1. NCCU Academic Hub
  2. Publications
  3. College of Commerce
  4. Theses
  5. Item

Publications-Theses

Article View/Open

Publication Export

Google ScholarTM

NCCU Library

Citation Infomation

Related Publications in TAIR

題名 臺灣出口函數之實證研究
作者 王立中
貢獻者 周文賢
王立中
日期 1987
上傳時間 4-May-2016 17:09:17 (UTC+8)
參考文獻 參考書目
     一、中文部分
     1.許日和(民62)"台灣進出口貿易的所得與價格彈性，"經濟論文l卷1期。pp.167~181
     2.魏琴(民64) "所得與價格彈性在國際經濟上的計量分析，"社會科學論叢23輯。PP.87~103。
     3.陳博志(民64)"我國出口競爭能力的分析，"台大經研碩士論文。
     4.彭准南(民66) "有效匯率、出口價格競爭能力及權率制度之檢討，"經濟研究二十期。
     5.胡士文(民67)"中美貿易之計量分析，"逢甲經研碩士論文。
     6.賴日祿(民67)"中日質易之計量分析，"逢甲經研碩士論文。
     7.陳榮雄(民68)"中日兩國相互貿易商品進口需求彈性之測定，"政大貿研碩士論文。
     8.陳傅志(民70) "我國出口競爭能力的統計分析，"中國經濟學會年會論文集)PP.104~124。
     9.黃智輝(民70)"台灣對外貿易商品型態轉變之研究，"台灣經濟金融月刊17卷12期，PP.34~42。
     10.吳江湖(民71)"台灣財貨與勞務輸出模型之設定,"台灣經濟金融月刊18卷6期)pp.70~79。
     11.宋健治(民72)"貶值的彈性分析與台灣的驗證，"台北市銀月刊14卷5期。PP.21~29
     12.林炳煌(民73)"台灣對中東市場貿易之彈性分析,"逢甲經研碩士論文。
     13.宋健治、胡士文(民75)"中日國際貿易的價格因素與所得因素的計量經濟分析，"台灣經濟金融月刊22卷5期。
     14.宋健治、胡士文、林燕姬(民75)"我國與歐市國際貿易聯立方程模型之動態計量分析，"台灣經濟金融月刊22卷11期。
     15.石齊平、郭照榮(民74)，當代計量經濟學，台北:三民書局。
     
     二、英文部份：
     Artus, J. R. and Susana C. Sosa (1978), “Relative price effects on export performance: the case of ponelectrical Machinery,” International Monetary Fund Staff papers, Vol.25, No.1, pp.25-47.
     Citrin, D. (1985), “Exchange rate changes and exports of selected Japanese industries,” Staff Papers, pp. 404-429.
     Deppler, M.C. (1974), “Some evidence on the effects of exchange rate changes on trade,” International Monetary Fund Staff papers, Vol. XXI, No.3, pp.605-617.
     Donges, J.B. and James Riedel (1977), “The expansion of manufactured exports in developing countries: an empirical assessment of supply and demand issues,” Weltwirtsch. Arch. Heft 1.
     Dunlevy, J. A. (1980), “A test of the capacity Pressure hypothesis within a simultaneous equations model of export performance,” The Review of Economics and Statistics, pp.131-135.
     Fomby, J. B., R. Carter Hill and S.R. Johnson (1984), Advanced Econometric Method, Spring-Verlay New-York Inc.
     Goldstein, M. and Mohsin S. Xhsn (1976), “Large versus small price changes and the demand for imports,” International Monetary Fund Staff papers, Vol. XXIII, No.1, pp.200-225.
     Goldstein, M. and Mohsin S. Khan (1981), “Income and price effects in foreign trade,” in: Jones, R.W. and P.B. Kenen, ed., Handbook of international Economics, Vol. II (Elsevierscience publishing Co, Inc. N.Y.) pp. 1041-1105.
     Grossman, G.M. (1982), “Import competition from developed and developing countries,” The Review of Economics and Statistics, Vol Lxiv, No.2. pp.271-281.
     Hamilton, C. (1980), “Import elasticities at a disaggregated level. The case of Sweden,” Scand, J. of Economics, Vol. 80, No. 4, pp.449-463.
     Haynes, S.E. and Joe A. Stone (1983), “Secular and cyclical responses of U.S. trade to income: an evaluation of traditional models,” The Review of Economics and Statistics, Vol.5, No.2, pp.87-95.
     Haynes, S.E. and Joe. A. Stone (1983) “specification of supply behavior in international trade,” The Review of Economics and Statistics, pp.626-632.
     Haynes, S.E. and Joe A. Stone (1984), “Cross-price effects in demand between exports and imports,” Journal of Macroeconomics, Vol.6, No.2, pp.181-195.
     Houthakker, H.S. and S. P. Magee (1969), “Income and price elasticities in world trade,” The Review of Economics and Statistics, Vol.LI, No.2, pp.111-123.
     Johnson, H.G. Money, Trade and Economic Growth, Harvard University press, 1962. Ch. IV.
     Johnston, J. (1984), Economic Method (Mcgraw-Hill Book Co.)
     Khan, M.S. (1974), “Import and export demand in developing countries,” International Monetary Fund Staff papers, Vol.XXI, No.3, pp.678-793.
     Khan, M.S. (1975), “The structure and behavior of Imports of Verezuela,” The Review of Economics and Statistics, Vol. LVII, No.2, pp.221-224.
     Khan, M.S. and Khud E. Ross (1977), “The functional form of the aggregate import demand equation,” Journal of International Economics, Vol.7, No.2, pp.149-160.
     Krinsky, I. (1983), “The small country assumption: a note on Canadian exports,” Applied Economics, Vol.15, pp.73-79.
     Leamer, E.E. and R.M. Stern (1970), Quantitative International Economics (Allyn and Bacon, Boston). Ch2, 3.
     Magee, S.P. (1973), “Currency contracts, pass-through, and devaluation,” Brookings papers on Economic Activity, pp.303-325.
     Magee, S.P. (1975), “Prices, incomes, and foreign trade,” in: P.B Kenen, ed., International Trade and Finance Frontiers for Research (Cambridge University press, Cambridge).
     Maskus, K.R. (1983), “Evidence on shifts in the determinants of the structure of U.S. manufacturing foreign trade, 1958-76.” The Review of Economics and Statistics, Vol.65, No.3, pp.415-422.
     Murray, T. and Peter J. Ginman (1976), “An empirical examination of the traditional aggregate import demand model,” The Review of Economics and Statistics, Vol. IVIII, pp.75-80.
     Orcutt, G. (1950), “Measurement of price elasticities in international trade,” Review of Economics and Statistics, 32: 117-132.
     Pindyck R.S. and D.L. Rubinfeld, Econometric models and Economic forecasts. New York: Mcgraw-Hill, 1981.
     Salas, J. (1982), “Estimation of the structure and elasticites of Mexican imports in the period 1961-1979,” Journal of Development Economics, Vol. 10, No.3, pp.297-311.
     Stern, R.M. Christopher F. Baum and Mark N. Greene (1979), “Evidence on structural charge in the demand for aggregate U.S. imports and exports,” Journal of political Economy, Vol. 87, No.1, pp.179-192.
     Stern, R.M., Francis and B. Schumacher (1976), price Elasticity in International Trade- An Annotated Bibliogaphy (Macmillan, London).
     Thursby, J. and Marie Thursby (1984), “How reliable are simple, single equation specifications of import demand?,” The Review of Economics and Statistics, Vol.66, No.1, pp.120-128.
     Tyler, W.G. (1983), “The anti-export bias in commercial policies and export performance: Some evidence from the recent Brazilian experience,” Weltwirtsch. Arch. Vol.119, No.1, pp.97-108.
     Volker, P.A. (1982), “Confirmations and contradictions on the U.S. import demand function: a comment,” Journal of political Economy, Vol.90, No.6, pp.1295-1297.
     Wilson, J.F. and Wendy E. Takacs (1979), “Differential responses to price and exchange rate influences in the foreign trade of selected industrial countries,” The Review of Economics and Statistics, Vol.LXI, No.2, pp.267-279.
     Yang, Y.Y. (1978), “Estimation of the manufactured export supply function from developing countries,” Weltwirtsch. Arch. Heft3, pp515-525.
     Yang, Y.Y. (1981), “A comparative analysis of the determinants of nontraditional exports for Brazil, Israel, and South Korea,” Weltwirtch. Arch. Heft3 497-511.
描述 碩士
國立政治大學
國際經營與貿易學系
資料來源 http://thesis.lib.nccu.edu.tw/record/#B2002006208
資料類型 thesis
dc.contributor.advisor 周文賢zh_TW
dc.contributor.author (Authors) 王立中zh_TW
dc.creator (作者) 王立中zh_TW
dc.date (日期) 1987en_US
dc.date.accessioned 4-May-2016 17:09:17 (UTC+8)-
dc.date.available 4-May-2016 17:09:17 (UTC+8)-
dc.date.issued (上傳時間) 4-May-2016 17:09:17 (UTC+8)-
dc.identifier (Other Identifiers) B2002006208en_US
dc.identifier.uri (URI) http://nccur.lib.nccu.edu.tw/handle/140.119/90867-
dc.description (描述) 碩士zh_TW
dc.description (描述) 國立政治大學zh_TW
dc.description (描述) 國際經營與貿易學系zh_TW
dc.description.tableofcontents 目錄
     第一章 緒論………1
     第一節 研究動機與目的………1
     第二節 研究範圍………3
     第三節 研究架構與方法………5
     第二章 文獻回顧………7
     第一節 模型設立………7
     第二節 變數選擇………11
     第三節 落後變數的考慮………19
     第四節 供需面的特殊假設及聯立體系………21
     第三章 研究方法………24
     第一節 變數選擇處理及樣本期間………24
     第二節 變數定義………28
     第四章 出口需求函數………34
     第一節 相對價格模型………34
     第二節 絕對價格模型………45
     第三節 部分調整機能模型………48
     第五章 出口供給函數………58
     第一節 模型建立………58
     第二節 供給函數之實證分析………61
     第六章 聯立模型………70
     第一節 認定問題………70
     第二節 均衡模型………73
     第三節 不均衡模型－部分調整機能的運用………78
     第四節 推估結果比較………87
     第七章 結論………95
     參考書目………98
     附表………107
     
     圖表目次
     表3-1 出口需求函數中的變數定義………29
     表3-2 出口供給函數中的變數定義………31
     表4-1 相對價格模型探討的重點………34
     表4-2 台灣與以下對手國間的關係………40
     表4-3 時間趨勢模型的價格彈性值………42
     表4-4 ARIMA自然成長模型的價格彈性值………43
     表4-5 一般不均衡模型各種長起期彈性估計值………52
     表4-6 含循環因素的不均衡模型中各種長短期彈性估計值………53
     表5-1 不均衡模型式5.5之推估結果………64
     表5-2 式5.3、5.4、5.5各項彈性值比較………64
     表6-1 均衡模型中聯立體系與單一方程式的估計結果比較………76
     表6-2 式6.3長短期供給彈性的估計………79
     表6-3 式6.2-6.5需求彈性的估計結果比較………82
     表6-4 式6.2-6，5供給彈性的估計結果比較………83
     表6-5 需求面:單一及聯立不均衡模型估計結果比較………85
     表6-6 供給面:單一及聯立不均衡模型估計結果比較………86
     表6-7 與國外學者估計結果比較－總出口需求價格彈性………88
     表6-8 與國外學者估計結果比較－總出口需求所得彈性………89
     表6-9 與國外學者估計結果比較－總出口供給價格彈性………90
     表6-10 與國外學者估計結果比較:總出口供給之趨勢及循環變數－所得彈性………91
     表6-11 與國內學者估計結果比較－出口需求價格及所得彈性………92
     表6-12 與國外學者估計結果比較－不均衡模型之需求價格彈性………93
     附表3-1 台灣出口結構………107
     附表3-2 競爭國出口結構………108
     附表3-3 台灣出口市場別比重………109
     附表4-1 傳統相對價格模型之實證分析………110
     附表4-2 時間趨勢相對價格模型之實證分析………111
     附表4-3 ARIMA自然成長相對價格模型之實證分析………112		zh_TW
dc.source.uri (資料來源) http://thesis.lib.nccu.edu.tw/record/#B2002006208en_US
dc.title (題名) 臺灣出口函數之實證研究zh_TW
dc.type (資料類型) thesisen_US
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) 參考書目
     一、中文部分
     1.許日和(民62)"台灣進出口貿易的所得與價格彈性，"經濟論文l卷1期。pp.167~181
     2.魏琴(民64) "所得與價格彈性在國際經濟上的計量分析，"社會科學論叢23輯。PP.87~103。
     3.陳博志(民64)"我國出口競爭能力的分析，"台大經研碩士論文。
     4.彭准南(民66) "有效匯率、出口價格競爭能力及權率制度之檢討，"經濟研究二十期。
     5.胡士文(民67)"中美貿易之計量分析，"逢甲經研碩士論文。
     6.賴日祿(民67)"中日質易之計量分析，"逢甲經研碩士論文。
     7.陳榮雄(民68)"中日兩國相互貿易商品進口需求彈性之測定，"政大貿研碩士論文。
     8.陳傅志(民70) "我國出口競爭能力的統計分析，"中國經濟學會年會論文集)PP.104~124。
     9.黃智輝(民70)"台灣對外貿易商品型態轉變之研究，"台灣經濟金融月刊17卷12期，PP.34~42。
     10.吳江湖(民71)"台灣財貨與勞務輸出模型之設定,"台灣經濟金融月刊18卷6期)pp.70~79。
     11.宋健治(民72)"貶值的彈性分析與台灣的驗證，"台北市銀月刊14卷5期。PP.21~29
     12.林炳煌(民73)"台灣對中東市場貿易之彈性分析,"逢甲經研碩士論文。
     13.宋健治、胡士文(民75)"中日國際貿易的價格因素與所得因素的計量經濟分析，"台灣經濟金融月刊22卷5期。
     14.宋健治、胡士文、林燕姬(民75)"我國與歐市國際貿易聯立方程模型之動態計量分析，"台灣經濟金融月刊22卷11期。
     15.石齊平、郭照榮(民74)，當代計量經濟學，台北:三民書局。
     
     二、英文部份：
     Artus, J. R. and Susana C. Sosa (1978), “Relative price effects on export performance: the case of ponelectrical Machinery,” International Monetary Fund Staff papers, Vol.25, No.1, pp.25-47.
     Citrin, D. (1985), “Exchange rate changes and exports of selected Japanese industries,” Staff Papers, pp. 404-429.
     Deppler, M.C. (1974), “Some evidence on the effects of exchange rate changes on trade,” International Monetary Fund Staff papers, Vol. XXI, No.3, pp.605-617.
     Donges, J.B. and James Riedel (1977), “The expansion of manufactured exports in developing countries: an empirical assessment of supply and demand issues,” Weltwirtsch. Arch. Heft 1.
     Dunlevy, J. A. (1980), “A test of the capacity Pressure hypothesis within a simultaneous equations model of export performance,” The Review of Economics and Statistics, pp.131-135.
     Fomby, J. B., R. Carter Hill and S.R. Johnson (1984), Advanced Econometric Method, Spring-Verlay New-York Inc.
     Goldstein, M. and Mohsin S. Xhsn (1976), “Large versus small price changes and the demand for imports,” International Monetary Fund Staff papers, Vol. XXIII, No.1, pp.200-225.
     Goldstein, M. and Mohsin S. Khan (1981), “Income and price effects in foreign trade,” in: Jones, R.W. and P.B. Kenen, ed., Handbook of international Economics, Vol. II (Elsevierscience publishing Co, Inc. N.Y.) pp. 1041-1105.
     Grossman, G.M. (1982), “Import competition from developed and developing countries,” The Review of Economics and Statistics, Vol Lxiv, No.2. pp.271-281.
     Hamilton, C. (1980), “Import elasticities at a disaggregated level. The case of Sweden,” Scand, J. of Economics, Vol. 80, No. 4, pp.449-463.
     Haynes, S.E. and Joe A. Stone (1983), “Secular and cyclical responses of U.S. trade to income: an evaluation of traditional models,” The Review of Economics and Statistics, Vol.5, No.2, pp.87-95.
     Haynes, S.E. and Joe. A. Stone (1983) “specification of supply behavior in international trade,” The Review of Economics and Statistics, pp.626-632.
     Haynes, S.E. and Joe A. Stone (1984), “Cross-price effects in demand between exports and imports,” Journal of Macroeconomics, Vol.6, No.2, pp.181-195.
     Houthakker, H.S. and S. P. Magee (1969), “Income and price elasticities in world trade,” The Review of Economics and Statistics, Vol.LI, No.2, pp.111-123.
     Johnson, H.G. Money, Trade and Economic Growth, Harvard University press, 1962. Ch. IV.
     Johnston, J. (1984), Economic Method (Mcgraw-Hill Book Co.)
     Khan, M.S. (1974), “Import and export demand in developing countries,” International Monetary Fund Staff papers, Vol.XXI, No.3, pp.678-793.
     Khan, M.S. (1975), “The structure and behavior of Imports of Verezuela,” The Review of Economics and Statistics, Vol. LVII, No.2, pp.221-224.
     Khan, M.S. and Khud E. Ross (1977), “The functional form of the aggregate import demand equation,” Journal of International Economics, Vol.7, No.2, pp.149-160.
     Krinsky, I. (1983), “The small country assumption: a note on Canadian exports,” Applied Economics, Vol.15, pp.73-79.
     Leamer, E.E. and R.M. Stern (1970), Quantitative International Economics (Allyn and Bacon, Boston). Ch2, 3.
     Magee, S.P. (1973), “Currency contracts, pass-through, and devaluation,” Brookings papers on Economic Activity, pp.303-325.
     Magee, S.P. (1975), “Prices, incomes, and foreign trade,” in: P.B Kenen, ed., International Trade and Finance Frontiers for Research (Cambridge University press, Cambridge).
     Maskus, K.R. (1983), “Evidence on shifts in the determinants of the structure of U.S. manufacturing foreign trade, 1958-76.” The Review of Economics and Statistics, Vol.65, No.3, pp.415-422.
     Murray, T. and Peter J. Ginman (1976), “An empirical examination of the traditional aggregate import demand model,” The Review of Economics and Statistics, Vol. IVIII, pp.75-80.
     Orcutt, G. (1950), “Measurement of price elasticities in international trade,” Review of Economics and Statistics, 32: 117-132.
     Pindyck R.S. and D.L. Rubinfeld, Econometric models and Economic forecasts. New York: Mcgraw-Hill, 1981.
     Salas, J. (1982), “Estimation of the structure and elasticites of Mexican imports in the period 1961-1979,” Journal of Development Economics, Vol. 10, No.3, pp.297-311.
     Stern, R.M. Christopher F. Baum and Mark N. Greene (1979), “Evidence on structural charge in the demand for aggregate U.S. imports and exports,” Journal of political Economy, Vol. 87, No.1, pp.179-192.
     Stern, R.M., Francis and B. Schumacher (1976), price Elasticity in International Trade- An Annotated Bibliogaphy (Macmillan, London).
     Thursby, J. and Marie Thursby (1984), “How reliable are simple, single equation specifications of import demand?,” The Review of Economics and Statistics, Vol.66, No.1, pp.120-128.
     Tyler, W.G. (1983), “The anti-export bias in commercial policies and export performance: Some evidence from the recent Brazilian experience,” Weltwirtsch. Arch. Vol.119, No.1, pp.97-108.
     Volker, P.A. (1982), “Confirmations and contradictions on the U.S. import demand function: a comment,” Journal of political Economy, Vol.90, No.6, pp.1295-1297.
     Wilson, J.F. and Wendy E. Takacs (1979), “Differential responses to price and exchange rate influences in the foreign trade of selected industrial countries,” The Review of Economics and Statistics, Vol.LXI, No.2, pp.267-279.
     Yang, Y.Y. (1978), “Estimation of the manufactured export supply function from developing countries,” Weltwirtsch. Arch. Heft3, pp515-525.
     Yang, Y.Y. (1981), “A comparative analysis of the determinants of nontraditional exports for Brazil, Israel, and South Korea,” Weltwirtch. Arch. Heft3 497-511.		zh_TW