw/record/#B2002006206
資料類型 thesis
dc.contributor.advisor 林柏生zh_TW
dc.contributor.author (Authors) 曾思洵zh_TW
dc.creator (作者) 曾思洵zh_TW
dc.date (日期) 1987en_US
dc.date.accessioned 4-May-2016 17:09:13 (UTC+8)-
dc.date.available 4-May-2016 17:09:13 (UTC+8)-
dc.date.issued (上傳時間) 4-May-2016 17:09:13 (UTC+8)-
dc.identifier (Other Identifiers) B2002006206en_US
dc.identifier.uri (URI) http://nccur.lib.nccu.edu.tw/handle/140.119/90865-
dc.description (描述) 碩士zh_TW
dc.description (描述) 國立政治大學zh_TW
dc.description (描述) 國際經營與貿易學系zh_TW
dc.description.tableofcontents 目錄
     第一章 緒論………1
     第一節 研究動機與目的………1
     第二節 研究範圍與架構………2
     第二章 外匯準備需求實證文獻之回顧………4
     第一節 比率法………5
     第二節 成本效益法………7
     第三節 迴歸分析法………11
     壹、實施浮動匯率(1973)以前之文獻………11
     貳、實施浮動匯率以後之文獻………15
     一、結構變動分析方面………15
     二、解釋變數方面………23
     三、其他………31
     第四節 小結………34
     第三章 台灣外匯準備需求實證分析………41
     第一節 外匯準備－進口比率………41
     第二節 台灣外匯需求函數………45
     壹、模型設定………45
     貳、實證結果………52
     一、均衡模型………52
     二、不均衡模型………56
     三、結構變動分析………64
     第四章 外匯管理制度………75
     第一節 台灣與各國外匯管理制度之比較………76
     壹、直接投資………78
     貳、對外借款………79
     ?、貸款國外………80
     肆、證券投資………81
     伍、通貨………82
     陸、進口………85
     柒、出口………86
     捌、在本國之外國勞工………88
     玖、集中性團體操作………89
     第二節 日本、德國和台灣放寬外匯管制之歷程………89
     壹、日本………89
     貳、德國………96
     ?、台灣………97
     肆、比較………103
     第五章 結論………128
     第一節 結論………128
     第二節 研究限制與後續研究………130
     
     圖表及附錄
     表2-1:外匯需求主要研究:迴歸分析法………36
     表3-1:台灣自1976年以來的外匯準備及進出口值………42
     表3-2:各國的外匯準備相對進口比率………43
     表3-3:台灣短期外匯需求函數(OLS,1967I-1986IV) ………58
     表3-4:台灣短期外匯需求函數(工具變數，1967I-1986IV) ………59
     表3-5:調整速度之比較………63
     表3-6:固定匯率與機動匯率下估計係數之比較………65
     圖3-1:cusums平方檢定………68
     表3-7:Quandt按定之λ值(‘67IV－’85IV) ………70
     表3-8:結構變動分析………71
     表4-1~4-23.:1984年各國外匯管理制度情況………105
     附錄一:不均衡模型工具變數法中ln??Rt-1?之估計結果………132		zh_TW
dc.source.uri (資料來源) http://thesis.lib.nccu.edu.tw/record/#B2002006206en_US
dc.title (題名) 臺灣之外匯需求與外匯管理制度zh_TW
dc.type (資料類型) thesisen_US
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) 參考文獻
     一、中文部分
     1.侯金英:最適宜的國際準備水準，現代金融月刊，第二卷第十一期，民國61.年11.月20.日，頁55-74。
     2.謝勇男:我國適當外匯準備水準的試算，經濟論文第一卷第一期，民國62.年3月，頁203-217。
     3.郭婉容:外匯準備快速增加的影響及其對策，行政院研考會，民國62.年6月。
     4.許日和:調整成本與國際準備在台灣之實證研究，國立政治大學學報第35期，頁203-214。
     5.曾明煙:台灣地區調整政策與最適之外匯準備，台灣銀行季刊第30.卷第二期，民國69.年6月，頁50-82。
     6.陳添枝:外匯準備過多，多多少?，經濟前瞻第三號，民國75.年7月，頁22-25。
     7.主要國家外匯準備比較分析，貿易周刊，民國74.年11月20.日，頁18-19。
     8.陳錦峰:外匯準備需求理論與台灣的實證分析，東吳大學經濟研究所碩士論文，民國68.年。
     9.林素麗:最適外匯準備與外匯存底組合理論之研究兼論台灣地區外匯準備需求之實證分析，台灣大學商學研究所碩士論文，民國73.年。
     10.各種外匯制度概要，中央銀行經濟研究處編印，金融研究資料(58.-1)，民國58.年。
     11.重要工業國家外匯管制制度，香港珠海書院經濟研究所編，國際經濟及金融叢刊之五，1976年。
     12.Hugh Patrick & Henny Rosovsky合著，周憲文譯:戰後日本經濟史，台灣銀行經濟研究室編印，民國73年。
     13.彭准南;日本外匯市場，中央銀行季刊第二卷第二期，民國69.年3月，頁25-39。
     14.陳素鶯:外匯管理制度之探討，民國75.年。
     15.瞿荊洲:70.年代日本經濟概況，中日關係研究會出版，民國73.年。
     16.第二次世界大戰後各國經濟復興資料，第一輯(日本)、第二輯(西德)，行政院經濟動員計劃委員會編印，民國55.年、民國60.年。
     17.陳挹秀:由國際收支理論與政策以及過去順差國家的經驗看我國順差問題，台北市銀月刊第17.卷第10.期，民國75.年，頁33-44。
     18.高鴻興:外匯業務－管理暨法規之運用，金融人員訓練中心出版，民國73.年增修訂版，76.年增修訂四版。
     19.李麗:我國外匯市場與匯率制度，金融人員訓練中心出版，民國75.年。
     20.國際金融參考資料，中央銀行經濟研究處編印。
     21.王景陽:外匯管理論，正中書局出版，民國59.年三版。
     22.李森介:國際匯兌，東華書局印行，民國75.年增修版。
     23.于政長:外匯實務，民國67.年8月初版。
     24.台灣對外貿易論文集，于宗先、孫震編，台灣經濟發展論文集，民國64.年。
     
     二、外文部分
     1. A World Guide to Exchange Control Regulations, edited by Philip Bentley, published by Euromoney Publications, 1985
     2. Agarwal, J. P. "Optimal Monetary Reserves for Developing Countries", Welwirtschaftliches Archiv, 107, 76–91, 1971
     3. Annual Report of Exchange Arrangements and Exchange Restrictions, IMF
     4. An Outline of Foreign Exchange Control in Korea, The Bank of Korea, Exchange Control Department, 1982
     5. Archibald, G.C. & Richmond, J. "on the Theory of Foreign Exchange Requirements", Review of Economic Studies, 38, 245–362, 1971
     6. Bahmani-Oskooee, M. "Gold Price as Another Determinant of Demand for International Reserves", Journal of Economic Studies, 11: 4, 23-32, 1984
     7. _____, "Demand for International Reserves: Survey of Recent Empirical Studies", Applied Economics, 17, 359-375, 1985a
     8. _____, "Demand and Supply of International Reserves: a Simultaneous Approach", Journal of Post Keynesian Economics, 7:4, 493-503, 1985b
     9. Batten, D. S. "Central Banks` Demand for Foreign Reserves Under Fixed and Floating Exchange Rates", Federal Reserves Bank of St. Louis, 20–30, March 1982
     10. Ben-Bassat, A. "the optimal composition of Foreign Exchange Reserves", Journal of International Economics, 10, 285–295, 1980
     11. Bilson, J. F.O. & Frenkel, J. A. "Dynamics Adjustment and the Demand for International Reserves", NBER Working Paper Series, 1979
     12. Britto, R. & Heller, H. R. "International Adjustment and Optimal Reserves", International Economic Review, 14, 182-195, 1973
     13. Brown, w.M. the External Liquidity of an Advanced Country, Princeton Studies in International Finance, No. 14, Princeton: Princeton University Press, 1964
     14. Clark, P. B. "the Demand for International Reserves a Cross Country Analysis", Canadian Journal of Economics, 3, 577–594, 1970a
     15. _____, "Optimum International Reserves and the Speed of Adjustment", Journal of Political Economy, 78, 356-376, 1970b
     16. Clower, R. & Lipsey R. "the Present state of International Liquidity Theory", American Economic Review, 58, 586–595, 1968
     17. Cohen, B.J. "International Reserves and liquidity" International Trade and Finance Frontiers for Research, edited by Peter B. Kenen, Cambridge University Press, 1975
     18. Courchene, T. J. & Youssef, G. H. "the Demand for International Reserves", Journal of Political Economy, 75, 404-413, 1967
     19. Eaton, J. & Gersovitz, H. "LDC Participation in International Financial Markets: Debt and Reserves", Journal of Development Economics, 7, 3-21, 1980
     20. Edwards, S. "a Note on the dynamic Adjustment of the Demand for International Reserves by LDC`s "Economics Letters, 5, 71–74, 1980
     21. _____, "the Demand for International Reserves and Exchange Rate Adjustments: the case of LDC`s 1964-1972", Economica, 50, 269–80, 1983
     22. _____, "the Role of International Reserves and Foreign Debt in the External Adjustment Process", Adjustment, Conditionality and International Financing, edited by IMF, 1984a
     23. _____, "the Demand for International Reserves and Monetary Equilibrium: Some Evidence from Developing Countries", the Review of Economics and statistics, 495-499, 1984b
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